发布于2026年1月29日，美国东部时间上午12:00 | 斯蒂芬·科林森分析
明尼苏达州当下的局势取决于唐纳德·特朗普总统是否认为这仅仅是个形象问题，或是他是否准备改变那些对其政治身份至关重要却不受欢迎的驱逐政策。
特朗普周三说到做到。在上周末联邦特工枪杀重症监护室护士亚历克斯·普雷蒂后，明尼阿波利斯和全国都濒临危险危机，他确实“稍微”缓和了局势。
但这只是“稍微”缓和。政府激进的驱逐行动与一个根本反对其方法和最终目标的民主党政区和城市之间的裂痕并未缩小。
而且他又开始对阻碍他的地方领导人发表煽动性言论。
除非特朗普准备接受严重的政治失败，或者民主党至少默许一些联邦驱逐行动，否则任何缓和可能都是短暂的。
“我不希望他们花一秒钟去追捕一个刚刚送孩子去日托、正要去上12小时班的父亲，而他恰好来自厄瓜多尔，”明尼阿波利斯市长雅各布·弗雷在周三的美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）市政厅会议上说，“就是那个人。他让我们的城市变得更美好。我们为明尼阿波利斯有他这样的人而自豪。”
明尼苏达州民众悼念两名被联邦特工枪杀的公民，他们不会接受表面上的协议。
但驱逐行动是“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）哲学的核心，是特朗普吸引支持者的关键，也是总统实施铁腕权力的热情所在。
2026年1月28日，华盛顿特区，一名儿童在华盛顿特区美国退伍军人事务部外的临时纪念处旁手持蜡烛。
曼德尔·恩甘/法新社/盖蒂图片社
周三，普雷蒂被杀事件的余波仍使政治紧张局势尖锐，距离雷妮·古德被枪杀不到三周。一些报道称，联邦执法行动仍在进行，但比前几周更有针对性。
► 特朗普派往明尼苏达州监督“地铁行动”的边境负责人汤姆·霍曼与当地官员进行了会谈，据一位消息人士向美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）的普里西拉·阿尔瓦雷斯和克里斯汀·霍尔姆斯描述，会谈“岌岌可危”。
► 短暂休会后，特朗普再次加大了言论力度，这种方式似乎与霍曼寻求真诚解决方案的努力背道而驰。总统警告弗雷，如果他的城市不执行联邦移民法，他“在玩火”。弗雷拒绝与联邦特工合作。
► 美国国土安全部表示，周六在普雷蒂枪击事件中涉及的官员已按程序停职。但对于调查结果或普雷蒂死亡事件是否会有问责，目前尚不清楚，许多明尼苏达州民众不信任国土安全部的调查。
► 一段新视频显示，普雷蒂在被致命枪击前一周，曾与海关和边境保护局（CBP）特工发生肢体冲突。
► 参议院民主党人提出了限制联邦执法政策的要求，试图利用有限的政治影响力来阻止政府拨款。如果周五前未达成协议，政府将部分停摆。
► 共和党人对普雷蒂被杀事件的不满以及特朗普强硬手段的不受欢迎，让共和党参议员们再次陷入政治困境。参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩打破了政府的立场，表示希望进行独立调查。许多共和党人对国土安全部部长克里斯蒂·诺姆在普雷蒂死后对其的诽谤态度冷淡，但大多数人仍不愿公开反对特朗普要求解雇她。民主党人承诺，如果诺姆不解职，将推动对她的弹劾。
► 周二晚上，一名男子向明尼苏达州民主党众议员伊汉·奥马尔喷洒恶臭物质（现在被认为是苹果醋），凸显了政治紧张局势持续的可怕可能性。特朗普对此冷漠的反应，破坏了他在行动中呼吁冷静的希望。
2026年1月28日，明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市亨利·惠普尔主教联邦大楼外，示威者抗议联邦移民特工的存在。
香农·斯泰普尔顿/路透社
移民问题上的巨大分歧
全国对普雷蒂被杀的愤怒迫使特朗普撤回了言辞激烈的边境巡逻队主管格雷格·博维诺，并通过派遣霍曼来削弱诺姆的影响力。特朗普和其他几位高级官员也暂时缓和了言辞。
但明尼阿波利斯危机背后存在着根本的政治分歧。如果旨在实现雄心勃勃的政府驱逐目标的策略显得过于严厉，可能会促使更多移民自愿离境或根本不尝试进入美国。
政府指责包括明尼苏达州和明尼阿波利斯市在内的民主党政区拒绝与联邦行动合作，并通过鼓励示威的政治言论积极阻碍这些行动。
这一做法是特朗普国内政策的核心支柱，尽管它在其基本盘之外不受美国民众欢迎。这就是为什么白宫难以让步的原因之一。
密苏里州参议员埃里克·施密特周三表示：“特朗普竞选并赢得了修复这一问题的承诺。这不是其政纲中的次要内容。这是他2024年竞选活动的基本定义性政策之一。”“这一承诺是美国民众将他送回白宫的关键原因之一。”
2026年1月28日，华盛顿特区安德鲁·W·梅隆礼堂，唐纳德·特朗普总统发表讲话。
布伦丹·斯迈洛夫斯基/法新社/盖蒂图片社
此外，许多共和党人认为这是实施他们长期倡导的政策的短暂机会。
“这是必须完成的事情，如果在特朗普总统任期内无法完成，我们是否还有机会做到？”与联邦官员合作过的佛罗里达州州长罗恩·德桑蒂斯周二在福克斯新闻频道（Fox News）的《英格拉姆角度》节目中说。
公众愤怒可能迫使特朗普采取较不激进的做法。但这个政府——尤其是在副白宫幕僚长斯蒂芬·米勒等移民强硬派的影响下——也可能准备无视总统下滑的支持率和中期选举前共和党议员的焦虑，以实现世代性目标。
民主党人认为他们处于更稳固的政治立场，因为许多美国人希望加强边境安全，但不喜欢大规模驱逐。一些地方民主党官员，如明尼阿波利斯的官员，拒绝允许其警察与联邦特工合作进行驱逐。
特朗普的行动远超出了政府宣称的主要针对有暴力犯罪记录的无证移民的意图。许多守法移民也被大规模驱逐，他们可能缺乏合法身份但已在美国生活多年。美国移民局（ICE）的激进行动也错误地逮捕了一些美国公民。出现了“不人道”的场景：戴面具的特工随意要求民众出示证件。
“从法律上讲，我们街道上发生的行为是违宪的，”弗雷在CNN市政厅会议上说，“你不能因为某人看起来像索马里人或拉丁裔就随机逮捕他们。你不能拘留美国公民，把他们与家人分开，而他们甚至不知道自己被带到哪里。”
民主党人认为普雷蒂的死直接归因于政府的政治选择。弗吉尼亚州众议员詹姆斯·沃金肖在华盛顿的悼念活动中说：“他被两名海关和边境保护局特工枪杀。他们扣动了扳机。但他实际上是被特朗普政府杀死的。是唐纳德·特朗普、克里斯蒂·诺姆、格雷格·博维诺、拉斯·沃思和斯蒂芬·米勒……我还可以继续列举。”
政府做法的不人道也削弱了其政治立场。有一个案例特别触动人心——一名背着背包的5岁男孩利亚姆·科内霍·拉莫斯与父亲在明尼阿波利斯被捕并被送往德克萨斯州拘留中心。民主党众议员华金·卡斯特罗周三见到了利亚姆，并分享了他父亲的评估：他的儿子“非常沮丧”。
“稍微”缓和无法安抚明尼苏达州州长蒂姆·瓦尔兹，他周三在参观普雷蒂临时纪念处时表示：“我对语气转变不感兴趣，我们只需要他们离开这里，并对发生的事情负责。”
特朗普再次抨击
语气似乎没有太大转变。
周三，特朗普指责弗雷说他不会执行联邦移民法。总统在“真实社交”平台（Truth Social）上警告称：“他身边的人能不能解释一下，这种说法严重违反了法律，他是在玩火！”
司法部长帕姆·邦迪周三在访问明尼苏达州时在社交媒体上写道：“我们不会容忍明尼苏达州的无法无天。我们不会停止继续逮捕和执法。”
副总统JD·万斯在社交平台X上质问弗雷：“联邦执法部门呢？他们应该觉得拨打911是安全的吗？现在他们不这么认为，因为你告诉警察不要帮助他们。”
2026年1月22日，明尼苏达州明尼阿波利斯市，明尼阿波利斯市长雅各布·弗雷在新闻发布会上准备发言。
斯蒂芬·马图伦/盖蒂图片社
有时，严厉的政治言论可以为政治退缩提供掩护。但这听起来不像是一个即将放弃强硬路线的政府。
周四霍曼在明尼阿波利斯举行预定的新闻发布会时，缓和的可能性可能会变得更清晰。美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）的阿尔瓦雷斯和霍尔姆斯报道说，可能的妥协方案包括联邦政府承诺更有针对性地打击有犯罪记录的无证移民，以及使用边境巡逻队支持移民局（ICE）行动而非大规模扫荡。
参议院民主党人希望更多地避免部分政府停摆。少数党领袖查克·舒默规定了三个条件，包括收紧移民局特工的搜查令使用和巡逻；执行与州和地方执法部门可比的行为准则；以及移民局特工摘下口罩并佩戴随身摄像机。
这可能会限制特朗普国内议程的一个主要支柱。但民主党人可能会遇到一个熟悉的问题。由于国土安全部和移民局在特朗普的“大漂亮法案”立法中获得了资金激增，他们的行动短期内可能不会受到阻碍。共和党人可能能够在停摆中拖延民主党人，就像去年发生的那样。
但停摆可能会澄清这个问题。特朗普是否愿意在驱逐政策上让步，或者他是否只是希望进行表面调整以改变外界看法？
Why the Minnesota deportation impasse will be so hard to solve
Published Jan 29, 2026, 12:00 AM ET | Analysis by Stephen Collinson
What happens now in Minnesota depends on whether President Donald Trump concludes he simply has an optics problem or whether he’s ready to change unpopular deportation policies that are central to his political identity.
Trump on Wednesday was as good as his word. He did de-escalate “a little bit” after the shooting of ICU nurse Alex Pretti by federal agents last weekend drove Minneapolis and the country toward a dangerous crisis.
But it was only a little bit. Fault lines between the administration’s aggressive deportation operation and a Democratic state and city fundamentally opposed to its methods and ultimate goal have not narrowed.
And he’s back to flinging inflammatory rhetoric at local leaders getting in his way.
Any de-escalation may be short-lived unless Trump is ready to absorb a serious political defeat or Democrats offer acquiescence to at least some federal deportation activity.
“I don’t want them spending a single second hunting down a father who just dropped his kids off at daycare, who’s about to go work a 12-hour shift, who happens to be from Ecuador,” Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey said at a CNN town hall on Wednesday. “That guy. He makes our city a better place. We’re proud to have him in Minneapolis.”
Minnesotans mourning two of their own citizens gunned down by federal agents won’t settle for a cosmetic agreement.
But deportation sweeps are endemic to MAGA philosophy, Trump’s appeal to his supporters and the president’s zeal to apply strongman power.
A child holds a candle next to a makeshift memorial for Alex Pretti outside the US Department of Veteran Affairs in Washington DC, on January 28, 2026.
Mandel Ngan/AFP/Getty Images
Political tensions were still acute on Wednesday amid fresh reverberations over Pretti’s killing, less than three weeks after Renee Good was shot dead. Some reports said that federal enforcement operations went ahead but were more targeted than in previous weeks.
► Tom Homan, the border czar sent by Trump to oversee Operation Metro Surge, which sent 3,000 federal agents to Minnesota, held talks with local officials described by a source as “precarious” to CNN’s Priscilla Alvarez and Kristen Holmes.
► After a short hiatus, Trump cranked up the rhetoric again in a way that seemed incompatible with a search for a good-faith solution by Homan. The president warned Frey he was “playing with fire” if his city fails to enforce federal immigration law. Frey is refusing to cooperate with federal agents.
► The Department of Homeland Security said officers involved in the shooting of Pretti on Saturday were on administrative leave per procedure. But there is no clarity on investigations or whether there will be accountability for Pretti’s death beyond a DHS investigation that many Minnesotans won’t trust.
► A new video emerged of Pretti in a physical clash with Customs and Border Protection agents over a week before he was fatally shot.
► Senate Democrats laid out their demands for a curtailing of federal enforcement policies as they seek to use their limited political leverage to block spending. Without an agreement by Friday, the government will partially shut down.
► Republican discomfort over the killing of Pretti and the unpopularity of Trump’s tough approach left GOP senators dancing, once again, on the head of a political pin. In a break with the administration, Senate Majority Leader John Thune said he’d like to see an independent investigation. Many Republicans seemed cool toward Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem, who maligned Pretti after his death, but most are still unwilling to openly cross Trump by calling for her dismissal. Democrats have pledged to push for Noem’s impeachment if she’s not fired.
► The dire possibilities of continued political tensions were underscored when a man sprayed a foul-smelling substance (now believed to be apple cider vinegar) on Minnesota Democratic Rep. Ilhan Omar Tuesday night. Trump’s callous reaction dented any hopes he’d react to the tragedies amid an operation he ordered by calling for calm.
Demonstrators shout against the presence of federal immigration agents outside the Bishop Henry Whipple Federal Building in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on January 28, 2026.
Shannon Stapleton/Reuters
The gaping divide over immigration
National outrage over the killing of Pretti forced Trump’s hand in withdrawing the bombastic Border Patrol chief Greg Bovino from the state and sidelining Noem by sending Homan. Trump and several other senior officials also tempered their rhetoric, albeit temporarily.
But a fundamental political divide lies behind the Minneapolis crisis. If the tactics designed to meet ambitious administration deportation targets appear sufficiently draconian, they may encourage other migrants to self-deport or not to attempt to enter the country at all.
The administration accuses Democratic jurisdictions including Minnesota and Minneapolis of refusing to cooperate with federal operations and of actively hampering them through political speech that encourages demonstrations.
This approach is a pillar of Trump’s domestic project, even if it’s unpopular with Americans outside his base. That’s one reason it will be so hard for the White House to fold.
“Trump ran and won on fixing this. It wasn’t some minor footnote in his platform. It was one of the fundamental, defining policies of his 2024 campaign,” Missouri Sen. Eric Schmitt said on Wednesday. “That promise was one of the key reasons the American people sent him back to the White House.”
President Donald Trump delivers remarks at the Andrew W. Mellon Auditorium in Washington DC, on January 28, 2026.
Brendan Smialowski/AFP/Getty Images
In addition, many Republicans perceive a fleeting moment to implement policies that they’ve long championed.
“This is something that has to be accomplished, and if it can’t be accomplished with President Trump’s presidency, then are we ever going to be able to get it done?” Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, who has cooperated with federal officials, said on Fox News’ “Ingraham Angle” on Tuesday.
Public anger may force Trump to adopt a less aggressive approach. But it’s also possible this administration — especially under the influence of immigration hardliners like deputy White House chief of staff Stephen Miller — may be prepared to ignore the president’s tanking approval ratings and GOP lawmakers’ anxiety ahead of the midterms to achieve a generational goal.
Democrats believe they are on firmer political ground, since many Americans wanted tougher border security but dislike blanket deportations. Some local Democratic officials, like those in Minneapolis, refuse to allow their police forces to cooperate with federal agents on deportations.
And Trump has gone far beyond his administration’s stated intent of mainly targeting undocumented migrants with violent convictions. Many law-abiding migrants have been swept up who may lack legal status but have lived in the US for years. Aggressive ICE operations have also mistakenly arrested some US citizens. There’ve been un-American scenes of people asked for their papers by masked agents.
“Legally, the actions that have taken place in our street are unconstitutional,” Frey said at the CNN town hall. “You can’t randomly yank off the street a person because they happen to look Somali, or they happen to look Latino. You can’t detain United States citizens, rip them away from their family, and they don’t even know where they went.”
Democrats see Pretti’s death as directly attributable to the administration’s political choices. “He was killed by two CBP agents. They pulled the trigger,” Virginia Rep. James Walkinshaw said at a vigil in Washington. “But he was actually killed by the Trump administration. He was killed by Donald Trump and Kristi Noem and Greg Bovino and Russ Vought. … And Stephen Miller … I could go on.”
The inhumanity of the administration’s approach is also weakening its political position. One case in particular has touched many hearts — that of backpack-wearing 5-year-old Liam Conejo Ramos, who was arrested with his father in Minneapolis and sent to detention in Texas. Democratic Rep. Joaquin Castro met Liam on Wednesday and shared his father’s assessment that his son was “very depressed.”
A “little bit” of de-escalation won’t placate Minnesota Gov. Tim Walz, who said as he visited a makeshift memorial for Pretti on Wednesday that “I’m not so interested in shifted tone, we just need them out of here and we need accountability for what has happened.”
Trump lashes out again
The tone doesn’t seem to have shifted that much.
Trump on Wednesday rebuked Frey for saying he would not enforce federal immigration laws. The president warned on Truth Social, “Could somebody in his inner sanctum please explain that this statement is a very serious violation of the Law, and that he is PLAYING WITH FIRE!”
Attorney General Pam Bondi wrote on social media during a visit to the North Star State on Wednesday: “We will NOT tolerate lawlessness in Minnesota. Nothing will stop us from continuing to make arrests and enforce the law.”
Vice President JD Vance asked Frey on X: “How about federal law enforcement. Should they feel safe calling 911? Right now, they don’t, because you’ve told your police officers not to help them.”
Minneapolis Mayor Jacob Frey arrives to speak during a press conference in Minneapolis, Minnesota, on January 22, 2026.
Stephen Maturen/Getty Images
Sometimes harsh political rhetoric can be used to give cover for a political retreat. But this does not sound like an administration about to shelve its tough line.
The potential for detente may become clearer when Homan holds a scheduled press conference in Minneapolis on Thursday. CNN’s Alvarez and Holmes reported that possible compromises could lie in a federal pledge for more targeted operations against undocumented immigrants with criminal records and the use of Border Patrol agents to support ICE operations instead of in broad sweeps.
Senate Democrats want far more to avert a partial government shutdown. Minority leader Chuck Schumer stipulated three conditions, including tightening the use of warrants and roving patrols for ICE agents; the enforcing of codes of conduct comparable to those followed by state and local law enforcement; and for ICE agents to remove their masks and to wear body cameras.
This might constrict a major plank of Trump’s domestic agenda. But Democrats may come up against a familiar problem. Since the DHS and ICE got a funding windfall in Trump’s “big beautiful bill” legislation, their operations may not be hampered in the short term. Republicans might be able to wait out Democrats in a shutdown, as happened last year.
But a shutdown might clarify this issue. Is Trump willing to give ground on his policy on deportations, or does he simply hope to make superficial adjustments that change how it is perceived?