发布时间：2026年3月14日 美国东部时间上午6:00 | 更新时间：2026年3月14日 美国东部时间上午6:00
作者：保罗·斯坦豪泽（Paul Steinhauser），福克斯新闻
共和党人在2026年中期选举中捍卫国会微弱控制权面临巨大障碍，但参议院共和党竞选委员会主席表示，他仍然”极度乐观”，认为他的政党不仅能够保住目前53-47的多数席位，还能扩大优势。
作为华盛顿的执政党，共和党在中期选举中历来会失去席位，加上持续的通胀引发的经济担忧，以及唐纳德·特朗普总统支持率低迷，共和党正面临强劲的政治逆风。
“毫无疑问，形势似乎一天比一天艰难，”全国共和党参议员委员会（NRSC）主席蒂姆·斯科特参议员在最近接受福克斯新闻数字版采访时表示。
但他补充道：”好消息是，我们有一位信守承诺的总统，而且我们在每个关键战场州都招募到了所有人都想要的最高素质候选人。”
参议院共和党竞选负责人告诉福克斯新闻的内容
全国共和党参议员委员会（NRSC）主席蒂姆·斯科特参议员表示，他仍然”极度乐观”，共和党不仅能够保住多数席位，还能扩大优势。（保罗·斯坦豪泽/福克斯新闻）
NRSC主席在2025年12月告诉福克斯新闻数字版，在争夺多数席位的斗争中，”54席显然在我们掌握之中，但只要有一点运气，55席也可能到手。”
一周前被再次问及此事时，斯科特表示：”我认为我们有可能获得超过53个席位。”
战略会议：特朗普团队就中期选举信息策略进行磋商
斯科特的对手、民主党参议员竞选委员会（DSCC）主席克里斯滕·吉利布兰德参议员在2026年1月告诉福克斯新闻数字版：”特朗普总统正在推行有害人民的极端政策议程。”
吉利布兰德强调，她”对我们有机会夺回多数席位感到乐观”。
以下是可能在中期选举中发生改变的十大参议院关键席位：
缅因州
长期担任共和党参议员的苏珊·柯林斯是今年唯一寻求连任的共和党参议员，而该州在2024年总统选举中被副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯击败特朗普。
柯林斯的民调支持率较六年前上一次连任时有所下降。
但柯林斯长期以来一直是民主党参议院竞选委员会（DSCC）的主要目标，迄今为止，击败她的尝试均以失败告终。
缅因州共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯于2025年7月24日离开华盛顿国会大厦。（J. Scott Applewhite/美联社照片）
民主党试图翻转该席位的努力因民主党州长珍妮特·米尔斯与退伍军人兼牡蛎养殖者格雷厄姆·普拉特纳之间的激烈党内初选而变得复杂。米尔斯获得了资深参议院民主党领袖查克·舒默和DSCC的默许支持，而普拉特纳则得到佛蒙特州进步派参议员伯尼·桑德斯的支持，其立场比米尔斯更左。
北卡罗来纳州
共和党人正在捍卫该州一个空缺席位，共和党参议员汤姆·蒂利斯将于2026年底卸任。
民主党成功招募到了前两任州长罗伊·库珀，他于2025年夏季启动了参议院竞选活动。库珀在北卡罗来纳州知名度极高，在全州范围的竞选中保持6胜0负的记录。
共和党人团结在得到总统支持的前共和党全国委员会（RNC）主席迈克尔·惠特利周围。
2025年7月31日，RNC主席迈克尔·惠特利在北卡罗来纳州加斯敦宣布竞选参议员。（保罗·斯坦豪泽/福克斯新闻）
预计这场竞选将是今年最昂贵、最具竞争力的参议院对决之一。
俄亥俄州
民主党在招募方面再次取得重大胜利，前资深参议员舍罗德·布朗宣布挑战共和党参议员乔恩·哈斯特德。
哈斯特德曾是副州长，在2025年被任命为参议院议员，接替当时的参议员JD·万斯（后升任副总统）。
共和党俄亥俄州参议员乔恩·哈斯特德被任命填补现已升任副总统的JD·万斯的席位，他将在中期选举中争取完成万斯剩余的任期。（盖蒂图片社）
俄亥俄州曾是主要的大选战场，过去十年已转为共和党占优。民主党将布朗视为在竞逐万斯剩余任期的唯一有竞争力的候选人。
布朗在2024年以约4个百分点的差距输掉了连任选举，而特朗普在俄亥俄州以11个百分点的优势获胜。
与北卡罗来纳州类似，这场对决预计将耗资巨大且竞争激烈。
阿拉斯加州
前众议员玛丽·佩尔托拉于2026年2月宣布挑战共和党现任参议员丹·沙利文，这为民主党在这个倾向共和党的州带来了重大助力。
共和党阿拉斯加州参议员丹·沙利文将参加2026年中期选举的连任竞选。（Allison Robbert/法新社通过盖蒂图片社）
佩尔托拉在15个月前的全州范围竞选中以3个百分点的差距输掉了连任，而特朗普在阿拉斯加州以11个百分点的优势获胜。
爱荷华州
共和党正在捍卫爱荷华州的一个空缺席位，该州曾是摇摆州，过去十年已转向共和党。
但共和党人团结在得到特朗普支持的众议员阿什利·辛森周围，以接替即将卸任的共和党参议员乔尼·恩斯特。
爱荷华州共和党众议员阿什利·辛森是2026年竞选的候选人，旨在接替即将卸任的共和党参议员乔尼·恩斯特。她于2025年9月4日在华盛顿特区接受福克斯新闻数字版采访。（保罗·斯坦豪泽 – 福克斯新闻）
辛森曾是地方电视台新闻主播，在2020年翻转了民主党掌控的席位，被视为党内冉冉升起的新星。
民主党方面的党内初选竞争激烈，包括州议员约书亚·图雷克（残奥会运动员）、州参议员扎克·沃尔什和退伍军人内森·塞奇。
德克萨斯州
德克萨斯州资深共和党参议员约翰·科宁正在与州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿展开激烈的共和党提名对决。
特朗普迄今为止在5月底举行的决选中保持中立。
科宁得到参议院多数党领袖约翰·图恩和NRSC的支持，该委员会担心如果背负大量政治包袱的帕克斯顿赢得初选，该席位将变得脆弱。
德克萨斯州总检察长肯·帕克斯顿（右）与其劲敌共和党参议员约翰·科宁将在5月决选中对决，这进一步延长了他们在共和党参议院提名中血腥的初选战。（Nathan Posner/阿纳多卢通过盖蒂图片社；Anna Moneymaker/盖蒂图片社）
民主党方面，他们瞄准了这个倾向共和党的州，提名了冉冉升起的党内新星、州议员詹姆斯·塔拉利科。
密歇根州
共和党人对在这个大湖区摇摆州翻转席位持乐观态度，民主党参议员加里·彼得斯将退休。
在特朗普的领导下，共和党团结在众议院前议员迈克·罗杰斯周围，他在2024年以极其微弱的差距输掉了参议院选举，尽管特朗普以1个百分点的优势赢得了密歇根州。
前众议员迈克·罗杰斯在密歇根州连续第二年参加参议院竞选，他在2024年以微弱差距输掉了选举。（保罗·斯坦豪泽 – 福克斯新闻）
民主党初选中，有三位候选人角逐：中间偏左的众议员海莉·斯蒂文斯、自称”实用主义者”的州参议员马洛里·麦克莫罗，以及得到桑德斯支持的进步派医生阿卜杜勒·埃尔-赛义德。
初选已经暴露了该州制造业未来和对以色列支持方面的分歧，最终提名要到8月才能确定。
佐治亚州
共和党人将初任参议员乔恩·奥索夫视为中期选举中最脆弱的寻求连任的民主党参议员。
他们的目标是将奥索夫（佐治亚州唯一一位在2024年特朗普获胜的州寻求连任的民主党参议员）描绘成极左进步人士。
但击败奥索夫并不容易，部分原因是这位参议员强劲的筹款能力积累了巨额竞选资金。
乔恩·奥索夫参议员是2026年唯一一位在唐纳德·特朗普总统赢得的州寻求连任的民主党参议员。（Aaron Schwartz/彭博新闻通过盖蒂图片社）
共和党方面，党内初选竞争激烈，包括众议员迈克·柯林斯、巴迪·卡特和前田纳西大学橄榄球教练德里克·杜利，后者得到任满卸任的受欢迎保守派州长布莱恩·肯普的支持。
特朗普在5月初选前一直保持中立。
新罕布什尔州
共和党人希望推翻新英格兰地区唯一的摇摆州长期由民主党掌控的参议院席位，这得益于参议员珍妮·沙欣的退休，她是美国历史上首位同时当选州长和参议员的女性。
新罕布什尔州民主党参议员珍妮·沙欣是美国历史上首位同时当选州长和参议员的女性，她将于年底退休。（美联社照片/史蒂文·森内）
虽然大多数民主党人支持四届连任的众议员克里斯·帕帕斯，但共和党方面的初选竞争激烈，两位前参议员争夺重返国会山的机会。前参议员约翰·E·苏努努得到总统支持，他是前州长克里斯·苏努努的哥哥，而特朗普的第一任驻新西兰大使、前参议员斯科特·布朗也仍在参选。
共和党人正试图打破他们在这个花岗岩州长达16年的参议院选举失利纪录。
明尼苏达州
民主党参议员蒂娜·史密斯的退休让共和党人看到了在这个倾向民主党的州翻转席位的希望。
NRSC成功招募到了前NBC体育记者、保守派评论员和活动家米歇尔·塔福亚，他们称她是顶级候选人。
米歇尔·塔福亚接受福克斯新闻数字版采访，宣布在明尼苏达州发起共和党参议院竞选。（保罗·斯坦豪泽/福克斯新闻）
塔福亚是共和党初选阵营的一员，其他候选人还包括2024年参议院候选人罗伊斯·怀特（前NBA篮球运动员）、退役美国海军军官汤姆·韦勒（2022年共和党国会候选人）、前州参议员大卫·汉恩和前海军海豹突击队队员亚当·施瓦泽。
明尼苏达州副州长佩吉·弗拉纳根（进步派）将与立场较为温和的民主党众议员安吉·克雷格展开党内提名对决，后者似乎得到参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默的支持。
保罗·斯坦豪泽是一名政治记者，常驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州，报道从东到西的竞选活动。
点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用程序
10 Senate races that could decide control of the chamber in the 2026 midterms
Published March 14, 2026 6:00am EDT | Updated March 14, 2026 6:00am EDT
By Paul Steinhauser, Fox News
Republicans face high hurdles as they defend their razor-thin control of Congress in the 2026 midterm elections, but the Senate GOP campaign chair says he remains “incredibly optimistic” his party can not only hold but expand its current 53–47 majority.
Republicans are battling stiff political headwinds as the party in power in the nation’s capital traditionally loses seats in the midterms, and a rough political climate fueled by economic concerns amid persistent inflation and President Donald Trump’s underwater approval ratings.
“There’s no doubt the climate has gotten more and more difficult by the day, it seems like at times,” National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) Chair Sen. Tim Scott said in a recent Fox News Digital interview.
But he added, “The good news is we have a president who made promises, he’s been keeping those promises, and we have been able to recruit the highest quality candidates anyone could want in every single battleground state.”
WHAT THE SENATE REPUBLICAN CAMPAIGN CHIEF TOLD FOX NEWS
National Republican Senatorial Committee (NRSC) chair Sen. Tim Scott says he remains “incredibly optimistic” the GOP can not only hold but expand its majority.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
The NRSC chair told Fox News Digital in December 2025 that in the battle for the majority, “54 is clearly within our grasp right now, but with a little bit of luck, 55 is on our side.”
Asked again a week ago, Scott said, “I think we have a possibility of more than 53 seats.”
STRATEGY SESSION: TRUMP TEAM HUDDLES ON MIDTERM MESSAGING
Scott’s rival, Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) Chair Sen. Kirsten Gillibrand told Fox News Digital in January that “President Trump is creating a toxic agenda that’s harming people.”
And Gillibrand emphasized she’s “optimistic that we have a shot to take back the majority.”
Here’s a look at the top 10 Senate seats that could flip in the midterms.
MAINE
Longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins is the only Republican senator running for re-election this year in a state that then-Vice President Kamala Harris carried in her 2024 presidential election defeat to Trump.
And Collins has seen a deterioration of her poll numbers among Mainers from her last re-election six years ago.
But Collins, who has long been a top target of the rival Democratic Senatorial Campaign Committee (DSCC) has proven impossible to beat, to date.
Sen. Susan Collins, R-Maine, departs the chamber at the Capitol in Washington, on July 24, 2025.(J. Scott Applewhite/AP Photo)
Complicating the Democrats’ push to flip the seat is a competitive primary between two-term Democratic Gov. Janet Mills, who has the tacit backing of longtime Senate Democratic Leader Chuck Schumer and the DSCC, and veteran and oyster farmer Graham Platner, who is running to the left of the governor and who is backed by progressive champion Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont.
NORTH CAROLINA
Republicans are defending an open seat in the southeastern battleground state, with GOP Sen. Thom Tillis retiring at the end of 2026.
Democrats landed their top recruit when former two-term Gov. Roy Cooper launched a Senate campaign in summer 2025. Cooper enjoys tons of name ID in North Carolina and is 6–0 when running statewide races.
Republicans are rallying around former Republican National Committee (RNC) Chair Michael Whatley, who has the president’s backing.
RNC Chair Michael Whatley announces his run for Senator for North Carolina on July 31st, 2025 in Gastonia, N.C.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
The race is expected to be one of the most expensive and competitive Senate showdowns this year.
OHIO
Democrats scored another major recruiting victory when former longtime Sen. Sherrod Brown announced he would challenge Republican Sen. Jon Husted.
A former lieutenant governor, Husted was appointed to the Senate a year ago after then-Sen. JD Vance stepped down to serve as vice president.
Sen. Jon Husted, R-Ohio, who was appointed to fill now-Vice President JD Vance’s seat, is running in the midterms to serve the final two years of Vance’s term.(Getty Images)
Ohio, once a premiere general election battleground, has turned red over the past decade, and Democrats view Brown as their only competitive candidate in the race to serve the final two years of Vance’s term.
Brown lost re-election in 2024 by roughly four points while Trump carried Ohio by 11 points.
Similar to North Carolina, the showdown is expected to be very expensive and competitive.
ALASKA
Democrats were given a big boost in the red-leaning state when former Rep. Mary Peltola announced in February that she would challenge GOP incumbent Sen. Dan Sullivan.
Sen. Dan Sullivan, R-Alaska, is running for re-election in the 2026 midterms.(Allison Robbert/AFP via Getty Images)
Peltola lost re-election 15 months ago in the at-large district that covers the entire state by three points, while Trump carried Alaska by 11 points.
IOWA
Republicans are defending an open seat in Iowa, a onetime swing state that’s shifted to the right over the past decade.
But the GOP has rallied around Rep. Ashley Hinson, who is backed by Trump, in the race to succeed retiring Republican Sen. Joni Ernst.
Republican Rep. Ashley Hinson of Iowa, who is running in the 2026 race to succeed retiring GOP Sen. Joni Ernst, sits for a Fox News Digital interview on Sept. 4, 2025, in Washington, D.C.(Paul Steinhauser – Fox News)
Hinson, a former local TV news anchor who flipped a Democratic-held seat in 2020, is seen as a rising star in the party.
Democrats have a contested primary that includes state Rep. Josh Turek, a Paralympian, state Sen. Zach Wahls and military veteran Nathan Sage.
TEXAS
Longtime Republican Sen. John Cornyn of Texas is in the middle of a competitive and combustible GOP nomination runoff battle against state Attorney Gen. Ken Paxton.
Trump, to date, has stayed neutral in the runoff, which will be held in late May.
Cornyn enjoys the backing of Senate Majority Leader John Thune and the NRSC, which worries that the seat would be vulnerable if Paxton, who has plenty of political baggage, wins the primary.
Texas Attorney General Ken Paxton, right, and his bitter rival, Sen. John Cornyn, are facing off in a May runoff, further extending their bloody primary battle for the GOP Senate nomination.(Photo by Nathan Posner/Anadolu via Getty Images; Photo by Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)
The Democrats, who are eyeing the seat in the right-leaning state, nominated state Rep. James Talarico, a rising star in the party.
MICHIGAN
Republicans are optimistic they can flip a seat in the Great Lakes battleground, where Democratic Sen. Gary Peters is retiring.
The GOP, led by Trump, has coalesced around former Rep. Mike Rogers, who lost an extremely close Senate race in 2024 even as Trump won Michigan by one point.
Former Rep. Mike Rogers, who narrowly lost the 2024 Senate election in Michigan, is making a second straight run in the Great Lakes battleground state.(Paul Steinhauser – Fox News)
The Democratic primary is a three-way race between center-left Rep. Haley Stevens, state Sen. Mallory McMorrow, a self-described “pragmatist,” and progressive physician Abdul El-Sayed, who is backed by Sanders.
The primary already has exposed divisions on the future of the state’s manufacturing sector and support for Israel, and the nominee won’t be decided until August.
GEORGIA
Republicans view first-term Sen. Jon Ossoff as the most vulnerable Democratic senator seeking re-election in the midterms.
The aim was to paint Ossoff, the only Senate Democrat running for re-election in a state Trump won in 2024, as a far-left progressive.
But ousting Ossoff won’t be easy, in part because the senator’s robust fundraising has built a massive war chest.
Senator Jon Ossoff is the only Democratic senator seeking re-election in 2026 in a state President Donald Trump carried in 2024.(Aaron Schwartz/Bloomberg/Getty Images)
And Republicans are in the middle of an ugly three-way between Reps. Mike Collins and Buddy Carter, and former University of Tennessee football coach Derek Dooley, who has the backing of term-limited popular, conservative Gov. Brian Kemp.
Trump has remained neutral, to date, ahead of the May primary.
NEW HAMPSHIRE
Republicans are hoping to flip the long-held Democratic Senate seat in New England’s only swing state, thanks to the retirement of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, the first woman in the nation’s history to be elected governor and senator.
Democratic Sen. Jeanne Shaheen of New Hampshire, the first woman in the nation’s history elected governor and senator, is retiring at the end of the year.(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
While most Democrats are rallying around four-term Rep. Chris Pappas, there’s a spirited primary on the Republican side between two former senators seeking a return to Capitol Hill. Former Sen. John E. Sununu, an older brother to former Gov. Chris Sununu, has the backing of the president. But Trump’s first-term ambassador to New Zealand, former Sen. Scott Brown, remains in the race.
Republicans are trying to break their 16-year losing streak in U.S. Senate elections in the Granite State.
MINNESOTA
The retirement of Democratic Sen. Tina Smith is giving the GOP hopes they can flip the seat in the blue-leaning state.
And the NRSC landed what they say is a top-tier recruit in former NBC sports reporter turned conservative pundit and activist Michele Tafoya.
Michele Tafoya is interviewed by Fox News Digital as she launches a Republican Senate campaign in Minnesota.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)
Tafoya is part of a crowded GOP field that also includes 2024 Senate nominee Royce White, a former NBA basketball player; retired U.S. Navy officer Tom Weiler, a 2022 GOP congressional nominee; former state Senator David Hann and former Navy SEAL Adam Schwarze.
CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP
Minnesota Lt. Gov. Peggy Flannagan, a progressive, is facing off against more moderate Democratic Rep. Angie Craig, who appears to have the backing of Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, in the race for their party’s nomination.
Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.
发表回复