发布时间:2026年2月23日,美国东部时间上午5:00 / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)
作者:[阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维],[詹妮弗·阿吉埃斯塔]
发布于 1小时59分钟前
![图片说明:2026年1月16日,总统唐纳德·特朗普在白宫南草坪向记者发表讲话。塞缪尔·科鲁姆/Sipa USA/美联社]
根据美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)委托SSRS开展的最新民调显示,当总统唐纳德·特朗普周二发表国情咨文演讲时,他将面临一个对其优先事项日益质疑、并对其政策是否有助于国家发展表示广泛怀疑的公众。
在今年中期选举临近之际,这对总统所在政党而言又是一个令人担忧的指标。特朗普在独立选民中的支持率在CNN民调中跌至历史新低。
仅32%的美国人认为特朗普把握了正确的优先事项,而68%的人表示他对国家最重要的问题关注不足。这是特朗普两届任期内对该问题的最负面评价。与此同时,61%的美国人认为特朗普的政策会将国家引向错误方向,38%认为会引向正确方向。特朗普在全体成年民众中的支持率仍徘徊在36%。
民调结果凸显了总统面临的严峻挑战。
去年特朗普重返白宫后首次向国会发表演讲时,其支持率在CNN演讲前民调中达到职业生涯最高的48%。自那以后,他在所有主要人口群体中支持率均下滑,只有共和党人、保守派人士和没有大学学历的白人等少数群体仍对其持正面看法。
跌幅最大的群体包括拉美裔美国人支持率下降19个百分点,45岁以下人群支持率下降18个百分点。独立选民中,特朗普支持率过去一年下降15个百分点至26%,为其两届任期内最低。
美国人希望听到关于经济和生活成本的内容
国情咨文演讲通常会吸引大量总统支持者收看,这可能为特朗普提供一个团结本党支持者的机会——但他的支持者对其支持度在过去一年也有所软化。
共和党人的支持率为49%,较去年演讲后64%的支持率大幅下降,也是其本任期内首次跌破50%。近三分之一的共和党人认为特朗普对最重要问题关注不足,16%认为其政策将把国家带向错误方向。
当被问及希望特朗普在国情咨文中重点讨论的问题时,57%的受访者选择经济和生活成本,这一比例是其他单一话题(包括移民、民主状况、医疗政策、犯罪或外交政策)总和的四倍多。半数民主党人希望特朗普的演讲触及经济问题,独立人士中这一比例上升至56%,共和党人中达65%。
一位来自新墨西哥州的共和党选民在民调中写道:“我认为人们选举特朗普是因为他们在拜登政府下生活艰难……我认为人们期望特朗普能为他们的苦难提供一些缓解。杂货价格一路飙升,一切都太贵了……所以我认为他需要谈论经济,以及他已经采取的措施。”
特朗普的支持率自去年秋季以来一直低于40%,目前为36%,63%的受访者表示不赞成。近半数(49%)强烈反对他的工作表现,19%表示强烈支持。
对特朗普表现持温和认可态度的人群,更倾向于质疑其优先事项而非政策本身。尽管这一群体中只有6%认为特朗普的提议会将国家带向错误方向,但34%认为总统对国家最重要问题关注不足。
民调显示共和党人内部年龄差异显著。65岁及以上的共和党人中有63%强烈支持总统工作表现,而35岁以下共和党人中这一比例仅为31%。年轻共和党人认为特朗普政策会将国家引向错误方向的可能性是65岁及以上群体的两倍(18-34岁共和党人24% vs. 65岁以上11%),认为他优先事项错误的比例也更高(18-34岁42% vs. 65岁以上20%)。
但共和党人在年龄上有一个共同点:超过60%的人认为特朗普应在周二的演讲中重点关注经济问题。
CNN民调由SSRS于2026年2月17日至20日通过在线方式开展,随机抽样调查了2496名美国成年人。全样本结果的抽样误差范围为±2.5个百分点。
美国有线电视新闻网的爱德华·吴对本报道有贡献。
Trump’s approval rating with independents hits a new low ahead of the State of the Union
PUBLISHED Feb 23, 2026, 5:00 AM ET / CNN
By
[Ariel Edwards-Levy]
,
[Jennifer Agiesta]
1 hr 59 min ago
President Donald Trump speaks to reporters on the South Lawn of the White House on January 16.
Samuel Corum/Sipa USA/AP
When President Donald Trump gives his State of the Union address Tuesday, he will face a public that increasingly questions his priorities and expresses broad doubts about whether his proposed policies are helping the nation, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS.
Adding to the pile of alarming indicators for the president’s party heading into this year’s midterms, Trump’s approval rating among political independents has dipped to a new low in CNN polling.
Just 32% of Americans now say that Trump has had the right priorities, while 68% say he hasn’t paid enough attention to the country’s most important problems. That’s the president’s most negative reading on that question to date during either of his terms in office. At the same time, Americans say, 61% to 38%, that Trump’s policies will move the country in the wrong direction rather than the right one. And Trump’s job approval rating among all adults remains mired at 36%.
The poll’s findings suggest the scale of the task ahead of the president.
When Trump addressed Congress last year for the first time since returning to the White House, his approval rating stood at a career-high 48% in CNN’s pre-speech polling. Since then, he has lost ground across all major demographic groups, with Republicans, conservatives and White Americans without college degrees among the few groups to hold a net-positive view of Trump.
Some of the steepest declines include a 19-point drop in approval among Latino Americans and an 18-point drop among Americans younger than 45. Among political independents, Trump’s approval rating has dropped 15 points over the past year to 26%, the lowest it’s been in either of his terms.
Americans want to hear about the economy and cost of living
State of the Union addresses typically draw disproportionately friendly audiences, with supporters of the president more likely to tune in. That could give Trump an opportunity to rally his own partisans, whose support for the president has also softened over the past year.
Strong approval among Republicans stands at 49% in the poll, down from 64% just after his address to Congress last year and the first time in this term it’s dipped below the 50% mark. Nearly three in 10 Republicans say Trump hasn’t paid enough attention to the most important problems, and 16% say his policies will move the country in the wrong direction.
Asked to choose the issue they’d most like Trump to address in his State of the Union speech, 57% pick the economy and cost of living, more than quadrupling the share who want to hear him focus on any other individual topic, including immigration, the state of democracy, health care policy, crime or foreign policy. Half of Democrats say they want Trump’s speech to touch on economic issues, rising to 56% among independents and 65% of Republicans.
“Part of the reason why I think people elected Trump was because they were hurting under Biden. … I think people were expecting Trump to provide a little bit of relief to their suffering,” wrote one poll respondent, a Republican from New Mexico. “Grocery prices are just through the roof. Everything is so expensive. … So I think he needs to talk about the economy, and he needs to talk about what kind of things he’s already done.”
Trump’s job approval rating, which has hovered below the 40% mark since last autumn, stands at 36%, with 63% disapproving. Nearly half strongly disapprove of his job performance, while 19% strongly approve.
Those who approve only moderately of Trump’s performance are more likely to take issue with his priorities than with his policies. While just 6% in this group think Trump’s proposals will move the country in the wrong direction, 34% say the president hasn’t paid enough attention to the country’s most important issues.
The poll finds sharp differences among Republicans by age. While 63% of Republicans who are 65 or older say they strongly approve of the president’s job performance, that stands at just 31% among Republicans younger than 35. Younger Republicans are about twice as likely as those age 65 or older to say Trump’s policies will move the country in the wrong direction (24% among 18- to 34-year-old Republicans vs. 11% among those 65 or older), and to say that he hasn’t had the right priorities (42% among 18- to 34-year-old Republicans vs. 20% among those 65 or older).
One thing unites the GOP across age lines: More than 6 in 10 say Trump should focus on economic issues in his address Tuesday.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS online from February 17-20 among a random national sample of 2,496 adults. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 2.5 percentage points.
CNN’s Edward Wu contributed to this report.
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