2026年6月30日 美国东部时间12:56 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
作者：乔·玲·肯特 高级商业与科技通讯员
记者乔·玲·肯特于2023年7月加入哥伦比亚广播公司新闻，担任该台高级商业与科技通讯员。肯特拥有超过15年的报道经验，专注于美国科技与商业的交叉领域，以及中国作为全球经济强国的崛起历程。
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泰勒·斯威夫特与特拉维斯·凯尔西的婚礼可能近在咫尺，尽管尚未有官方确认，但人们仍在为此投入数百万美元下注。
通常用于体育和政治赛事投注的预测市场，如今正迎来斯威夫特粉丝团的大量投注。仅关于这对夫妇的婚礼地点，投注金额就已超过200万美元。
“预测市场填补了我们社会将所有事物都转化为赌博合约的空白，”美国男孩与男子研究所的赌博政策主管乔纳森·科恩说道，“当名人结婚时，人们就会赌名人结婚这件事。”
据卡尔希预测平台数据，纽约在夫妇婚礼地点的投注中遥遥领先。
上周，哥伦比亚广播公司新闻向纽约市政厅核实得知，7月3日在麦迪逊广场花园园区内或周边举办活动的申请已提交。
周一，有目击者看到多辆贴有“花园派对”标识的卡车将设备运抵麦迪逊广场花园——这引发了更多猜测，认为斯威夫特与凯尔西可能会在此举办某种庆祝活动。
卡尔希平台表示，这场巨星婚礼的总投注额已超过450万美元。
截至周二早间，凯尔西的哥哥杰森·凯尔西以94%的支持率成为伴郎的头号热门人选。其他热门人选还包括斯威夫特的弟弟奥斯汀·斯威夫特，以及凯尔西的队友、堪萨斯城酋长队四分卫帕特里克·马霍姆斯。至于伴娘人选，斯威夫特的童年挚友阿比盖尔·安德森·贝拉尔德以85%的支持率稳居榜首。
仅今年一年，卡尔希平台的娱乐市场交易额就已达到6亿美元，是2025年同期的两倍。
该平台还发现，女性交易者的数量在过去一年翻了一番。
“你确实需要打破这种男性主导的格局，或许，仅仅是或许，这场显然深受女性粉丝喜爱的泰勒·斯威夫特婚礼，就能成为打破这一局面的契机，”科恩说道。
Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce wedding rumors fuel millions in bets on prediction markets
2026-06-30 12:56 EDT / CBS News
By Jo Ling Kent Senior Business and Technology Correspondent
Journalist Jo Ling Kent joined CBS News in July 2023 as the senior business and technology correspondent for CBS News. Kent has more than 15 years of experience covering the intersection of technology and business in the U.S., as well as the emergence of China as a global economic power.
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The wedding of Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce could be just days away, and even though there’s no official confirmation of it happening, people are still betting millions on it.
Prediction markets, which are often used to bet on sports and politics, are now seeing an influx of action from Swifties. More than $2 million has been bet just on where the couple will tie the knot.
“Prediction markets are filling this void in our society of turning every single thing into a gambling contract,” said Jonathan Cohen, the gambling policy lead at the American Institute for Boys and Men. “When celebrities get married, people want to gamble on celebrities getting married.”
According to Kalshi, New York leads the way for the couple’swedding location.
Last week, CBS News confirmed with New York City Hall that an application was filed for an event in or around Madison Square Garden on July 3.
On Monday, several trucks were spotted with equipment labeled “Garden Party” being loaded into MSG – sparking more speculation that Swift and Kelce may be hosting some type of celebration there.
Kalshi says the superstar wedding has already generated more than $4.5 million in wagers.
As of early Tuesday morning, Kelce’s brother, Jason Kelce, is the top pick for groomsman at 94%, according to Kalshi. Other picks include Swift’s brother, Austin Swift, and Kelce’s teammate, Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. As for bridesmaids, Swift’s childhood best friend, Abigail Anderson Berard, holds the lead at 85%.
This year alone, Kalshi has already seen $600 million in trading on entertainment markets, which is double the amount from 2025.
The company has also seen the number of female traders double in the past year.
“You sort of need to, like, have the exit velocity to break out of this sort of male space and maybe, just maybe, a Taylor Swift wedding, an event so clearly sort of in the female fan wheelhouse, could be the way to do that,” Cohen said.
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