2026年6月29日 / 美国东部时间下午6:09 / 哥伦比亚广播公司（CBS）新闻
基辅——据牛津大学历史学家彼得·弗兰克opan在《外交政策》的报道中援引俄罗斯军事博主的悲观估算，一旦俄军抵达乌克兰战场的特定前线区域，他们的平均存活时间仅为20至35分钟。哥伦比亚广播公司新闻尚未独立核实这一说法。但类似说法在俄罗斯军事频道上越来越常见，这表明越来越多俄罗斯民众开始了解这场战争以及俄军遭受的伤亡——而克里姆林宫官员长期以来一直试图掩盖这一伤亡情况。
这场战争给俄罗斯年轻男性带来了惨重损失。英国政府通信总部（GCHQ）负责人上月表示，俄军的战争死亡人数目前可能已接近50万。乌克兰国防部称，其已从战场上回收超过140万名俄军伤兵和阵亡士兵的遗体。
随着无人机充斥前线，形成了所谓的“杀戮区”，俄军的人员损失速度正在加快。由于无法依赖重型火炮——如今这些火炮很容易被廉价的第一视角无人机击毁——俄军转而采用渗透战术：派遣小股步兵或摩托车部队探查乌军防线的弱点。
这导致了更为惨烈的战斗。据乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基称，目前俄军超过80%的损失都与无人机有关。有估算显示，如今俄军的阵亡人数已超过受伤人数，这在现代战争中尚属首次。
乌克兰也面临着自身的人力问题，不得不采用类似的渗透战术来反击俄军防线。
“自2023年夏季攻势结束以来，人力问题就一直存在，”驻扎乌克兰的军事分析师罗布·李在接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻采访时表示，“我们曾遇到过步兵在同一阵地驻守超过一年且未轮换的情况。”
但乌克兰军方通过用无人机替代部分人员执行作战、医疗后送和后勤任务，成功有效降低了士兵面临的危险。
“我们的原则是，凡是机器人能够胜任的任务，就无需派人前往，”乌克兰国防工业负责人亚历山大·卡米申今年春季在接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻采访时说道。据部分估算，如今俄军每损失1人，乌军的伤亡人数约为8人。
俄军不计代价的轮番进攻在战场上取得了一定成效。尽管乌克兰总参谋长称其军队今年已收复超过230平方英里的领土，但俄军仍在乌克兰备受争夺的顿涅茨克地区及其周边关键区域推进。乌克兰指挥官上周表示，俄军正试图渗透进顿涅茨克工业城市康斯坦丁尼夫卡的郊区。
但越来越多的俄罗斯民众开始切身感受到战争的代价。
乌克兰智库冲突研究与分析研究所周一发布的一项全俄公众舆论调查显示，31%的受访者表示其家中有一名或多名成员被动员入伍，较2022年上升了14个百分点。
该研究所负责人亚历山大·舒尔加警告称，不应过度解读这一调查结果：“即便四年过去了，大多数俄罗斯民众仍不认为这场战争关乎国家存亡。”
不过他也表示：“大多数俄罗斯民众都认识在战争开始后阵亡的人：仅有29%的人称他们的亲属或熟人中无人在战斗中死亡。”
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-war-rages-on-as-ukraine-generals-claim-advances-against-putins-troops/
Some Russian soldiers last just minutes on front lines against Ukraine’s drones, military bloggers say
June 29, 2026 / 6:09 PM EDT / CBS News
Kyiv — Once Russian soldiers reach certain parts of the front lines of the war in Ukraine, they can expect to live an average of just 20 to 35 minutes, according to a grim estimate by Russian military bloggers, cited by Oxford historian Peter Frankopan in a Foreign Policy report. CBS News has not independently verified the claim. But similar accounts are becoming increasingly common on Russian military channels, suggesting that more Russians are becoming aware of the war and its toll on their side — a toll Kremlin officials have long sought to shield from view.
The war has inflicted staggering losses on Russia’s young men. The director of the British intelligence agency GCHQ said last month that Russian war deaths have now likely reached nearly 500,000. Ukraine’s defense ministry says it has taken over 1.4 million wounded or killed Russian troops off the battlefield.
As drones have saturated the front lines — creating what is known as the “kill zone” — Russia is losing men at faster rates. Unable to rely on heavy artillery, now easily picked off by cheap first-person-view drones, Russia’s military has turned to infiltration tactics: using small groups of soldiers on foot or motorcycles to probe weaknesses in Ukraine’s lines.
This has resulted in bloodier fighting. Drones now account for more than 80% of Russian losses, according to Ukraine’s President Volodymyr Zelenskyy. And estimates suggest that there are now more Russians killed in the war than there are wounded, a first in modern warfare.
Ukraine faces its own manpower problems and must resort to similar infiltration tactics to push back Russian lines.
“Manpower’s been a problem since the end of the summer of 2023 offensive,” Rob Lee, a Ukraine-based military analyst, told CBS News. “We’ve had some cases where infantry have spent more than a year in position with no rotation.”
But Ukraine’s military has managed to more effectively reduce its soldiers’ exposure to danger by using drones to replace some troops in combat, medical evacuation and logistics roles.
“We say there is no need to send a human being where the robot can do the job,” Oleksandr Kamyshin, the official in charge of Ukraine’s defense industry, told CBS News in an interview this spring. By some estimates, Russia is now losing eight men killed or seriously wounded for every one lost by Ukraine.
Russia’s relentless waves of men have yielded some success on the battlefield. While Ukraine’s top general said that his military had retaken over 230 square miles of territory this year, Russia is still gaining ground in crucial areas in and around Ukraine’s coveted Donetsk region. Ukrainian commanders said last week that Russian soldiers are attempting to infiltrate the outskirts of Kostyantynivka, an industrial city in Donetsk.
But more Russians are beginning to feel the war’s toll firsthand.
In a Russian nationwide public opinion survey released Monday by the Institute for Conflict Studies and Analysis of Russia, a Ukrainian think tank, 31% of respondents said one or more of their family members have been mobilized, a 14% increase from 2022.
Oleksandr Shulga, the head of the think tank, cautioned that the findings should not be overstated: “Even after four years, the majority of Russians do not perceive this war as existential.”
Still, he said, “Most Russians know someone killed in action since the beginning of the war: only 29% said that no one among their relatives or acquaintances has died in the fighting.”
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-war-rages-on-as-ukraine-generals-claim-advances-against-putins-troops/
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