民调显示:身陷争议的缅因州民主党候选人与柯林斯势均力敌,这场关键参议院席位争夺战仍悬而未决


这场可能决定参议院控制权的角逐中,这位民粹主义民主党候选人在可能投票选民中以49%对47%小幅领先柯林斯

作者:保罗·斯坦豪瑟,福克斯新闻
发布时间:2026年6月29日 美国东部时间下午3:10

美联社预测:格雷厄姆·普拉特纳赢得缅因州联邦参议院民主党提名

格雷厄姆·普拉特纳在选举夜派对上庆祝赢得缅因州联邦参议院民主党提名。

一项最新民调显示,作为缅因州联邦参议院民主党提名候选人的民粹主义人士格雷厄姆·普拉特纳,在与资深共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯的关键参议院对决中几乎势均力敌。

普拉特纳这位身陷多重争议的候选人,在《纽约时报》/《波特兰新闻先驱报》/锡耶纳学院周一发布的民调中,获得了49%的可能投票选民支持率,柯林斯为47%,另有3%的受访者未表态或拒绝回答。普拉特纳两百分点的领先优势处于本次调查的抽样误差范围内,意味着这场竞争实际上不分伯仲。

柯林斯这位温和派共和党人有时会投票反对唐纳德·特朗普总统的议程,此次正寻求连任参议院第六个六年任期。

这场备受关注、可能充满火药味且耗资巨大的竞选,是少数几战将决定共和党能否在11月中期选举中保住微弱参议院多数席位的选战之一。共和党目前以53席对47席掌控参议院,拿下倾向民主党执政的缅因州的参议院席位,是民主党夺回参议院多数席位的关键一步。

普拉特纳拿下民主党提名,关键参议院选战正式打响
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6399112653112

普拉特纳是一名退伍军人兼牡蛎养殖户,得到了进步派议员、佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯、马萨诸塞州参议员伊丽莎白·沃伦以及加利福尼亚州众议员罗·卡纳的支持。本月早些时候,他在缅因州联邦参议院民主党初选中轻松击败两名实力较弱的对手。

普拉特纳主张经济民粹主义议程,矛头直指企业势力,为工薪阶层发声。他还在初选中击败了两届任期的缅因州州长珍妮特·米尔斯。尽管米尔斯此前得到参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默以及参议院民主党竞选机构的支持,但由于筹款和民调结果大幅落后于普拉特纳,她于今年春季暂停了竞选,但其名字仍留在了选票上。

普拉特纳的胜利来得并不容易,当时他正面临竞选以来最艰难的一段时期。

过去几个月里,他一直在为自己辩护,期间曝出多起争议事件:包括他在Reddit上发表的煽动性在线评论、广为人知且后来被覆盖的类似纳粹标志的胸前纹身、近期曝光的他婚内与多名女性发送露骨色情信息,以及前女友指控他存在强奸幻想、酗酒和暴力行为的历史。普拉特纳称这些暴力指控不实。

十大将决定参议院控制权的选战

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2026年6月9日,在缅因州布鲁姆希尔的一家基督教青年会,格雷厄姆·普拉特纳在赢得联邦参议院民主党提名后,与妻子艾米·格特纳向支持者致意。(马修·西蒙斯 福克斯新闻数字频道 摄)

初选前一天,普拉特纳竞选团队的一名前高级幕僚在《华盛顿邮报》撰文称,普拉特纳“不是对缅因州或国家有益的人选”。

愈演愈烈的争议引发了大量关注,也让华盛顿的一些民主党人质疑普拉特纳是否已是“受损的候选人”,但这并未阻止他凭借民粹主义浪潮赢得提名。民调中超过九成的普拉特纳支持者表示,他们已经听说了他的争议事件,但投票给他是基于他的政策立场。

普拉特纳曾承认自己患有创伤后应激障碍(PTSD),他曾以海军陆战队身份在伊拉克战场执行三次任务,还以陆军国民警卫队身份在阿富汗执行过一次任务。去年秋季,他的部分Reddit帖子成为新闻头条后,他就有争议的帖子道歉。

普拉特纳称,他的骷髅头交叉骨纹身是2007年与驻扎在克罗地亚的海军陆战队战友喝酒时纹的。他表示,去年得知该纹身类似纳粹标志后,就用新图案覆盖了它。但一名前女友的指控对普拉特纳声称自己知晓纹身含义的时间线提出了质疑。

在初选之夜的胜选演讲中,普拉特纳强调自己已经脱胎换骨。

“如果你和我一样相信,我们可以改变政治、改变国家,那你也必须相信人是可以改变的,”普拉特纳对人群说道,“我之所以相信这一点,是因为我亲身经历过改变。而我之所以能做到这一点,全靠我的妻子。”

2026年民主选举:关注福克斯新闻选举中心获取最新动态

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2026年6月9日,缅因州联邦参议院民主党候选人格雷厄姆·普拉特纳与妻子在缅因州布鲁姆希尔的初选胜选演讲后与支持者交谈。(保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻数字频道 摄)

6月19日至26日进行的本次民调显示,普拉特纳在争取部分希望民主党夺回国会控制权的选民方面遇到了一些困难。

54%的受访者表示希望民主党在中期选举中夺回参议院多数席位,比支持普拉特纳的49%高出5个百分点。另有10%支持民主党掌控参议院的选民将票投给了柯林斯。

民调还显示,大多数缅因州选民认为普拉特纳“品格不佳”或“缺乏正确的道德价值观”,近半数选民认为他过于极端。

相比之下,超过六成的选民认为柯林斯“品格良好”且“拥有正确的道德价值观”,仅有三分之一的选民认为她过于极端,不适合缅因州。

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2026年5月5日,缅因州共和党参议员苏珊·柯林斯在缅因州哈里森的一家食品银行参观。这家食品银行得益于这位参议员协助争取到的联邦资助得以扩建。(保罗·斯坦豪瑟/福克斯新闻)

与此同时,一些民主党选民担忧,现年41岁的普拉特纳从未担任过民选公职,“经验过于匮乏”。

但柯林斯也面临警示信号。

多数受访选民认为这位参议员会过于支持特朗普,甚至部分她的支持者也担忧,现年73岁的柯林斯年纪太大,无法高效履职参议员。

柯林斯曾在2021年1月6日国会山遇袭事件后的第二次弹劾审判中投票弹劾特朗普。去年年初,她还反对现任国防部长皮特·赫格斯的提名确认。

但她2018年投票确认布雷特·卡瓦诺大法官的举动仍令人印象深刻,该投票最终帮助最高法院保守派多数席位推翻了具有里程碑意义的“罗诉韦德案”裁决,该裁决曾将堕胎在全美范围内合法化。

击败柯林斯并非易事。

六年前,民调显示这位参议员将落败,但柯林斯打破预期,以9个百分点的优势击败当时的民主党州众议院议长萨拉·吉迪恩成功连任。

点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用

最新民调显示普拉特纳对柯林斯略有领先,不过新罕布什尔大学上月末开展的松树州民调显示,普拉特纳领先柯林斯9个百分点。

普拉特纳竞选团队在社交媒体帖子中针对此次新发布的民调写道:“苏珊·柯林斯坐拥亿万富翁、说客、超级政治行动委员会和华盛顿建制派的支持。但我们拥有缅因州。”

保罗·斯坦豪瑟为福克斯新闻横跨全美报道全国竞选活动

Embattled Maine Democrat deadlocked with Collins despite controversies in key Senate race, new poll shows

The populist Democrat edges Collins 49% to 47% among likely voters in a contest that could determine Senate control

By Paul Steinhauser, Fox News

Published June 29, 2026 3:10pm EDT

Graham Platner wins Democratic nomination for US Senate in Maine, AP projects

Graham Platner speaks after winning Maine’s Democratic U.S. Senate primary at an election night party.

Graham Platner, the populist Democratic Senate nominee in Maine, is in a virtual dead heat in a crucial Senate showdown with longtime Republican Sen. Susan Collins, according to a new poll.

Platner, the embattled candidate who has been facing a slew of controversies, stands at 49% support among likely voters questioned in a New York Times/Portland Press Herald/Siena poll released on Monday, with Collins at 47%, and 3% of respondents undecided or refusing to answer. Platner’s two-point edge is within the survey’s sampling error, meaning the contest is virtually tied.

Collins, a moderate Republican who at times votes against President Donald Trump’s agenda, is running for a sixth six-year term in the Senate.

The high-profile and likely combustible and expensive race is among a handful that will determine if the GOP holds onto its slim Senate majority in November’s midterm elections. Republicans currently control the chamber 53-47 and flipping the Senate seat in left-leaning Maine is a key part of the Democrats’ path to retake the majority.

GAME ON IN KEY SENATE RACE AS PLATNER CAPTURES DEMOCRATIC NOMINATION

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6399112653112

Platner, a military combat veteran and oyster farmer who is backed by progressive champions Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts, and Rep. Ro Khanna of California, earlier this month easily defeated two longshot rivals in Maine’s Democratic Senate primary.

Platner, who advocates an economically populist agenda as he takes aim at corporate influences and advocates for the working class, also topped two-term Democratic Gov. Janet Mills in the primary. The governor’s name remained on the ballot even though Mills, who had been backed by Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer and the Senate Democrats’ campaign arm, suspended her bid this spring after significantly trailing Platner in fundraising and polling.

Platner’s victory also came as he was facing one of the roughest stretches of his bid for the U.S. Senate.

He was playing defense the past couple of months amid multiple controversies. They included inflammatory online comments made on Reddit, a well-publicized and now covered-up tattoo on his chest that resembled a Nazi symbol, recent reports that he exchanged sexually explicit messages with several women while married, and allegations from ex-girlfriends of a history of rape fantasies, heavy drinking and violent episodes. Platner has called the allegations of violence untrue.

THE TEN RACES THAT WILL DETERMINE THE SENATE’S MAJORITY

Graham Platner and his wife Amy Gertner acknowledge the crowd at his watch party after winning the Democratic nomination for U.S. Senate at a YMCA in Blue Hill, Maine, on June 9, 2026.(Matthew Symons for Fox News Digital)

A day before the primary, a former high-level staffer from the Platner campaign wrote in the Washington Post that Platner “is not someone who would be good for Maine or for the country.”

The mounting controversies grabbed plenty of attention and triggered some Democrats in the nation’s capital to question whether Platner was damaged goods, but didn’t stop him from riding a populist wave to capture the nomination. More than 9 in 10 Platner supporters questioned in the poll said they had heard about his controversies but that their vote for him was based on where he stands on the issues.

Platner, who has acknowledged his battle with post-traumatic stress disorder (PTSD) from his three tours of duty in the war in Iraq with the Marines and one tour with the Army National Guard in Afghanistan, apologized for his controversial Reddit posts after some of them made headlines last fall soon after he launched his Senate campaign.

And Platner has said he got the skull and crossbones tattoo in 2007 while drinking with fellow Marines stationed in Croatia. He said that he covered up the tattoo with a new design after learning last year that it resembled a Nazi symbol. But allegations from an ex-girlfriend raise questions about Platner’s timeline regarding knowledge of the tattoo.

In his primary night victory speech, Platner emphasized that he’s a changed man.

“If you believe, as I do, that we can change our politics and change our country, then you must also believe that people can change,” Platner told the crowd. “And the reason I believe that is because I have lived it. And the reason that I have lived it is because of my wife.”

DEMOCRACY ’26: STAY UP TO DATE WITH THE FOX NEWS ELECTION HUB

Democratic Senate nominee in Maine Graham Platner and his wife speak with supporters following his primary night victory speech, in Blue Hill, Maine in June 9, 2026.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News Digital)

The new poll, conducted June 19-26, suggests Platner is having some difficulty winning over some voters who want the Democrats to take back power in Congress.

Fifty-four percent of respondents said they’d like to see the Democrats win back the Senate majority in the midterms, five points higher than the 49% who are supporting Platner. And Collins is capturing 10% of voters who prefer the Democrats control the Senate.

The poll also indicates that a majority of Maine voters don’t believe Platner has “good character” or the “right kind of moral values” and nearly half say he’s too extreme.

By contrast, more than 6 in 10 say Collins has “good character” and the “right kind of moral values” and only a third said she was too extreme for Maine.

Republican Sen. Susan Collins of Maine tours a food bank in Harrison, Maine, on May 5, 2026. The food bank was able to expand thanks to federal funding that the senator helped obtain.(Paul Steinhauser/Fox News)

Meanwhile, some Democratic respondents worried that the 41-year-old Platner, who has never held elective office, would be “too inexperienced.”

But there are also warning signs for Collins.

A majority questioned said they thought the senator would be too supportive of Trump and even some of her own supporters worry that the 73-year-old Collins is too old to be an effective senator.

The senator voted to convict Trump in his second impeachment trial, in 2021, soon after the Jan. 6 attack on the U.S. Capitol. And early last year she opposed the confirmation of now-Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth.

But she is also remembered for her 2018 vote to confirm Justice Brett Kavanaugh to the Supreme Court, which eventually helped the court’s conservative majority overturn the landmark Roe v. Wade ruling that had legalized abortion nationwide.

Beating Collins won’t be easy.

Six years ago, public opinion polls indicated the senator was headed to defeat, but Collins defied expectations and won re-election by topping then-Democratic state House Speaker Sara Gideon by nine points.

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The new survey is the latest to indicate Platner with a slight edge over Collins, although a Pine Tree Poll conducted by the University of New Hampshire late last month suggested Platner held a nine-point lead.

Spotlighting the new poll, the Platner campaign wrote in a social media post that “Susan Collins has the billionaires. The lobbyists. The Super PACs. The Washington establishment. But we have Maine.”

Paul Steinhauser covers the national campaign trail from coast to coast for Fox News

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