2026-06-25T20:42:45.402Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/25/politics/democratic-socialism-primary-elections
民主社会主义者可能正迎来史上最佳年份。
1月1日拿下纽约市和西雅图市市长职位后,他们上月又在费城赢得一场国会众议院初选。几周前,他们的候选人尼提亚·拉曼在洛杉矶市长选举两轮竞争性席位竞选中胜出,将在决选中对阵现任市长凯伦·巴斯。他们于上周赢得华盛顿特区市长初选。如今他们又在纽约市拿下多场备受瞩目的初选,其中达里亚利扎·阿维拉·谢瓦利尔爆冷击败国会西班牙裔核心小组领袖、众议员阿德里亚诺·埃斯帕伊拉特。
在评判民主社会主义者的崛起势头时需要注意一个前提:他们的胜利基本局限于大型深蓝城市,尤其是纽约市。但显而易见,他们正成为美国政坛一股日益壮大、不容忽视的力量。
这让一些共和党人垂涎三尺,也让一些中间派民主党人焦虑不安。
就在不久前,“社会主义”这个词还是民主党人避之不及的标签。但近年来,美国人尤其是民主党人已经对社会主义理念产生了好感。
2010年,盖洛普一项民调显示,50%的民主党人对社会主义持正面看法。截至去年,也就是现任纽约市市长佐赫兰·曼达尼和现任西雅图市市长凯蒂·威尔逊胜选之前,这一比例已升至66%。
数据还表明,对社会主义支持率的上升可能与人们对资本主义的信心下降有关——这种问题不仅出现在民主党人身上,中间派选民同样存在这种情况。
事实上,去年民主党人对社会主义的正面看法(66%)远高于对资本主义的正面看法(42%)。
而就在2012年,这两项数据还完全相反。
同一项盖洛普民调显示,公众对“大型企业”的好感度从2012年的58%降至2025年的37%。
无独有偶,福克斯新闻3月的一项民调显示,近一半登记选民(49%)认为资本主义“不太管用”或“完全不管用”。
这种看法在民主党人中尤为普遍(72%),但大多数无党派人士也持这种观点(60%)。
同一项调查显示,38%的登记选民认为,如果美国脱离资本主义、更多转向社会主义,将是一件“好事”。
这一比例尚未过半,但比2010年的18%大幅上升。38%是一个相当可观的选民群体,规模之大足以说明,民主党初选选民至少会对民主社会主义候选人持开放态度,也就不足为奇了。
但民主党人对此持开放态度,并不意味着这对民主党品牌有利。
毕竟,唐纳德·特朗普总统及其共和党同僚多年来一直将全国民主党与社会主义绑定。而且有证据表明,这一策略可能会帮到他们。
马凯特法学院最近的一项民调测试了美国人对美国民主社会主义者组织(DSA)的看法。尽管民主党人以42%对17%的比例对该组织持正面看法,但整体民意表现不佳:21%正面,48%负面。
但这里有一个陷阱。考虑到这些数据,人们可能会认为,美国政坛最知名的民主社会主义者会相当不受欢迎。
大错特错。
事实上,美国最知名的两位民主社会主义者可能是佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯和纽约州众议员亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科特兹。去年夏天的一项盖洛普民调显示,他们实际上比所有其他受访的美国主要政治人物都更受欢迎,包括特朗普、其内阁高级成员、前总统乔·拜登以及加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽瑟姆。桑德斯是受访对象中最受欢迎的美国政治人物。
在显示美国民主社会主义者组织整体不受欢迎的马凯特法学院民调中,情况也是如此。
这或许指向了最重要的一点:社会主义和民主社会主义确实不受欢迎,但这些标签并不会玷污所有与之相关的人。这在很大程度上取决于如何包装候选人,以及候选人的其他个人特质。
长期以来,桑德斯在美国政坛一直是相当受欢迎的人物。即使是作为右翼攻击目标的奥卡西奥-科特兹,也被证明有能力扩大自己的吸引力,避免被轻易丑化为极端主义者。
话虽如此,其他新晋政坛人物可能并不擅长避免给本党带来麻烦。以阿维拉·谢瓦利尔的过往经历为例,就能看出民主社会主义者的崛起可能会给民主党整体带来问题。
除了她在已删除的社交媒体帖子中发表过极端言论之外,阿维拉·谢瓦利尔还在2023年10月8日,也就是哈马斯对以色列发动大规模恐怖袭击的次日,参加了在时代广场举行的亲巴勒斯坦集会。(这也凸显了民主党面临的另一棘手问题:他们的初选推选出了一系列强烈反对以色列的候选人,可能会考验广大选民的容忍度。)
未来几周,在该国其他民主党运动尚未站稳脚跟的地区,还会有多少民主社会主义者赢得初选,仍有待观察。
但奥卡西奥-科特兹对有关这些候选人会拖累其他民主党人的担忧不屑一顾。
“我觉得这又是老生常谈了。我当选时,大家也曾有过诸多担忧,但最终都没有成真,”奥卡西奥-科特兹周四对记者表示,“选民们投票是基于他们社区发生的事情和选票上的内容。”
CNN的艾莉森·梅因对此文亦有贡献。
How open are Americans to socialism, after all?
2026-06-25T20:42:45.402Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/25/politics/democratic-socialism-primary-elections
Democratic socialists might be having their best year ever.
After they took over the mayoralties of New York and Seattle on January 1, they won a congressional primary in Philadelphia last month. A couple weeks ago, their candidate, Nithya Raman, won one of two competitive spots for the Los Angeles mayoral general election, facing incumbent Karen Bass. They won the primary for mayor of Washington, DC, last week. And now they’ve won a pair of high-profile primaries in New York City, including Darializa Avila Chevalier’s upset of Rep. Adriano Espaillat, the head of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus.
There is a caveat when considering how ascendant the democratic socialists are: Their victories are largely relegated to big, deep-blue cities, especially New York City. But it’s clear they’re a growing force to be reckoned with in American politics.
That has some Republicans licking their chops — and some centrist Democrats rather anxious.
Not that long ago, the s-word was clearly a label Democrats wanted to avoid. But Americans and especially Democrats have warmed to the concept of socialism in recent years.
In 2010, a Gallup poll showed 50% of Democrats had a favorable view of socialism. As of last year, before the victories of now-New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani and now-Seattle Mayor Katie Wilson, that number had risen to 66%.
The data also suggests the increase in support for socialism could be related to declining faith in capitalism — which is an issue not just with Democrats, but also the political middle.
In fact, Democrats last year had a significantly more favorable view of socialism (66%) than capitalism (42%).
As recently as 2012, those were reversed.
The same Gallup poll showed favorable views of “big business” declined from 58% in 2012 to 37% in 2025.
Similarly, a Fox News poll in March showed nearly half of registered voters (49%) described capitalism as working “not very” well or “not at all” well.
That view was especially popular among Democrats (72%), but it was also embraced by most independents (60%).
The same survey showed 38% of registered voters said it would be a “good thing” if the United States moved away from capitalism and more toward socialism.
That’s not close to a majority — but it’s up from 18% in 2010. And that 38% is a really sizable chunk of voters, sizable enough that it shouldn’t be too surprising that Democratic primary voters, in particular, would at least be open to democratic socialist candidates.
But just because Democrats are open to it doesn’t mean it’s good for their party brand.
President Donald Trump and his fellow Republicans have spent years attaching the national Democratic Party to socialism, after all. And there is evidence that could help them.
A recent Marquette Law School poll tested Americans’ views of the Democratic Socialists of America (DSA) organization. While Democrats viewed it favorably by a 42%-17% margin, its overall numbers were poor: 21% favorable to 48% unfavorable.
But there’s a catch. Given those numbers, one might assume that the most prominent democratic socialists in US politics would be quite unpopular.
Wrong.
In fact, the two best-known democratic socialists are probably Sen. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York. And a Gallup poll last summer showed they were actually more popular than every other major US political figure tested, including Trump, top members of his Cabinet, former President Joe Biden and California Gov. Gavin Newsom. Sanders was the most popular US political figure tested.
The picture was similar in the Marquette Law School survey that showed the DSA’s general unpopularity.
Which points us to perhaps the biggest lesson here: Socialism and democratic socialism are unpopular, yes, but the labels don’t sully all who are associated with them. Much depends on how they’re packaged and other attributes of the candidate.
Sanders has been a pretty popular figure in US politics for some time now. And even Ocasio-Cortez, while a lightning rod for the right, has a proven ability to expand her appeal and avoid being too easily caricatured as an extremist.
That said, others who come on to the scene might not be so adept at avoiding creating problems for their party. Just look at the paper trail left by Avila Chevalier, for example, to get a taste for how the ascendance of the democratic socialists could pose problems for Democrats more broadly.
In addition to her history of extreme statements in now-deleted social media posts, Avila Chevalier also attended a pro-Palestinian rally in Times Square on October 8, 2023, the day after a massive Hamas terror attack in Israel. (That highlights another tough problem for Democrats, as their primaries have advanced a series of strongly anti-Israel candidates who could test the tolerance of the broader electorate.)
It also remains to be seen how many other democratic socialists might win primaries in the coming weeks in areas of the country where their movement hasn’t gained as much of a foothold.
But Ocasio-Cortez has brushed off concerns that those candidates would drag down other Democrats.
“I feel like it’s deja vu all over again. There was so much fear around that when I was elected, and none of it bore out to be true,” Ocasio-Cortez told reporters on Thursday. “Voters vote for what is happening in their community and what’s on their ballot.”
CNN’s Alison Main contributed.
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