随着战争临近2月底四周年，国家安全专家告诉福克斯新闻数字版，俄罗斯正面临战争带来的切实后果。他们称，这些后果通过其代理国网络体现，这些代理国直接承受了美军的强大力量，随后使俄罗斯的收入和资源来源减少。
“总统针对俄罗斯采取的行动实际上是战略性的，”摩根·墨菲（Morgan Murphy）表示，他曾在2025年担任总统驻乌克兰特使的高级公共外交顾问。”如果你看看他对伊朗和委内瑞拉的所作所为，这两个都是俄罗斯的代理国，对吧？伊朗是俄罗斯的亲密盟友。”
“他们向俄罗斯出售大量无人机，”墨菲补充道，他正作为共和党参议院候选人竞选阿拉巴马州席位。”委内瑞拉在我们这个半球也是俄罗斯的代理国，而特朗普正在把伊朗从谈判桌上排除。他当然已经把委内瑞拉从棋盘上清除了，这必须改变普京的考虑，因为他看到特朗普总统是一个会兑现承诺的总统。”
泽连斯基宣布与美国、俄罗斯进行新一轮谈判，乌克兰寻求”真正和有尊严的战争结束”
2025年8月15日，在阿拉斯加安克雷奇的埃尔门多夫-理查德森联合基地，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（右）欢迎俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京抵达。(Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
自2022年2月24日以来，俄罗斯对乌克兰的战争一直持续着，大约在特朗普第一任期结束一年后，拜登总统任期内开始。特朗普在2025年第二次就职典礼上竞选结束这场战争，但事实证明，随着美国继续谈判，结束战争比预期的更加困难。
一位向福克斯数字新闻网发言的白宫官员表示，特朗普受人道主义关切驱使，希望结束冲突以停止无谓的生命损失。该官员补充说，近几个月来他的团队在达成解决方案方面取得了重大进展，特朗普自己也表示”乌克兰和俄罗斯之间正在发展非常好的事情”。
据该官员称，最近在阿联酋阿布扎比举行的谈判是实质性和建设性的，美国、乌克兰和俄罗斯代表团同意进行一次314人的囚犯交换——这是五个月来的首次。尽管前方还有更多工作要做，但该官员认为，这样的突破表明持续的外交正在为结束战争取得切实、可衡量的进展。
特朗普于2025年6月对伊朗发动了一系列打击，削弱了该国的秘密核计划。2025年12月，伊朗爆发大规模抗议，民众抗议政府及其崩溃的经济。
伊朗对全国范围内的抗议活动进行了暴力镇压，据报道数千名公民被杀害，特朗普政府警告伊朗，如果处决和杀戮继续，美国将采取军事行动。
美国和伊朗周五在阿曼举行了会谈，德黑兰继续隐瞒其核野心，美国正在考虑军事干预以防止伊朗拥有核武器能力。
近年来，伊朗和俄罗斯形成了更紧密的战时伙伴关系，美国和盟友官员指出，伊朗供应武装无人机和其他国防合作帮助支撑了俄罗斯在乌克兰的进攻——这使得两个受到严厉制裁的政权在经济和军事上更加紧密。
退休空军上将布鲁斯·卡尔森指出，特朗普政府在伊朗和委内瑞拉采取的行动证明了特朗普如何通过其代理国战略性地施压俄罗斯，以结束乌克兰战争。
“在任何战役中，你不仅仅是打击指挥中心——你要切断供应线和后勤，”卡尔森说。”向俄罗斯代理国施压正是这样做。委内瑞拉、伊朗和影子舰队是支撑俄罗斯在乌克兰战争的关键动脉。此外，通过迫使欧洲增加北约开支并停止使用俄罗斯石油和天然气，我们正在直接改变莫斯科的决策。”
维特科夫称与俄罗斯特使的会谈”富有成效和建设性”，特朗普政府推动和平
卡尔森认为，从战略角度看，随着美国加大对俄罗斯伙伴的压力，趋势对莫斯科不利——这使得普京的支持者越来越少，资源越来越紧张，灵活性越来越低，并削弱了认为拖延战争无需付出代价的任何假设。
近年来，伊朗和俄罗斯形成了更紧密的战时伙伴关系。(Maxim Shemetov/Reuters)
这位退休空军将军补充说，普京和他的代理国作为一个单一生态系统运作：俄罗斯的行动依赖外部供应商和规避制裁的网络，因此打击该链条中的任何环节都可能削弱俄罗斯的收入及其持续攻击乌克兰平民的能力。
“但确保持久和公平的和平不仅仅是施压俄罗斯。随着乌克兰寒冷的冬天持续，对乌克兰的能源需求和防空系统的担忧日益增加。美国和欧洲的支持仍然至关重要，”他补充道。
美国打击伊朗地图。(福克斯新闻)
随着与伊朗紧张局势升级，特朗普政府在2026年1月以大规模贩毒指控成功逮捕了委内瑞拉独裁者尼古拉斯·马杜罗。
委内瑞拉是俄罗斯的另一个盟友，公开支持莫斯科并保持高层外交关系，同时通过军事技术合作和对俄罗斯武器的深度依赖，为俄罗斯在西半球提供了立足点——这种关系引发了美国针对委内瑞拉石油部门和与俄罗斯有关联的公司的制裁行动。
“外交政策组织范登堡联盟执行董事卡里·菲利佩蒂告诉福克斯新闻数字版：”马杜罗的倒台剥夺了莫斯科在我们半球的一个关键客户，对伊朗日益增加的压力威胁到俄罗斯用来对付乌克兰平民的武器和无人机供应链。这就是我们必须改变普京长期战略考量的方式。”
2026年1月5日，尼古拉斯·马杜罗在纽约市曼哈顿直升机坪着陆后被戴上手铐。(XNY/Star Max/GC Images via Getty Images)
“美国首次利用美国外交的力量，将乌克兰和俄罗斯带入三边外交谈判，”菲利佩蒂补充道。”结合额外制裁的威胁以及对购买俄罗斯能源国家的压力，这些步骤对于动摇俄罗斯认为时间站在自己一边的假设至关重要。”
退休空军中将理查德·牛顿告诉福克斯新闻数字版，当特朗普在2025年警告俄罗斯，如果莫斯科不结束战争将面临严重后果时，这一威胁随后产生了切实影响，在克里姆林宫引起了震动。
“威慑和杠杆作用要求我们的对手相信我们会采取行动，”牛顿说。”特朗普总统正是通过破坏为普京战争提供资金和支持的系统来做到这一点。马杜罗的被捕以及刚刚宣布的与印度总理莫迪的贸易协议——这迫使印度停止购买俄罗斯石油——是对俄罗斯战争机器的重大打击。”
白宫在2月份表示，它与印度达成协议，增加美国能源进口并停止购买俄罗斯石油。美国是世界上日产量最高的国家，沙特阿拉伯和俄罗斯紧随其后。
菲利佩蒂认为，只有迫使俄罗斯面对”真正的后果”，才能实现乌克兰的和平。
“弗拉基米尔·普京应为这场针对乌克兰平民的侵略战争及其暴行负责，任何持久的和平都必须对俄罗斯本身施加真正的后果。削弱俄罗斯的代理国并孤立普京是减少其发动战争能力的最有效方法之一，”菲利佩蒂说。
“当涉及到中国、朝鲜和伊朗时——毫无疑问，这些威权政权面临的战略考量与几个月前截然不同，”她说。
图片54: 特朗普宣布与印度达成重大贸易协议，包括停止购买俄罗斯石油视频](https://www.foxnews.com/video/6388725445112)
牛顿指出，影子舰队制裁方案和另一项正在国会通过的制裁方案，以及北约更高的开支和更强硬的联盟军事姿态，是可能推动和平协议的关键压力点。
南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆正在推动一项全面的俄罗斯制裁法案，该法案将通过惩罚继续购买俄罗斯能源的国家和公司，对莫斯科施加更严厉的制裁和关税，同时一项两党单独的”影子舰队”方案将针对俄罗斯用于运输石油和规避制裁的油轮、保险公司和空壳网络。
墨菲认为，特朗普已经勾勒出他认为对莫斯科切实可行的出路——他说甚至一些民主党人也会认为这是普京可能得到的最佳交易——包括恢复俄罗斯在顶级外交舞台的席位，重新开放一些西方商业准入，并承认俄罗斯目前对乌克兰领土的占领，而不正式承认其主权。
墨菲将这一提议比作普京退出战争的”黄金桥梁”，但表示克里姆林宫到目前为止拒绝了这一提议，最终的下一步行动最终取决于俄罗斯的选择——并提出了一个问题：莫斯科愿意承受多少更多的伤亡，而看不到明确的结束点。
2026年1月23日，乌克兰顿涅茨克地区，扎波罗热地区国家警察特种作战营成员向俄罗斯军队发射博格达纳自行火炮。(Stringer/Reuters)
墨菲表示，这场战争凸显了俄罗斯的世界观，美国谈判代表经常通过西方视角误解这种世界观，俄罗斯受第一次和第二次世界大战中灾难性损失的影响，以及对入侵是反复出现的威胁的根深蒂固的怀疑。他说，这种不可预测性就是为什么美国军方长期以来用”疯狂伊万”来形容俄罗斯的行为。
与此同时，墨菲认为特朗普正在设身处地为俄罗斯人着想，并以更清晰的眼光看待莫斯科的思维模式和历史来应对这一时刻。
“这是俄罗斯人必须做出的决定。他们还愿意向这场绞肉机中投入多少生命？他们愿意承受多少死亡？”墨菲说。
乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基2月告诉记者，美国设定了6月的最后期限，要求莫斯科和基辅达成结束战争的协议，这为11月美国中期选举前的紧张局势升级埋下了伏笔。
President Donald Trump vowed to impose “very severe consequences” on Russia in 2025 if it didn’t commit to a deal to end its war on Ukraine.
As the war nears its four-year anniversary in late February, national security experts tell Fox News Digital that Russia is facing tangible consequences for the war. Those are through its network of proxy countries that have directly endured the might of the U.S. military and subsequently left Russia with fewer streams of revenue and resources, they say.
“The president’s moves as it pertains to Russia are really strategic,” Morgan Murphy, who previously served as the senior public diplomacy advisor to the president’s special envoy to Ukraine in 2025, told Fox News Digital. “So if you look at what he’s done with Iran and with Venezuela, these are two Russian proxies, right? Iran is a close ally of Russia.”
“They sell a lot of drones to Russia,” Murphy, who is running as a GOP Senate candidate to represent Alabama, continued. “Venezuela was again a proxy of Russia here in our hemisphere, and Trump is in the process of taking Iran off the table. He’s certainly taken Venezuela off the chessboard, and that that has to change Putin’s calculus, because he sees in President Trump a president who follows what he says he’s going to do.”
President Donald Trump, right, greets Russian President Vladimir Putin as he arrives at Joint Base Elmendorf-Richardson Aug. 15, 2025, in Anchorage, Alaska.(Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
Russia’s war on Ukraine has persisted since Feb. 24, 2022, about a year after Trump’s first administration ended and during President Joe Biden’s presidency. Trump campaigned on ending the war upon his second inauguration in 2025, but ending the war has proven more difficult than anticipated as the U.S. continues negotiations.
A White House official who spoke to Fox Digital said Trump is driven by humanitarian concerns and wants the conflict ended to stop the needless loss of life. The official added that in recent months his team has made major headway toward a settlement, pointing to Trump’s own remarks that “very good things” are developing between Ukraine and Russia.
According to the official, recent negotiations in Abu Dhabi, United Arab Emirates, were substantive and constructive, with U.S., Ukrainian and Russian delegations agreeing to a 314-person prisoner exchange — the first in five months. While more work is ahead, the official argued that breakthroughs like this show sustained diplomacy is producing real, measurable progress toward ending the war.
Trump launched a series of strikes on Iran in June 2025 that hobbled the country’s covert nuclear program. Massive protests swept Iran in December 2025 as citizens spoke out against the government and its cratering economy.
Iran violently cracked down on the nationwide protests, with thousands of citizens reportedly killed and the Trump administration warning Iran that it would face U.S. military action if the executions and killings continued.
The U.S. and Iran held discussions in Oman Friday as Tehran, Iran, continues to obscure its nuclear ambitions, with military intervention on the table as the U.S. seeks to prevent Iran from having nuclear weapons capabilities.
Iran and Russia have grown into a tighter wartime partnership in recent years, with U.S. and allied officials citing Iran’s supply of armed drones and other defense cooperation that has helped power Russia’s attacks in Ukraine — drawing the two heavily sanctioned regimes closer economically and militarily.
Ret. Air Force Gen. Bruce Carlson pointed to the Trump administration’s actions on Iran and Venezuela as evidence of how Trump is strategically pressuring Russia via its proxies to end the war in Ukraine.
“In any campaign, you don’t just target command centers — you cut supply lines and logistics,” Carlson said. “Pressuring Russian proxies does exactly that. Venezuela, Iran, and the shadow fleet are key arteries feeding Russia’s war in Ukraine. Additionally, by pressing Europe to increaseNATOspending and move off Russian oil and gas, we are directly altering Moscow’s decision-making.”
Carlson argued that, strategically, the trend lines are moving against Moscow as the U.S. ramps up pressure on Russia’s partners — leaving Putin with fewer backers, tighter resources and less flexibility, and undermining any assumption that dragging out the war comes without a cost.
Iran and Russia have grown into a tighter wartime partnership in recent years.(Maxim Shemetov/Reuters)
The retired Air Force general added that Putin and his proxies operate as a single ecosystem: Russia’s campaign relies on outside suppliers and sanctions-busting networks, so hitting any link in that chain can weaken Russia’s revenue and its ability to sustain attacks on Ukrainian civilians.
“But ensuring a lasting and fair peace is not solely about pressuring Russia. As the cold winter continues in Ukraine, there are increasing concerns on Ukraine’s energy needs and air defense systems. U.S. and European support remain vital,” he added.
UKRAINE RACES TO BOLSTER AIR DEFENSES AS PUTIN’S STRIKE PAUSE NEARS END
Map of U.S. strikes on Iran.(Fox News)
As tensions with Iran heighten, the Trump administration successfully captured Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro on sweeping narco-trafficking charges in January.
Venezuela is another Russian ally, publicly backing Moscow and maintaining high-level diplomatic ties, while giving Russia a Western Hemisphere foothold through military-technical cooperation and deep dependence on Russian arms — a relationship that has triggered U.S. sanctions actions tied to Venezuela’s oil sector and Russian-linked firms.
“The removal of Maduro stripped Moscow of a key client in our hemisphere, and the increased pressure on Iran threatens the weapons and drone supply chain that Russia uses against Ukrainian civilians,” Carrie Filipetti, executive director of foreign policy group the Vandenberg Coalition, told Fox News Digital. “This is how we have to change Putin’s long-term calculus.”
TRUMP SAYS PUTIN AGREED TO HALT KYIV STRIKES FOR ONE WEEK AMID BRUTAL COLD
Nicolás Maduro is seen in handcuffs after landing at a Manhattan helipad, Jan. 5, 2026, in New York City.(XNY/Star Max/GC Images via Getty Images)
“For the first time, the United States has used the power of American diplomacy to bring Ukraine and Russia into trilateral diplomatic talks,” Filipetti added. “Combined with the threat of additional sanctions reliance and increased pressure on the countries that buy Russian energy, these steps are critical to shaking Russia’s assumption that time is on its side.”
Ret. Air Force Lt. Gen. Richard Newton told Fox News Digital that when Trump warned Russia of severe consequences in 2025 if Moscow did not end the war, the threat was followed by tangible consequences that reverberated through the Kremlin.
“Deterrence and leverage requires our adversaries (to) believe we will act,” Newton said. “President Trump is doing just that by disrupting the systems that fund and sustain Putin’s war. The capture of Maduro and the just announced trade deal with India’s Prime Minister Modi — that forces India off of Russian oil — is a major blow to Russia’s war machine.”
The White House said in February that it struck with India to increase U.S. energy imports and stop buying Russian oil. The U.S. tops the world in daily oil production, with Saudi Arabia and Russia following behind.
Filipetti argued that peace in Ukraine is only obtained by forcing Russia to face “real consequences.”
“Vladimir Putin is responsible for a war of aggression marked by atrocities against Ukrainian civilians, and any lasting peace must impose real consequences on Russia itself. And weakening Russia’s proxies and isolating Putin is one of the most effective ways to reduce his ability to wage war,” Filipetti said.
“When it comes to China, North Korea, and Iran — without question these authoritarians are facing a very different calculus than just a few months ago,” she said.
RUSSIA, UKRAINE TO DISCUSS TERRITORY AS TRUMP SAYS BOTH SIDES ‘WANT TO MAKE A DEAL’
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While Newton pointed to a shadow-fleet sanctions package and another sanctions package that are moving through Congress, along with higher NATO spending and a tougher allied military posture, as key pressure points he says could help drive a peace deal.
Republican South Carolina Sen. Lindsey Graham is promoting a sweeping Russia sanctions bill that would tighten the screws on Moscow by punishing countries and companies that keep buying Russian energy with secondary sanctions and tariffs, while a separate bipartisan “shadow fleet” package would target the tankers, insurers and shell networks Russia uses to move oil and evade sanctions.
Murphy argued that Trump already has sketched what he sees as a realistic off-ramp for Moscow — one he says even some Democrats would recognize as the best deal Putin is likely to get — including restoring Russia’s seat at the top diplomatic table, reopening some Western commercial access, and acknowledging Russia’s current occupation of Ukrainian territory without formally recognizing sovereignty.
ZELENSKYY HOLDING UP RUSSIA-UKRAINE PEACE PROCESS, TRUMP SAYS
Murphy likened that offer to a “golden bridge” for Putin to exit the war, but said the Kremlin has so far declined it, making the next move ultimately Russia’s choice — and raising the question of how many more casualties Moscow is willing to absorb with no clear endpoint in sight.
Members of the National Police Special Purpose Battalion of Zaporizhzhia region fire a Bohdana self-propelled howitzer toward Russian troops in Donetsk region, Ukraine Jan. 23, 2026.(Stringer/Reuters)
The war underscores a Russian worldview U.S. negotiators often misread through a Western lens, Murphy said, explaining Russia is shaped by catastrophic losses in World War I and World War II and a deep-seated suspicion that invasion is a recurring threat. He said that unpredictability is why the U.S. military has long used the “Crazy Ivan” moniker for Russian behavior.
Trump is meanwhile putting himself in the Russians’ shoes, Murphy argued, and meeting the moment with a clearer-eyed read of Moscow’s mindset and history.
“It is a decision that the Russians are going to have to make. How many more lives do they want to feed into this meat grinder? How many more deaths are they willing to endure?” Murphy said.
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Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy told reporters in February that the U.S. set a June deadline for Moscow and Kyiv to strike an agreement to end the war, teeing up heightened tensions ahead of the U.S. midterms in November.
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