2026-06-24T18:16:24.026Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/24/politics/trump-housing-bill-stunt
唐纳德·特朗普总统是一位众所周知的立法纵火者。他经常在最后一刻抛出出人意料的举动，让国会领袖们焦头烂额——尤其是在他自己的政党内部。
但很少有特朗普的最后时刻出人意料之举，会像他周三上午抛出的那样显得考虑不周。
他突然取消了原计划的住房负担能力法案签署仪式，该法案已在两院以压倒性的两党多数票通过。
他还增加了一个新的转折，称国会通过“拯救美国法案”之前，他不会签署该法案。一些共和党人将这项与选举相关的立法视为关乎存亡的大事，但它似乎没有任何可行的推进路径。
特朗普不仅改变了主意；他是在庆祝该法案签署的活动已经开始之际做出这一决定的。就在他反悔的时候，知名共和党人还在新闻发布会上称赞该法案的优点，并吹捧特朗普对它的支持。
一天前，白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·莱维特还称该法案是“美国历史上最重要的住房负担能力立法之一”。几小时前，特朗普的中期选举政治顾问还称其为“标志性承诺”。
所以简单回顾一下：截至周三，特朗普将“美国历史上最重要的住房负担能力立法之一”作为人质，用它作为要挟，以换取他真正想要的法案。
在11月的中期选举不到五个月之际，这看起来是个极其糟糕的主意。
事实上，特朗普和共和党面临的最大政治问题仍然是通胀、负担能力和经济，而他的这个策略似乎恰好是在强化这些不利因素。
特朗普在负担能力和经济问题上的糟糕民调数字
在2月伊朗战争爆发前，特朗普在这些问题上的民调数字就已经糟糕，自那以后更是显著恶化。
在最近的福克斯新闻（68%）、哥伦比亚广播公司新闻（66%）和美联社-NORC民调（66%）中，他的经济问题不支持率约为三分之二。
与此同时，他在通胀问题上的不支持率更高——在哥伦比亚广播公司（73%）、Strength in Numbers-Verasight（71%）和路透社-Ipsos（69%）的民调中，该数字约为70%。
这样的民调数字十分罕见。通常来说，七成美国人很少会在任何事情上达成共识。
而特朗普最大的问题之一不仅在于民众认为经济糟糕，还在于他们认为他实际上让情况变得更糟。在战争爆发前，民众认为他对该问题重视不足。现在他们认为他在加剧问题。
战争爆发前几天进行的哥伦比亚广播公司民调显示，75%的美国人表示特朗普政府在降低物价方面“关注不够”。一个月后的CNN民调显示，65%的人表示特朗普在努力降低日常商品价格方面“做得还不够”。
到了5月，CNN民调显示65%的美国人表示特朗普的政策“恶化了经济状况”，77%的人表示这些政策“推高了所在社区的生活成本”。
特朗普不仅通过全球关税和伊朗战争将不确定的经济状况归咎于自身，他似乎还对处理负担能力问题表现得近乎不屑。他称这个问题是“骗局”，并在集会和其他场合明确表示，他更愿意关注其他事情。他不断发表不合时宜的言论，表明他并不重视这个问题以及美国人的经济困境。
总而言之，特朗普周三的举动有可能进一步加剧对其政治不利的舆论。他正在强化自己的形象：一个并不真正重视甚至不愿承认美国人最关切问题的人。
一些共和党人和特朗普的盟友可能会告诉自己，“拯救美国法案”值得他采取这样的策略；他们会辩称，通过这项要求提供公民身份证明才能登记投票等条款的立法至关重要。
但不仅几乎没有证据表明无证移民存在非法投票行为，而且有充分理由相信该法案实际上可能会阻止合法投票；这项立法根本不是美国民众热切呼吁的。
共和党人援引的民调显示，绝大多数美国人支持选民身份证制度，并强烈支持登记投票时提供公民身份证明。这些问题确实在民调中获得了支持。3月的哥伦比亚广播公司民调显示，66%的美国人支持后者。
但除此之外，美国人对“拯救美国法案”并没有强烈的好感。
同一项民调显示，只有28%的美国人支持这项前身为“拯救法案”的立法，而31%的人反对。
仅有43%的人认为该立法会阻止的非法投票多于其阻止的合法投票。
除此之外，特朗普现在甚至似乎都没有给自己争取到真正的筹码。
通过“拯救美国法案”可能需要参议院共和党人废除阻挠议事规则及其60票门槛——无论是针对这项法案还是其他所有法案——但这一点没有足够多的共和党人愿意这么做，许多共和党人还明确反对。
而在此之前这就不太可能实现，现在更是难上加难：特朗普已经在初选中罢免了两名参议员——得克萨斯州的约翰·康恩和路易斯安那州的比尔·卡西迪，这已经疏远了参议院共和党人。
这次威胁并没有改变这一局面，甚至算不上一张好牌。因为即使总统不签署该法案，10天后法案仍将自动生效。要真正阻止它，他必须行使否决权。
而如果他这么做，他将面临被推翻否决权的风险，这需要两院三分之二的票数支持。该法案已经在众议院获得92%的赞成票，在参议院获得94%的赞成票。
事实上，在当今时代，这样的多数票令人震惊。国会除了通过必须立法（如维持政府运转）之外，很少能实质性地办成任何事。最近就连这类法案都难以通过。
而现在国会已经就一项公众高度关切的问题采取了重要行动——这是一代人以来规模最大的住房负担能力法案——特朗普却威胁要全盘推翻，除非他得到自己想要的东西。
最有可能的结果是总统最终让步。他之前也曾对“拯救美国法案”发出过类似威胁，包括曾威胁在该法案通过前不再签署任何更多立法。
但就目前而言，他的这场闹剧巩固了对他自己和 fellow 共和党人在中期选举前非常不利的舆论环境。
Trump’s stunt on the housing bill seems like a very bad idea
2026-06-24T18:16:24.026Z / https://www.cnn.com/2026/06/24/politics/trump-housing-bill-stunt
President Donald Trump is a familiar legislative arsonist. He’ll often throw curveballs at the last minute that give congressional leaders fits — especially in his own party.
But rarely has one of Trump’s late curveballs seemed as ill-advised as the one he threw Wednesday morning.
He suddenly canceled his planned signing of a housing affordability bill that had passed in both chambers with overwhelming bipartisan majorities.
And he added a new twist, saying he wouldn’t sign it until Congress passed the “SAVE America Act.” Some Republicans have cast that election-related legislation as existential, but it doesn’t appear to have any viable path forward.
And Trump didn’t just change his mind; he did so even as the festivities celebrating the housing bill signing had begun. Prominent Republicans were at a press conference espousing the virtues of the bill and touting Trump’s support for it just as he pulled back.
A day earlier, White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt had called the bill “one of the most significant pieces of housing affordability legislation in American history.” Hours earlier, Trump’s political adviser for the midterms called it a “signature commitment.”
So just to recap: As of Wednesday, Trump was holding hostage “one of the most significant pieces of housing affordability legislation” ever, using it as leverage for a bill he really wants.
That seems like a very bad idea less than five months before November’s elections.
In fact, Trump’s and the GOP’s biggest political problems remain inflation, affordability and the economy, and his gambit seems almost tailor-made to reinforce those liabilities.
Trump’s bad numbers on affordability and the economy
Trump’s numbers on these issues were bad before the Iran war began in February, and they’ve gotten significantly worse since then.
His disapproval rating on the economy was about two-thirds in the most recent polls from Fox News (68%), CBS News (66%) and AP-NORC (66%).
His disapproval rating on inflation, meanwhile, has hovered even higher — around 70% in polling from CBS (73%), Strength in Numbers-Verasight (71%) and Reuters-Ipsos (69%).
These kinds of numbers are rare. Typically, 7 in 10 Americans don’t tend to agree on much of anything.
And one of Trump’s biggest problems is not just that people think the economy is bad; it’s that they think he has actively made it worse. Before the war, they viewed him as neglecting the problem. Now they view him as exacerbating it.
A CBS poll conducted in the days before the war began showed 75% of Americans said the Trump administration had focused “not enough” on lowering prices. A CNN poll a month later showed 65% said Trump had “not gone far enough” in trying to reduce the prices of everyday goods.
By May, CNN polling showed 65% of Americans said Trump’s policies had “worsened economic conditions,” and 77% said the policies had “increased the cost of living” in their communities.
And Trump didn’t just take ownership of an uncertain economy via his global tariffs and the Iran war; he has also seemed almost disdainful of having to deal with affordability issues. He has called the issue a “hoax” and made pretty clear at rallies and elsewhere he’d much rather focus on other things. He keeps making tone-deaf comments that suggest he doesn’t take the issue and Americans’ economic pain seriously.
All to say, Trump on Wednesday risked furthering a politically damaging narrative. He’s reinforcing his image as a guy who doesn’t really prioritize or even acknowledge Americans’ most important issue.
Some Republicans and Trump allies might tell themselves that the “SAVE America Act” is worth this gambit; they’d argue it’s just that important to pass legislation requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote, among other provisions.
But not only is there scant evidence of illegal votes from undocumented migrants and plenty of reason to believe this bill could actually prevent legal votes; this legislation simply isn’t something the American people are clamoring for.
Republicans have pointed to polling that shows Americans overwhelmingly support voter ID and strongly support proof of citizenship to register. And those issues do poll well. A CBS poll in March showed 66% of Americans supported the latter.
But otherwise, Americans don’t feel at all strongly about the “SAVE America Act.
The same poll showed just 28% of Americans said they supported the legislation formerly known as the “SAVE Act,” while 31% opposed it.
And only 43% thought the legislation would prevent more illegal votes than legal ones.
Beyond that, it seems unlikely that Trump is even giving himself leverage right now.
Passing the “SAVE America Act” would likely require Senate Republicans to nuke the filibuster and its 60-vote threshold — for this and everything else — which not enough of them want to do and many of them actively oppose.
And while that was improbable before, that’s doubly the case now that Trump has alienated Senate Republicans by ousting two senators in primaries — Texas’ John Cornyn and Louisiana’s Bill Cassidy.
This threat doesn’t change that, and it’s not even a great piece of leverage. Because even if the president doesn’t sign the legislation, it still becomes law after 10 days. To actually stop it, he’d have to veto it.
And if he did that, he’d be risking a possible veto override, which requires two-thirds votes in both chambers. The legislation already passed with 92% of the House voting for it and 94% of the Senate voting for it.
Indeed, those majorities are astounding in this day and age. Congress rarely does anything of substance beyond must-pass legislation, such as keeping the government funded. It’s struggled to even do that lately.
And now that it has done something significant on an issue of major public concern — this is the largest housing affordability bill in a generation — Trump is threatening to blow it all up if he doesn’t get what he wants.
The likeliest outcome here is that the president eventually backs down. He has made similar threats about the “SAVE America Act” before, including once threatening not to sign any more legislation until it passed.
But for now, his tantrum cements a very bad narrative for himself and his fellow Republicans ahead of the midterms.
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