英国“脱欧”公投十年后:多数英国人认为脱欧是错误决定


2026年6月23日 美国东部时间上午11:23 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

伦敦——英国民众举行脱欧公投十年后,独立民调机构舆观(YouGov)的最新民调显示,多数英国人如今认为脱离欧盟是个错误。

“脱欧对英国来说绝对是一场灾难,”一名亲欧盟活动人士在公投十周年前夕的周一告诉法国24电视台,“不仅在经济上,还有行动自由的丧失,家庭被迫分离。”

另一名活动人士表示,脱欧将英国“彻底分裂,自那以来没有任何好事从中产生”。

image

自公投以来,英国一直深陷政治动荡,过去十年间共有七位首相努力应对脱欧带来的后遗症——尤其是经济影响,而新冠疫情以及随后乌克兰和中东的战争进一步加剧了这一冲击。

英国预算责任办公室的数据显示,脱欧导致英国生产力、进出口均出现下滑,而对政府数据的分析显示,脱欧使英国经济遭受了6%的损失。

“十年后的后果比我们此前担忧的更糟,”伦敦市长萨迪克·汗近期表示,他曾在公投前支持英国留在欧盟。

“我们必须向前看”

尽管部分脱欧选民如今坦言存在“脱欧悔意”,但三分之二曾投下脱欧票的选民仍坚持当初的选择。总体而言,在舆观调查的英国民众中,有30%的人仍认为英国脱欧是正确的决定。

许多仍支持脱欧的人士认为,历届政府和负责脱欧过渡进程的政客们将脱欧事宜处理得一团糟,不应归咎于脱欧本身。

周二,哥伦比亚广播公司新闻的合作机构英国广播公司(BBC)问及是否对脱欧感到后悔时,脱欧运动的核心推手之一、极右翼民粹主义者、改革英国党领导人奈杰尔·法拉奇——同时也是特朗普的盟友——表示,脱欧“绝对是正确的选择”。

image

“十年前的那场地震,当权派根本不接受,”他说,“当他们最终被迫推动我们脱离欧盟时,却并未落实民众的意愿。”

“脱欧投票”运动的一项核心承诺是,脱离欧盟将使英国能够“夺回”边境控制权,并遏制来自欧盟的移民。

但脱欧后出现劳动力短缺,时任首相鲍里斯·约翰逊——他曾是脱欧的重要支持者——放松了移民限制,来自非欧盟国家的移民数量激增。

多塞特郡的钢铁制造商西蒙·博伊德曾助力脱欧竞选,他告诉BBC,他对目前的局面“相当失望”,但补充道:“我们必须向前看,拥抱脱欧,抓住其中存在的机遇。”

他表示,重新加入欧盟“无异于在交出救生衣的情况下重返泰坦尼克号”。

再次公投?

对博伊德这样的许多英国人而言,再次经历全国性的全民公投这种心理大戏,甚至都不值得考虑。

但统计数据确实显示民意发生了重大转变。

2016年,脱欧阵营以51.9%的得票率获胜:约1740万人投票脱欧,1610万人投票留欧。

民调专家彼得·凯莉纳表示,自公投以来,英国已有600万人去世,数据显示“老年选民的投票率高于平均水平”。2016年,三分之二的65岁以上选民支持脱欧,而如今,向来更支持留欧的年轻一代已经到了可以投票的年龄。

凯莉纳去年12月表示,支持脱欧的多数派“实际上已经消亡”。

共同未来智库的民调显示,五分之三的英国Z世代希望就欧盟成员国身份举行新的公投,而本月接受舆观调查的受访者中,超过一半的人表示希望英国以某种形式重新加入欧盟。

但随着法拉奇立场强硬的反欧盟改革英国党(前身为脱欧党)在近期地方选举中取得重大胜利,且脱欧仍是英国的分裂性议题,几乎没有政客表示愿意提出再次举行公投的想法。

英国预计的下一任首相安迪·伯纳姆去年曾表示,他希望在有生之年看到英国重新加入欧盟,但他在5月称:“我也认为,我们现在最不该做的就是重新挑起这些争论。”

10 years after “Brexit” vote, majority of Britons say leaving European Union was a mistake

2026-06-23 11:23 AM EDT / CBS News

London— A decade after the public referendum vote that led to the United Kingdom’s “Brexit” from the European Union, a majority of Britons now say leaving the bloc was a mistake, according to a recent survey by the independent YouGov polling organization.

“Brexit has been an absolute disaster for the country,” one pro-EU campaigner told France 24 on Monday, the eve of the referendum anniversary. “Not just economically, but loss of freedom of movement, families being split up.”

Brexit has split Britain “down the middle, and nothing good has come of that since,” said another.

Demonstrators take part in the National Rejoin March, calling for the United Kingdom to rejoin the European Union on the 10th anniversary of the Brexit referendum, on June 20, 2026, in London, United Kingdom. Zeynep Demir/Anadolu via Getty Images

The U.K. has been mired in political turmoil since the vote, with seven prime ministers in the last 10 years struggling to deal with the fallout — and the economic impact in particular, which has been compounded by the COVID-19 pandemic and then the wars in Ukraine and the Middle East.

Leaving the EU has reduced British productivity, imports and exports, according to the Office for Budgetary Responsibility, while an analysis of government data shows the economy took a 6% hit as a result of Brexit.

“The consequences 10 years on are worse than we feared,” London Mayor Sadiq Khan, who campaigned to remain in the EU ahead of the referendum, said recently.

“We’ve got to go forwards”

While some who voted to leave the EU now admit to feeling some “Bregret,” two-thirds of those who voted for Brexit still stand by their original vote. Overall, 30% of the Britons polled by YouGov said they still believe the U.K. was right to leave.

Many who still support the exit from the European bloc argue that it was handled poorly by the successive governments and politicians that oversaw the transition, and the move itself shouldn’t be blamed.

Asked by CBS News’ partner network BBC on Tuesday if he regretted Brexit, one of the architects of the split, far-right populist and Trump ally Nigel Farage, who leads the Reform UK party, said that it was “absolutely the right thing to do.”

Reform UK Leader Nigel Farage speaks at a press conference for the Reform candidate Robert Kenyon ahead of the Makerfield by-election on June 10, 2026 in Ashton in Makerfield, England. Ryan Jenkinson/Getty

“The earthquake that happened 10 years ago today was not accepted by the establishment,” he said. “And when finally they were pushed into actually getting us to leave the European Union, they then did not implement the wishes of the people.”

A key promise of the “Vote Leave” campaign was that leaving the EU would enable Britain to “take back control” of its borders and curb migration from the EU.

But amid labor shortages after Brexit, then-Prime Minister Boris Johnson, who was a prominent supporter of leaving the EU, eased restrictions, and non-EU migration to the U.K. spiked.

Simon Boyd, a steel manufacturer in Dorset who helped campaign for Brexit, told the BBC he was “quite disappointed” with how things have turned out, but he added: “We’ve got to go forwards, embrace Brexit, embrace the opportunities that are there.”

Rejoining the EU, he said, would “be akin to getting back on the Titanic on the conditions that you hand over your life vest first.”

Another referendum?

For many Brits like Boyd, the idea of going through the national psychodrama of another referendum is too much to even consider.

Statistics do point to a major shift in public opinion, however.

In 2016, the Leave campaign won with 51.9% of the vote: About 17.4 million people voted to leave, while 16.1 million voted to remain.

Six million people in the U.K. have died since the vote, according to pollster Peter Kellner, and data show that “turnout among older voters was higher than average” in the referendum. Two thirds of participants in 2016 over the age of 65 backed Brexit, while a generation of young people, who tend to skew more pro-EU, are now old enough to vote.

The pro-Brexit majority “has literally died out,” Kellner said in December.

Three fifths of Gen Z Brits say they’d like a new referendum on EU membership, according to polling by the More in Common think tank, while over half of respondents overall told YouGov this month that they would like to see the U.K. rejoin the EU in some way, shape or form.

But with Farage’s fiercely anti-EU Reform UK party (previously called The Brexit Party) seeing major success in recent local elections, and Brexit still a divisive issue for the country, few politicians have indicated any will to even table the idea of holding another referendum.

The presumptive next prime minister of the country, Andy Burnham, said last year that he hoped Britain would rejoin the EU in his lifetime, but he said in May: “I also believe the last thing we should do right now is re-run those arguments.”

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注