曼达尼的权力博弈、肯尼迪家族的TikTok视频:周二初选四大看点


2026-06-23T10:04:16.154Z / https://www.reuters.com/world/us/mamdanis-power-play-kennedys-tiktoks-four-things-watch-tuesdays-primaries-2026-06-23/

华盛顿6月23日路透电——纽约市长佐赫兰·曼达尼并未参选国会,但他正成为重塑纽约国会代表团的核心人物:他背书三名与美国民主社会主义者组织存在关联的极左翼候选人,挑战两名主流民主党在任议员——布朗克斯区的阿德利亚诺·埃斯帕利亚特和布鲁克林/下曼哈顿区的丹·戈德曼,同时角逐纽约州的一个空缺席位。

这些议员在纽约市长选举中支持了其他候选人,且被视为在以色列对哈马斯的战争问题上立场不够强硬,而这正是市长本人高度关注的议题。

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其他知名民主社会主义者包括佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯,以及代表布朗克斯区和皇后区的众议员亚历山德里亚·奥卡西奥-科特兹。

纽约市初选可能让曼达尼与另一位有权势的纽约州政客产生分歧,此人是众议院民主党少数党领袖哈基姆·杰弗里斯——如果民主党在11月夺回众议院多数席位,他将成为美国总统一号顺位继承人。

纽约州、马里兰州和犹他州将于周二举行初选,南卡罗来纳州则将进行决选。

以下是我们关注的四大看点:

曼达尼对决杰弗里斯,众议院民主党内部博弈

曼达尼正利用自己在年轻选民中的人气,扶持极左翼挑战者达丽亚利扎·阿维拉·谢瓦利耶和布拉德·兰德尔,分别挑战两名民主党在任议员,并与州众议员克莱尔·瓦尔迪斯竞争空缺席位。
阿维拉·谢瓦利耶是一名活动人士兼博士生,正在挑战任职五届的众议院西班牙裔核心小组主席埃斯帕利亚特,其选区涵盖曼哈顿北部和布朗克斯区。
前纽约市主计长、前市长候选人兰德尔则正在下曼哈顿选区挑战众议员丹·戈德曼,后者曾担任联邦检察官,牵头众议院民主党对唐纳德·特朗普总统首次弹劾案的调查。
瓦尔迪斯在一场竞争激烈的初选中面临布鲁克林区长安东尼奥·雷亚尔索和纽约市议员朱莉·王的挑战,以接替即将退休的众议员妮迪亚·贝拉斯克斯,后者的选区包括布鲁克林和皇后区部分区域。
曼达尼的背书让新任市长杰弗里斯陷入对立,杰弗里斯的职责是保护民主党在任议员并带领本党夺回众议院多数席位。这三个选区的选举结果不会影响民主党掌控众议院的路径,但将考验曼达尼的影响力以及民主社会主义运动的实力。

劳勒迎来强劲对手

美国众议员迈克·劳勒所在选区在2024年总统选举中支持卡玛拉·哈里斯,这位处境脆弱的共和党人将于周二知晓自己在大选中的对手。
民主党候选人中的热门人选包括“地狱猫”女性退伍军人团体成员、作战老兵兼国家安全专家凯特·康利,以及罗克兰县议员贝丝·戴维森。
这个位于哈德逊河谷下游的选区是共和党掌控的三个哈里斯赢下的选区之一,对于希望在11月夺回众议院多数席位的民主党而言,这是绝佳的翻盘机会。哈里斯在该选区仅以0.6个百分点的优势获胜,而劳勒却以6个百分点的优势连任。
尽管当前全国政治环境有利于民主党,但劳勒在大选开始时将比民主党候选人拥有300万至400万美元的资金优势。

肯尼迪、康威与州议员角逐空缺席位

一名曾嫁给特朗普高级顾问的律师、一位肯尼迪家族成员以及两名州议员,组成了竞争曼哈顿选区众议员杰里·纳德勒空缺席位的民主党拥挤参选阵容。
上个月发布的一项爱默生学院民调显示,前纳德勒助手、州众议员迈卡·拉舍与亚历克斯·博雷斯支持率持平,两人大幅领先律师乔治·康威和肯尼迪家族后裔杰克·施洛斯伯格。康威的前妻凯莉安·康威曾在特朗普首届政府中担任高级顾问。
拉舍和博雷斯的支持率处于低两位数区间,但近三分之一的潜在初选选民尚未决定意向,这意味着表现平平的候选人有可能在周二逆袭胜出。
由前纽约市长迈克尔·布隆伯格资助的超级政治行动委员会“支持纽约”已斥资超过1000万美元助力拉舍。支持人工智能的超级政治行动委员会“大胆设想”已斥资近800万美元攻击博雷斯,而博雷斯本人也得到另外三个超级政治行动委员会的支持。
这位33岁的约翰·F·肯尼迪总统外孙是本次选举的未知数,他的职业履历较短,且与曼达尼类似,在社交媒体上拥有强大影响力,TikTok粉丝量超过85万。
获胜者将在11月的国会选举中占据极大当选优势。

特朗普在南卡罗来纳州决选中两面下注

南卡罗来纳州选民将于周二在副州长帕梅拉·埃维特和总检察长艾伦·威尔逊之间选出下一任州长候选人。
特朗普最初背书埃维特,但上周晚些时候向南卡罗来纳州共和党人暗示,两人任选其一都不会出错。
“这两位正是我希望能进入决选的候选人,而他们确实做到了,”他在Truth Social上写道,“如果我只背书其中一位,就会伤害到另一位,因此,我将为南卡罗来纳州州长竞选同时背书帕姆·埃维特和艾伦·威尔逊!”
尽管特朗普的背书影响力在最近几周成功击败了共和党参议员约翰·科宁和比尔·卡西迪,以及众议员托马斯·马西和南希·梅斯,但他支持的两名州长候选人接连失利,损害了他作为共和党政治造王者的声誉。
本月早些时候,爱荷华州选民以微弱优势否决了特朗普支持的众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉,转而支持商人兼农场主扎克·拉恩;上周佐治亚州选民则将亿万富翁医疗高管里克·杰克逊置于特朗普支持的副州长伯特·琼斯之上。
决选获胜者将挑战民主党州众议员杰米·约翰逊,但鉴于该州在2024年总统选举中以18个百分点的优势支持特朗普,获胜者预计将轻松赢得州长选举。

报道:诺兰·D·麦卡斯克尔;补充报道:理查德·考恩;编辑:克雷格·蒂姆伯格、阿利斯泰尔·贝尔

Mamdani’s power play, a Kennedy’s TikToks. Four things to watch in Tuesday’s primaries

2026-06-23T10:04:16.154Z / https://www.reuters.com/world/us/mamdanis-power-play-kennedys-tiktoks-four-things-watch-tuesdays-primaries-2026-06-23/

WASHINGTON, June 23 (Reuters) – New York Mayor Zohran Mamdani isn’t running for Congress, but he’s the main character in a bid to remake New York’s congressional delegation by backing three far-left candidates with ties to the Democratic ​Socialists of America to take on two mainstream Democratic incumbents, Adriano Espaillat in the Bronx and Dan Goldman in Brooklyn/Lower Manhattan, as well as an open seat in Queens.

Those lawmakers backed ‌other candidates in the mayor’s race and are seen as insufficiently adversarial toward Israel in its war on Hamas, a passionate subject for the mayor.

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Other prominent democratic socialists include Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, whose district spans the Bronx and Queens.

The New York City primaries risk putting Mamdani at odds with another powerful New York politician, Democratic Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, who will become third in line to the presidency should Democrats win control of the House of Representatives in November.

New York, Maryland and Utah each hold primaries on Tuesday, when South Carolina will ​host runoffs.

Here is what we’re watching:

MAMDANI VS JEFFRIES, HOUSE DEMS

Mamdani is using his popularity among young voters to elevate far-left challengers Darializa Avila Chevalier and Brad Lander against two Democratic incumbents and Assembly Member Claire ​Valdez for an open seat.

Avila Chevalier, an activist and doctoral student, is running against the five-term Espaillat, who chairs the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, in a district spanning northern ⁠Manhattan and the Bronx.

Lander, a former New York City comptroller and ex-mayoral candidate, is challenging Representative Dan Goldman, a former federal prosecutor who led House Democrats’ investigation into the first impeachment of President Donald Trump, in his Lower Manhattan ​district.

Valdez faces Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso and New York City Council Member Julie Won in a crowded primary to succeed retiring Representative Nydia Velazquez, whose district includes parts of Brooklyn and Queens.

Mamdani’s endorsements pit the new mayor against ​Jeffries, whose job is to protect Democratic incumbents and lead his party back into the majority. The outcomes in the three districts won’t impact Democrats’ path to power, but they will test Mamdani’s clout and the strength of the democratic socialist movement.

LAWLER MEETS HIS MATCHUP

U.S. Representative Mike Lawler, a vulnerable Republican who represents a district Kamala Harris won in 2024, will find out his general election opponent on Tuesday.

Top candidates among the Democrats are combat veteran and national security expert Cait Conley, a member of the “Hell Cats” group ​of female veterans running for office, and Rockland County Legislator Beth Davidson.

The lower Hudson Valley-area district is one of three Republican-held seats in districts Harris won, making it a top flip opportunity for a party aiming to win ​control of the House of Representatives in November. Harris won the district by just 0.6 percentage points, though Lawler won reelection by 6 percentage points.

And while the current political environment favors Democrats nationally, Lawler will begin the general election with a $3 million ‌to $4 million ⁠cash advantage over the Democratic nominee.

KENNEDY, CONWAY AND STATE LAWMAKERS EYE OPEN SEAT

A lawyer who was married to a top Trump adviser, a Kennedy, and two state lawmakers comprise a crowded field of Democrats vying to succeed Representative Jerry Nadler in his Manhattan district.

An

Emerson College poll, opens new tab last month found Assembly Members Micah Lasher, a former Nadler aide, and Alex Bores in a statistical tie. The two were significantly ahead of attorney George Conway, whose ex-wife Kellyanne Conway was a Trump adviser during his first administration, and Kennedy scion Jack Schlossberg.

The pair were in the low double digits. But nearly a third of likely primary voters were undecided, meaning it’s possible a lower-performing candidate could surge to victory ​on Tuesday.

Stand for New York PAC, a super PAC funded ​by former New York Mayor Michael Bloomberg, has ⁠spent more than $10 million boosting Lasher. Think Big, a pro-AI super PAC, has spent nearly $8 million against Bores, who is backed by three other super PACs himself.

The 33-year-old grandson of President John F. Kennedy is the wild card here with a short professional resume, and much like Mamdani, a strong presence on social media with more than 850,000 ​followers on TikTok.

The winner will be heavily favored to be elected to Congress in November.

TRUMP HEDGES HIS BET IN SOUTH CAROLINA RUNOFF

South Carolina voters will choose their ​likely next governor in a ⁠contest between Lieutenant Governor Pamela Evette and Attorney General Alan Wilson.

After initially endorsing Evette, Trump signaled to South Carolina Republicans late last week that they can’t go wrong with either.

“These were the two that I was hoping would get into a Runoff, and they did,” he wrote on Truth Social. “I can’t hurt one of them by only Endorsing the other, so, therefore, I am going to Endorse, for Governor of South Carolina, both Pam Evette and Alan Wilson!”

While Trump’s endorsement power in ⁠recent weeks has ​ousted Republican Senators John Cornyn and Bill Cassidy and Representatives Thomas Massie and Nancy Mace, two of his picks for governor have stumbled, ​soiling his reputation as a kingmaker in Republican politics.

Iowa voters narrowly rejected Trump-backed Representative Randy Feenstra in favor of businessman and farmer Zach Lahn earlier this month, and Georgia voters elevated billionaire healthcare executive Rick Jackson over Trump-endorsed Lieutenant Governor Burt Jones last week.

The winner of the runoff for governor ​will face Democratic state Representative Jermaine Johnson but is expected to win in a state Trump carried by 18 percentage points in 2024.

Reporting by Nolan D. McCaskill; additional reporting by Richard Cowan; Editing by Craig Timberg and Alistair Bell

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