佐赫兰·曼达尼对民主党人的影响力面临考验,以及周二选举值得关注的其他事件


2026-06-23T09:00:26.012Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

周二的纽约州初选将检验上任仅六个月的市长佐赫兰·曼达尼对选民的影响力究竟有多大,并将提前展现民主党在迈向2028年总统初选过程中即将到来的意识形态斗争。

这位民主社会主义者做出了在三场国会众议院选举中背书候选人的决定——其中两场是反对民主党在任议员——这提升了这些席位竞争的激烈程度,而这些席位几乎可以确定会由民主党在11月的选举中拿下。

这些选举是纽约州多场受密切关注的初选之一。当天马里兰州和犹他州也将举行初选,南卡罗来纳州则将进行初选决选,其中包括共和党州长竞选。

以下是周二值得关注的几场初选:

曼达尼背书了前纽约市主计长布拉德·兰德,对阵第10选区众议员丹·戈德曼。兰德是去年市长选举中被曼达尼击败的候选人之一,但二人曾在初选中联手对抗安德鲁·科莫。在大选期间,兰德最终成为曼达尼获得犹太选民支持的重要背书人,尽管兰德并未如最初预期那样获得市政厅的职位。

他还背书了教育工作者、移民权利活动家达丽亚利扎·阿维拉·谢瓦利尔,对阵第13选区众议员阿德里亚诺·埃斯帕利亚塔。

在即将退休的17届众议员妮迪亚·贝拉斯克斯所在的第7选区,曼达尼正在支持州议员克莱尔·巴尔德斯,后者正在挑战贝拉斯克斯支持的继任人选、布鲁克斯区长安东尼奥·雷亚尔索。

这些竞选是民主党内部更广泛意识形态斗争的一部分——最近几周,曼达尼所在的阵营占据了全国性的舆论优势。

在曼达尼和西雅图的 fellow 民主社会主义者凯蒂·威尔逊赢得市长选举一年后,美国至少再有两座大城市可能选出民主社会主义者担任市长。

本月早些时候,市议员简尼斯·刘易斯·乔治赢得了华盛顿特区民主党初选,几乎可以确定将在11月的选举中获胜,毕竟这是一个压倒性的蓝色阵营城市。洛杉矶的初选选民也选出了民主社会主义者市议员妮提亚·拉曼,让她将在今年秋季挑战在任市长凯伦·巴斯。

和曼达尼一样,巴尔德斯和阿维拉·谢瓦利尔都是民主社会主义者。这位市长背书阿维拉·谢瓦利尔对阵国会西班牙裔核心小组主席埃斯帕利亚塔的决定,尤其激怒了纽约市的拉美裔领袖以及犹太领袖,他们指出阿维拉·谢瓦利尔曾在2023年10月7日哈马斯袭击以色列次日参加了一场广受谴责的亲巴勒斯坦集会。

但这一切都发生在2028年民主党初选日益临近之际——随着今年中期选举结束,可能很快就会有候选人加入这场旷日持久的争论,讨论后特朗普时代民主党未来的走向。

在上周与佛蒙特州参议员伯尼·桑德斯共同为二人支持的国会候选人举行的集会上,曼达尼表示,民主党长期以来“一直把自己的工作看作解释我们为何不能,而非展示我们如何能,这种陈旧的思维方式会在周二输掉选举。坦率地说,它会在南卡罗来纳州和新罕布什尔州输掉。它将无法获得270张选举人票,因为代表过去的政党不会引领我们走向未来。”

“2028年的竞选何时开始?”他补充道,“现在就开始了。周二就开始了。”

他还抨击了美国以色列公共事务委员会,称AIPAC是包括“那些在电视广告中用误导性和恶意攻击覆盖电波的资助者”在内的“怪物集团”的一部分。他口中的“怪物”言论遭到了一些犹太社区领袖的批评,他们称其语言具有反犹主义色彩。曼达尼在周一被问及此事时为自己的言论进行了辩护。

特朗普周五做了一件相当明显的事。

面对自己背书的州长候选人在本月第三次初选失利的可能性,特朗普决定也同时支持另一位剩余的候选人。

尽管获得了特朗普的背书,副州长帕梅拉·埃维特在两周前的初选中仅以29%比26%的微弱优势领先州检察长艾伦·威尔逊。威尔逊被认为是周二选举中击败她的真正威胁,而如今特朗普也转而支持他。

特朗普之前也曾在背书问题上玩过类似的把戏。2022年密苏里州参议院初选中有两位顶尖候选人都名叫“埃里克”,他当时背书了“埃里克”(其中一位后来成为参议员埃里克·施密特)。去年,他先是背书了企业高管卡琳·泰勒·罗布森,之后又在安迪·比格斯众议员加入竞选后背书了他(罗布森后来退出了竞选)。

特朗普的第二次背书意味着无论谁获胜,他都可以宣称自己支持了赢家。但如果威尔逊以较大优势胜出,那么很明显特朗普是在为自己留后路——他对埃维特的背书失败了,就像他之前在爱荷华州背书众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉,以及上周在佐治亚州背书副州长伯特·琼斯一样都失败了。

但这并不是周二唯一一场考验特朗普背书影响力的选举。

我们还将在伊莉斯·斯特凡尼克众议员所在的选区看到一场重要考验。在那里,特朗普背书的商人安东尼·康斯坦蒂诺正在挑战获得州共和党支持的州议员罗伯特·斯马伦。

本月早些时候,我们看到一位民主党亿万富翁尽管自掏腰包斥巨资,却再次在大型竞选中失利。在六年前民主党总统提名竞选失败后,汤姆·斯泰尔再次自掏腰包2.16亿美元,在加利福尼亚州州长公开初选中仅获得第三名。

但根据周二的选举结果,可能会出现一位战绩更糟糕的民主党亿万富翁。

这位候选人可能是前众议员戴维·特龙,他正在第12选区挑战众议员阿普里尔·麦克莱恩·德莱尼,这是2026年耗资最巨的初选之一。特龙已经自掏腰包超过2500万美元。麦克莱恩·德莱尼也自掏腰包投入了数百万美元。

特龙已经在失败竞选活动中自掏腰包人均花费最高的前10个榜单中占据两个席位,包括2016年竞选国会(人均379美元)和2024年竞选参议院(人均超过200美元)。

周二,他要么重新回到国会,要么将迎来第三次将自己部分财富付诸一炬的竞选。

特朗普赦免了很多人——尤其是很多政治盟友。

周二,其中一位赦免对象可能会赢得初选,有望加入国会。

特朗普在2020年赦免了当时的州议员菲尔·莱曼,原因是他在犹他州一处封闭峡谷中非法驾驶全地形车,这是对联邦土地管理局抗议活动的一部分(特朗普还赦免了其他在西部抗议BLM时犯下更严重罪行的人)。

莱曼在2024年初选中以8个百分点的差距输给了州长斯宾塞·考克斯,如今他正在挑战温和派共和党众议员塞莱斯特·马洛伊,参与该选区的初选。

如果他获胜,将极有可能顺利加入国会。

肯尼迪家族成员、特朗普批评者、AI反对者和建制派候选人正面交锋

位于曼哈顿的深蓝选区第12选区的民主党初选挤满了知名候选人——包括一位肯尼迪家族后裔、一位著名的反特朗普前共和党人以及两位州议员,其中一位候选人得到了与人工智能和加密货币势力相关的数百万美元广告支出支持。

由于参选人数多达八位,选情分散,最终结果可能不会对解决民主党内部的意识形态分歧起到太大作用。但由于几位颇具争议的参选者,这场初选可能会透露一些选民最关心的议题。

州议员迈卡·拉舍是即将退休的众议员杰里·纳德勒的选择,他还得到了州长凯西·霍楚尔和前纽约市市长迈克尔·布隆伯格的背书,该选区是全美最富裕的国会选区之一。

另一位州议员亚历克斯·博雷斯曾是帕兰蒂尔公司的员工,在共同牵头2025年纽约州人工智能安全法案后,他成为了人工智能公司的敌人。

乔治·康威曾是知名的共和党律师,在其前妻凯莉安·康威在特朗普白宫任职期间,他转而成为著名且频繁出镜的特朗普批评者,这是他首次参选公职。近两年前副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯曾与前怀俄明州众议员莉兹·切尼共同竞选,如今康威的参选相当于一场测试,看看民主党选民是否有兴趣与那些并非出于意识形态认同,而是出于对总统的厌恶而倒戈的前共和党人站在一起。

33岁的杰克·施洛斯伯格是前总统约翰·F·肯尼迪的孙子,也是卡罗琳·肯尼迪的儿子。他正寻求成为肯尼迪家族漫长政治谱系中的最新一员——如果他获胜,他将成为目前肯尼迪家族中唯一一位在任民选官员。

上一位赢得选举的肯尼迪家族成员是前美国众议员乔·肯尼迪三世,他在2018年当选,两年后在马萨诸塞州参议院竞选失利。不过,包括施洛斯伯格的母亲在内的三位肯尼迪家族成员在拜登前政府中担任过大使或特使,而小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪则是唐纳德·特朗普总统的卫生与公众服务部长。

Zohran Mamdani’s influence over Democrats put to the test, and other things to watch in Tuesday’s elections

2026-06-23T09:00:26.012Z / CNN

New York’s primaries on Tuesday will test just how influential Mayor Zohran Mamdani is with voters six months into his tenure and offer a preview of the ideological battles to come as Democrats look ahead to the 2028 presidential primary.

The democratic socialist’s decision to endorse candidates in three House races — including against Democratic incumbents in two of them — has raised the stakes in contests for seats the party is all but certain to retain in November.

Those races are among several closely watched primaries in New York. They come on the same day as primaries in Maryland and Utah, and primary runoffs in South Carolina that include a Republican race for governor.

Here are Tuesday’s primaries to watch:

Mamdani endorsed former New York City Comptroller Brad Lander against 10th District Rep. Dan Goldman. Lander was one of the candidates Mamdani defeated in the mayoral race last year, but they were allied against Andrew Cuomo in the primary. He ultimately became an important validator for Mamdani with Jewish voters in the general election, though Lander didn’t get a City Hall job like originally expected.

He backed Darializa Avila Chevalier, an educator and immigrant rights’ activist, against Rep. Adriano Espaillat in the 13th District.

In the 7th District, where 17-term Rep. Nydia Velázquez is retiring, Mamdani is supporting Assemblywoman Claire Valdez, who is taking on Velázquez’s preferred replacement, Brooklyn Borough President Antonio Reynoso.

These contests are part of a broader ideological battle being waged within the party — and in recent weeks, Mamdani’s side has had the national momentum.

A year after Mamdani and and fellow democratic socialist Katie Wilson in Seattle won mayors’ races, at least two more of the United States’ biggest cities could elect democratic socialists.

Earlier this month, city councilwoman Janeese Lewis George won the Democratic primary to become the next mayor of Washington, DC, all but assuring she will win in November in the overwhelmingly blue city. Primary voters in Los Angeles also chose a democratic socialist city councilwoman, Nithya Raman, to take on incumbent Mayor Karen Bass this fall.

Both Valdez and Avila Chevalier, like Mamdani, are democratic socialists. The mayor’s decision to back Avila Chevalier against Espaillat, the chair of the Congressional Hispanic Caucus, has particularly rankled Latino leaders in New York City as well as Jewish leaders who have noted Avila Chevalier’s attendance at a widely condemned pro-Palestinian rally the day after Hamas attacked Israel on October 7, 2023.

But it all comes as the 2028 Democratic primary looms — with candidates likely to enter the protracted battle over what the party’s future should look like in a post-Trump political era as soon as this year’s midterm elections conclude.

At a rally last week with Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders for the congressional candidates both are backing, Mamdani said that the Democratic Party for too long “has seen its job as explaining why we cannot instead of showing how we can, and that old way of thinking will lose on Tuesday. And frankly, it will lose in South Carolina and New Hampshire. It will fall short of 270 electoral votes, because the party of the past will not be what leads us into the future.”

“When does the race for 2028 begin?” he added. “It starts now. It starts on Tuesday.”

He also tore into the American Israel Public Affairs Committee, suggesting AIPAC was part of a group of “monsters” that include “those who fund television ads that blanket the airwaves with misleading and bad faith attacks.” His reference to “monsters” drew criticism from some Jewish community leaders who said his language was antisemitic. Mamdani defended what he said when pressed on the subject Monday.

Trump did something rather transparent on Friday.

Facing the prospect of one of his endorsed candidates for governor losing a primary for the third time this month, Trump decided to just endorse the other remaining candidate, too.

Despite having Trump’s endorsement, Lt. Gov. Pamela Evette only narrowly led state Attorney General Alan Wilson in the primary two weeks ago, 29%-26%. Wilson is considered a real threat to beat her on Tuesday, and now Trump has backed him as well.

Trump has played games like this with his endorsements before. He endorsed “Eric” in the 2022 Missouri Senate primary, when two top candidates shared that name. (One of them is now-Sen. Eric Schmitt.) And last year, he endorsed business executive Karrin Taylor Robson but then also endorsed Rep. Andy Biggs when Biggs later joined the race. (Robson later dropped out.)

Trump’s second endorsement means he’ll be able to claim he endorsed whoever wins. But if Wilson wins by a decent margin, it’ll be pretty clear Trump was covering his backside — and that his endorsement of Evette failed, just like his endorsement of Rep. Randy Feenstra did in Iowa and just like his backing of Lt. Gov. Burt Jones did in Georgia last week.

But that’s not the only test of Trump’s endorsement Tuesday.

We’ll also see a significant one in Rep. Elise Stefanik’s district. There, Trump-backed businessman Anthony Constantino is facing off against Assemblymember Robert Smullen, who has the backing of the state Republican Party.

Earlier this month, we saw a Democratic billionaire lose his second big campaign despite spending gobs of his own money. Six years after his failed bid for the Democrats’ presidential nomination, Tom Steyer spent $216 million to finish third in the open primary for California governor.

But depending on how things shake out Tuesday, there could be a Democratic billionaire with an even worse record.

That could be former Rep. David Trone, who is challenging Rep. April McClain Delaney in one of the most expensive primaries of 2026. Trone has self-funded more than $25 million. McClain Delaney has also spent millions of her own money.

Trone already holds two of the top 10 spots when it comes to how much of his own money he’s spent per vote in failed campaigns, including a 2016 run for Congress ($379 per vote) and a 2024 run for Senate (more than $200 per vote).

On Tuesday, he’ll either rejoin Congress or make it a third campaign in which he’s lit part of his own fortune on fire.

Trump has pardoned a lot of people — and especially a lot of political allies.

And on Tuesday, one of them could win a primary and be set to join Congress.

Trump pardoned then-state Rep. Phil Lyman in 2020 for illegally riding an all-terrain vehicle in a closed Utah canyon. It was part of a protest against the federal Bureau of Land Management. (Trump has also pardoned others who committed more series crimes while protesting BLM out west.)

Lyman, who lost to Gov. Spencer Cox by eight points in a 2024 primary, is now challenging Rep. Celeste Maloy, a somewhat moderate Republican, in a primary.

If he wins, he’ll be a heavy favorite to join Congress.

A Kennedy family member, a Trump critic, an AI foe and an establishment pick square off

The Democratic primary in the deep-blue, Manhattan-based 12th District is awash with big names — including a Kennedy family scion, a prominent anti-Trump former Republican and two state lawmakers, one of whom is the subject of millions in advertising spending linked to artificial intelligence and cryptocurrency forces.

With a fractured field that includes eight candidates, the outcome might not do much to settle the ideological divisions within the Democratic Party. But, with several controversial contenders, it could offer some indication of what voters care about most.

Assemblyman Micah Lasher is the choice of retiring Rep. Jerry Nadler, and he’s also backed by Gov. Kathy Hochul and former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg in one of the nation’s richest congressional districts.

Another state assemblyman, Alex Bores, is a former Palantir employee who became an enemy of artificial intelligence companies after he co-sponsored a 2025 New York artificial intelligence safety law.

George Conway, once a prominent GOP attorney who emerged as a prominent and frequently televised critic of Trump while his ex-wife, Kellyanne Conway, worked in the president’s White House, is making his first run for office. His candidacy is a test, nearly two years after former Vice President Kamala Harris campaigned with former Wyoming Rep. Liz Cheney, of whether Democratic voters have any interest in aligning with former Republicans who sided with the party not out of ideological alignment but distaste for the president.

The 33-year-old Jack Schlossberg is the grandson of former President John F. Kennedy and the son of Caroline Kennedy. He is seeking to become the latest in a long line of Kennedy family members — and if he wins, he would be the only one currently in elected office.

The last Kennedy to win an election was former US Rep. Joe Kennedy III in 2018; he lost a run for a Senate seat in Massachusetts two years later. However, three family members — including Schlossberg’s mother — were ambassadors or envoys during former President Joe Biden’s administration, and Robert F. Kennedy Jr. is President Donald Trump’s health and human services secretary.

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