专家警告:特朗普新伊朗协议面临铀库存核查盲区


2026年6月20日 美国东部时间上午8:00 / 福克斯新闻

核核查盲区或将决定特朗普新伊朗协议成败,专家警告

已签署的协议开启了60天谈判窗口,以敲定该计划的细节

作者:亚历克·舍梅尔,福克斯新闻

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6398842139112

众议员里奇·麦科马克对伊朗协议表示“担忧”:“我根本不信任他们”

佐治亚州共和党众议员里奇·麦科马克就不断演变的伊朗核谈判发表看法,重申他对伊朗政权的强烈不信任。他支持特朗普总统的立场,将该协议贴上“无条件投降”的标签,并强调解冻的数十亿美元资产可能会增强伊朗军方实力。麦科马克强调了该政权的敌对历史,并呼吁政权更迭。

您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章!

美国总统唐纳德·特朗普的新伊朗框架正遭到核专家的警告,他们表示,除非核查人员首先找到、封存并核实这批材料,否则该协议可能会让德黑兰对其铀库存拥有过多控制权。

担忧的核心在于据报道美伊谅解备忘录(MOU)中的条款:双方将通过仍有待谈判的程序来解决伊朗浓缩铀库存的命运问题。该备忘录将现场“向下稀释”——即将浓缩铀稀释至难以用于核武器的程度——列为处理该材料的最低可接受方式,且该过程需在国际原子能机构(IAEA)监督下进行。

该备忘录并未明确表示伊朗将保留民用核计划,但它提到双方将在最终协议中讨论与伊朗“核需求”相关的铀浓缩及其他事项。

“不受限制的核查至关重要,”德克萨斯公共政策基金会首席国家倡议官查克·德沃尔对福克斯新闻数字频道表示。“核查小组必须能够不受阻碍地开展现场检查。远程技术手段能发挥很大作用,但没有什么能比得上实地视察。”

特朗普核谈判面临核心问题:伊朗的铀库存将如何处理?

一张合成图片显示了唐纳德·特朗普总统与背景中的伊朗国旗以及一次导弹发射场景。核专家警告称,特朗普所公布的伊朗框架协议可能会让德黑兰对其铀库存拥有过多控制权,除非核查人员首先彻底清点并封存这批材料。(安娜·莫尼梅克/盖蒂图片社)

专家们发出警告之际,这份谅解备忘录已经签署,而原计划于周五在瑞士举行的启动技术谈判的后续会谈被推迟。随着该协议开启60天的最终协议谈判窗口,关键的核细节仍未敲定。

接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访的核专家警告称,只有当核查人员重新获得足够权限,彻底清点伊朗的浓缩铀库存,并确保德黑兰不会对这批材料拥有不受监管的控制权时,国际原子能机构的监督才有意义。与此同时,国际原子能机构本月发布的最新报告凸显了该机构对伊朗已申报核项目的有限监控能力——在去年的军事打击之后,报告称,除了在伊朗一座核电站进行的一次检查外,该机构“未从伊朗收到有关其其他已申报核设施或相关核材料状况的信息”。报告还指出,“该机构也无法进入这些场地进行现场核查”。

一名不愿透露姓名的高级政府官员对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,该谅解备忘录要求伊朗政权重申其不会获取或发展核武器,这是伊朗新最高领导下的关键第一步。

该官员表示,美国在铀库存问题上已与伊朗达成共识,新协议是将这些共识转化为实际成果的第一步,其中包括在浓缩铀库存、拆除核设施、禁止铀浓缩以及核查准入等方面取得进展。该官员补充称,美国已就这些问题与伊朗进行了富有成效的讨论,随着谅解备忘录正式生效,谈判人员将努力快速取得进展。

美伊瑞士会谈因以黎紧张局势推迟;霍尔木兹海峡仍是关键议题

该官员还向福克斯新闻数字频道提及副总统J·D·万斯周四发表的言论,万斯表示,该协议的好处取决于伊朗能否兑现其承诺。

“他们承诺不会进行铀浓缩。他们承诺允许检查员入境销毁这批高浓缩库存。这样一来,这批材料就不再具有可用性,你可以将其转移到其他地方,”万斯说道。“他们做出了多项承诺,这就是为什么协议设想了如果他们兑现承诺就能获得的诸多好处。但如果他们没有真正履行这些承诺,协议就毫无意义。”

副总统J·D·万斯在白宫詹姆斯·布雷迪新闻发布厅听取记者提问,2026年6月18日周四,华盛顿。(杰奎琳·马丁/美联社)

防御民主基金会防扩散项目副主任安德里亚·斯特里克对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,任何可信的协议都必须首先收回并保护伊朗的浓缩铀库存,而不是允许德黑兰在国内稀释这批材料的同时仍保留其控制权。

“除非能够通过核查拆除并销毁伊朗所有基本核能力——包括核材料、设施、离心机、制造能力、设备、文件和武器化能力,并确保科学家转向民用工作——否则伊朗的书面承诺毫无意义,”她对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,并指出如果回收并进一步浓缩伊朗的浓缩铀库存,可生产出大约22枚核武器所需的武器级材料。

特朗普如何解决结束伊朗战争谈判中的关键“核尘埃”僵局?

德沃尔对估算伊朗潜在武器能力的具体数字持更为谨慎的态度,他表示这在很大程度上取决于武器设计的复杂程度。他说,同样一批库存可能转化为更少的简易武器,或者在更先进的核计划中被进一步稀释。

他表示,如果经过适当核查,现场向下稀释的目的是让伊朗大约1000磅浓度为60%的浓缩铀无法进一步浓缩。德沃尔警告称,这批材料仍需额外处理才能转化为武器级铀,他认为德黑兰目前尚不具备这种能力,因为关键设施在去年的打击中已被摧毁。

一张卫星图像显示了2025年6月22日美国打击后伊朗福特奥浓缩设施的受损情况。(马克萨尔科技公司)

当被问及需要采取什么措施才能让任何伊朗协议具备可执行性时,德沃尔对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,美国必须避免重复他所说的奥巴马时代核协议的关键弱点:允许德黑兰限制核查准入或禁止进入某些场地。他说,“最终问题在于现场核查”,并警告华盛顿不能陷入“为达成协议而达成协议”的境地。

参议院资深共和党人抨击特朗普的伊朗协议,称3000亿美元让奥巴马协议看起来“微不足道”

德沃尔还表示,奥巴马时代的《联合全面行动计划》(JCPOA)给予核查人员过多的提前通知,且在核查可疑地点时自由度太低,他认为任何新协议都必须避免出现伊朗可以在国际原子能机构人员抵达前拖延、限制或引导核查的制度。

伊朗国旗在奥地利维也纳国际原子能机构总部前飘扬。(弗洛里安·朔伊特/美联社照片)

德沃尔对福克斯新闻数字频道表示,他的担忧源于他在里根政府时期担任年轻的外交事务特别助理时的经历,当时他参与了冷战时期与苏联的核协议核查问题,包括《和平核爆炸条约》和《限额核试验条约》。

德沃尔说,在这些谈判中,危险在于国防和情报官员所要求的最低核查水平可能会成为外交官们的起点,这意味着最终协议的标准可能会低于专家认为的必要水平。

“一旦你说‘这是我们需要的最低标准’,那么这就会成为起点,所以最终达成的协议会比这个标准更低,”德沃尔说道。“这正是我所担心的。”

福克斯新闻数字频道已联系国际原子能机构,询问该机构目前能否清点伊朗的浓缩铀库存,以及是否对所公布框架提出的核查问题有任何评论。

Trump’s new Iran deal faces nuclear blind spot over uranium stockpile, experts warn

June 20, 2026 8:00am EDT / Fox News

Nuclear blind spot could make or break Trump’s new Iran deal, experts warn

The signed deal opened a 60-day negotiating window to nail down the details of the plan

By Alec Schemmel, Fox News

https://www.foxnews.com/video/6398842139112

Rep. Rich McCormick ‘worried’ by Iran deal: ‘I don’t trust them at all’

Rep. Rich McCormick, a Georgia Republican, weighs in on the evolving Iran nuclear talks, reiterating his strong distrust for the Iranian regime. He supports President Trump’s position, labeling the deal an “unconditional surrender” and highlighting concerns that billions in unfrozen assets could empower Iran’s military. McCormick emphasizes the regime’s history of hostility and calls for its change.

NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

President Donald Trump’s new Iran framework is drawing warnings from nuclear experts who say the deal could leave Tehran too much control over its uranium stockpile unless inspectors first locate, secure and verify the material.

The concern centers on language in the reported U.S.-Iran memorandum of understanding (MOU) saying the two sides will resolve the fate of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile through a still-to-be-negotiated process. The MOU identifies on-site “downblending,” which means diluting enriched uranium so it is less usable for a nuclear weapon, under International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) supervision as the minimum acceptable method for dealing with the material.

The MOU does not explicitly say Iran will retain a civilian nuclear program, but it says the two sides will discuss enrichment and other matters related to Iran’s “nuclear needs” in a final deal.

“Unfettered verification is everything,” Chuck DeVore, Chief National Initiatives Officer at the Texas Public Policy Foundation, told Fox News Digital. “There can be no denial for teams to inspect on the ground. Remote, technological means can achieve a lot, but nothing beats in-person inspections.”

TRUMP NUCLEAR TALKS FACE DEFINING QUESTION: WHAT HAPPENS TO IRAN’S URANIUM STOCKPILE?

A composite image shows President Donald Trump alongside a missile launch with the Iranian flag in the background. Nuclear experts are warning that Trump’s reported Iran framework could leave Tehran too much control over its uranium stockpile unless inspectors first fully account for and secure the material.(Anna Moneymaker/Getty Images)

The warnings from experts come as the MOU has already been signed, while planned follow-up talks in Switzerland aimed at launching technical negotiations were postponed Friday. The delay leaves key nuclear details unresolved as the agreement begins a 60-day window for negotiating a final deal.

IAEA supervision would only be meaningful if inspectors first regain enough access to fully account for Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and ensure Tehran does not retain unchecked control of the material, nuclear experts who spoke with Fox News Digital warned. Meanwhile, a recent IAEA report released this month underscored the agency’s limited visibility into Iran’s declared nuclear program after last year’s military strikes, saying that aside from a single inspection at an Iranian nuclear power plant, the agency “has not received information from Iran” about the status of its other declared nuclear facilities or associated nuclear material. “Nor has the Agency had access” to those sites for in-field verification, the report noted.

A senior administration official told Fox News Digital on background that the MOU required Iran’s regime to reaffirm that it will not procure or develop nuclear weapons, calling that a critical first step under Iran’s new Supreme Leader.

The official said the U.S. has reached understandings with Iran when it comes to its uranium stockpile, and the new deal is the first step of turning these understandings into real results, which include progress on enriched uranium stockpiles, dismantlement of nuclear sites, an enrichment ban and inspection access. The official added that the U.S. has already had productive discussions with Iran on those issues and, now that the MOU is formally in place, negotiators will work to make quick progress.

US-IRAN TALKS POSTPONED IN SWITZERLAND AMID ISRAEL-HEZBOLLAH TENSIONS; HORMUZ REMAINS A KEY ISSUE

The official also referred Fox News Digital to comments Vice President JD Vance made Thursday, when he said the deal’s benefits depend on Iran following through on its promises.

“They have promised not to enrich. They have promised that they would allow inspectors in to destroy that highly enriched stockpile. And then, of course, it’s not usable anymore. You take it somewhere else,” Vance said. “They promised a number of things, and that’s why the deal contemplates a number of benefits if they do those things. But it doesn’t do anything if they don’t actually meet those promises.”

Vice President JD Vance listens as a reporter asks a question in the James Brady Press Briefing Room at the White House, on Thursday, June 18, 2026, in Washington.(Jacquelyn Martin/AP)

Andrea Stricker, deputy director of the Foundation for Defense of Democracies’ Nonproliferation Program, told Fox News Digital that any credible agreement must begin with recovering and safeguarding Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, and not allowing Tehran to keep control of the material while it is diluted inside the country.

“Without verifiably dismantling and destroying all of Iran’s fundamental nuclear capabilities — nuclear material, facilities, centrifuges, manufacturing capabilities, equipment, documentation, and weaponization capacities, and ensuring scientists are redirected to civilian work — Iran’s pledge on paper is meaningless,” she told Fox News Digital, noting that Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile could, if recovered and further enriched, provide enough weapons-grade material for roughly 22 nuclear weapons.

HOW DOES TRUMP SOLVE KEY ‘NUCLEAR DUST’ HANG-UP IN NEGOTIATIONS TO END IRAN WAR?

DeVore was more cautious about assigning a single number to Iran’s potential weapons capacity, saying the estimate depends heavily on the sophistication of the weapon design. He said the same stockpile could translate into fewer basic weapons or be stretched further by a more advanced nuclear program.

He said on-site downblending, if properly verified, would be aimed at making Iran’s roughly 1,000 pounds of 60% enriched uranium unavailable for further enrichment. DeVore cautioned that the material would still need additional processing to be turned into weapons-grade uranium and said he does not believe Tehran can currently do that because key facilities were destroyed in last year’s strikes.

A satellite image shows damage at the Fordo enrichment facility in Iran after U.S. strikes on June 22, 2025.(Maxar Technologies)

Asked what would be needed to make any Iran deal enforceable, DeVore told Fox News Digital the U.S. must avoid repeating what he described as a key weakness of the Obama-era nuclear deal: allowing Tehran to restrict access or keep certain sites off limits. He said the “ultimate question” is on-site verification, warning that Washington cannot allow itself to be pushed into “an agreement for agreement’s sake.”

TOP SENATE REPUBLICAN RIPS INTO TRUMP’S IRAN DEAL, SAYS $300B MAKES OBAMA DEAL LOOK LIKE ‘A PITTANCE’

DeVore also said the Obama-era JCPOA gave inspectors too much notice and too little freedom to inspect suspicious locations as well, arguing that any new deal must avoid a system where Iran can delay, limit or steer inspections before the IAEA gets on the ground.

The flag of Iran waves in front of the International Atomic Energy Agency headquarters in Vienna, Austria.(Florian Schroetter/AP Photo)

DeVore told Fox News Digital that his concern is informed by his experience as a young special assistant for foreign affairs in the Reagan administration, when he worked on verification issues surrounding Cold War-era nuclear agreements with the Soviet Union, including the Peaceful Nuclear Explosions Treaty and the Threshold Test Ban Treaty.

In those negotiations, DeVore said, the danger was that the minimum level of verification sought by defense and intelligence officials could become the starting point for diplomats, meaning the final deal could end up below what experts believed was necessary.

“Once you say, ‘This is the minimum we need,’ then that becomes the starting point, so anything agreed to is less than that,” DeVore said. “That’s what I fear.”

Fox News Digital reached out to the IAEA asking whether the agency can currently account for Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile and whether it has any comment on the verification questions raised by the reported framework.

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