2026年6月18日 美国东部时间下午1:41 / 福克斯新闻
白宫当局承认此次押注存在风险,一名官员称“我们完全预期他们会撒谎”
作者:摩根·菲利普斯,福克斯新闻
美伊谅解备忘录细节披露
美国与伊朗签署了一份谅解备忘录,概述了伊朗在60天内遵守核项目处置要求,以换取制裁豁免和解冻被冻结资金的协议。唐纳德·特朗普总统警告称,如果伊朗行事不当,美国将采取军事行动,而福克斯新闻记者特雷·英吉斯特与中东论坛战略家吉姆·汉森将就该协议基于业绩的条款以及伊朗政权的经济和军事未来进行分析。
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特朗普政府与伊朗达成的新框架协议将给予德黑兰即时石油制裁豁免,同时将最关键的核问题推迟至未来谈判,官员们承认此次押注存在风险,因为他们预期伊朗可能不会遵守协议。
“我们完全预期他们会撒谎、会欺骗,”一名美国高级官员周三在与记者的电话会议上表示,并辩称任何最终协议都需要具备能够检测违约行为的核查与执行机制。
该协议确立了60天的谈判期,其基础是相信可以通过监督和执法阻止伊朗违反承诺。政府官员表示,如果伊朗不遵守协议,任何制裁豁免都可以收回,但批评人士认为,美国在最棘手的核问题得到解决之前就放弃了杠杆优势。
特朗普政府与伊朗达成的新框架协议将给予德黑兰即时石油制裁豁免。(阿里·穆罕默迪/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社)
特朗普政府公布拟议伊朗协议的全面条款
美国政府官员周三在与记者的电话会议上公布的谅解备忘录显示,美国财政部将立即发布豁免令,允许伊朗出口原油、石油产品及其衍生品,并获得相关的银行、保险和运输服务。
但该协议并未立即要求伊朗拆除其核项目、交出其浓缩铀库存或停止浓缩活动。相反,协议规定美国和伊朗将就伊朗浓缩铀库存的“处置”进行谈判,将在国际原子能机构监督下进行现场降浓确定为最低方法。
政府官员为这一条款作为早期核让步进行了辩护,称美国仍在推动更多要求。
“当然,这是一个缺陷,我们将争取更多。但他们同意这一点本身就是美国的一项重大、重大胜利,”一名美国高级官员在电话会议上表示。“他们表示将销毁浓缩库存,至少会按我们提议的方式来做。”
降浓会降低材料的浓缩水平,但不会将其从伊朗移除。
特朗普为该框架协议辩护,称其对于避免长期冲突、航运通道中断和市场冲击是必要的。
“如果我们不达成这项协议,我们本可以再投三周、两周、四周、两年的更多炸弹,”特朗普周三在法国埃维昂举行的七国集团峰会上表示。“霍尔木兹海峡永远不会开放……你的市场不仅不会上涨,反而会暴跌至前所未有的水平,或许除了1929年那次之外。”
特朗普为该框架协议辩护,称其对于避免长期冲突、航运通道中断和市场冲击是必要的。(伊夫林·霍克斯坦/路透社)
特朗普在漫长记者会上为战争协议辩护,就伊朗获得3000亿美元资金使用语义学辩解
“我不想看到经济灾难,”特朗普补充道。
该框架得到了南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆的支持,他是一位知名的伊朗强硬派人士,在与特别特使史蒂夫·维特科夫交谈后表示,他认为这项60天的协议将“有益”。
“美国能否就伊朗的核计划及其他问题与伊朗达成可接受、可核查的协议仍有待观察,但我认为尝试几乎没有坏处,”格雷厄姆说道。
其他人则批评该协议在伊朗尚未在核问题上达成任何具体协议之前就提供了制裁豁免。
“当你已经放弃了所有杠杆优势时,你怎么能指望伊朗在未来达成任何协议,更不用说在60天内了?”美国犹太国家安全研究所政策副总裁布莱斯·米兹塔尔告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
如果双方能在60天内达成最终协议,更广泛的制裁豁免、美军撤离以及3000亿美元重建基金也将纳入最终协议。
其他人则批评该协议在伊朗尚未在核问题上达成任何具体协议之前就提供了制裁豁免。(由IIPA via 盖蒂图片社拍摄)
那些反对战争的人士辩称,这份谅解备忘录是美国在冲突和封锁后所能达成的最佳协议。
“美国的谈判立场因战争而受损,而非因战争而受益,”国防优先事务组织中东项目主任罗斯玛丽·凯拉尼克告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
凯拉尼克表示,特朗普现在正通过提供即时制裁豁免和解冻与重新开放霍尔木兹海峡相关的资产,来“安抚伊朗,以恢复接近战前的现状”。
她认为,即时豁免是特朗普为了让伊朗相信他在谈判期间发动打击后真的致力于外交而必须付出的代价。
“这就像 earnest money(诚意金),对吧?”凯拉尼克说道。“这就像预付现金,表明他是认真的。这是一个代价高昂的信号,特朗普在谈判中断裂并轰炸伊朗,本质上迫使自己不得不做出这样的姿态。”
伊朗将这份谅解备忘录视为对华盛顿是否准备率先采取行动,而非仅仅提供保证的考验。
“不幸的是,必须承认,伊朗对美国的深切不信任源于美国领导人长期以来的错误行径,”伊朗外交部发言人伊斯梅尔·巴盖伊周一在新闻发布会上表示。“美国在赢得伊朗人民的信任方面还有很长的路要走。”
该备忘录将关键的核机制以及弹道导弹生产和代理资助等关键问题留待60天的谈判期内解决。
“我们已经在这项协议中看到,如果在60天内就核问题达成协议,那么该协议将比《联合全面行动计划》(JCPOA)更弱,”米兹塔尔说道,他指的是奥巴马时代的核协议《联合全面行动计划》。
根据《联合全面行动计划》,伊朗被要求大幅减少其铀库存,包括将多余材料转移出该国。米兹塔尔表示,新协议的现场降浓最低标准表明,伊朗的铀可能仍会留在伊朗境内。
“这首先意味着没有铀离开伊朗,而这在《联合全面行动计划》下是发生过的,”他说道。
该协议还保证在60天内霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运免费通行,同时伊朗、阿曼和海湾国家将就该水道的管理和海事服务制定长期框架。
防卫民主基金会高级主任贝赫南·塔布莱鲁警告称,这一条款引发了担忧,即伊朗在展示其扰乱全球航运的能力后,可能会在监管这条关键国际水道方面获得一席之地。
“我的意思是,不仅要收取通行费,还要监管这条关键的国际水道,”塔布莱鲁说道。“毫无疑问,霍尔木兹海峡需要对所有人开放,而不仅仅是伊朗及其盟友能够施压的那些国家。”
“如果不能保证航行自由,伊斯兰共和国将逐步削弱海湾国家的决心,基本上试图再次在这条海峡炫耀武力,”他补充道。
该协议还呼吁美国和地区伙伴为伊朗制定一项价值至少3000亿美元的重建和经济发展计划。美国官员强调,该条款并不要求美国纳税人出资,但批评人士表示,任何资金流都可能为伊朗政权将资源用于其他优先事项腾出空间。
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“无论是中国资金、美国资金还是阿联酋资金,这都不重要,”塔布莱鲁说道。“他们获得的资金越多,就越不需要为资源竞争,就越能资助他们想要资助的项目。”
如果谈判在60天内破裂,特朗普已将恢复军事压力重新摆上桌面。“如果我们认为他们只是在拖延我们,在骗我们,那么我们会很快终止协议,”一名高级政府官员说道。
Trump Iran framework gambles on diplomacy despite warning Tehran will ‘lie and cheat’
June 18, 2026 1:41pm EDT / Fox News
Administration acknowledges the gamble, with one official saying ‘we come in with the full expectation that they will lie’
By Morgan Phillips, Fox News
Details revealed about the US-Iran memorandum of understanding
The U.S. and Iran signed a memorandum of understanding, outlining a 60-day period for Iran to comply with nuclear program disposal in exchange for sanctions relief and access to frozen funds. President Donald Trump warned of military action if Iran misbehaves, while Fox News correspondent Trey Yingst and Middle East Forum strategist Jim Hanson analyze the deal’s performance-based conditions and the regime’s economic and military future.
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The Trump administration’s new framework with Iran grants Tehran immediate oil sanctions waivers while postponing the most consequential nuclear questions for future negotiations, a gamble officials acknowledge carries risks because they expect Iran may not comply.
“We come in with the full expectation that they will lie and they will cheat,” one senior U.S. official said on a call with reporters Wednesday, arguing that any final agreement would require a verification and enforcement mechanism capable of detecting violations.
The agreement, which establishes a 60-day negotiating period, rests on a bet that Iran can be deterred from violating its commitments through monitoring and enforcement. Administration officials say any sanctions waivers can be clawed back if Iran fails to comply, while critics argue the U.S. is giving up leverage before the toughest nuclear issues have been resolved.
The Trump administration’s new framework with Iran grants Tehran immediate oil sanctions waivers .(Ali Mohammadi/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
TRUMP ADMINISTRATION UNVEILS SWEEPING TERMS OF PROPOSED IRAN AGREEMENT
The memorandum of understanding, unveiled by administration officials on a call with reporters Wednesday, says the Treasury Department will immediately issue waivers allowing Iran to export crude oil, petroleum products and derivatives, as well as access associated banking, insurance and transportation services.
But the agreement does not immediately require Iran to dismantle its nuclear program, surrender its enriched uranium stockpile or end enrichment. Instead, the deal says the U.S. and Iran will negotiate the “disposition” of Iran’s enriched uranium stockpile, with down-blending on site under International Atomic Energy Agency supervision identified as the minimum methodology.
Administration officials defended that language as an early nuclear concession, saying the U.S. continues to push for more.
“Of course that’s a flaw and we will push for more than that. But the fact that they’re conceding to that is a major, major win for the United States of America,” one senior U.S. official said on the call. “They’re saying we will destroy the enriched stockpile, and this is how we’re going to do it at a minimum.”
Down-blending would reduce the enrichment level of the material, but would not remove it from Iran.
Trump has defended the framework as necessary to avoid a prolonged conflict, closed shipping lanes and a market shock.
“If we didn’t do this deal, we could have dropped more bombs for another three weeks, two weeks, four weeks, two years,” Trump said Wednesday at the G7 summit in Évian, France. “You would never have the Hormuz Strait open … Your market would have, instead of going up, would go down at levels that nobody ever saw before, maybe except for 1929.”
Trump has defended the framework as necessary to avoid a prolonged conflict, closed shipping lanes and a market shock.(Evelyn Hockstein/Reuters)
TRUMP DEFENDS WAR DEAL IN MARATHON PRESSER, USING SEMANTICS ON WHY IRAN IS GETTING $300 BILLION
“I did not want to see economic catastrophe,” Trump added.
The framework drew support from Sen. Lindsey Graham, R-S.C., a prominent Iran hawk who said after speaking with special envoy Steve Witkoff that he thought the 60-day agreement would be “beneficial.”
“Whether or not the United States can reach an acceptable, verifiable deal with Iran regarding its nuclear program and other issues is yet to be determined, but I see little downside to trying,” Graham said.
Others criticized the deal for offering sanctions relief before Iran had agreed to anything concrete on the nuclear front.
“How do you expect Iran to agree to anything in the future, let alone within 60 days, when you’ve given up all your leverage?” Blaise Misztal, vice president for policy at the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, told Fox News Digital.
Broader sanctions relief, a withdrawal of U.S. forces and a $300 billion reconstruction fund are also contemplated as part of a final deal if both sides can reach one within 60 days.
Others criticized the deal for offering sanctions relief before Iran had agreed to anything concrete on the nuclear front.(Photo by IIPA via Getty Images)
Those who opposed the war now argue that the memorandum is the best deal the U.S. can get after the conflict and blockade.
“The U.S. bargaining position was hurt by the war, not helped by it,” Rosemary Kelanic, director of the Middle East program at Defense Priorities, told Fox News Digital.
Kelanic said Trump is now “buying off Iran to return to something approaching the pre-war status quo” by offering immediate sanctions waivers and unfreezing assets tied to the reopening of the Strait of Hormuz.
She argued that the immediate waivers are the price Trump has to pay to convince Iran he is serious about diplomacy after launching strikes during negotiations.
“This is like earnest money, right?” Kelanic said. “It’s like upfront cash that shows that he really means it. It’s a costly signal that Trump essentially forced himself to have to make by breaking off negotiations and bombing Iran in the middle of them.”
Iran has framed the memorandum as a test of whether Washington is prepared to act first, rather than simply offer assurances.
“Unfortunately, it must be acknowledged that Iran’s deep mistrust of the United States stems from a long history of wrongdoing by American leaders,” Iran foreign ministry spokesman Esmaeil Baqaei said Monday in a press briefing. “The United States still has a long way to go before it can earn the trust of the Iranian people.”
The memorandum leaves the key nuclear mechanics to be worked out during the 60-day period, as well as key issues like ballistic missile production and proxy funding.
“What we have in this deal already suggests that if there is a deal in 60 days on the nuclear issue, that deal is going to be weaker than the JCPOA,” Misztal said, referring to the Obama-era nuclear deal known as the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action.
Under the JCPOA, Iran was required to sharply reduce its uranium stockpile, including by removing excess material from the country. Misztal said the new agreement’s minimum standard of down-blending on site suggests Iranian uranium may remain inside Iran.
“That means first of all, no uranium is leaving Iran, which happened under the JCPOA,” he said.
The agreement also guarantees toll-free commercial transit through the Strait of Hormuz for 60 days while Iran, Oman and Gulf states discuss a longer-term framework for administration and maritime services in the waterway.
Behnam Taleblu, senior director at the Foundation for Defense of Democracies, warned that the provision raises concerns that Iran could gain a role in regulating a critical international waterway after demonstrating its ability to disrupt global shipping.
“I mean, not just charge a toll, but regulate the crucial international waterway,” Taleblu said. “There can be no doubt over the fact that the Strait of Hormuz needs to be open and open to all, not just whomever Iran and Iran plus its friends can pressure others into.”
“If there is no guarantee of freedom of navigation, the Islamic Republic is going to salami slice the resolve of the Gulf countries and basically try to throw its weight around in this strait again,” he added.
The agreement also calls for the U.S. and regional partners to develop a reconstruction and economic development plan for Iran worth at least $300 billion. U.S. officials have stressed that the provision does not require American taxpayer money, but critics said any funding stream could free up regime resources for other priorities.
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“It doesn’t matter if it’s Chinese money or American money or United Arab Emirates money,” Taleblu said. “The more they have access, the less they have to compete over resources and more they can fund what they want to fund.”
If negotiations collapse during the 60 days, Trump has left resuming military pressure back on the table. “If we think that they’re just dragging us along and kind of bulls**ting us, then we’ll be very quick to pull the plug,” a senior administration official said.
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