乌克兰纵深打击令俄罗斯防空导弹短缺,消耗速度或达“不可持续水平”


2026年6月17日 美国东部时间10:14 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻(CBS News)

撰稿
更新于:2026年6月17日 美国东部时间上午10:16 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻(CBS News)

基辅专电——消息人士向哥伦比亚广播公司新闻透露,俄罗斯正面临一款关键防空导弹拦截弹的短缺问题,这可能有助于乌克兰对俄罗斯境内纵深目标发起有效打击。多名分析人士指出,开战四年半多以来,战场局势可能正朝着有利于基辅的方向转变。

三名熟悉乌克兰情报评估的乌克兰官员向CBS新闻表示,俄罗斯的S-300导弹拦截弹正出现短缺。S-300是苏联在20世纪60至70年代研发的地对空导弹系统,长期以来一直是俄罗斯应对巡航导弹和弹道导弹防空体系的核心组成部分。

在对乌克兰的特别军事行动中,俄罗斯已转而使用更先进的拦截弹执行此类任务,包括较新型号的S-350、S-400以及“铠甲-S1”防空系统。但S-300仍是莫斯科抵御乌克兰导弹和无人机袭击的防御力量的一部分。

据乌克兰新声音报(The New Voice of Ukraine)报道,乌克兰情报部门2025年的评估显示,俄罗斯当时为S-300PM和S-400防空系统储备了400多枚拦截弹。

image
2022年8月17日摄于莫斯科郊外爱国者公园的国际军事技术论坛上,俄军S-300V导弹发射车正在进行演示。供图:Getty Images 特约摄影师

本周向CBS新闻透露消息的乌克兰官员未明确俄罗斯目前仍拥有多少拦截弹,但他们指出“俄罗斯S-300地对空导弹的库存有所减少”,并提出了几种可能的解释。

两名官员透露,尽管S-300原本仅用于防空,但俄罗斯军方近期已将其改装用于对乌克兰的进攻性打击。这意味着需要重新调整其飞行轨迹,使其充当地对地导弹,以补充“伊斯坎德尔-M”和“匕首”弹道导弹等其他俄罗斯武器系统。

乌克兰还通过迫使俄军拦截多批次更先进的新型无人机,进一步消耗了俄罗斯的库存,其中部分无人机配备喷气发动机,比老式型号速度更快、航程更远。这导致俄罗斯不得不动用原本用于抵御乌克兰导弹袭击的拦截弹。

分析人士表示,乌克兰还通过直接打击俄罗斯防空系统来加剧其弹药短缺问题。

美国外交政策研究所的俄罗斯军事专家罗布·李表示:“过去几个月来,乌克兰在被占领土——包括克里米亚、德涅斯特河沿岸、卢甘斯克以及其他地区——摧毁或瞄准了大量防空系统。由于乌克兰在某些情况下生产远程无人机的速度超过俄罗斯生产防空导弹的速度,俄罗斯的许多防空导弹正以极快的速度被消耗,达到了某种不可持续的速率。”

对俄罗斯而言,补充库存可能颇具挑战。一名乌克兰官员告诉CBS新闻,莫斯科在制造拦截弹所需的关键部件——包括导引头和控制模块——方面存在缺口。该官员表示,长期遭受严厉制裁的俄罗斯正难以从西方和中国制造商手中获取此类部件。

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-war-rages-on-as-ukraine-generals-claim-advances-against-putins-troops/

乌克兰情报官员警告称,俄罗斯仍拥有其他性能出色、更为现代化的防空系统用于防御打击。

乌克兰国防情报总局(GUR)代理局长奥莱赫·乔尔尼向CBS新闻透露,莫斯科正优先“为更现代化的防空系统生产导弹”,以抵御乌克兰的无人机袭击。

乌克兰自身也面临防空难题。基辅今年就美国提供的PAC-3拦截弹短缺问题发出警告,该型拦截弹是对抗俄罗斯弹道导弹最可靠的防御手段。

挪威国防研究所的法比安·霍夫曼估计,俄罗斯可能很快将其弹道导弹年产量提升至600枚,甚至800枚。而为乌克兰提供PAC-3拦截弹的洛克希德·马丁公司去年全球交付量仅为620枚。

尽管如此,有关俄罗斯防空导弹短缺的情报分析,是在更广泛的战场局势评估中出现的,即局势正朝着有利于基辅的方向转变。

乌克兰总统弗拉基米尔·泽连斯基本周在法国会见七国集团领导人期间,乌克兰发动的无人机袭击了俄罗斯境内深处的一座炼油厂。

泽连斯基表示:“这一次,莫斯科地区感受到了乌克兰远程打击能力的威慑。必须迫使俄罗斯结束对我国人民的战争,而乌克兰的远程武器正是施加此类压力的重要手段之一。”

Ukraine’s deep strikes leaving Russia short on air defense missiles, possibly at an “unsustainable rate”

2026-06-17 10:14 EDT / CBS News

By

Updated on: June 17, 2026 / 10:16 AM EDT / CBS News

Kyiv — Russia is running low on a key type of missile interceptor, sources tell CBS News, which could be helping Ukraine launch effective strikes deeper inside Russian territory as analysts note a possible changing of the tide in Kyiv’s favor more than four and a half years into the war.

Moscow is experiencing a shortage of S-300 missile interceptors, three Ukrainian officials familiar with the country’s intelligence estimates have told CBS News. The S-300, a surface-to-air missile system designed by the Soviet Union during the 1960s and 70s, has traditionally served as a vital component of Russia’s air defenses against cruise and ballistic missiles.

Throughout its war on Ukraine, Russia has turned to more advanced interceptors for that purpose, including the newer S-350, S-400 and Pantsir-S1 systems. But the S-300s have remained part of Moscow’s defenses against Ukrainian missile and drone strikes.

In 2025, estimates from Ukraine’s intelligence services reported by The New Voice of Ukraine suggested Russia had more than 400 interceptors on hand for S-300PM and S-400 air defense systems.

A Russian S-300V missile launcher operates during a show at the International Military Technical Forum, in an Aug. 17, 2022 file photo taken in Patriot Park, outside of Moscow, Russia. Contributor/Getty

The Ukrainian officials who spoke with CBS News this week did not specify how many interceptors Russia is still believed to have, but they noted a “reduction in Russia’s stockpile of S-300 surface-to-air missiles,” and suggested several possible explanations.

While traditionally used exclusively for air defense, Russia’s military has recently repurposed S-300s for offensive strikes on Ukraine, according to two officials. This has meant reconfiguring their trajectory so they work as surface-to-surface missiles, supplementing other Russian weapons systems such as the Iskander-M and Kinzhal ballistic missiles.

Ukraine has also depleted Russia’s stocks by forcing it to try and intercept regular volleys of newer, more capable drones, including some equipped with jet engines that are faster and fly further than older models. That has led Russia to expend interceptors it might otherwise have reserved to defend itself against Ukrainian missiles.

Ukraine has sought to exacerbate the shortages by directly targeting Russia’s air defenses, analysts say.

“In the last few months, Ukraine has destroyed or targeted a large number of air defense systems in the occupied areas — in Crimea, in Dniester, Luhansk, and elsewhere,” said Rob Lee, a Russian military expert at the Foreign Policy Research Institute. “Many of Russia’s air defense missiles are being used up very rapidly, at a kind of unsustainable rate, because Ukraine can produce more deep strike drones than Russia can, in some cases, produce air defense missiles.”

Replenishing stocks may prove challenging for Russia. One Ukrainian official told CBS News that Moscow lacks key components to build interceptor missiles — including guidance seekers and control modules. The official said Russia, long under heavy sanctions, is encountering difficulties in obtaining such components from Western and Chinese manufacturers.

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/russia-war-rages-on-as-ukraine-generals-claim-advances-against-putins-troops/

Ukrainian intelligence officials cautioned that Russia still has other capable, more modern air defense systems to defend against strikes.

Moscow prioritizes “producing missiles for the more modern” air defense systems to counter Ukrainian drone attacks, Oleh Chornyi, the acting head of the Defense Intelligence of Ukraine (GUR), told CBS News.

And Ukraine has air defense problems of its own. Kyiv has sounded the alarm this year on its shortage of American PAC-3 interceptors, which are the most reliable defense against Russia’s ballistic missiles.

Fabian Hoffman at the Norwegian Institute for Defense Studies estimates that Russia may soon ramp up its production of ballistic missiles to 600 or even 800 per year. Lockheed Martin, which makes the PAC-3 interceptors used by Ukraine, only delivered 620 worldwide last year.

Still, the intelligence analysis suggesting Russian shortages comes amid wider assessments of a shift in favor of Kyiv on the battlefield.

As Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelenskyy met G7 leaders in France this week, drones launched by his country struck an oil refinery deep inside Russia.

“This time, the Moscow region felt the reach of Ukraine’s long-range capabilities,” Zelenskyy said. “Russia must be forced to end its war against our people, and Ukraine’s long-range weapons are one of the important components of such pressure.”

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注