2026年6月14日 美国东部时间下午5:16 / 福克斯新闻
反恐专家表示，该政权正通过将领导人安葬为“胜利者而非受害者”来重新定义冲突
作者：艾玛·巴西，福克斯新闻
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6390651549112
任命阿里·哈梅内伊之子为伊朗新最高领袖可能是冲突远未结束的信号
福克斯新闻记者内特·福伊在《特别报道》中就以色列持续面临导弹和无人机袭击一事，报道了伊朗选择新最高领袖的相关情况。
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伊朗将于7月为最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊举行葬礼，这是一场高风险的赌注：伊朗方面确信与美国达成的任何初步和平协议都将得以维持，但这场葬礼可能会成为德黑兰最孤立的一批领导人聚集的“目标密集”场合，一名反恐专家周日警告称。
据路透社报道，伊朗国家媒体于6月13日宣布了这场为期多天的国葬，葬礼定于7月4日在德黑兰启动，7月9日在圣城马什哈德举行哈梅内伊的下葬仪式。
乔治·华盛顿大学极端主义研究项目反犹太主义研究倡议主任奥马尔·穆罕默德博士表示，此次葬礼的时机是有意向美国发出的信息。
“这场大规模葬礼是该政权能举办的目标最密集的活动，而如今他们只有在确信不会遭到袭击时才会冒险举办，”穆罕默德告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
伊朗为在以色列行动中遇害的高级指挥官和核科学家举行葬礼
2026年4月15日，一名驾车者路过德黑兰街头的横幅，横幅上印有伊朗已故最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊及其儿子穆赫塔巴·哈梅内伊的画像。（法新社/盖蒂图片社）
“但举办这场葬礼本身就是传递的信息，这一信息不仅针对伊朗民众，同样针对美国。”
此次宣布葬礼的时机恰逢一项重大外交突破：美国总统唐纳德·特朗普宣布，预计将于周日与德黑兰签署和平协议。
“该政权可以签署一份保留自身影响力的协议，随后将其领导人作为赢得协议的胜利者安葬，”穆罕默德说道。
“周六，在巴基斯坦表示协议最终文本已达成、签署在即之际，他们宣布了葬礼计划，这表明他们押注停火将持续到7月。”
哈梅内伊于2月28日在美以对伊朗发动的首轮空袭中身亡，结束了其长达36年的伊朗最高领袖任期，享年86岁。
专家表示，伊朗政权利用自2月空袭以来的四个月时间，彻底重塑了冲突的叙事。
“哈梅内伊将以被美国谋杀的身份入土，那么这份协议就只是战术性的暂停——复仇只是被推迟，而非被放弃，”穆罕默德评价道。“更深层次的逻辑是，你要将领导人作为胜利者而非受害者下葬。”
“他们现在可以将这场葬礼打造成战争胜利的纪念碑：这位殉道的伊玛目将被安葬，他的抵抗迫使美国做出了让步，”穆罕默德补充道。
“这四个月的拖延不仅是出于安全考量，更是在等待一个合适的时机来安葬他。”
关于伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊你需要知道的一切
2026年3月1日，哈梅内伊在美以空袭中身亡的消息公布后，支持者聚集在巴格达萨德尔区，手持伊朗国旗和阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊的海报。（穆尔塔达·苏达尼/安纳多卢通讯社）
在德黑兰举行为期三天的公开悼念仪式后，游行队伍将于7月7日前往宗教中心库姆，最终于7月9日在马什哈德结束。
分析人士指出，葬礼日期大量借用了什叶派宗教仪式的标志性元素，恰好落在神圣的哀悼月穆哈兰姆月期间。
“这也是一场精心编排的悲情剧，并非偶然安排的日程，因为日期落在了以伊玛目侯赛因在卡尔巴拉殉道为核心的什叶派哀悼月穆哈兰姆月，而7月9日的下葬时间则恰逢另一位伊玛目殉道的前夜，”穆罕默德说道。
“灵柩将被安放在马什哈德的礼萨伊玛目清真寺——这是12位伊玛目中唯一安葬在伊朗的一位，也是伊朗什叶派最神圣的场所——这将为该政权提供一个永久性的殉道者圣地和多年的动员基地。”
穆罕默德指出，将开幕式安排在美国独立日250周年纪念日当天，带有明确的地缘政治信号。
“该政权本可以选择穆哈兰姆月的其他日期，但至少这是他们乐于传递的信息；很可能这就是目的所在——在美国庆祝建国250周年之际，伊朗为被美国杀害的领导人举行葬礼开幕式，并将其称为胜利的开端。”
致命精英“黑衣”暗杀小队护卫伊朗新最高领袖穆赫塔巴·哈梅内伊
伊朗最高领袖穆赫塔巴·哈梅内伊的肖像画面。（福克斯新闻）
这场公开的多城市葬礼路线，给伊朗新领导层带来了巨大的安全隐患。
哈梅内伊的儿子兼继任者穆赫塔巴·哈梅内伊自战争爆发以来，因针对性的安全威胁和据称受伤的原因，一直完全隐藏行踪。
“按照所有传统，儿子应主持祈祷仪式并站在坟墓旁；这是确认继承合法性的举动，”穆罕默德指出。
“但穆赫塔巴自战争爆发以来从未公开露面，通过信使管理国家，且本身就是被指定的目标——而葬礼是提前公布的时间和地点。对于一个每一次被证实露面都会暴露坐标的人来说，7月9日在马什哈德将是他执政以来最危险的一次公开露面。”
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“该政权陷入了两难境地：他们需要让儿子出现在父亲的坟墓旁，以确认王朝的合法性，但将他暴露在那里会比以往任何时候都更加危险，”穆罕默德总结道。
“如果他露面，这将是他首次公开亮相，是一场赌博；如果他不露面，王朝的合法性则会通过缺席的方式得到确认。”
艾玛·巴西是福克斯新闻数字频道的突发新闻撰稿人。加入福克斯新闻之前，她曾在《每日电讯报》美国夜班团队工作，涉及外交、政治、新闻、体育和文化等多个部门。
Khamenei’s ‘target-rich’ funeral is Iran’s biggest security gamble, sends message to US: expert
June 14, 2026 5:16pm EDT / Fox News
Counterterrorism expert says the regime is reframing the conflict by burying its leader as a ‘victor, not a victim’
By Emma Bussey, Fox News
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6390651549112
Appointment Ali Khamenei’s son as new Iranian supreme leader may be a sign conflict is far from done
Fox News correspondent Nate Foy reports on Iran choosing a new Supreme Leader as Israel continues to face missile and drone attacks on ‘Special Report.’
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Iran’s decision to hold a July funeral for Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei is a high-stakes bet that any emerging peace deal with the United States will hold, potentially creating a “target-rich” gathering of Tehran’s most isolated leaders, a counterterrorism expert warned Sunday.
The multi-day state funeral, announced by Iranian state media on June 13, is scheduled to begin in Tehran on July 4 and end with Khamenei’s burial in the holy city of Mashhad on July 9, Reuters reported.
According to Dr. Omar Mohammed, director of the Antisemitism Research Initiative at the Program on Extremism at George Washington University, the timing serves as a deliberate message to America.
“A mass funeral is the most target-rich event this regime could stage, and now they would not risk one until they are confident it wouldn’t be hit,” Mohammed told Fox News Digital.
IRAN HOLDS FUNERAL FOR TOP COMMANDERS, NUCLEAR SCIENTISTS KILLED IN ISRAELI OPERATION
A motorist rides past a banner featuring images of Iran’s slain Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his son Mojtaba Khamenei along a street in Tehran on April 15, 2026.(AFP/Getty Images)
“But it is the staging of this funeral that is the message, and the message is aimed at America as much as at Iranians.”
The announcement also coincided with a major diplomatic breakthrough, coming as President Donald Trump announced that a peace deal with Tehran is expected to be signed Sunday.
“The regime could sign a deal that lets it keep its leverage, then bury its leader as the victor who won it,” Mohammed said.
“Announcing the funeral Saturday as Pakistan said the final text of a deal was reached and signing is close, is their bet that the ceasefire holds into July.”
Khamenei was killed on Feb. 28 during the opening salvo of U.S. and Israeli airstrikes against Iran, ending a 36-year tenure leading the Islamic Republic. He was 86.
Experts say the regime is using the four-month delay since the February strikes to completely reframe the narrative of the conflict.
“Khamenei goes into the ground as a man America murdered, so the deal becomes a tactical pause — revenge deferred, not abandoned,” Mohammed observed. “The deeper logic is that you bury the leader as a victor, not a victim.”
“They can now stage the funeral as the war’s victory monument: the martyred Imam laid to rest as the man whose resistance forced America to terms,” Mohammed added.
“The four-month delay was not only security. It was waiting for a win to bury him.”
EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW ABOUT AYATOLLAH ALI KHAMENEI, SUPREME LEADER OF IRAN
Supporters gather in Baghdad’s Sadr district holding Iranian flags and posters of Ayatollah Ali Khamenei following the announcement that he was killed in U.S.-Israeli attacks on March 1, 2026.(Murtadha Al-Sudani/Anadolu)
Following three days of public ceremonies in Tehran, the procession will move to the clerical heartland of Qom on July 7 before concluding in Mashhad on July 9.
Analysts note the dates heavily leverage deep Shia religious iconography, falling directly within the holy mourning month of Muharram.
“This is also a staged passion play, not a schedule because the dates fall within Muharram, the Shia mourning month centered on Imam Hussein’s martyrdom at Karbala, and the burial on July 9 is timed to the eve of another Imam’s martyrdom,” Mohammed said.
“The body goes into the Imam Reza shrine in Mashhad — the only one of the 12 Imams buried in Iran, and the holiest site in Iranian Shiism — giving the regime a permanent martyr’s shrine and mobilization site for years.”
Mohammed noted that scheduling the opening ceremonies on the 250th anniversary of America’s Independence Day carries deliberate geopolitical signaling.
“The regime had room to choose which Muharram days and, at a minimum, it’s a message they are happy to broadcast; very possibly it’s the point — while America marks 250 years, Iran opens the funeral of the leader America killed and calls it the beginning of its victory.”
LETHAL ELITE ‘BLACK-CLAD’ KILL SQUAD GUARDS IRAN’S NEW SUPREME LEADER MOJTABA KHAMENEI
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is shown in a portrait image.(Fox News)
The highly public, multi-city route presents a massive security vulnerability for Iran’s new leadership.
Khamenei’s son and successor, Mojtaba Khamenei, has remained entirely in hiding due to targeted security threats and reported injury since the war began.
“By every tradition, the son leads the prayers and stands at the grave; it is the act that consecrates the succession,” Mohammed noted.
“But Mojtaba has not appeared in public since the war began, runs the country by courier, and is a designated target — and a funeral is a pre-announced time and place. For a man whose every confirmed sighting is a coordinate, July 9 in Mashhad is the most dangerous appointment of his rule.”
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“The regime is boxed: It needs the son at the father’s grave to crown the dynasty, but putting him there exposes him as never before,” Mohammed concluded.
“If he appears, it’s his first sighting and a gamble; if he doesn’t, the dynasty is consecrated by an absence.”
Emma Bussey is a breaking news writer for Fox News Digital. Before joining Fox, she worked at The Telegraph with the U.S. overnight team, across desks including foreign, politics, news, sport and culture.
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