2026-06-12T10:02:56.175Z / 路透社
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摘要
- 路透社/益普索民调显示，特朗普在福音派基督徒中的支持率下滑
- 部分福音派信徒基于信仰反对特朗普的伊朗政策和移民政策
- 另一些人则支持特朗普，称其捍卫以色列的做法符合圣经先例
华盛顿6月12日路透电 – 路透社/益普索的一项民调发现，约半数福音派基督徒——唐纳德·特朗普总统核心选民基础的重要组成部分——认为其政府对伊朗的战争策略和移民执法举措不符合他们对基督教教义的理解。
福音派信徒曾助力这位共和党人赢得2024年大选，特朗普及其包括国防部长皮特·赫格斯在内的高级官员经常在阐述其目标和政策时使用宗教话语。共和党将在11月的中期选举中依靠他们，届时该党将捍卫其在美国参议院和众议院中微弱的多数席位。
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在6月3日至8日进行的民调中，约54%的福音派信徒表示，特朗普对伊朗动用军事力量的做法不符合他们对基督教教义的理解，41%的人认为此举符合教义。约51%的福音派信徒表示，政府的移民政策方针不符合基督教价值观，44%的人认为符合。
整体而言，特朗普在福音派信徒中的支持率在最新民调中为52%，较8月的61%有所下降，但仍远高于其在所有美国成年人中35%的支持率。
近几个月来，他的支持率普遍下滑，原因是不得人心的伊朗战争推高了汽油价格。
在特朗普的第一任期内，他推动美国最高法院确立了6比3的保守派多数席位，这实现了许多美国福音派信徒长期以来的目标，随后最高法院推翻了确立全国堕胎权的裁决。
在第二任期内，他定期邀请宗教领袖进入椭圆形办公室，并修改政策，允许联邦雇员在工作中宣扬自己的宗教观点。
皮尤研究中心的出口民调分析显示，福音派信徒中倾向共和党的比例超过二比一，特朗普在2024年大选中以81%比16%的优势赢得了白人福音派选民的支持。
白宫发言人泰勒·罗杰斯表示，特朗普通过捍卫宗教权利和赦免因犯罪被定罪的反堕胎活动人士，为信仰群体带来了切实成果。“对于美国基督徒来说，从未有过比特朗普总统更伟大的总统，”泰勒说道。
中期选举临近
这一关键选民群体内部的分歧，可能会加剧共和党在中期选举中面临的逆风。
63岁的福音派基督徒桑迪·米勒表示，如果有机会，她不会再投票给特朗普。她住在印第安纳州沃辛顿，一个人口约1400的小镇，她需要照顾一名24岁的女儿，其家庭医疗保健医疗补助福利在特朗普任内被削减。
但她说，相比自身经济状况，信仰才是影响她投票选择的因素。她表示，特朗普可能是基督徒，但并未展现出基督徒的样子。
“我只是不认为发动战争能一直解决所有问题，”米勒说，“我理解有时不得不这么做，但我不确定这次是否有必要开战。”
米勒表示，她每晚都祈祷国家领导人能够寻求上帝的旨意。“我希望我们的政客多祈祷，少空谈，”她说。
路透社/益普索的民调共调查了全美4531名美国成年人，其结果的误差幅度为正负2个百分点。
福音派信徒还对特朗普在生活成本问题上的处理方式给出了低分。
美国和以色列于2月28日开启对伊朗的战争，以确保伊朗政府无法全面研发核武器。尽管战争对家庭财务造成了影响，但特朗普誓言将不惜一切代价阻止伊朗获得核武器。
据官方和非政府组织消息，已有数千人在伊朗战争中丧生，其中仅伊朗就有超过3000人，人权组织称这一数字接近3600人，另有黎巴嫩超过1800人死亡，伊拉克超过100人死亡。
许多福音派信徒认为，美国有道义上的义务保护以色列这个美国在中东的关键盟友。
77岁的康妮·里斯是爱荷华州的福音派选民，她在接受路透社后续采访时表示，他支持特朗普对伊朗的战争符合圣经先例，各国政府有权进行预防性自卫。尽管他表示并不总是赞同以色列政府的做法，但犹太民族“对其家园拥有历史依据”。
“以色列这个国家的重建，是对圣经中明确阐述的预言的应验，”他说，“因此在这方面，我支持以色列作为一个自由和主权国家。”
戴维·胡德-纽尼奥、胡利奥·塞萨尔-查韦斯和杰森·朗 报道；斯科特·马龙和迪帕·巴宾顿 编辑
我们的准则：汤姆森路透社信任原则。
Evangelicals divided on Trump’s war in Iran, immigration crackdown, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
2026-06-12T10:02:56.175Z / Reuters
U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks in the East Room of the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., May 22, 2026. REUTERS/Evelyn Hockstein Purchase Licensing Rights, opens new tab
Summary
Companies
- Reuters/Ipsos poll shows declining support for Trump among evangelical Christians
- Some evangelicals cite faith-based opposition to Trump’s Iran and immigration policies
- Others support Trump, citing biblical precedent for defending Israel
WASHINGTON, June 12 (Reuters) – About half of evangelical Christians – a core component of President Donald Trump’s political base – believe his administration’s approach to the Iran war and immigration enforcement is not in line with their understanding of Christianity, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
Evangelicals helped power the Republican’s 2024 election victory, and Trump and his top officials including Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth have regularly used religious language in describing their goals and policies. Republicans will be counting on them in the November midterm elections, when they will be defending thin majorities in the U.S. Senate and House of Representatives.
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Some 54% of evangelicals in the June 3-8 poll said Trump’s use of the military in Iran was not in line with their understanding of Christianity, while 41% said it was in line with it. Some 51% of evangelicals said the administration’s approach to immigration policy was not in line with Christian values, with 44% saying it was.
Overall, Trump’s approval rating among evangelicals stood at 52% in the latest poll, down from 61% in August but well above his 35% approval rating among all U.S. adults.
His approval rating has broadly fallen in recent months as the unpopular Iran war pushed gasoline prices sharply higher.
During his first term in office, Trump helped to secure a longstanding goal of many evangelical Americans by installing a 6-3 conservative majority on the Supreme Court, which then overturned a decision that had established a nationwide right to abortion.
In his second term, he has regularly invited faith leaders into the Oval Office and changed policies to allow federal employees to promote their religious views at work.
Evangelicals in particular skew Republican by more than two-to-one and Trump won the white evangelical vote 81%-16% in 2024, according to an exit poll analysis by the Pew Research Center.
White House spokeswoman Taylor Rogers said Trump has delivered to people of faith by defending religious rights and pardoning anti-abortion activists convicted of crimes. “There has never been a greater president for Christian Americans than President Trump,” Taylor said.
MIDTERMS APPROACHING
Cracks in the key voting bloc could add to the headwinds facing the Republican Party in the midterm elections.
Evangelical Christian Sandy Miller, 63, said she wouldn’t vote for him again if she had the opportunity. She lives in Worthington, Indiana, a small town of roughly 1,400, and takes care of a 24-year-old daughter whose home-healthcare Medicaid benefits were cut under Trump.
But more than her financial situation, she said her faith influences who she votes for. She said that Trump is probably a Christian but doesn’t show it.
“I just don’t think waging war is the answer to everything all the time,” Miller said. “I understand sometimes you have to, but I don’t know in this instance that it needed to be done.”
Miller said she prays every night that the country’s leaders will seek God’s will. “I wish our politicians would pray more than they talk,” she said.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll surveyed 4,531 U.S. adults nationwide and its results had a margin of error of 2 percentage points in either direction.
Evangelicals also give Trump low marks on his handling of the cost of living.
The U.S. and Israel began the war in Iran on February 28 to ensure the Iranian government does not fully develop a nuclear weapon. Despite the war’s impact on household finances, Trump has vowed to stop Iran from getting nuclear weapons at any cost.
Thousands of people have died in the Iran war, including more than 3,000 in Iran alone, with rights groups putting the figure closer to 3,600, alongside over 1,800 deaths in Lebanon and more than 100 in Iraq, according to official and NGO sources.
Many evangelicals believe the U.S. has a moral obligation to protect Israel, a key U.S. ally in the Middle East.
Connie Reese, 77, an evangelical voter who lives in Iowa, said in a follow-up interview with Reuters that his support for Trump’s war in Iran has biblical precedent, and that governments have the right to preemptively defend themselves. Although he said he doesn’t always agree with the government of Israel, the Jewish people have “historical grounds for their homeland.”
“The re-establishment of Israel, the country, is a prophetic answer or an answer to a prophecy that is clearly spelled out in the word of God,” he said. “So in that regard, I support Israel as a free and sovereign nation.”
Reporting by David Hood-Nuño, Julio Cesar-Chavez and Jason Lange; editing by Scott Malone and Deepa Babington
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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