2026-06-10T14:31:00-0400 / https://www.cbsnews.com/news/when-will-the-iran-war-end-what-trump-has-said/
从2月美以对伊朗开战以来，特朗普总统就一直坚称战争即将结束。他还不断给出从数天到数周不等的作战时长预期。
如今15周过去了——比他最初预估的4至5周时长超出了两倍多——结束这场战争依然遥遥无期。特朗普总统有时会改口描述这场冲突，曾将其称为一场“短期行动”而非战争。4月双方达成了并不稳固的停火协议后，特朗普、国务卿马可·卢比奥以及国防部长皮特·赫格瑟斯都表示，“战争阶段”——即“史诗怒火行动”——已经结束，尽管双方仍不时发动袭击，且并未达成任何能够终结伊朗核能力、无条件重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的协议。
美以对伊朗的攻势始于2月28日，当时特朗普曾保证战事不会持续太久。
“四到五周”
3月1日
空袭打响后的次日，特朗普表示，如有必要，美军将持续对伊朗发动打击，时长为四到五周。他称以色列和美国维持作战强度“并不困难”，同时也警告美军可能会出现更多伤亡。
“四周”
3月2日
特朗普在接受CNN电话采访时表示：“我不想看到战事拖太久。我一直觉得会打四周。现在我们比原定计划进度稍微超前一点。”
“我们预估的是四到五周”
3月2日
在当天的国会荣誉勋章颁奖仪式上，这位总统给出了相同的时长预期，但也暗示战事可能会延长。
“我们已经大幅超前于原定时间规划，”他说道，“但无论耗时多久都没关系。无论需要多长时间，我们都会——从一开始就是这样——我们预估的是四到五周，但我们有能力将行动拖得更久。我们会坚持下去。”
战争“基本已经结束”
3月9日
特朗普在电话中接受CBS News资深白宫记者江伟佳采访时表示：“我认为战争基本已经结束了。”
“很快就会结束”
3月9日
在迈阿密的新闻发布会上，当被问及是否认为战争会在数日内结束时，总统回应道：“不会，但我认为很快——非常快。”
“只要有必要就会持续下去”
3月13日
几天后，在前往佛罗里达州之际，有记者询问总统战事可能持续多久。
“我没法告诉你具体时间，”他答道，“我的心里自有想法，但说出来有什么用呢？战事会持续到有必要结束的时候为止。”
再过五天可能达成“对各方都有利的协议”
3月23日
在孟菲斯的一场活动中，特朗普表示：“我们拭目以待。我认为我们非常有可能最终达成一项协议，我们会给这项谈判五天时间，看看后续发展。我想说，在这段时间结束时，结果很可能会是一份对各方都非常有利的协议。”
“进度确实大幅超前”
3月26日
开战近四周后，特朗普在内阁会议上表示：“我们原本预估完成任务大约需要四到六周。到目前已经26天了，我们的进度——确实大幅超前于计划。”
美军将很快撤离伊朗和霍尔木兹海峡“……两到三周”
3月31日
3月31日，美国平均汽油价格升至自2022年以来首次每加仑4美元以上，总统面临着如何压低油价的质疑。
“我只要下令撤离伊朗，就能解决这个问题，而且我们很快就会这么做，”他在签署一项无关的行政令时说道。
当被问及战争是否会在两周内结束时，总统回应：“我认为两到三周内，是的，我们会撤离……但我们正在完成任务，我认为可能在两周内——或许多花一两天完成任务——但我们要彻底摧毁当地所有目标。”
美军将对伊朗发动“两到三周”打击
4月1日
在战事进入第五周之际，特朗普在全国电视讲话中表示：“我们将在接下来的两到三周内，对他们实施极为猛烈的打击。”
大约一周后，双方宣布停火。
宣布停火
4月7日
特朗普在Truth Social的帖子中写道：“我同意暂停对伊朗的轰炸和袭击，为期两周。”
“他们总说我承诺用六周击败伊朗”
4月20日
特朗普在Truth Social的帖子中写道：“……[T]他们总说我承诺用六周击败伊朗，实际上从军事角度来看，进程比那快得多，但我不会让他们催促美国达成一份本可以更好的协议。”
“我看到假新闻说我正面临‘施压’，必须尽快达成协议，”他补充道，“这根本不是真的！我完全没有受到任何压力，不过一切都会相对快速地完成！时间不是我的对手，唯一重要的是，经过47年之后，我们终于能够理顺其他历届总统因为没有勇气或远见去处理伊朗问题而留下的烂摊子。”
协议“基本谈妥”，将“很快”公布
5月23日
特朗普在Truth Social的帖子中声称：“一项协议已经基本谈妥，有待美国、伊朗伊斯兰共和国以及其他所列各国最终敲定。”他补充道，“协议的最终条款和细节目前正在讨论中，很快就会公布。”
但仅在数小时后，伊朗方面就表示并未同意特朗普所吹捧的部分条款，比如开放霍尔木兹海峡。
不会“仓促达成协议”，“双方都应慢慢来，把事情做对”
5月24日
特朗普在Truth Social的帖子中表示：“谈判正在有序且富有建设性地推进，我已经告知我的代表，不要仓促达成协议，因为时间站在我们这边。”“封锁将全面持续实施，直到协议达成、确认并签署。双方都应慢慢来，把事情做对。”
伊朗于5月25日表示，尽管双方已就“大部分议题”达成共识，但协议并未迫在眉睫。
万斯：特朗普是否会签署延长停火协议的文件仍“待定”
5月28日
副总统JD·万斯告诉记者，目前尚不清楚特朗普是否会签署一项将停火协议延长60天的谅解备忘录，理由是仍有一些“措辞要点”需要解决。
但当天早些时候，白宫随行记者团援引美国消息人士的话称，双方已就该备忘录达成初步协议。
特朗普概述协议内容，称正处于“最终敲定会议”
5月29日
“在另行通知之前，不会有任何资金交换，”总统在Truth Social上写道，“其他次要事项已经达成一致。我现在将在 Situation Room（白宫 Situation 室）开会，做出最终决定。”
但伊朗半官方通讯社法尔斯新闻社表示，伊朗并未批准该协议，伊朗官员称特朗普的声明是“真假参半”。
协议有望“在未来一周内”达成
6月1日
特朗普6月1日告诉ABC新闻，他认为与伊朗达成延长停火协议并重新开放霍尔木兹海峡的协议“将在未来一周内”达成。
“进展不错，不错，”他在周一与ABC新闻首席华盛顿记者乔纳森·卡尔的电话交谈中说道。
伊朗谈判正“以极快速度推进”
6月1日
总统在Truth Social上发帖称：“与伊朗伊斯兰共和国的谈判正在以极快速度推进。感谢大家对此事的关注！”
“两周”
6月8日
在为盟友、南卡罗来纳州共和党参议员林赛·格雷厄姆举行的电话集会上，特朗普告诉支持者：“再过两周，我们就会宣布全面胜利，你们真的会赢。这将是一场全面胜利，很快就会实现，油价也会大幅下跌。”
协议可能“在两三天内签署”
6月9日
“我们现在正处于最终敲定阶段，将达成一份非常非常好的协议，这份协议将彻底杜绝任何形式的核武器，”特朗普在纽约麦迪逊广场花园观看NBA总决赛第三场后告诉记者，“海峡将立即开放。协议签署后将立即开放，可能在两三天内就能签署。”
万斯：美国与伊朗“非常接近”达成协议，但可能需要一周到数月不等
6月9日
在接受罗伯特·科斯塔为CBS《周日早间》节目进行的采访时，万斯表示，美国“非常接近”达成一项“长期”解决伊朗核计划的协议，但谈判结果可能在下周出炉，也可能需要数月时间。
他表示，协议“完全有可能”在11月的中期选举前达成，但并未给出具体时间线。
“我认为我们会在中期选举前了解很多情况，”他说道，“听着，我认为协议可能在下周达成，但也可能在数月之后。”
When will the Iran war end? Here’s what Trump has said.
2026-06-10T14:31:00-0400 / https://www.cbsnews.com/news/when-will-the-iran-war-end-what-trump-has-said/
From virtually the start of the U.S.-Israeli war on Iran in February, President Trump has insisted it is almost over. And he’s continued to give timelines ranging from a few days to a few weeks.
Fifteen weeks later — three times longer than his initial four-to-five-week estimate — ending the war has proven elusive. The president has at times shifted his language about the conflict, sometimes referring to it as an “excursion” rather than a war. After a sometimes shaky ceasefire was reached in April, Mr. Trump, Secretary of State Marco Rubio and Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth suggested that the “war” phase — Operation Epic Fury — is over, despite intermittent attacks and the lack of an agreement to end Iran’s nuclear capabilities and reopen the Strait of Hormuz without conditions.
The U.S. and Israeli offensive against Iran began on Feb. 28, with assurances from Mr. Trump that it would not last long.
“Four to five weeks”
March 1
Mr. Trump said on the day after airstrikes began that the U.S. military intended to sustain its assault on Iran for four to five weeks if necessary. He said it “won’t be difficult” for Israel and the U.S. to maintain the intensity of the battle, even as he warned of the possibility of more American casualties.
“Four weeks”
March 2
“I don’t want to see it go on too long,” Mr. Trump told CNN during a phone interview. “I always thought it would be four weeks. And we’re a little ahead of schedule.”
“We projected four to five weeks”
March 2
At a Medal of Honor ceremony on the same day, the president offered the same timeline, but indicated the war could be longer.
“We’re already substantially ahead of our time projections,” he said. “But whatever the time is, it’s okay. Whatever it takes, we will always — and we have from — right from the beginning, we projected four to five weeks, but we have capability to go far longer than that. We’ll do it.”
War is “very complete”
March 9
“I think the war is very complete, pretty much,” Mr. Trump told CBS News senior White House correspondent Weijia Jiang in a phone call.
“Very soon”
March 9
Asked during a news conference in Miami whether he thought the war would end within days, the president replied, “No, but I think soon — very soon.”
“As long as it’s necessary”
March 13
A few days later, as he departed for Florida, the president was asked how long the war was likely to last.
“I can’t tell you that,” he replied. “I mean, I have my own idea, but what good does it do? It’ll be as long as it’s necessary.”
In five days, it could end up being a “good deal for everybody”
March 23
At an event in Memphis, the president said, “We’ll see what happens. I think there’s a very good chance we’re going to end up in a deal, and so we’re giving it five days and going to see where that takes us. And I would say at the end of this period, I think it could very well end up being a very good deal for everybody.”
“Really a lot ahead of schedule”
March 26
Nearly four weeks after the war began, Mr. Trump said during a Cabinet meeting, “We estimated it would take approximately four to six weeks to achieve our mission. Twenty-six days on, we’re extremely — really a lot ahead of schedule.”
U.S. leaving Iran and Strait of Hormuz “very soon … 2 to 3 weeks”
March 31
As average gas prices in the U.S. topped $4 per gallon on March 31 for the first time since 2022, the president faced questions about his plans to bring them back down.
“All I have to do is leave Iran, and we’ll be doing that very soon,” he said as he signed an unrelated executive order.
Asked whether the war would be over in two weeks, the president replied, “I think two or three weeks, yeah, we’ll leave … But we’re finishing the job, and I think within maybe two weeks — maybe a couple of days longer to do the job — but we want to knock out every single thing there.”
U.S. will hit Iran for “two to three weeks”
April 1
In an address to the nation, as the war was in the middle of its fifth week, the president said, “We are going to hit them extremely hard over the next two to three weeks.”
About a week later, the parties announced a ceasefire.
Ceasefire announced
April 7
“I agree to suspend the bombing and attack of Iran for a period of two weeks,” Mr. Trump said in a Truth Social post.
“They like to say I promised 6 weeks to defeat Iran”
April 20
In a Truth Social post, Mr. Trump said, “…[T]hey like to say that I promised 6 weeks to defeat Iran, and actually, from the Military standpoint, it was far faster than that, but I’m not going to let them rush the United States into making a Deal that is not as good as it could have been.”
“I read the Fake News saying that I am under ‘pressure’ to make a Deal,” he added. “THIS IS NOT TRUE! I am under no pressure whatsoever, although, it will all happen, relatively quickly! Time is not my adversary, the only thing that matters is that we finally, after 47 years, straighten out the MESS that other Presidents let happen because they didn’t have the Courage or Foresight to do what had to be done with respect to Iran.”
Deal is “largely negotiated” and announcement coming “shortly”
May 23
The president claimed in a Truth Social post, “An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States of America, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and the various other Countries, as listed.” He added, “Final aspects and details of the Deal are currently being discussed, and will be announced shortly.”
But within hours, Iran said it had not agreed to some of the terms Mr. Trump had touted, like the opening of the Strait of Hormuz.
Won’t “rush into a deal” and “Both sides must take their time and get it right”
May 24
“The negotiations are proceeding in an orderly and constructive manner, and I have informed my representatives not to rush into a deal in that time is on our side,” Mr. Trump said in a Truth Social post. “The Blockade will remain in full force and effect until an agreement is reached, certified, and signed. Both sides must take their time and get it right.”
Iran said on May 25 that though an understanding had been reached on a “large portion of issues,” an agreement was not imminent.
Vance: Still “TBD” on whether Trump will sign deal to extend ceasefire
May 28
Vice President JD Vance told reporters it wasn’t clear whether Mr. Trump would sign a memorandum of understanding to extend the ceasefire by 60 days, citing some “language points” that required resolution.
But earlier in the day, a White House pool report cited U.S. sources in stating that a tentative agreement had been reached on the memorandum.
Trump outlines deal, says he’s in a “final determination meeting”
May 29
“No money will be exchanged, until further notice,” the president said on Truth Social. “Other items, of far less importance, have been agreed to. I will be meeting now, in the Situation Room, to make a final determination.”
But Fars, a semi-official Iranian news agency, said Iran had not ratified the agreement and said Iranian officials had referred to Mr. Trump’s statement as “a mixture of truth and lies.”
Agreement reachable “over the next week”
June 1
Mr. Trump told ABC News on June 1 he thought he’d have an agreement with Iran to extend the ceasefire and reopen the Strait of Hormuz “over the next week.”
“Looking good, looking good,” he told ABC News’ chief Washington correspondent Jonathan Karl in a telephone conversation on Monday.
Iran talks proceeding at a “rapid pace”
June 1
The president posted on Truth Social, “Talks are continuing, at a rapid pace, with the Islamic Republic of Iran. Thank you for your attention to this matter!”
“Two weeks”
June 8
At a tele-rally for ally and GOP Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Mr. Trump told supporters, “You’re really gonna win this over the next two weeks when we declare total victory. It’ll be a total victory, it will happen very soon, and oil prices will come tumbling down.”
Deal could be signed “in two to three days”
June 9
“And now we’re in the final throes of what will be a very very good deal that will not allow any way shape or form nuclear weapons,” Mr. Trump told reporters after attending the third game of the NBA Finals at New York’s Madison Square Garden. “And the strait will open up right away. It will open up immediately upon signing, which could be in two or three days.”
Vance: U.S. “very close” to a deal with Iran, but could be a week or months away
June 9
In an interview with Robert Costa for CBS “Sunday Morning,” Vance said the U.S. is “very close” to reaching a deal that would address Iran’s nuclear program “for the long term,” but that it could come next week or months from now.
He said the deal could “absolutely” come before November’s midterm elections but did not offer a specific timeline.
“I think we’re going to know a lot before the midterm elections,” he said. “Look, I think that the deal could happen in the next week, but the deal could also happen months from now.”
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