2026-06-09T04:00:07.735Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
- 自3月下旬以来，唐纳德·特朗普总统已约36次声称伊朗协议即将达成。
- 尽管他多次保证谈判将在数天或数周内完成，但始终没有达成任何协议。
- 周一，特朗普再次预测未来两周内将取得“全面胜利”。
本文由AI生成摘要，经CNN编辑审核。
自唐纳德·特朗普总统宣布与伊朗停火以来，已经过去了两个多月，当时他称双方已接近达成协议。
特朗普4月7日在社交媒体上表示，双方“进展非常顺利”，但还需要两周时间“完成并敲定协议”。他最后说道：“能让这个长期存在的问题接近解决，是我的荣幸。”
当然，当时并没有达成任何解决方案。但自那之后的两个月里，特朗普仍在持续声称协议即将达成。而且次数不少。
如果算上停火前的那段时间，他至少已经这样说了37次。这是他通过社交媒体帖子、公开露面以及接受媒体电话采访时直接表示协议即将达成，或是声称伊朗迫切希望达成协议的次数。
没有迹象表明如今的情况比4月7日时更乐观。但特朗普仍在不断重申这一说法，要么是因为他产生了错觉，要么是试图安抚金融市场，或是认为自己可以通过口头宣言让协议成真。
但显然，这类言论已经不再值得人们认真对待了。
这一切始于3月23日，也就是开战不到一个月的时候。特朗普在空军一号外对记者谈及所谓的和谈，并表示“我得说——我们已经在主要议题上达成一致，几乎所有议题都达成了共识”。（事实上，伊朗否认了双方正在进行谈判。）
次日，他开始重复后来成为常用说辞的言论：伊朗迫切希望达成协议。
“我认为我们会结束这场冲突，”特朗普补充道，“但我不能百分百确定。”
到3月25日，他改口称伊朗“非常想要达成协议”。3月26日，在内阁会议上，他称伊朗“乞求达成协议”。
（尽管伊朗如此急切地想要达成协议，却又硬生生顶住了两个半月的时间。）
3月29日，在空军一号上与记者的闲聊中，当被问及是否预计下周能敲定协议时，他回应道：“我确实认为伊朗方面会达成协议，没错。”
特朗普的相关预测此时开始变得更加肯定。4月6日，他称双方在遭遇挫折前“已经非常接近达成协议”。
次日，他宣布停火，最初计划停火两周，以便双方敲定协议。
一周后的4月15日，他告诉福克斯商业频道：“我认为冲突即将结束，我认为局势非常接近结束。”
“我们拭目以待，”他补充道，“我认为他们非常渴望达成协议。”
接下来的几天里，特朗普几乎笃定协议即将达成：
- “我们与伊朗达成协议的前景非常乐观，而且这将是一份好协议，”他在4月16日对记者表示。
- 到4月17日，他在三场不同场合公开声称伊朗“已经同意了所有条款”，“我认为我们将在一两天内达成协议”，以及“我认为不会有太多重大分歧”。
- 4月20日，他在Truth Social平台上发帖预测，“一切都会相对快速地解决！”
尽管并未如愿，特朗普在4月30日仍称伊朗“迫切想要达成协议”。
“战争很快就会结束，应该不会太久……”他5月1日对记者打赌道。
特朗普暂停了一段时间的相关预测，随后在5月18日宣布，应中东国家的请求，他将军事打击推迟“两三天”，“因为他们认为我们非常接近达成协议了”。
此时，就连特朗普似乎也承认，这类预测屡屡落空。
“我们曾有过几次——我们当时认为几乎就要达成协议了，但最终没有成功，”特朗普说道，随后补充道，“但这次有点不一样。”
这次确实没有什么不同。但他并未因此却步。
“我们会很快结束这场战争，”特朗普5月19日在国会野餐会上说道。
到5月23日，他又像4月17日那样四处表态。他表示政府“越来越接近”达成协议。他称协议“基本已经谈判完成，只需敲定最终细节”。他还说协议将“很快”公布，“最终细节”正在商讨中。
5月28日，在接受儿媳劳拉·特朗普采访时，他称局势“非常接近达成一份很好的协议”。
而在周日，他保证双方“非常接近达成协议”，但伊朗和以色列之间的零星冲突正在危及协议。
“我们非常接近与伊朗达成最终协议，”他在接受Axios采访时表示，“这将是一份好协议。我不希望因为当前发生的事情让协议泡汤。”
这至少是特朗普第三次告诉Axios协议即将达成。随后在周一，在为南卡罗来纳州主战派参议员林赛·格雷厄姆举办的线上集会上，特朗普再次预测未来两周内将取得“全面胜利”。
“我们现在正在谈判；他们想要达成一份非常好的协议，”特朗普说道。
然后他补充道：“他们愿意为我们付出一切。”
How many times has Trump claimed an Iran deal is around the corner?
2026-06-09T04:00:07.735Z / CNN
- President Donald Trump has said an Iran deal is imminent about three dozen times since late March.
- Despite repeated assurances that negotiations were days or weeks from completion, no agreement has materialized.
- On Monday, Trump again predicted a “total victory” in the next two weeks.
AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.
It’s been more than two months since President Donald Trump announced a ceasefire with Iran, saying at the time that the two sides were close to a deal.
Trump said on social media on April 7 that they were “very far along” but needed two weeks for “the Agreement to be finalized and consummated.” He concluded by saying that “it is an Honor to have this Longterm problem close to resolution.”
There was no resolution, of course. But Trump has nonetheless spent the two months since then continuing to suggest a deal was right around the corner. A lot.
Including the period before the ceasefire, he’s done it at least 37 times. That’s the number of times he’s said directly — in social media posts, public appearances and phone calls with the media — that a deal was nigh or claimed Iran was desperate to cut one.
There’s no indication that’s any more true today than it was back on April 7. But Trump keeps saying it, either because he’s delusional, trying to calm the financial markets or thinking he can will it into existence.
But it’s clearly not a claim people should take seriously anymore.
It began March 23, less than a month into the war. Trump was telling reporters outside Air Force One about supposed peace talks and cited “major points of agreement, I would say — almost all points of agreement.” (In fact, Iran denied negotiations.)
By the next day, he started trotting out what has become a common refrain: that Iran was desperate to cut a deal.
“I think we’re going to end it,” Trump added. “I can’t tell you for sure.”
By March 25, it became that Iran wanted to “make a deal so badly.” On March 26, at a Cabinet meeting, Iran was “begging to make a deal.”
(Despite being so anxious to cut that deal, Iran has somehow resisted for two and a half more months.)
By March 29, during a gaggle with reporters on Air Force One, Trump was asked if he foresaw clinching a deal in the next week, and he responded: “I do see a deal in Iran, yeah.”
Trump’s predictions started to grow more insistent at this point. On April 6, he said they had been “very close to a deal” before a setback.
The next day, he announced the ceasefire, which was originally supposed to last two weeks while the two sides hammered out an agreement.
A week later, on April 15, he told Fox Business, “I think it’s close to over, I view it as very close to over.”
“We’ll see what happens,” he added. “I think they want to make a deal very badly.”
The next few days, Trump practically assured it was over:
- “It’s looking very good that we’re going to make a deal with Iran, and it’s going to be a good deal,” he told reporters on April 16.
- By April 17, he claimed in three separate appearances that Iran had “agreed to everything,” that “I think we will get a deal in the next day or two,” and that, “I don’t think there’s too many significant differences.”
- And on April 20, in a post on Truth Social, he predicted “it will all happen, relatively quickly!”
Despite that not panning out, Iran was still “dying to make a deal” on April 30.
“When the war ends, which shouldn’t be too long …” he wagered to reporters on May 1.
Trump held back on his predictions for a spell, before announcing on May 18 that he was delaying military strikes for “two or three days” at the request of Middle Eastern countries, “because they think that they are getting very close to making a deal.”
At this point, even Trump seemed to acknowledge how often such predictions had gone awry.
“We’ve had periods of time where we had — we thought pretty much getting close to making a deal and it didn’t work out,” Trump said, before adding: “But this is a little bit different.”
It was not different. But he remained undeterred.
“We’re gonna end that war very quickly,” Trump said May 19 at a congressional picnic.
By May 23, he made the rounds much like he had on April 17. He said the administration was “getting a lot closer” to a deal. He said the deal was “largely negotiated, subject to finalization.” And he said the deal would be announced “shortly” and that the “final aspects” were being discussed.
On May 28, in an interview with his daughter-in-law Lara Trump, things were “close to a very good deal.”
And on Sunday, he assured that they were “very close to having a deal,” but that Iran and Israel were jeopardizing it by engaging in a side scuffle.
“We are very close to a final deal with Iran,” he told Axios. “It is going to be a good deal. I don’t want it to blow up because of what is happening now.”
It was at least the third time Trump told Axios that a deal was imminent. Then Monday, during a tele-rally for war hawk Sen. Lindsey Graham of South Carolina, Trump again predicted a “total victory” in the next two weeks.
“We’re negotiating now; they want to make a very good deal,” Trump said.
Then he added: “They’re willing to give us everything.”
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