2026-06-03T18:00:02-04:00 / 福克斯新闻
通胀是俄亥俄州选民中期选举的核心议题
作者：达纳·布兰顿，福克斯新闻
发布于2026年6月3日 美国东部时间下午6:00
维韦克·拉马斯瓦米宣布遏制俄亥俄州医疗补助欺诈计划
俄亥俄州共和党州长候选人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米在《汉尼提》节目中谈到了他打击医疗补助欺诈的计划，旨在追回数十亿美元纳税人资金。
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唐纳德·特朗普总统2024年在俄亥俄州以超过11个百分点的优势胜出，但一项新的福克斯民调显示，他在这个“七叶树州”的支持率有所下滑——这一变化让民主党人谢罗德·布朗在参议院选举中获益。
俄亥俄州民众对特朗普的负面评价高出15个百分点：42%的人对他持正面看法，57%的人持负面看法。与2024年11月福克斯新闻俄亥俄州选民分析民调中他+6的净支持率（52%-46%）相比，这一变化幅度超过20个百分点。
周三发布的这项俄亥俄州选民民调显示，特朗普的支持率与共和党现任参议员乔恩·赫斯特德的支持率大致相当（41%正面，50%负面），而 challenger、前俄亥俄州参议员布朗的正面评价则显著更高（53%对44%）。
这让布朗在争夺该州参议院席位的竞争中以53%比45%的优势领先赫斯特德。他8个百分点的领先优势超出了本次民调的抽样误差范围。
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布朗在民主党选民中获得了高达98%的支持率，而赫斯特德在共和党选民中的支持率为86%。布朗还获得了民主党基本盘之外的支持：31%的非“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）共和党人以及13%的全体共和党人 backing him。仅有2%的民主党人选择赫斯特德。
赫斯特德在白人福音派基督徒（领先32个百分点）、农村选民（领先11个百分点）和未获得大学学位的白人男性（领先7个百分点）中更受欢迎。布朗则受到35岁以下选民（领先33个百分点）、无党派人士（领先18个百分点）和女性选民（领先14个百分点）的青睐。
非白人选民以58个百分点的优势支持布朗，而白人选民的支持率则不相上下（双方各占49%）。45岁及以上的选民中，两位候选人几乎打成平手（49%-48%），而45岁以下选民中布朗领先23个百分点。
赫斯特德在J·D·万斯当选副总统后被任命填补其席位，目前正竞选连任该参议院席位。布朗希望在2024年以微弱劣势输给伯尼·莫雷诺后重返美国参议院。
约七成布朗的支持者（73%）和赫斯特德的支持者（69%）表示他们会坚定支持自己的选择。总体而言，约四分之一的选民表示在投票前可能改变主意。
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更多民主党人（82%）比共和党人（76%）表示自己极度或非常有动力在今年11月投票，差距为6个百分点。
68%的布朗支持者表示，他们的投票主要是支持布朗而非反对赫斯特德（占比30%）。支持赫斯特德的选民对自己的候选人热情稍低，58%的人表示他们的支持主要是支持赫斯特德而非反对布朗（占比39%）。
在特朗普以55%的得票率胜出的州，民调发现，与特朗普走得过近如今比过于自由更成劣势。约39%的俄亥俄州民众担心布朗“过于自由”，其中包括13%的布朗支持者。对于赫斯特德，总体上有46%的人担心他“过于亲近”特朗普，其中包括10%的赫斯特德支持者。
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通胀占据主导地位，43%的选民表示通胀是他们参议院投票中最重要的议题。其他所有议题的支持率都远远落后，包括医疗保健（12%）、移民与边境安全（11%）、政治分歧（9%）、就业（8%）、伊朗问题（7%）、堕胎与犯罪（各4%）。值得注意的是，通胀在无党派人士（50%）、民主党人（44%）、共和党人（40%）、MAGA支持者（34%）和2024年特朗普选民（39%）中都是头号议题。
关注通胀的选民以14个百分点的优势支持布朗，关注医疗保健的选民则以44个百分点的优势支持他，而优先考虑移民与边境安全的选民则以76个百分点的优势支持赫斯特德。
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在家庭财务状况方面，39%的俄亥俄州选民表示他们的生活水平正在下降，高于2024年福克斯民调中32%的比例。最多数的选民，即49%的人表示家庭财务状况保持稳定，较之前下降了9个百分点。
“民主党人有充分理由对俄亥俄州持乐观态度，”负责福克斯新闻民调的共和党民调专家达伦·肖说道，他与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同开展福克斯新闻民调。“该州仍然坚定支持共和党，但民主党人团结对抗特朗普的盟友，而无党派人士更青睐布朗。”
在州长选举中，俄亥俄州选民意见分歧：一半人支持民主党人艾米·阿克顿（50%），近一半人支持共和党人维韦克·拉马斯瓦米（49%）。14%在参议院选举中支持布朗的选民跨党派支持拉马斯瓦米。
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大多数民主党人（93%）支持阿克顿，而大多数共和党人支持拉马斯瓦米（89%）。无党派人士以8个百分点的优势支持阿克顿（51%-43%）。
阿克顿的支持者中，有38%的人表示他们的投票主要是“反对”另一位候选人，这一比例几乎是拉马斯瓦米支持者（21%）的两倍。
每位候选人的支持者中，有七成表示会坚定支持自己的选择。
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尽管对阿克顿的正面评价高出9个百分点（46%正面，37%负面），但仍有16%的人无法评价她。拉马斯瓦米的正面评价仅高出1个百分点（45%-44%），万斯的支持率则低于不支持率7个百分点（45%-52%），而现任共和党州长迈克·德温的民意则出现分歧（48%-48%）。
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七叶树州选民以超过2比1的比例反对在本地区建设AI数据中心（32%支持，65%反对）。这种反对意见横跨整个政治光谱，民主党人（72%）、无党派人士（64%）和共和党人（59%）中的多数都反对建设数据中心。
本次民调于2026年5月28日至6月1日由Beacon Research（民主党团队）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党团队）联合开展，为福克斯新闻民调，采访了从全州选民档案中随机抽取的1015名俄亥俄州登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（109人）、手机（653人）或在收到短信后在线完成调查（253人）。基于全样本的抽样误差为±3个百分点。子群体结果的抽样误差更高。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响调查结果。用于制定加权目标的信息包括最新的美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民档案数据。通常会对年龄、种族、教育程度和地区变量进行加权，以确保受访者的人口结构与登记选民群体具有代表性。仅当样本量至少为N=100时，才会展示子群体结果。
福克斯新闻的维多利亚·巴拉拉为本报告撰稿。
*作为民意调查部门负责人，达纳·布兰顿负责福克斯新闻民调，并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举民调。_
Fox News Poll: Democratic unity, Republican crossovers shape Ohio Senate race
2026-06-03T18:00:02-04:00 / Fox News
Inflation is the defining issue for Ohio voters going into the midterm elections
By Dana Blanton, Fox News
Published June 3, 2026 6:00pm EDT
Vivek Ramaswamy announces plan to curb Medicaid fraud in Ohio
Ohio GOP gubernatorial candidate Vivek Ramaswamy discusses his plan to fight Medicaid fraud, aiming to recover billions in taxpayer money, on ‘Hannity.’
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President Donald Trump carried Ohio by more than 11 percentage points in 2024, but a new Fox News survey finds his standing in the Buckeye State has deteriorated — a development that is benefitting Democrat Sherrod Brown in the Senate race.
By a 15-point margin, Ohioans view Trump negatively: 42% hold a favorable opinion and 57% an unfavorable one. That’s more than a 20-point swing compared to his +6 net positive rating (52-46%) in the November 2024 Ohio Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
The poll of Ohio voters, released Wednesday, finds Trump’s ratings are about on par with views of Republican incumbent Senator Jon Husted (41% favorable, 50% unfavorable), while challenger and former Ohio Senator Brown is viewed significantly more positively (53% vs. 44%).
That helps Brown outperform Husted by a 53% to 45% margin in the race to fill the state’s Senate seat. His 8-point lead is outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.
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Brown garners fully 98% support among Democrats compared to Husted’s 86% among Republicans. Brown also receives backing from outside the democratic base: 31% of non-MAGA Republicans and 13% of all Republicans. Only 2% of Democrats pick Husted.
Husted is favored by White evangelical Christians (+32 points), rural voters (+11), and White men without a college degree (+7). Brown is preferred by voters under age 35 (+33), independents (+18), and women (+14).
Non-white voters favor Brown by 58 points, while the race is a dead heat among White voters (49% each). And the candidates are nearly tied among voters ages 45 and over (49-48%), while Brown leads by 23 points among those under age 45.
The candidates are competing for the Senate seat Husted currently holds after being appointed to replace JD Vance when Vance became vice president.Brown is hoping to return to the U.S. Senate after he narrowly lost his seat to Bernie Moreno in 2024.
About 7 in 10 of both Brown’s (73%) and Husted’s supporters (69%) are certain of their choice.Overall, about one in four say they may change their mind before voting.
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By a 6-point margin, more Democrats (82%) than Republicans (76%) say they are extremely or very motivated to vote this November.
Most Brown supporters, 68%, describe their vote as mainly for him rather than against Husted (30%). Those who are backing Husted are less enthusiastic about their candidate, with 58% saying their support is mainly for him rather than against Brown (39%).
In a state Trump carried with 55% of the vote, the survey finds being too close to him is now more of a liability than being too liberal. Some 39% of Ohioans are concerned Brown is “too liberal,” including 13% of his supporters.For Husted, 46% overall are worried he is “too close” to Trump, including 10% of his backers.
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Inflation dominates, with 43% saying it is the most important issue in their Senate vote. All others trail far behind, including healthcare (12%), immigration and border security (11%,) political divisions (9%), jobs (8%), Iran (7%), abortion and crime (4% each). Notably, inflation is the top issue among independents (50%), Democrats (44%), Republicans (40%), MAGA (34%), and 2024 Trump voters (39%).
Voters focused on inflation favor Brown by 14 points, as do healthcare voters by 44 points, while those prioritizing immigration and border security go for Husted by 76.
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On their family’s financial situation, 39% of Ohio voters say they are falling behind, up from 32% who said the same in the 2024 FNVA survey. The largest number, 49%, say their family is holding steady, down 9 points.
“There’s good reason for the Democrats to be bullish on Ohio,” says Republican pollster Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson. “The state remains solidly Republican, but Democrats are united against Trump allies and independents prefer Brown.”
In the race for governor, Ohio voters are divided: half back Democrat Amy Acton (50%) and nearly half favor Republican Vivek Ramaswamy (49%).Fourteen percent who prefer Brown in the Senate race cross-party lines to support Ramaswamy.
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Most Democrats (93%) go for Acton, while most Republicans favor Ramaswamy (89%). Independents back Acton by 8 points (51-43%).
Nearly twice as many Acton supporters (38%) as Ramaswamy backers (21%) say their vote is mainly “against” the other candidate.
Seven in 10 of each candidate’s supporters are certain of their choice.
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Although views of Acton are positive by 9 points (46% favorable vs. 37% unfavorable), 16% are unable to rate her.Ramaswamy’s ratings are positive by 1 point (45-44%), while Vance’s are underwater by 7 (45-52%), and opinion splits on sitting GOP Gov. Mike DeWine (48-48%).
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By more than 2-to-1, Buckeye voters oppose having an AI data center built in their area (32% favor, 65% oppose). That opposition is across the political spectrum, as majorities of Democrats (72%), independents (64%), and Republicans (59%) are against building data centers.
Conducted May 28-June 1, 2026 under the joint direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News Poll includes interviews with a sample of 1,015 Ohio registered voters randomly selected from a statewide voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (109) and cellphones (653) or completed the survey online after receiving a text message (253). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ± 3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics of respondents are representative of the registered voter population. Results among subgroups are only shown when the sample size is at least N=100.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
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