美媒预测:萨姆·福斯塔格赢得蒙大拿州第一国会选区民主党初选


2026年6月3日 / 美国东部时间下午3:42 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

作者:凯特琳·伊利克 政治记者
凯特琳·伊利克是哥伦比亚广播公司新闻网驻华盛顿特区的政治记者。她曾供职于《华盛顿考察家报》和《国会山报》,并入选美国国家新闻基金会2022年保罗·米勒华盛顿报道奖学金项目。

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哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预测,民主党人萨姆·福斯塔格于周二赢得了蒙大拿州第一国会选区的党内初选。

无党派的库克政治报告将该国会众议院席位竞选评级为“共和党大概率胜出”,但民主党人认为他们有机会在11月拿下这个开放席位,以期在特朗普第二个任期的最后两年夺回众议院多数党地位。

该席位目前由共和党议员瑞安·津克持有,他于3月初宣布退休,称自己作为海豹突击队队员服役期间留下的健康问题是做出这一决定的主要因素。津克表示,在接受治疗康复期间,他可能会错过未来的议会投票。

津克首次代表蒙大拿州进入国会是在2015年,2017年至2019年间曾暂停议员职务,在特朗普第一任期内担任内政部部长。他因道德调查辞去内阁职务。2022年,他再次竞选国会席位,以3个百分点的优势击败民主党对手。在2024年的重赛中,他的领先优势扩大到近8个百分点。

如果福斯塔格在11月的众议院竞选中获胜,这将是30年来首次有民主党人代表蒙大拿州进入众议院下议院。

“在这个州赢得选举的方式——实际上我认为也是为全国民主党争取胜选机会的方式——在于:第一,重新争取工薪阶层的支持,对吗?”福斯塔格今年早些时候在接受哥伦比亚广播公司新闻采访时表示。

“我们必须重新争取像我这样的工会成员的支持,他们觉得两大政党都抛弃了他们。我们还需要争取年轻人的支持,他们认为在蒙大拿州西部这样的地方,有一代人甚至两代人根本不敢想象能在本州拥有自己的住房。”

福斯塔格是一名空降森林消防员和工会领袖,得到了佛蒙特州独立参议员伯尼·桑德斯以及纽约州民主党众议员亚历山德里娅·奥卡西奥-科特兹的背书。美国联邦政府雇员联合会——美国最大的联邦雇员工会——也 endorsed 了福斯塔格。

奥卡西奥-科特兹在竞选活动的最后几天与福斯塔格一同开展拉票活动。

“当这个州发生火情时,萨姆会冲向火场。他就是这样的人,而我们也有机会将这样的人送进国会,”她周四在米苏拉的一场竞选集会上说道。

福斯塔格的初选对手包括前枪支公司高管瑞安·巴斯、海军退伍军人兼牧场主拉斯·克利夫兰,以及陆军退伍军人兼牧场主马特·雷恩斯。

各州初选关键要点

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/key-takeaways-from-the-primary-elections-in-six-states/

六个州初选关键要点

(03:08)

Sam Forstag wins Democratic primary in Montana’s 1st Congressional District, CBS News projects

June 3, 2026 / 3:42 PM EDT / CBS News

By Caitlin Yilek Politics Reporter
Caitlin Yilek is a politics reporter at CBSNews.com, based in Washington, D.C. She previously worked for the Washington Examiner and The Hill, and was a member of the 2022 Paul Miller Washington Reporting Fellowship with the National Press Foundation.

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Democrat Sam Forstag won his party’s primary in Montana’s 1st Congressional District on Tuesday, CBS News projects.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the House race as likely Republican, but Democrats believe they have a chance to flip the open seat in November as they try to retake the majority for the final two years of President Trump’s second term.

The seat is currently held by GOP Rep. Ryan Zinke, who announced his retirement in early March, citing health issues from his time as a Navy SEAL as the driving factor for his decision. Zinke said he risked missing votes in the future as he recovers from medical treatment.

Zinke first represented Montana in Congress beginning 2015, taking a hiatus from 2017 to 2019 to lead the Department of Interior during President Trump’s first term. He resigned from the Cabinet role amid ethics investigations. He ran again for Congress in 2022, beating his Democratic opponent by three percentage points. In a rematch in 2024, he increased his lead to nearly eight percentage points.

If Forstag wins the House race in November, it would be the first time in 30 years that a Democrat has represented Montana in the lower chamber.

“The way you win an election in this state, and I actually think the way you actually have some path to victory for the national party, is A: you win back working people, right?” Forstag told CBS News in an interview earlier this year.

“We’ve got to win back union members like me, who have felt like both parties have abandoned them. And we need to win back young people who feel like in a place like Western Montana, you’ve got a generation, or two generations of people that can’t even conceive of ever owning a home in this state.”

Forstag, a smokejumper and union leader, had the backing of Sen. Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent, and Democratic Rep. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York. The American Federation of Government Employees, the largest federal employee union, also endorsed Forstag.

Ocasio-Cortez campaigned with Forstag in the final days of the campaign.

“When something is burning in this state, Sam runs towards the fire. That’s the kind of person he is, and that’s the kind of person we have the opportunity to send to Congress,” she said at a campaign rally in Missoula on Thursday.

Forstag’s primary challengers were former firearms company executive Ryan Busse, Navy veteran and rancher Russ Cleveland and Army veteran and rancher Matt Rains.

Key takeaways from the primary elections

https://www.cbsnews.com/video/key-takeaways-from-the-primary-elections-in-six-states/

Key takeaways from the primary elections in six states

(03:08)

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