加利福尼亚、艾奥瓦等州初选总结


2026-06-03T05:06:55.878Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

  • 周二全美六个州举行初选,选举结果显示关键选区出现变化,可能重塑中期选举格局。
  • 尽管对手攻击参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默,艾奥瓦州民主党人乔希·图尔克仍以压倒性优势赢得联邦参议员初选。
  • 获特朗普背书的候选人、众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉在艾奥瓦州州长共和党初选中输给商人扎克·莱恩。

本文由人工智能生成摘要,并经CNN编辑审核。

从加利福尼亚州到新泽西州的六个州于周二晚间举行初选。

由于加州投票结束时间较晚且计票速度缓慢,该州许多选举结果还需等待一段时间才能出炉。

在加州州长竞选中,民主党籍前美国卫生与公众服务部部长泽维尔·贝塞拉占据有力位置,有望获得11月大选的两个席位之一。考虑到加州选举日后统计的选票通常更偏向民主党,另一个席位大概率将在共和党籍前福克斯新闻主持人史蒂夫·希尔顿,与民主党籍亿万富翁投资者汤姆·斯泰尔之间产生。

洛杉矶市长凯伦·巴斯顺利晋级11月大选。初步计票结果显示,共和党籍前真人秀明星斯宾塞·普拉特位居巴斯之后位列第二,但后续更新数据显示,他的支持率被进步派市议员尼提亚·拉曼逐步赶超。这一趋势,再加上选举日后统计选票预计偏向民主党的因素,意味着第二个席位归属仍无法提前预判。

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 史蒂夫·希尔顿 共和党 | 27.7% 1,336,677票 |
| 泽维尔·贝塞拉 民主党 | 25.5% 1,230,200票 |
| 汤姆·斯泰尔 民主党 | 19.6% 946,849票 |

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 凯伦·巴斯* 无党派 | 36.0% 157,096票 |
| 斯宾塞·普拉特 无党派 | 29.4% 128,319票 |
| 尼提亚·拉曼 无党派 | 21.8% 95,054票 |

以下是目前我们总结的其他要点。

艾奥瓦州联邦参议员初选并未被视为顶级热门选区,但民主党初选仍吸引了大量关注。

民主党超级政治行动委员会“投票退伍军人”斥资约1000万美元助力州众议员乔希·图尔克。州参议员扎克·瓦尔兹试图扭转局势,将此次竞选塑造成针对参议院少数党领袖、备受民主党部分人士抨击的查克·舒曼的公投。

但无论民主党基础选民对舒默有多不满,这一策略并未奏效。事实上,图尔克以压倒性优势轻松获胜,在几乎所有选票都已统计的情况下,领先瓦尔兹25个百分点。

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 乔希·图尔克 民主党 | 62.6% 120,438票 |
| 扎克·瓦尔兹 民主党 | 37.4% 71,879票 |

图尔克将晋级大选,与共和党籍众议员阿什利·辛森展开对决。

辛森在特朗普2024年以13个百分点优势获胜的艾奥瓦州占据明显优势。但民主党希望特朗普的关税政策能让这个以农业为主的州比以往更具竞争性。而图尔克来自艾奥瓦州西部的一个州立法选区,该选区曾支持特朗普。

周二晚间,部分预测专家将该选区的评级从“共和党大概率获胜”调整为“共和党小幅领先”。

如果民主党能将该选区纳入争夺范围,这对他们的多数席位目标将意义重大,因为他们需要在2024年特朗普以两位数优势获胜的多个州实现席位翻转。

尽管近期有说法称特朗普通过在初选中击败现任共和党人彰显了自身影响力,但他的背书记录并非完美无缺,尤其是在关注度较低的选区。

例如,他上个月背书的两名候选人将在佐治亚州州长和阿拉巴马州联邦参议员的初选中进入第二轮对决。

而在周二晚间,一名获特朗普背书的候选人输掉了初选。

特朗普于周五宣布背书众议员兰迪·芬斯特拉参加艾奥瓦州州长竞选,希望能帮助芬斯特拉在竞争激烈的初选中胜出。但芬斯特拉周二以微弱劣势输给了商人扎克·莱恩。

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 扎克·莱恩 共和党 | 37.8% 80,765票 |
| 兰迪·芬斯特拉 共和党 | 37.0% 79,113票 |
| 亚当·斯汀 共和党 | 14.5% 31,087票 |
| 布拉德·谢尔曼 共和党 | 7.1% 15,076票 |

芬斯特拉成为2026年首位在初选中失利的特朗普背书的全州范围候选人(2022年也曾有几位特朗普背书者失利)。

获得“转折点行动”背书以及有争议的前众议员史蒂夫·金支持的莱恩,接下来将在州长竞选中对阵呼声很高的民主党籍州审计官罗布·桑德。这场竞选可能比联邦参议员竞选对民主党更为有利。

事实上,艾奥瓦州的两场全州初选结果完全符合民主党期望。

民主党在蒙大拿州的参议院希望也得到小幅提升,该州同样是特朗普2024年以两位数优势获胜的州。

原因是一场旨在推举鲜为人知的民主党人阿拉尼·班克黑德的行动取得成功,班克黑德赢得了该党提名。

部分人士的期望是,筹款极少的班克黑德要么退出竞选,要么不大力开展竞选活动,让独立人士、前蒙大拿大学校长赛斯·博德纳成为共和党籍前美国检察官库尔特·阿尔梅的主要对手。

(在深红州让独立人士作为反对党领袖是民主党日益流行的策略。博德纳与前民主党参议员乔恩·泰斯特有联系。)

班克黑德否认会向博德纳让步,但她的获胜让该州的竞选更值得关注。

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 阿拉尼·班克黑德 民主党 | 43.6% 42,009票 |
| 赖利·尼尔 民主党 | 32.7% 31,568票 |
| 迈克尔·布莱克·沃尔夫 民主党 | 13.1% 12,607票 |

前国土安全部部长克里斯蒂·诺伊姆在特朗普内阁的任期并未完全按计划进行。而如今,接替她出任南达科他州州长的人似乎也难以保住职位。

周二晚间的计票结果显示,州长拉里·罗登落后于晋级决选的商人托比·多登,仅以微弱优势领先第三名的众议员达斯蒂·约翰逊,当时初选竞争激烈。

但这场竞选 likely won’t be over yet. 南达科他州有一项极少被启用的决选法案,即如果没有候选人获得35%以上的选票,前两名候选人将进行面对面对决。

| 候选人 | 得票率 |
| — | — |
| 托比·多登 共和党 | 30.6% 41,831票 |
| 拉里·罗登* 共和党 | 25.2% 34,389票 |
| 达斯蒂·约翰逊 共和党 | 23.4% 31,959票 |
| 乔恩·汉森 共和党 | 20.8% 28,409票 |

Takeaways from the primary elections in California, Iowa and elsewhere

2026-06-03T05:06:55.878Z / CNN

  • Six states held primary elections Tuesday, with results revealing shifts in key races that could reshape the midterm landscape.
  • Iowa Democrat Josh Turek won his Senate primary decisively despite his opponent’s attacks on Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer.
  • A Trump-backed candidate, Rep. Randy Feenstra, lost the Republican primary for Iowa governor to businessman Zach Lahn.

AI-generated summary was reviewed by a CNN editor.

Six states ranging from California to New Jersey held primaries on Tuesday night.

Many of the results from California will take a while to learn, given the state’s late poll-closing time and slow vote-counting.

In the California governor’s race, Democratic former US Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra is in strong position to get one of the two slots in the November election given how votes counted after Election Day in California are typically more Democratic. The other slot is likely to go either Republican former Fox News host Steve Hilton or Democratic billionaire investor Tom Steyer.

Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass advanced to the November election. Republican former reality TV star Spencer Pratt landed in second place behind Bass in the first reports, but later updates found him losing ground to progressive city councilmember Nithya Raman. That trend, coupled with the expected Democratic shift from ballots counted after Election Day, means the second spot remains too early to call.

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Steve Hilton Republican | 27.7% 1,336,677 |
| Xavier Becerra Democratic | 25.5% 1,230,200 |
| Tom Steyer Democratic | 19.6% 946,849 |

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Karen Bass* Non-Partisan | 36.0% 157,096 |
| Spencer Pratt Non-Partisan | 29.4% 128,319 |
| Nithya Raman Non-Partisan | 21.8% 95,054 |

Here are some of our other takeaways so far.

The Iowa Senate race has not been considered a top-tier race. But the Democratic primary drew lots of attention.

The Democratic super PAC VoteVets spent about $10 million to help state Rep. Josh Turek. State Sen. Zach Wahls tried to fight back by making the race a referendum on Chuck Schumer, the oft-maligned Senate minority leader whom some Democrats are running against.

But however much Democratic base voters might not love Schumer, it didn’t work. If fact, Turek sailed to a painless victory, leading Wahls by 25 points with nearly all the vote reported.

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Josh Turek Democratic | 62.6% 120,438 |
| Zach Wahls Democratic | 37.4% 71,879 |

Turek will advance to a general election matchup with GOP Rep. Ashley Hinson.

Hinson is the clear favorite in a state Trump won by 13 points in 2024. But Democrats hope Trump’s tariffs could make the farm-heavy state more competitive than usual. And Turek comes from a western Iowa state legislative district that backed Trump.

Some prognosticators on Tuesday night moved the race from a likely Republican win to merely leaning towards the GOP.

If Democrats can put it in play, that would be huge for their majority math, given they will need to flip multiple states that Trump won in 2024 by double digits.

For all the narrative about Trump demonstrating his power by knocking off incumbent Republicans in primaries in recent weeks, his endorsement record hasn’t been flawless, especially in lower-profile races.

Two candidates he backed last month are headed for runoffs in primaries for Georgia governor and US senator from Alabama, for instance.

And on Tuesday night, a Trump endorsee lost.

Trump on Friday decided to endorse Rep. Randy Feenstra in the Iowa governor’s race, hoping it would put Feenstra over the top in a crowded field. But Feenstra on Tuesday lost narrowly to businessman Zach Lahn.

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Zach Lahn Republican | 37.8% 80,765 |
| Randy Feenstra Republican | 37.0% 79,113 |
| Adam Steen Republican | 14.5% 31,087 |
| Brad Sherman Republican | 7.1% 15,076 |

Feenstra becomes the first statewide Trump endorsee to lose a primary in 2026. (A few also lost in 2022.)

Lahn, who was backed by Turning Point Action and controversial former Rep. Steve King, now faces highly touted Democratic state Auditor Rob Sand in a governor’s race that might be more promising for Democrats than the US Senate race.

Indeed, the two statewide Iowa primaries turned out just like Democrats would have hoped.

Democrats’ Senate hopes also got a slight boost in Montana, another state Trump won by double digits in 2024.

That’s because a campaign to elevate little-known Democrat Alani Bankhead worked, with Bankhead winning the party’s nomination.

The hope among some appears to be that Bankhead, who has raised very little money, will either drop out or not run much of a campaign, allowing independent former University of Montana President Seth Bodnar to be the main opposition to Republican former US Attorney Kurt Alme.

(Letting independents lead the opposition is an increasingly popular Democratic strategy in deep-red states. And Bodnar has ties to former Democratic Sen. Jon Tester.)

Bankhead has denied she’ll bow to Bodnar, but her win makes this state more worth watching.

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Alani Bankhead Democratic | 43.6% 42,009 |
| Reilly Neill Democratic | 32.7% 31,568 |
| Michael Black Wolf Democratic | 13.1% 12,607 |

Former Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem’s tenure in Trump’s Cabinet didn’t exactly go as planned. And now it looks like the man who was elevated to replace her as South Dakota governor could be struggling to keep his job too.

Gov. Larry Rhoden trailed businessman Toby Doeden, who advanced to a runoff, and was running just ahead of third-place Rep. Dusty Johnson in a crowded primary field late Tuesday night.

But the race likely won’t be over yet. That’s because South Dakota has a rarely invoked runoff law that means the top two face off head-to-head if nobody gets 35% of the vote.

| CANDIDATE | VOTES |
| — | — |
| Toby Doeden Republican | 30.6% 41,831 |
| Larry Rhoden* Republican | 25.2% 34,389 |
| Dusty Johnson Republican | 23.4% 31,959 |
| Jon Hansen Republican | 20.8% 28,409 |

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