扎克·莱恩预计将赢得艾奥瓦州共和党州长初选,颠覆特朗普在该州的支持人选,民主党有望翻转这一选区


2026年6月3日 / 美国东部时间凌晨2:40 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻

哥伦比亚广播公司新闻预计,扎克·莱恩将赢得艾奥瓦州州长共和党初选,击败特朗普支持的国会众议员,从而在11月与民主党人罗布·桑德展开对决,这场竞选可能成为今年竞争最激烈的州长选举之一。

莱恩是一名农场主兼商人,他一直宣扬自己与“让美国再次健康”(Make America Healthy Again)运动的联系,在周二的初选中击败了 crowded 共和党候选人阵营。现任州审计长桑德在无对手的情况下获得民主党提名。

他的胜利打破了特朗普支持的候选人近期的连胜势头,并且颠覆了兰迪·芬斯特拉众议员的领先地位。芬斯特拉未参加任何初选辩论,被众多观察人士视为热门候选人。特朗普总统上周 endorses 了芬斯特拉,称他“从头到尾都是‘让美国再次伟大’(MAGA)”的支持者,多位艾奥瓦州共和党高层也为其背书。

芬斯特拉于周二深夜 conceded(认输),在家人的陪伴下发表讲话称,选举结果“并非我所愿”。

莱恩自称是第六代艾奥瓦人,拥有家族农场,并经营着农业、房地产和科技投资公司“家园创投”(Homeplace Ventures)。他曾在保守派组织“美国人繁荣”(Americans for Prosperity)工作。他的竞选纲领带有民粹主义色彩,将其打上“艾奥瓦优先”的标签,并表示希望提高本地对农田的所有权、阻止年轻艾奥瓦人外流、解决艾奥瓦州高发的癌症问题。

“我每天都在担心,我们正在失去所热爱的艾奥瓦州,”莱恩在周二的胜选演讲中说道,他谴责州外投资者“将艾奥瓦州的土地视为商品而非我们的遗产”。

莱恩去年获得了MAHA行动组织的背书,该组织由美国卫生与公众服务部部长小罗伯特·F·肯尼迪的盟友创立,上周他还获得了已故查理·柯克领导的“转折点行动”(Turning Point Action)的支持。他还得到了前众议员史蒂夫·金的背书,史蒂夫·金因发表关于种族的煽动性言论而闻名,2020年初选被芬斯特拉击败。

另有三名候选人参与角逐:前艾奥瓦州行政服务部主任亚当·斯蒂恩、州众议员埃迪·安德鲁斯和前州众议员布拉德·谢尔曼。

莱恩接下来将对阵桑德,桑德已连任两任州审计长,2018年在州检察长办公室工作期间击败了共和党现任议员,成功当选。

桑德的竞选重点是政府问责制,指责共和党导致该州出现经济问题,同时推广普及学前教育,并批评共和党官员推出的学校代金券计划。他还试图在社会问题上塑造温和派形象,而共和党则试图将他描绘成“披着温和派外衣的自由派”。

在周二深夜发布的竞选视频中,桑德表示共和党选民“欢迎参与本次竞选”,并补充称该州的政治体系“已经瘫痪”,“扎克·莱恩所能带来的不过是换汤不换药”。

艾奥瓦州曾被视为摇摆州,但近年来急剧转向红色阵营,民主党在中西部农村地区的支持率持续下滑。特朗普已连续三次在该州获胜,2024年以13个百分点的优势胜出,而共和党州长金·雷诺兹四年前以18个百分点的优势连任。艾奥瓦州已有20年未选出民主党州长,桑德是该州目前唯一的全州范围当选民主党官员,2022年他以不到3000票的优势连任。

但民主党人士希望,无论全国范围内还是艾奥瓦州本地,共和党面临的严峻政治环境都能让他们在这个中西部州更具竞争力。库克政治报告将艾奥瓦州州长竞选评为“势均力敌”,今年仅有五个州获此评级,而弗吉尼亚大学政治中心则认为该选举倾向共和党。

自2017年起担任州长的雷诺兹,是全美支持率最低的州长之一。去年,由于对华贸易战导致北京削减美国大豆进口,艾奥瓦州的农民遭遇困境,作为该州种植最广泛的作物之一,大豆价格应声下跌;加上伊朗局势推高了燃料和化肥价格,农民的处境更加艰难。

雷诺兹今年宣布不寻求连任,这是2006年以来首次没有现任州长参与的艾奥瓦州州长选举。

莱恩去年自掏200万美元支持竞选,但进入大选阶段后在筹款方面处于劣势。截至5月中旬,他的竞选团队手头仅有70多万美元,而桑德的竞选团队则拥有近1830万美元。桑德的妻子经营着一家由其家族创立的大型食品和健康产品公司劳里森集团(Lauritsen Group),桑德的竞选资金得到了其姻亲数百万美元捐款的支持。

今年年初至5月中旬,桑德共筹款约970万美元,其中超过300万美元来自妻子家族成员。莱恩的筹款总额不到100万美元。

除州长竞选外,恩斯特宣布不寻求连任后,艾奥瓦州将迎来开放的参议院席位竞争,尽管共和党可能拥有显著优势,但已引发民主党人的兴趣。民主党还将重点瞄准艾奥瓦州四个众议院席位中的两个,包括第一选区,该选区的共和党现任众议员玛丽安妮特·米勒-米克斯2024年仅以不到1000票的优势胜出。

Zach Lahn projected to win Iowa GOP governor primary, upsetting Trump’s pick in a state Democrats hope to flip

June 3, 2026 / 2:40 AM EDT / CBS News

Zach Lahn will win the Republican primary for Iowa governor, CBS News projects, overcoming a Trump-backed congressman and setting up a November contest against Democrat Rob Sand that could be one of this year’s most competitive gubernatorial races.

Lahn — a farmer and businessman who has touted his ties to the “Make America Healthy Again” movement — prevailed over a crowded GOP field on Tuesday. Sand, who serves as state auditor, ran for the Democratic nomination unopposed.

His victory bucks the recent winning streak of Trump-backed candidates and marks an upset over Rep. Randy Feenstra, who didn’t attend any primary debates and was viewed by many observers as a frontrunner. President Trump endorsed Feenstra last week, calling him “MAGA all the way,” and several top Iowa GOP figures backed him.

Feenstra conceded late Tuesday night, saying in a speech surrounded by his family that the outcome “wasn’t what I wanted.”

Describing himself as a sixth-generation Iowan, Lahn owns a family farm and runs the agriculture, real estate and technology investment firm Homeplace Ventures. He previously worked for the conservative group Americans for Prosperity. He’s running on a populist-inflected platform that he branded “Iowa First” and has said he wants to boost local ownership of farmland, stem the flow of younger Iowans out of the state and address Iowa’s high cancer rate.

“I fear every day we are losing the Iowa we love,” Lahn said in his victory speech Tuesday, castigating out-of-state investors that he says “treat Iowa land like it’s a commodity instead of our inheritance.”

Lahn was endorsed last year by MAHA Action, a group founded by allies of Health and Human Services Secretary Robert F. Kennedy Jr., and he picked up support from the late Charlie Kirk’s Turning Point Action last week. He was also endorsed by former Rep. Steve King, who was known for incendiary comments about race before Feenstra ousted him in a 2020 primary.

Three other candidates also ran: former Iowa Department of Administrative Services Director Adam Steen, state Rep. Eddie Andrews and former state Rep. Brad Sherman.

Lahn will now face Sand, a two-term state auditor who defeated a GOP incumbent in 2018 after working in the state attorney general’s office.

Sand has focused his campaign on government accountability and faulted Republicans for the state’s economic issues, while pitching universal pre-K and criticizing a school voucher program introduced by GOP officials. He has also sought to cultivate a moderate image on social issues, as Republicans try to cast him as a liberal in centrist’s clothing.

In a campaign video late Tuesday, Sand said Republican voters are “welcome in this campaign,” adding that the state’s political system is “broken” and “all you would get with Zach Lahn it is more of the same.”

Once considered a swing state, Iowa has trended sharply red in recent years as Democrats increasingly struggle on rural Midwestern terrain. Mr. Trump won the state three times in a row, including by a 13-point margin in 2024, and GOP Gov. Kim Reynolds won reelection by 18 points four years ago. Iowa hasn’t elected a Democratic governor in two decades, and Sand is the only statewide elected Democrat, after he won reelection by fewer than 3,000 votes in 2022.

But Democrats are hopeful that a challenging political environment for Republicans, both nationally and in Iowa, could make them more competitive in the midwestern state. The Cook Political Report has rated the Iowa gubernatorial race a tossup, one of five states with that distinction this year, and the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics says the race leans red.

Reynolds — who has led the state since 2017 — has one of the lowest approval ratings of any governor nationwide. Iowa farmers also struggled last year after the trade war with China caused Beijing to cut American soybean imports, pushing down prices of one of Iowa’s most widely grown crops, and the war with Iran has caused a run-up in fuel and fertilizer prices.

Reynolds declined to run for reelection this year, setting up Iowa’s first gubernatorial election without an incumbent in the race since 2006.

Lahn lent his campaign $2 million last year, but is heading into the general election at a fundraising disadvantage. His campaign had just over $700,000 on hand as of mid-May, compared to nearly $18.3 million for the Sand campaign. Sand’s wife runs a sizable food and health products company founded by her family called the Lauridsen Group, and the Democrat’s campaign coffers have been bolstered by millions in contributions from his in-laws.

Sand raised about $9.7 million between the start of the year and mid-May, just over $3 million of which came from members of his wife’s family. Lahn raised just under $1 million.

Beyond the governor’s race, Iowa also has an open Senate contest after Ernst declined to seek reelection, drawing interest from Democrats, though Republicans likely have a sizable edge. Democrats are also heavily targeting two of Iowa’s four House seats, including the 1st District, where incumbent GOP Rep. Mariannette Miller-Meeks won by fewer than 1,000 votes in 2024.

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