2026年5月20日 美国东部时间下午5:01 / 福克斯新闻网
其父阿里·哈梅内伊于2月“愤怒行动”期间在德黑兰遭美以联合 targeted 空袭身亡
作者：艾玛·巴塞，福克斯新闻网
伊朗最高领袖缺席公开露面，其对美威胁存疑
福克斯新闻记者布莱恩·利亚纳斯从特拉维夫加入《美国报道》节目，解读据称由伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊发布的有关霍尔木兹海峡美国封锁的警告，以及唐纳德·特朗普总统的回应。
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伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊已藏身近三个月，此间美伊紧张局势升级——反恐分析人士称，此次失踪与基地组织头目奥萨马·本·拉登的最后岁月如出一辙。
此番对比正值华盛顿与德黑兰陷入严重对峙之际，这一对峙促使特朗普总统于5月19日叫停了原定打击行动。周三，特朗普对记者表示他“并不急于动手”。
与此同时，哈梅内伊似乎于5月18日在其官方X账号上发布了三条帖子，但仍未公开露面。
“这是伊朗伊斯兰共和国历史上首次，美国对德黑兰采取了其花了二十年时间针对基地组织和ISIS的手段，”反恐专家奥马尔·穆罕默德博士告诉福克斯新闻数字频道。
失踪的毛拉：伊朗“最高领袖”缺席谈判，美军空袭核设施后藏身
伊朗最高领袖穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊的肖像图。（福克斯新闻）
“美国将其领导人逼入了与本·拉登在阿伯塔巴德隐居十年相同的行动隐身状态，”他补充道。
“穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊和本·拉登都通过美国的行动继承了地位，且二者的应对方式相同：不再公开现身，”穆罕默德说道，他还补充称本·拉登“大约在2007年就不再发布带有日期的视频，仅依靠专人传递音频消息”。
本·拉登于20世纪80年代末创立基地组织，并策划了2001年9月11日针对美国的恐怖袭击。
美国入侵阿富汗后，本·拉登在巴基斯坦阿伯塔巴德一处加固院落内藏身十年，躲过抓捕。
为躲避西方电子监控，他切断了所有数字足迹，仅依靠实体信使网络传递信息，穆罕默德说道，他是乔治华盛顿大学极端主义项目反犹太主义研究倡议组织的专家。
美国情报部门最终追踪到其中一名信使的踪迹，最终促成了2011年海豹突击队突袭行动，击毙了这位基地组织头目。
“史诗愤怒行动”：美国空军如何击溃伊朗恐怖政权
前基地组织头目奥萨马·本·拉登的肖像。本·拉登于2011年在巴基斯坦的一次大胆的海豹六队突袭行动中被击毙。（摄影：斯特凡·吕埃/西玛通过盖蒂图片社）
“本·拉登在阿伯塔巴德院落内没有任何对外通讯线路，通讯全靠两名可信信使——科威特兄弟——亲手传递，”穆罕默德说道。
“本·拉登余生都在躲藏，因为他一露面就会丧命。穆杰塔巴的动机同样指向这一点。穆杰塔巴·哈梅内伊不会现身，”他说道。
“德黑兰会仔细研究的阿伯塔巴德教训是，最安全的藏身之处不是托拉博拉的洞穴，而是驻军城镇里的带围墙院落，”穆罕默德补充道，回忆起美军此前在洞穴建筑群 targeting 本·拉登时，他成功逃脱的往事。
穆罕默德指出，本·拉登就藏身于巴基斯坦顶级军事学院附近约一英里处，用高高的混凝土墙和铁丝网将自己隐藏在众目睽睽之下。
“符合逻辑的伊朗对应地点是伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队设施下方或旁边的加固据点，”穆罕默德补充道，他指的是伊斯兰革命卫队以及哈梅内伊可能藏身的地点。
正如福克斯新闻数字频道此前报道的那样，哈梅内伊近期为数不多的通讯之一是在X平台上发布的一则宣布“圣战”的帖子，将地缘政治冲突描述为一项强制性宗教义务。
伊朗执政意识形态内幕：“神圣使命”和弥赛亚教义如何助长政权极端主义
唐纳德·特朗普总统曾表示，“在他动手之前我先搞定他”，此前伊朗最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊及多名高层领导人在美以联合军事行动“史诗愤怒行动”期间于德黑兰遭以色列空袭身亡。（马吉德·赛义迪/盖蒂图片社；尤里·格里帕斯/阿巴卡/彭博社通过盖蒂图片社）
“这是一位宗教领袖在不明地点呼吁对美国和犹太人发动神圣战争，因为他的敌人已公开宣称一见他就杀，”穆罕默德说道，将这种说法描述为“几乎一字不差的本·拉登模式”。
穆罕默德还表示，哈梅内伊退隐暗处标志着华盛顿和伊朗政权未来的一个转折点。
他的前任兼父亲、最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊于2月28日在“史诗愤怒行动”期间于德黑兰遭美以联合 targeted 空袭身亡。
“这个47年来一直通过周五聚礼讲坛上的一位可见最高领袖来展示其权力的政权，如今已无法按需推出这位人物，”他说道，并称这是一个“战略里程碑”。
“前任被美国空袭击毙，继任者却不敢露面。真正的权力由安全机构行使，而非名义上的国家元首。”
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“如今一方通过总统宣布在三大洲开展行动；另一方则名义上由一名民众都不确定其身在何处、状态如何的男子治理，”穆罕默德说道。
“这种对比也关乎这场战争期间领导层的形象，”他补充道。
艾玛·巴塞是福克斯新闻数字频道的突发新闻撰稿人。加入福克斯之前，她曾在《每日电讯报》美国夜班团队工作，负责过外交、政治、新闻、体育和文化等多个版面。
Mojtaba Khamenei using ‘bin Laden template’ to survive, learned from Abbottabad: analyst
2026-05-20 5:01pm EDT / Fox News
His father Ali Khamenei was killed in a targeted U.S.-Israeli airstrike in Tehran during Operation Fury in February
By Emma Bussey, Fox News
Ayatollah’s threat to US in question amid lack of public appearances
Fox News correspondent Bryan Llenas joins ‘America Reports’ from Tel Aviv to break down a warning allegedly written by Iranian Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei regarding the U.S. blockade in the Strait of Hormuz and President Donald Trump’s reaction.
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Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei has spent nearly three months in hiding as tensions with the U.S. escalate — a disappearance that counterterrorism analysts say mirrors the final years of al Qaeda mastermind Osama bin Laden.
The comparison comes amid a critical standoff between Washington and Tehran that prompted President Donald Trump to pause a planned strike on May 19. On Wednesday, Trump told reporters he was in “no hurry.”
Khamenei, meanwhile, appeared to share three posts on his official X account on May 18 but remains out of public view.
“For the first time in the history of the Islamic Republic, the United States has done to Tehran what it spent two decades doing to al-Qaeda and ISIS,” counterterrorism expert Dr. Omar Mohammed told Fox News Digital.
THE MISSING MULLAH: IRAN’S ‘SUPREME LEADER’ A NO-SHOW FOR NEGOTIATIONS, THEN HID AS US POUNDED NUKE SITES
Iran’s Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei is shown in a portrait image.(Fox News)
“The U.S. has driven its leader into the same kind of operational invisibility that bin Laden lived in for 10 years in Abbottabad,” he added.
“Both Mojtaba Khamenei and bin Laden inherited their status on the back of an American operation, and both responded the same way: by ceasing to exist publicly,” Mohammed said before adding that bin Laden “stopped releasing dated videos around 2007 and confined himself to audio messages carried by hand.”
Bin Laden founded al-Qaeda in the late 1980s and masterminded the Sept. 11, 2001, terrorist attacks against the United States.
After the U.S. invasion of Afghanistan, bin Laden evaded capture for a decade by hiding inside a fortified compound in Abbottabad, Pakistan.
To avoid Western electronic surveillance, he severed his digital footprint and relied exclusively on a network of physical couriers, said Mohammed, an expert with the Antisemitism Research Initiative at George Washington University’s Program on Extremism.
U.S. intelligence eventually tracked one of those couriers to the compound, culminating in the 2011 Navy SEAL raid that killed the al Qaeda leader.
OPERATION EPIC FURY: HOW AMERICA’S AIR POWER IS CRUSHING IRAN’S TERROR REGIME
Portrait of former al-Qaeda leader Osama bin Laden. Bin Laden was killed in 2011 in a daring SEAL Team 6 raid in Pakistan.(Photo by Stephane Ruet/Sygma via Getty Images)
“Bin Laden survived with no cables out of the Abbottabad compound. Communications were carried by hand by two trusted couriers, the Kuwaiti brothers,” Mohammed said.
“Bin Laden stayed hidden for the rest of his life because the moment he surfaced was the moment he died. Mojtaba’s incentives point the same way. Mojtaba Khamenei won’t emerge,” he said.
“The Abbottabad lesson, which Tehran will have studied closely, is that the safest hiding place is not a cave in Tora Bora but a walled compound in a garrison town,” Mohammed added, recalling how U.S. forces targeted bin Laden in the cave complex before he escaped.
Bin Laden also lived roughly a mile from Pakistan’s top military academy, hiding in plain sight behind high concrete walls and barbed wire, Mohammed noted.
“The logical Iranian equivalents are hardened sites under or alongside IRGC facilities,” Mohammed added, referring to the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps and possible locations where Khamenei could be.
As previously reported by Fox News Digital, one of Khamenei’s few recent communications was an X post declaring a “holy war,” framing the geopolitical clash as a mandatory religious obligation.
INSIDE IRAN’S RULING IDEOLOGY: HOW A ‘HOLY MISSION’ AND MESSIANIC DOCTRINE FUEL REGIME EXTREMISM
President Donald Trump said, “I got him before he got me” after Iran’s Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and several top leaders were killed in an Israeli strike in Tehran during the U.S.-Israeli military offensive called Operation Epic Fury.(Majid Saeedi/Getty Images; Yuri Gripas/Abaca/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
“This is a religious leader calling for sacred war against America and the Jews from an undisclosed location because his enemies have publicly vowed to kill him on sight,” Mohammed said, describing the narrative as “the bin Laden template, almost line for line.”
Mohammed also suggested Khamenei’s retreat into the shadows marks a watershed moment for Washington and the future of the Iranian regime.
His predecessor and father, Supreme Leader, Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, was killed Feb. 28 in a targeted U.S.-Israeli airstrike in Tehran during Operation Epic Fury.
“This regime that for 47 years projected its power through a single visible Supreme Leader at the Friday prayer pulpit can no longer produce that figure on demand,” he said, calling it a “strategic milestone.”
“Predecessors killed by U.S. strikes and successors who cannot show their faces. Real power exercised by a security apparatus rather than by the nominal figurehead.”
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“Now one side is announcing operations on three continents through its president; the other is governed on paper by a man whose own population is uncertain where he is or what state he is in,” Mohammed said.
“The contrast is also about the optics of leadership during this war,” he added.
Emma Bussey is a breaking news writer for Fox News Digital. Before joining Fox, she worked at The Telegraph with the U.S. overnight team, across desks including foreign, politics, news, sport and culture.
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