2026年5月13日 美国东部时间早上6:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
“如果他们拥有核武器，就会使用它，”前海军上将如是说
作者：埃弗拉特·拉赫特 福克斯新闻
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普称，与伊朗达成的停火协议正“靠大量生命支持维持”，与此同时，美国退役将领和国家安全专家正日益分裂：一方认为华盛顿应当恢复对德黑兰的军事行动，另一方则警告称此举可能引发又一场旷日持久的中东冲突，呼吁避免卷入。
“我要说，停火协议正靠大量生命支持维持，”特朗普周一对记者表示，“就像医生走进来说，‘先生，您的亲人存活几率大约只有1%’。”
特朗普还将伊朗对一项提议中的协议的最新回应斥为“垃圾”，此前有报道称，白宫正在审查若谈判破裂可采取的军事选项。
特朗普前国家安全顾问、退役陆军中将H·R·麦克马斯特表示，他认为伊朗领导层不太可能做出特朗普认为达成协议所需做出的让步。
白宫警告伊朗不要在协议上退缩：特朗普准备好“释放地狱”
美国总统唐纳德·特朗普称，与伊朗达成的停火协议正“靠大量生命支持维持”，与此同时，美国退役将领和国家安全专家正日益分裂：华盛顿是否应当恢复对德黑兰的军事行动。（阿塔·凯纳雷/法新社 盖蒂图片社）
“我认为伊朗领导层和伊斯兰革命卫队不愿做出特朗普总统认为是最低限度的让步，”麦克马斯特在接受福克斯新闻数字频道采访时表示，他所指的是伊朗强硬派的伊斯兰革命卫队。
“特朗普总统一直想要达成协议，”他补充道，“但他不会签署一份糟糕的协议。”
当前这场日益激烈的辩论围绕着华盛顿面临的一个核心问题展开：额外的军事压力能否迫使伊朗放弃其核与导弹计划，还是说重启空袭只会加剧地区冲突，无法取得决定性成果。
美国中央司令部前副司令、退役海军副上将马克·福克斯表示，他认为当前的停火和外交进程不太可能迫使伊朗让步。
“我实在想不出除了全面恢复作战行动之外的任何办法，”福克斯对福克斯新闻数字频道说，“我认为，他们最终只会对武力做出回应。”
福克斯认为，尽管伊朗持续威胁途经该水道的船只，美国军方仍有能力重新开放并确保霍尔木兹海峡的商业航运安全。
霍尔木兹海峡瓶颈依旧：尽管特朗普达成停火，伊朗仍中断石油运输
支持恢复军事行动的人士认为，伊朗的实力比数十年来任何时候都弱，现在收手 risks 让德黑兰重整旗鼓、重建导弹库，并保住对全球最重要的能源咽喉之一的控制权。（美联社照片）
“这是一个在军事上可以实现的目标，”他说，并概述了一项战略，涉及导弹驱逐舰、攻击直升机、无人机和扩大空中侦察，以在海峡创建一条受保护的海上通道。
福克斯承认，美国海军的规模比1980年代油轮战争时期更小，但他辩称，如果华盛顿投入足够的海军资产并开展持续的监视行动，美军仍有能力确保这一咽喉要道的安全。
“这并不容易，”福克斯说，“但地理条件是固定的。”
他描述了一项可能的战略，将依靠驱逐舰、无人机和攻击机在海峡上空建立他所谓的“永不眨眼的眼睛”，让美军能够在伊朗快艇、无人机和反舰威胁袭击商业船只之前识别并 neutralize 它们。
福克斯还警告，不要让伊朗保留对霍尔木兹海峡的控制权，同时继续推进其导弹和核计划。
“如果现在不做，那要等到什么时候？”他说，“如果他们拥有核武器，就会使用它。”
专家警告：伊朗的核双重言论旨在争取时间，削弱美国施压
但并非所有人都认为恢复军事行动会带来更好的结果。（投稿人/盖蒂图片社）
福克斯还签署了美国犹太国家安全研究所最近发布的一份政策文件，他呼应了该报告的观点，即伊朗正在利用谈判争取时间，同时保留其军事能力。
这份由包括美国欧洲司令部前副司令、退役将军查克·瓦尔德和中央司令部前副司令、退役海军副上将罗伯特·哈沃德在内的多名退役美军高级官员和国家安全专家撰写的报告辩称，当前的停火和外交进程“无法可靠地迫使伊朗”满足美国的要求，并警告德黑兰正试图“拖延谈判、削弱美国的决心，并利用这段时间壮大自身”。
该报告呼吁针对伊朗的海上能力、导弹基础设施和内部胁迫机构扩大军事行动，同时避免对民用基础设施发动广泛袭击，以免引发更广泛的地区升级。
但并非所有人都认为恢复军事行动会带来更好的结果。
退役陆军中校丹尼尔·戴维斯是国防优先事务组织的高级研究员，也是美国扩大军事干预的长期批评者，他警告称，那些“完成任务”的呼吁忽视了近期战斗中暴露的现实。
“正如他们所说的‘完成任务’是不理智的，”戴维斯对福克斯新闻数字频道说，“这不合逻辑，也违背了任何军事原则。”
基思·凯洛格敦促美国通过占领岛屿、扼杀经济来“完成任务”打击伊朗
一段由美国中央司令部发布的视频截图显示，2026年2月28日发布的美以联合打击伊朗的“史诗之怒”行动中，未知地点发生爆炸后升起的烟雾和尘土。（中央司令部/路透社）
戴维斯辩称，尽管发动了数千次打击和数周的战斗，伊朗仍保留了大量导弹和海上能力。
“我们击中了1.4万个目标都没能击溃他们，”他说，“为什么有人认为再打一次就能得到不同的结果？”
他将伊朗的地理环境、分散的导弹基础设施和不对称的海军战术描述为制造了他所谓的“军事上无法解决的难题”。
“唯一的出路是外交解决方案，”戴维斯说。
这场分歧反映了华盛顿内部正在出现的更广泛分裂，官员们正在权衡如果谈判失败，下一步该怎么做。
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支持恢复军事行动的人士认为，伊朗的实力比数十年来任何时候都弱，现在收手将风险让德黑兰重整旗鼓、重建导弹库，并保住对全球最重要的能源咽喉之一的控制权。
批评者反驳称，即便美国和以色列发动大规模空袭，也未能从根本上打破该政权的控制或消除其军事能力，这进一步加剧了风险：进一步升级可能将美国拖入另一场结果难料的漫长地区冲突。
埃弗拉特·拉赫特是福克斯新闻数字频道负责国际事务和联合国报道的外籍记者。请在X平台关注她@efratlachter。新闻线索请发送至efrat.lachter@fox.com。
Trump faces split among retired US commanders over whether to resume Iran strikes
May 13, 2026 6:00am EDT / Fox News
‘If they had a nuclear weapon, they would use it,’ former admiral says
By Efrat Lachter Fox News
President Donald Trump said the ceasefire with Iran is on “massive life support,” as retired U.S. commanders and national security experts are increasingly split whether Washington should resume military operations against Tehran or avoid what critics warn could become another prolonged Middle East conflict.
“I would say the ceasefire is on massive life support,” Trump told reporters Monday. “Where the doctor walks in and says, ‘Sir, your loved one has approximately a 1% chance of living.’”
Trump also dismissed Iran’s latest response to a proposed agreement as “a piece of garbage,” amid reports the White House is reviewing military options should negotiations collapse.
Retired Lt. Gen. H.R. McMaster, former national security adviser under Trump, said he believes Iran’s leadership is unlikely to make the concessions Trump considers necessary for a deal.
WHITE HOUSE WARNS IRAN AGAINST BALKING AT DEAL: TRUMP READY TO ‘UNLEASH HELL’
President Donald Trump said the ceasefire with Iran is on “massive life support,” as retired U.S. commanders and national security experts are increasingly split whether Washington should resume military operations against Tehran.(Atta KENARE / AFP via Getty Images)
“I think the Iranian leadership and IRGC are unwilling to make the kind of concessions that President Trump thinks are at the minimum,” McMaster told Fox News Digital, referring to Iran’s hardline Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps.
“President Trump always wants a deal,” he added. “But he’s not going to sign up for a bad deal.”
The emerging debate now centers on a core question facing Washington: whether additional military pressure could force Iran to abandon its nuclear and missile ambitions, or whether renewed strikes would deepen a regional conflict without producing decisive results.
Retired Vice Adm. Mark Fox, former deputy commander of U.S. Central Command (CENTCOM), said he believes the current ceasefire and diplomatic track are unlikely to force Iran to back down.
“I really cannot envision anything other than a full return to combat operations,” Fox told Fox News Digital. “The only thing that they will respond to, I think ultimately, is force.”
Fox argued the U.S. military remains capable of reopening and securing commercial shipping through the Strait of Hormuz despite ongoing Iranian threats against vessels transiting the waterway.
HORMUZ CHOKE POINT PERSISTS AS IRAN HALTS OIL TRAFFIC DESPITE TRUMP CEASEFIRE
Supporters of renewed military action argue Iran is weaker than it has been in decades and that stopping now risks allowing Tehran to regroup, rebuild its missile arsenal and preserve leverage over one of the world’s most important energy choke points.(AP Photo)
“This is a militarily obtainable objective,” he said, outlining a strategy involving guided missile destroyers, attack helicopters, drones and expanded aerial surveillance to create a protected maritime corridor through the Strait.
Fox acknowledged the U.S. Navy is smaller than it was during the 1980s tanker wars, but argued American forces still possess the capability to secure the chokepoint if Washington commits enough naval assets and persistent monitoring operations.
“It’s not easy,” Fox said. “But the geography is fixed.”
He described a possible strategy that would rely on destroyers, drones and attack aircraft to create what he called an “unblinking eye” over the strait, allowing U.S. forces to identify and neutralize Iranian speedboats, drones and anti-shipping threats before they can strike commercial vessels.
Fox also warned against allowing Iran to preserve leverage over Hormuz while continuing to advance its missile and nuclear programs.
“If not now, when?” he said. “If they had a nuclear weapon, they would use it.”
EXPERTS WARN IRAN’S NUCLEAR DOUBLE-TALK DESIGNED TO BUY TIME, UNDERMINE US PRESSURE
But not everyone agrees that renewed military action would produce a better outcome.(Contributor/Getty Images)
Fox, who also signed onto a recent policy paper by the Jewish Institute for National Security of America, echoed the report’s argument that Iran is using negotiations to buy time while preserving its military capabilities.
The paper was authored by several retired senior U.S. military officials and national security experts, including retired Gen. Chuck Wald, former deputy commander of U.S. European Command and retired Vice Adm. Robert Harward, former deputy commander of CENTCOM, argued the current ceasefire and diplomatic track “cannot reliably compel Iran” to meet U.S. demands and warned Tehran was seeking to “drag out talks, erode U.S. resolve, and use the time to strengthen itself.”
The report called for expanded military operations targeting Iran’s maritime capabilities, missile infrastructure and internal coercive apparatus while avoiding broad attacks on civilian infrastructure that could trigger wider regional escalation.
But not everyone agrees that renewed military action would produce a better outcome.
Retired Lt. Col. Daniel Davis, a senior fellow at Defense Priorities and longtime critic of expanded U.S. military interventions, warned that calls to “finish the job” ignore the realities exposed during the recent fighting.
“To ‘finish the job,’ as they say, is irrational,” Davis told Fox News Digital. “It’s illogical, and it violates any kind of military principle.”
KEITH KELLOGG URGES US TO ‘FINISH THE JOB’ AGAINST IRAN BY SEIZING ISLANDS, STRANGLING ECONOMY
A screengrab from a video released by U.S. Central Command shows smoke and dust rising after an explosion at an unknown location during the operation dubbed Epic Fury, an attack by the United States and Israel on Iran, released Feb. 28, 2026.(CENTCOM/Reuters)
Davis argued that despite thousands of strikes and weeks of fighting, Iran retained significant missile and maritime capabilities.
“We couldn’t knock them out with 14,000 targets hit,” he said. “Why does anybody think that going back another time is going to have a different result?”
He described Iran’s geography, dispersed missile infrastructure and asymmetric naval tactics as creating what he called “a militarily unsolvable problem.”
“The only thing left is a diplomatic outcome,” Davis said.
The disagreement reflects a broader divide emerging in Washington as officials weigh what comes next if negotiations fail.
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Supporters of renewed military action argue Iran is weaker than it has been in decades and that stopping now risks allowing Tehran to regroup, rebuild its missile arsenal and preserve leverage over one of the world’s most important energy choke points.
Critics counter that even extensive U.S. and Israeli strikes failed to fundamentally break the regime’s control or eliminate its military capabilities, raising the risk that further escalation could drag the United States into another drawn-out regional conflict with uncertain results.
Efrat Lachter is a foreign correspondent for Fox News Digital covering international affairs and the United Nations. Follow her on X @efratlachter. Stories can be sent to efrat.lachter@fox.com.
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