2026-05-11T19:16:52-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
参议院全票通过禁令，禁止议员参与近期兴起的赌博现象
作者：查德·珀格拉姆 福克斯新闻
发布时间：2026年5月11日 美国东部时间晚7:16
参议院通过法案，禁止议员参与预测市场下注
福克斯新闻首席国会通讯员查德·珀格拉姆在《特别报道》节目中报道了美国参议院通过一项法案，禁止议员及其助手参与预测市场。
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没人能提前预料到这一幕。
但如果你真的预料到了，本可以大赚一笔。
美国参议院一反常态地迅速采取行动，全票通过禁令，禁止参议员及其员工参与预测市场赌博。
“这是国家安全风险，”参议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党人查克·舒默说道，“议员的投票可能会受到下注影响，仅此一点就足以彻底叫停这类行为。”
参议院悄然禁止议员在预测市场下注
参议院全票通过禁令，禁止议员及其员工参与预测市场赌博。（iStock）
你无法预测未来。但现在在参议院，你甚至不能为未来下注。
尤其是为现实世界的事件下注。
比如股市是否会崩盘、经济命运、战争、恐怖主义。
或是谁会在纽约大都会博物馆慈善晚宴上穿哪件礼服。
参议员戴夫·麦考密克：预测市场正蓬勃发展。华盛顿必须跟上步伐
国会山方面最大的担忧是，有人可能会就立法命运或提名确认结果下注。两党都担心预测市场的投机活动可能会影响政治结果。
“以任何方式参与预测市场，或是试图在我们可能拥有内部信息的场合下注，都会削弱选民对我们的信任，”俄亥俄州共和党议员伯尼·莫雷诺说道。
莫雷诺推动修改参议员行为规则。加州民主党议员亚历克斯·帕迪拉对莫雷诺的提案进行了修正，将参议院助手也纳入禁令范围。
目前这项禁令仅适用于参议院。众议院正在跟进。
“任何可能让你凭借国会职务获得个人利益的场合，我认为都需要严格管控，”弗吉尼亚州共和党议员罗布·威特曼在被问及众议院类似法案的前景时表示。
请记住，根据美国宪法，参众两院可以自行制定内部规则。
参议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党人查克·舒默曾表示：“我们绝不能让国会变成赌场。”（格雷姆·斯隆/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社）
参议院出台这项禁令的几周前，联邦政府逮捕了一名美国特种部队士兵，该士兵有权访问机密信息，随后曾就抓捕委内瑞拉前领导人尼古拉斯·马杜罗下注。
弗吉尼亚州联邦参议院候选人马克·莫兰曾下注称自己会参选。莫兰后来投身竞选，并凭借自己的竞选押注赚了钱。
“选民必须知道，我们唯一的指导原则是什么对我们的州最有利，什么对我们各州的人民最有利，什么对美利坚合众国最有利，”莫雷诺说道。
“我们绝不能让国会变成赌场，”舒默说道，“议员的投票可能会因为下注而受到影响，仅此一点就足以禁止议员涉足预测市场。”
但舒默希望将预测市场禁令扩大到行政部门。这位纽约州民主党人指责特朗普政府“表现出对腐败和自利行为令人不安的热衷”。
参议院通过法案，禁止议员参与预测市场下注
这让我们联想到另一件事：许多国会民主党人希望将行政部门排除在股票交易禁令之外。
但问题在于，国会口头上一直承诺要对议员及其助手的股票交易实施禁令，但参众两院从未出台过全面的禁止规定。
这是一个搁置多年的议题。
“把禁止国会议员内幕交易的法案交给我，我明天就签署，”前总统奥巴马在2012年1月的国情咨文演讲中说道。
“我们还应确保国会议员不会利用内幕信息谋取不当利益，”特朗普总统在2月的国情咨文演讲中宣称。
如今已近2026年年中，国会仍未完全落实相关规定。
前总统唐纳德·特朗普曾在国情咨文演讲中表示要“确保国会议员不会利用内幕信息谋取不当利益”。（贾宾·博茨福德/盖蒂图片社）
已故纽约州民主党众议员路易丝·斯莱特和前华盛顿州民主党众议员布莱恩·贝尔德是国会股票交易禁令最积极的倡导者，这一倡议最早可追溯至2006年。前众议院多数党领袖、德克萨斯州共和党议员汤姆·德莱在1999年和2000年进行了数百次股票交易，这引起了贝尔德的注意。
“如果有办法从中获利，恐怕早就有人想到办法了，”贝尔德说道，“而且这并不违法。”
国会最终在2012年通过了《股票法案》，全称是《停止利用国会知情交易法案》。当时人们担忧议员能够接触到金融、经济和政治情报，因此可能会利用近乎“内幕交易”的信息买卖股票。
但《股票法案》并未禁止议员在华尔街交易股票，只是要求议员及其助手交易股票时需进行额外的财务披露。
特朗普点名抨击佩洛西及其有争议的股票交易历史
奥巴马2012年的呼吁确实推动议员们在几天后通过了《股票法案》，但这并非如这位前总统所言的“内幕交易禁令”，只是增加了透明度要求。
股票交易议题的僵局让一些议员感到困惑。
“我不知道为什么众议院在这方面一直如此困难，”弗吉尼亚州民主党议员詹姆斯·沃金肖说道，“我认为任何声称议员应该能够交易股票的人都是大错特错。这会降低公众对国会机构的信任，哪怕那些议员并没有利用内幕信息进行交易。”
众议院行政委员会主席、威斯康星州共和党议员布莱恩·斯泰尔提出了一项限制议员股票交易的法案。
“如果你想做日间交易，就去华尔街。来华盛顿是为了领导这个国家，”斯泰尔说道。
“如果你想做日间交易，就去华尔街，”众议院行政委员会主席、威斯康星州共和党议员布莱恩·斯泰尔说道。（吉姆·冯德鲁斯卡/盖蒂图片社）
但该法案已陷入停滞。部分原因在于民主党推动将国会股票交易禁令扩大到行政部门，而许多共和党人对此并不情愿。
“无论哪个党派的总统或副总统，在手握总统、副总统和行政部门的巨大权力时，都不应该进行股票交易，这完全没有任何正当理由，”众议院少数党领袖、纽约州民主党人哈基姆·杰弗里斯说道。
亚利桑那州民主党议员亚萨明·安萨里认为，股票交易问题正在发生变化。她怀疑选民不会再容忍同僚的市场交易行为。
“我们知道仍有许多同僚在进行股票交易。我认为美国公众现在对这个话题了解得更多了，这非常不受欢迎。所以我确实认为形势正在转变，任何议员支持这种行为都将难以为继，”安萨里说道，“越来越多的人掌握了相关信息。五年前议员们能够逃过一劫的行为，如今已经不可能了。”
就像政治伦理领域的许多问题一样，问题不一定在于不当行为本身，而在于人们对不当行为的观感。公众原本就对国会评价不高，许多选民认为“统治阶层”拥有特殊信息渠道，能够利用体制为自己谋取经济利益。只要国会不自我监管，这种不信任就可能持续发酵。
虽然我们无法预测未来，但人们确实可以塑造未来。国会拥有诸多工具来塑造未来，问题在于议员们是否在将这些机遇引向自身。
点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP
那么国会会通过股票交易禁令吗？预测未来行为的最佳依据是过往行为。
换句话说，别指望会有好事发生。
查德·珀格拉姆目前担任福克斯新闻频道（FNC）首席国会通讯员。他于2007年9月加入该电视台，总部位于华盛顿特区。
Members of Congress using online prediction markets? Don’t bet on it
2026-05-11T19:16:52-04:00 / Fox News
Senate unanimously bans members from participation in recent gambling phenomenon
By Chad Pergram Fox News
Published May 11, 2026 7:16pm EDT
Senate adopts measure banning its members from betting in prediction markets
Fox News chief congressional correspondent Chad Pergram reports on the U.S. Senate adopting a measure banning its members and aides from participating in prediction markets on ‘Special Report.’
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No one would have predicted it.
But you could have made a lot of money if you did.
With uncharacteristic dispatch, the United States Senate unanimously voted to ban senators and staff from playing in the prediction markets.
“This is a national security risk,” said Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y. “The very possibility that a member’s vote could be influenced by a bet is reason enough to slam the door shut.”
SENATE QUIETLY BANS LAWMAKERS FROM BETTING ON PREDICTION MARKETS
The Senate has unanimously voted to ban its members and staff from betting in prediction markets.(iStock)
You can’t predict the future. But now in the Senate, you can’t even bet on it.
Especially real world events.
Like if the stock market might crash. The fate of the economy. War. Terrorism.
Or who would wear what gown at the Met Gala.
SEN DAVE MCCORMICK: PREDICTION MARKETS ARE BOOMING. WASHINGTON MUST CATCH UP
The biggest concern on Capitol Hill is potential wagering on the fate of legislation. Or the confirmation of nominees. There’s bipartisan concern that speculation in the prediction markets could tilt political outcomes.
“Engaging in any way in a prediction market or trying to place bets where we might have inside information deteriorates the confidence that our constituents have in us,” said Sen. Bernie Moreno, R-Ohio.
Moreno pushed to change the rules for senators. Sen. Alex Padilla, D-Calif., amended Moreno’s proposal to include Senate aides.
This only applies to the Senate. For now. The House is playing catch up.
“Any place where your role in Congress has a potential for individual benefit, I think needs to be tightly controlled,” said Rep. Rob Wittman, R-Va., when asked about prospects for a similar measure in the House.
Keep in mind that under the Constitution, the House and Senate can make their own rules.
Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, D-N.Y., has said “we must never allow Congress to turn into a casino.”(Graeme Sloan/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
The Senate’s maneuver comes just weeks after the Feds busted a U.S. special forces solider who had access to classified information – and then bet on the capture of former Venezuelan leader Nicolás Maduro.
Virginia U.S. Senate candidate Mark Moran placed a wager that he would run for office. Moran later made money on his own proposition after he jumped into the race.
“Our constituents have to know that our only guiding light is what’s best for our state. What’s best for the people of our states. And what’s best for the United States of America,” said Moreno.
“We must never allow Congress to turn into a casino,” said Schumer. “Just the possibility that Members could have their votes influence because of betting is a reason enough to prohibit members from meddling in the prediction markets.”
But Schumer wants prediction market prohibitions extended to the executive branch. The New York Democrat argues that the Trump Administration “shows such a troubling affinity to corruption and self-dealing.”
SENATE PASSES MEASURE BANNING LAWMAKERS FROM PREDICTION BETS
This brings us to something else from which many Congressional Democrats want to exclude the executive branch: trading stocks.
But here’s the problem. Congress has paid lip service to imposing its own ban for lawmakers and aides to stock trades. But neither the House nor Senate ever implemented an across-the-board prohibition.
It’s a stalled issue. And has been so for years.
“Send me a bill that bans insider trading by Members of Congress and I will sign it tomorrow,” instructed former President Obama during his State of the Union speech in January 2012.
“Let’s also ensure that Members of Congress cannot corruptly profit from using insider information,” proclaimed President Trump during his State of the Union message in February.
Well, it’s nearly mid-2026 and Congress still isn’t all the way there.
President Donald Trump expressed a desire to “ensure that Members of Congress cannot corruptly profit from using insider information” at his State of the Union address.(Jabin Botsford/Getty Images)
Late Rep. Louise Slaughter, D-N.Y., and former Rep. Brian Baird, D-Wash., were the most ardent advocates of a Congressional stock trading ban – dating back to 2006. Former House Majority Leader Tom DeLay, R-Texas, made hundreds of stock trades in 1999 and 2000. That caught Baird’s attention.
“If there is a way to make a profit on that, somebody has probably already figured out a way to do it,” said Baird, “And it’s not illegal.”
Congress finally passed the STOCK Act in 2012. It stands for “Stop Trading On Congressional Knowledge.” There was concern that lawmakers are privy to financial, economic and political intelligence. Therefore, they could buy or sell stocks on information which bordered on “insider trading.”
But the STOCK Act didn’t prohibit lawmakers from playing on Wall Street. It just required additional financial disclosures about when lawmakers and aides traded stocks.
TRUMP TAKES JAB AT PELOSI BY NAME OVER HISTORY OF CONTROVERSIAL STOCK TRADING
President Obama’s 2012 entreaty certainly helped goad lawmakers into approving the STOCK Act a few days later. But it wasn’t a ban on “insider trading” as the former president suggested. This just entailed additional transparency.
The stalemate over stock trades baffles some lawmakers.
“I don’t know why it’s been such a challenge in the House,” said Rep. James Walkinshaw, D-Va. “I think any Member saying that they should be able to trade stocks is flat out wrong. I think it degrades trust in the institution. Even for those members who are not trading on inside information.”
House Administration Committee Chairman Brian Steil, R-Wis., has a bill to curb stock trades by lawmakers.
“If you want a day trade, go to Wall Street. Come to Washington to lead this country,” said Steil.
“If you want a day trade, go to Wall Street,” House Administration Committee Chairman Brian Steil, R-Wis., said.(Jim Vondruska/Getty Images)
But that bill is marooned. It partly goes back to the Democrats’ push to extend any Congressional stock trading ban to the executive branch. That’s something many Republicans are reluctant to do.
“There is zero justification and rationale for allowing a president of any party or a vice president of any party, to be able to engage in stock trading while they have the awesome power of the presidency, vice presidency and executive branch in their hands,” said House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y.
Rep. Yassamin Ansari, D-Ariz., believes the stock trade issue is evolving. She doubts that voters will put up with market activity by her colleagues much longer.
“We know there are many colleagues who do still trade stocks. I think the American public is much more informed on this topic now. And this is very unpopular. So I do think the tide is changing and it will become untenable for any member to to be supportive of it,” said Ansari. “I think more people have more information. So what a Member of Congress was able to get away with even five years ago just is not possible today.”
Like many things when it comes to ethics in politics, it’s not necessarily impropriety. But the perception of impropriety. The public holds Congress in low esteem to start with. Many voters believe the “ruling class” has special access to information which enables them to game the system for their own economic benefit. That distrust may fester as long as Congress fails to police its own.
While we can’t predict the future, people can certainly shape it. Congress has a lot of tools at its disposal to contour that future. The question is if lawmakers are bending those fortunes in their direction.
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So will Congress approve a stock trading ban? The best predictor of future behavior is past behavior.
In other words, don’t bet on it.
Chad Pergram currently serves as Chief Congressional Correspondent for FOX News Channel (FNC). He joined the network in September 2007 and is based out of Washington, D.C.
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