2026-05-06T16:30:45-04:00 / 福克斯新闻
分析师称耶路撒冷要求停止铀浓缩、限制导弹活动、切断代理资助且无“日落条款”
作者：埃弗拉特·拉赫特 福克斯新闻
发布于2026年5月6日 美国东部时间下午4:30
中东专家称伊朗民众担忧本国会成为政权的“替罪羊”
中东研究所副研究员纳齐·莫伊尼安博士在《故事》节目中分析了美国采取军事行动后伊朗当前的政治与军事局势。
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随着唐纳德·特朗普总统透露与伊朗可能达成协议的进展，以色列官员和分析人士越来越明确地指出，耶路撒冷认为任何协议都必须包含哪些内容，以阻止德黑兰重建其军事力量和地区影响力。
以色列总理本雅明·内塔尼亚胡周三表示，随着谈判继续，以色列与美国仍保持“完全协调”。
“我们有着共同的目标，其中最重要的目标是将所有浓缩材料从伊朗转移出去，并拆除伊朗的浓缩设施，”内塔尼亚胡在安全内阁会议开幕时表示。
美伊在罗马恢复核谈判之际就铀浓缩问题爆发冲突
“我们在过去24小时内进行了非常富有成效的会谈，我们很有可能达成协议，”特朗普周三在椭圆形办公室对记者表示。
与此同时，特朗普警告称，如果谈判失败，“我们将不得不采取更进一步的行动”。
对以色列而言，问题不仅在于战争是否结束，还在于伊朗在谈判结束后是会被削弱，还是会重新积蓄力量重建实力。以色列官员担心，一项软弱的协议可能会让德黑兰保留战略能力，恢复经济喘息空间，并最终重建战前威胁以色列的地区武装网络。耶路撒冷还寻求保证，任何未来的协议都将保留军事杠杆，并在伊朗违反承诺时保留行动自由。
在此背景下，以色列分析人士表示，耶路撒冷的红线集中在四个核心领域：拆除伊朗的浓缩基础设施、限制其弹道导弹计划、阻止德黑兰重建真主党和哈马斯，以及确保伊朗政权不会从谈判中获得政治合法性或战略松绑。
停止铀浓缩，杜绝日落条款
在核问题上，以色列前国家安全顾问雅各布·阿姆迪罗表示，以色列的立场毫不妥协。
“武器级铀必须离开伊朗，”阿姆迪罗说。“绝不能允许伊朗继续浓缩铀。”
以色列记者兼评论员纳达夫·埃亚尔表示赞同，并补充称以色列寻求的框架比以往的协议更为严格。
“以色列希望伊朗尽可能长时间地停止浓缩铀活动，并将所有浓缩材料转移出伊朗，”埃亚尔说，并补充称耶路撒冷正在寻求“一项广泛而强有力的军备控制协议”。
以色列智库“以色列思想”副总裁阿夫纳·戈洛夫告诉福克斯新闻数字频道，以色列还要求彻底拆除伊朗的地下核基础设施。
“在核领域，关键在于转移浓缩材料、摧毁地下设施，包括仍在建设中的设施，并禁止新建浓缩设施，”戈洛夫说。
戈洛夫还警告称，要警惕“日落条款”——即允许限制措施在数年后到期的条款。
“协议绝不能包含日落条款，”他说，并呼吁“前所未有的无处不在的监测和监督，不受任何条件限制，且无需伊朗批准”。
美国犹太国家安全研究所(JINSA)美国战略研究员乔纳森·鲁赫告诉福克斯新闻数字频道：“归根结底，美国和以色列对可接受的协议应当拥有极强相似的红线，”其中包括“全面、永久且可核查地关闭伊朗的核武器计划”。
鲁赫表示，这不仅要求伊朗交出高浓缩铀，还包括关闭位于皮克阿克和伊斯法罕的剩余浓缩相关设施。
[联合国原子能机构对伊朗政策在美以“摧毁”核设施后引发专家不同评价]
导弹被视为同等威胁
除核问题外，以色列分析人士表示，伊朗的弹道导弹计划已成为以色列安全关切的同等核心问题。
“关键问题之一是是否会对伊朗的弹道导弹计划施加任何形式的限制，”埃亚尔说。“以色列认为这是与核问题一样严重的生存威胁。”
阿姆迪罗警告称，如果不限制导弹计划，这种威胁最终可能会蔓延到以色列和欧洲之外。
“如果不对导弹计划施加限制，那么目前能够抵达欧洲一半地区的导弹，将在5到10年内能够抵达美国，”他警告道。
戈洛夫认为，仅针对核项目的协议将让伊朗得以自由重建导弹防御系统，为未来的核突破提供保护。
“仅聚焦核项目的协议将允许伊朗生产数千枚导弹，并为其核计划建立保护屏障。”
鲁赫同样表示，限制伊朗的导弹库必须包括阻止伊朗重建在战争中受损的生产能力。
[伊朗划出导弹红线，分析师警告德黑兰正拖延美国谈判]
哈马斯、真主党及代理武装问题
以色列的另一大担忧是，制裁松绑或恢复贸易可能会将资金重新流向伊朗的地区代理武装。
“以色列要求伊斯兰共和国断绝与黎巴嫩和加沙的往来，停止支持针对以色列的武装团体，”埃亚尔说。
“对以色列而言，至关重要的是，注入伊朗的资金不会被用于重建该地区的代理武装，”他补充道。
阿姆迪罗表示，由于地区补给路线的崩溃，伊朗支持真主党和哈马斯的能力已经被削弱。
“伊朗无法有效支持代理武装，因为从伊朗到叙利亚的陆上通道已经不复存在，”他说，但他警告称，如果谈判给人一种华盛顿妥协的印象，即使在战后，伊朗的地区代理武装也可能变得更加强大。
不让德黑兰获得“胜利形象”
鲁赫同样认为，以色列希望避免任何在未从根本上削弱伊朗政权的情况下恢复其合法性的协议。
“避免任何使伊朗政权合法化、抛弃伊朗民众的举措至关重要，”鲁赫说，其中包括“保证未来不会发动袭击，或为德黑兰的战时损失提供补偿”。
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鲁赫警告称，对以色列而言，“糟糕的协议”最终指的是任何限制以色列未来对伊朗及其代理武装采取行动自由的协议。
“这也是伊朗为何想要将特朗普政府拖入无限期谈判，搁置军事选项，并在华盛顿和耶路撒冷之间制造裂痕的重要原因之一，”鲁赫说。
埃弗拉特·拉赫特是福克斯新闻数字频道负责国际事务和联合国事务的驻外记者。请在X平台关注她@efratlachter。新闻线索请发送至efrat.lachter@fox.com。
What Israel wants from an Iran peace deal: No enrichment, missile limits and strict enforcement
2026-05-06T16:30:45-04:00 / Fox News
Analysts say Jerusalem wants enrichment halted, missiles restricted, proxy funding cut and no ‘sunset clauses’
By Efrat Lachter Fox News
Published May 6, 2026 4:30pm EDT
Iranians fear ‘open season’ on themselves by hands of regime, says Middle East expert
Middle East Institute associate fellow Dr. Nazee Moinian analyzes Iran’s current political and military landscape after U.S. military action on ‘The Story.’
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As President Donald Trump signals progress toward a possible agreement with Iran, Israeli officials and analysts increasingly are outlining what Jerusalem believes any deal must include to prevent Tehran from rebuilding its military and regional power.
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said Wednesday that Israel and the United States remain in “full coordination” as negotiations continue.
“We share common objectives, and the most important objective is the removal of the enriched material from Iran, all the enriched material, and the dismantling of Iran’s enrichment capabilities,” Netanyahu said at the opening of a security cabinet meeting.
US AND IRAN CLASH OVER URANIUM ENRICHMENT AS NUCLEAR TALKS RESUME IN ROME
Bushehr nuclear plant in Iran, on April 29, 2024.(Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto via Getty Images)
“We’ve had very good talks over the last 24 hours, and it’s very possible that we’ll make a deal,” Trump told reporters in the Oval Office Wednesday.
At the same time, Trump warned that if negotiations fail, “we’ll have to go a big step further.”
For Israel, the question is not simply whether the war ends, but whether Iran emerges from negotiations weakened or repositioned to rebuild. Israeli officials fear a weak agreement could allow Tehran to preserve strategic capabilities, regain economic breathing room and eventually restore the regional network of armed groups that threatened Israel before the war. Jerusalem is also seeking guarantees that any future deal preserves military leverage and freedom of action if Iran violates its commitments.
Against that backdrop, Israeli analysts say Jerusalem’s red lines focus on four core areas: dismantling Iran’s enrichment infrastructure, restricting its ballistic missile program, preventing Tehran from rebuilding Hezbollah and Hamas, and ensuring the regime does not gain political legitimacy or strategic relief from the negotiations.
No enrichment, no sunsets
On the nuclear issue, former Israeli National Security Advisor Yaakov Amidror said Israel’s position remains uncompromising.
“Weaponized uranium must leave Iran,” Amidror said. “The Iranians must not be allowed to enrich uranium.”
Israeli journalist and commentator Nadav Eyal agreed, adding that Israel is seeking a much stricter framework than previous agreements.
“Israel wants Iran to stop enrichment for as long as possible and for the enriched material to leave Iran,” Eyal said, adding that Jerusalem is looking for “an arms control agreement that would be extensive and robust.”
An unclassified image released by U.S. Central Command showing strikes on Iran.(U.S. Central Command/Reuters)
Avner Golov, vice president of the Mind Israel think tank, told Fox News Digital that Israel also wants Iran’s underground nuclear infrastructure dismantled entirely.
“In the nuclear arena, what matters is the removal of the enriched material, the destruction of the underground facilities, including those still being built, and a prohibition on new sites,” Golov said.
Golov also warned against “sunset clauses” that would allow restrictions to expire after several years.
“There must be an agreement without sunsets,” he said, calling for “unprecedented monitoring and supervision, anywhere, under any conditions and not dependent on Iranian approval.”
Jonathan Ruhe, Jewish Institute for National Security of America (JINSA) fellow for American strategy, told Fox News Digital, “Ultimately the United States and Israel should have strongly similar redlines for an acceptable deal,” he said, including “shutting down Iran’s nuclear weapons program completely, permanently and verifiably.”
Ruhe said that goes beyond Iran handing over highly enriched uranium and includes shutting down remaining enrichment-related facilities at Pickaxe and Isfahan.
[UN’S ATOMIC AGENCY’S IRAN POLICY GETS MIXED REVIEWS FROM EXPERTS AFTER US-ISRAEL ‘OBLITERATE’ NUCLEAR SITES]
President Donald Trump speaks with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu at Ben Gurion International Airport in Tel Aviv on Oct. 13, 2025.(Chip Somodevilla/Getty Images)
Missiles seen as equal threat
Alongside the nuclear issue, Israeli analysts say Iran’s ballistic missile program has become equally central to Israel’s security concerns.
“One of the key questions is whether there will be any sort of limitation on the ballistic missile program of the Iranians,” Eyal said. “Israel sees this as no less of an existential threat than the nuclear issue.”
Amidror warned that without missile restrictions, the threat could eventually extend beyond Israel and Europe.
“If there are no restrictions on the missile program, then missiles that today can reach half of Europe will, within five to 10 years, be able to reach the United States,” he warned.
Golov argued that a nuclear-only agreement would leave Iran free to rebuild a missile shield protecting a future nuclear breakout.
“A deal that focuses only on the nuclear program would allow the Iranians to produce thousands of missiles and create a protective shield around their nuclear program.”
Ruhe similarly said limiting Iran’s missile arsenal must include preventing Iran from rebuilding production capabilities damaged during the war.
[IRAN DRAWS MISSILE RED LINE AS ANALYSTS WARN TEHRAN IS STALLING US TALKS]
Israel’s Iron Dome missile defense system intercepts projectiles over Tel Aviv on Feb. 28, 2026, amid retaliatory missile barrages from Iran targeting Gulf states and Israel.(Jack Guez/AFP)
Hamas, Hezbollah and the proxies question
Another major Israeli concern is that sanctions relief or renewed trade could funnel money back to Iran’s regional proxies.
“Israel is demanding that the Islamic Republic isolate itself from involvement with Lebanon and Gaza and stop supporting armed groups that operate against Israel,” Eyal said.
“For Israel, it is a material issue that the money injected into Iran will not be used to rebuild the proxies in the region,” he added.
Amidror said Iran’s ability to support Hezbollah and Hamas has already been weakened by the collapse of regional supply routes.
“The Iranians cannot effectively support the proxies because there is no longer a land bridge from Iran to Syria,” he said, but warned that if negotiations leave the impression that Washington backed down, Iran’s regional proxies could emerge stronger even after the war.
No ‘victory image’ for Tehran
Ruhe similarly argued that Israel wants to avoid any agreement that restores legitimacy to the Iranian regime without fundamentally weakening it.
“Avoiding anything that legitimates Iran’s regime and abandons the Iranian people” is critical, Ruhe said, including “giving guarantees against future attacks or compensating Tehran for wartime damages.”
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Satellite imagery shows reinforcement efforts at the Pickaxe Mountain nuclear site, a heavily fortified, deep underground tunnel complex near Iran’s Natanz enrichment site.(Vantor/Handout via Reuters)
Ruhe warned that for Israel, a “bad deal” is ultimately any agreement that restrains Israel’s future freedom of action against Iran and its proxies.
“This is one big reason Iran wants to ensnare the Trump administration in open-ended negotiations that sideline military options and create daylight between Washington and Jerusalem,” Ruhe said.
Efrat Lachter is a foreign correspondent for Fox News Digital covering international affairs and the United Nations. Follow her on X @efratlachter. Stories can be sent to efrat.lachter@fox.com.
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