特朗普将封锁延长视为迫使伊朗重返谈判桌的最佳方案


2026-04-29T18:17:35.121Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

作者:阿莱娜·特里尼、凯文·利普塔克

更新于1小时5分钟前
更新时间:2026年4月29日美国东部时间下午2:56
发布时间:2026年4月29日美国东部时间下午2:17

周三,唐纳德·特朗普总统在椭圆形办公室的一场活动中发表讲话。

据熟悉相关谈判的消息人士透露,唐纳德·特朗普总统近日已告知其高级顾问,他希望美国对伊朗港口的海上封锁继续延长,其团队已开始为延长封锁做准备,其中包括长期关闭霍尔木兹海峡。

消息人士称,特朗普总统目前正坚持一项战略,旨在尽可能对伊朗施加最大经济压力,希望迫使德黑兰重返谈判桌,而无需恢复军事打击。

这场已持续九周的战争应对战略并非没有风险,特朗普曾预测这场冲突不会超过六周。

封锁霍尔木兹海峡推高了汽油价格,加剧了美国民众对这场持续战争的厌倦情绪,并导致特朗普的支持率——尤其是其经济施政支持率——跌至新低。而这场冲突的成本也在不断增加——一名五角大楼高级官员周三对议员表示,美国迄今已在伊朗战争中花费了250亿美元。所有这些都加剧了共和党人对该党11月选举前景的焦虑。

目前也不清楚这项战略是否会奏效——伊朗此前曾展现出承受严重经济打击而不向美国要求屈服的能力。

尽管如此,特朗普似乎仍打算收紧对伊朗经济的钳制,直到德黑兰在其划定的核浓缩红线问题上让步,用他的话说,美国握有“所有王牌”。

“封锁比轰炸效果更好。他们快被憋死了,这对他们来说情况会更糟。他们不能拥有核武器,”特朗普周三在接受美国全国公共广播电台(Axios)电话采访时说道。

随后在椭圆形办公室,他似乎暗示美国已准备好打持久战,告诉美国有线电视新闻网的凯特兰·柯林斯,伊朗战争可能会以“类似乌克兰战争的时间表”结束——这场已持续四年多的冲突短期内看不到缓和迹象。

两名熟悉相关谈判的人士透露,美国官员已审查情报,显示伊朗经济可能撑不过再几周,甚至几天,封锁带来的压力就会导致其经济崩溃,他们指出德黑兰在储存未售出石油方面遭遇困境。

特朗普曾表示,过剩的石油不会太久就会对伊朗的能源基础设施造成永久性破坏。

“问题在于,这些输油管道会从内部自行爆裂,无论是机械层面还是地质层面,”他周日在福克斯新闻节目中说道,“会发生某种情况,导致管道彻底爆裂。他们说,再过三天左右就会出现这种情况。而一旦管道爆裂,你就再也无法按原样重建了。”

自本月初封锁开始以来,美国已拦截或迫使近40艘试图进出伊朗港口的船只改变航向。熟悉情况的消息人士称,特朗普押注这种施压手段将足以让外交占据上风。

“伊朗刚通知我们,他们正处于‘崩溃状态’,”特朗普周二在社交媒体上发帖称,“他们希望我们‘尽快开放霍尔木兹海峡’,因为他们正试图理清领导层的局面。”

白宫官员告诉美国有线电视新闻网,同一天特朗普会见了能源行业高管,双方讨论了必要时将封锁维持数月的可行措施,以及如何限制封锁对美国消费者的影响。

据一名官员透露,财政部长斯科特·贝森特主持了此次白宫会议,副总统J·D·万斯、白宫办公厅主任苏西·怀尔斯、伊朗问题特使史蒂夫·威科夫夫以及总统的女婿贾里德·库什纳也出席了会议。雪佛龙首席执行官迈克·沃思,以及托克、维多和摩科瑞的高管也到场参会。该会议最初由美国全国公共广播电台报道。

尽管五角大楼仍在做准备,以防总统决定恢复轰炸行动,但消息人士称,特朗普内部一直表示,他更倾向于与伊朗达成协议,避免进一步的军事打击。

特朗普私下指出了恢复轰炸行动的风险——包括伊朗可能会恢复对海湾国家的打击——并表示封锁是向伊朗施压以促其回到谈判桌的更有效方式。

“封锁太妙了,”周三被问及封锁将持续多久时,特朗普对记者说道,“现在,他们只能认输,这就是他们唯一要做的。只要说‘我们投降’就行,”他补充道。

《华尔街日报》率先报道了特朗普计划依靠延长封锁的消息。

尽管如此,他仍在持续发出威胁。周三,他发布了一张自己手持枪支的AI合成图片,并配文警告:“别再当老好人了。”

特朗普的多名高级助手和盟友承认,维持现状可能带来政治风险。封锁给全球经济带来了巨大压力,美国汽油价格已升至每加仑4美元以上——这让共和党在中期选举前失去了一个关键的宣传点。不过,特朗普的多位顾问一致认为,外交是迅速结束战争的最佳方案,这也是特朗普最初对德黑兰发动打击时曾承诺的目标。

然而,解决冲突的谈判陷入了某种停滞。本周特朗普表示,他不太可能接受伊朗最新提出的结束冲突的提议,德黑兰曾提出一项计划,将重新开放海峡,但将伊朗核计划相关问题留待后续谈判解决。

国务卿马可·卢比奥本周早些时候在一次采访中表示,伊朗的新提议“比我们预想的他们会提交的方案更好”,但他强调,未来的协议必须阻止伊朗获得核武器。

“简而言之,核问题是我们卷入这场冲突的根本原因,”他周一在福克斯新闻节目中说道,称伊朗的核计划“仍然是这里的核心问题”。

两名熟悉此事的人士透露,特朗普在周一与顶级国家安全官员举行的讨论伊朗问题的会议上表达了自己的观点。其中一名人士表示,总统不太可能接受这项提议。

官员们表示,如果在未解决伊朗核浓缩或近炸弹级铀库存相关问题的情况下重新开放海峡,可能会移除美国在谈判中的一个关键筹码。

周一的会议结束后,尚不清楚特朗普下一步将采取什么行动。美国官员表示,他们仍对伊朗政权内部的派系分歧感到担忧,不确定谁最终拥有 prospective协议的最终决策权。

目前,官员们表示,他们正等待伊朗就一项得到最高领袖穆赫塔巴·哈梅内伊批准的修改后提案作出回应,哈梅内伊自战争开始以来从未公开露面过。

Trump sees blockade extension as best option for forcing Iran back to the negotiating table

2026-04-29T18:17:35.121Z / CNN

By Alayna Treene, Kevin Liptak

Updated 1 hr 5 min ago
Updated Apr 29, 2026, 2:56 PM ET
PUBLISHED Apr 29, 2026, 2:17 PM ET

President Donald Trump speaks during an event in the Oval Office on Wednesday.

Andrew Harnik/Getty Images

President Donald Trump has told his top advisers in recent days he wants the US naval blockade of Iranian ports to continue, sources familiar with the talks said, and his team has begun laying the groundwork for such an extension, including a longer-term closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The president, for now, is digging into a strategy designed to inflict as much economic pain on Iran as possible in the hopes of forcing Tehran back to the negotiating table without having to resume military strikes, the sources said.

But the strategy for dealing with a war that has now stretched into its ninth week is not without risk for Trump, who once predicted the conflict would last no longer than six weeks.

The strait’s closure has driven up gas prices, contributing to Americans’ weariness of the ongoing war and sending Trump’s approval ratings, especially on his handling of the economy, to new lows. And the cost of the conflict is adding up — a senior Pentagon official told lawmakers Wednesday the US has spent $25 billion on the Iran war so far. All of that is feeding GOP anxiety about the party’s prospects in November elections.

Nor is it clear this strategy will work — Iran has previously demonstrated an ability to withstand debilitating economic pain without capitulating to American demands.

Still, Trump appears intent on tightening the grip on Iran’s economy until Tehran concedes to his red lines on nuclear enrichment, believing, in his words, the US holds “all the cards.”

“The blockade is somewhat more effective than the bombing. They are choking like a stuffed pig. And it is going to be worse for them. They can’t have a nuclear weapon,” Trump told Axios in a phone interview Wednesday.

Later, in the Oval Office, he seemed to hint the US was ready for a long haul, telling CNN’s Kaitlan Collins the Iran war could end “on a similar timetable” as the war in Ukraine – a more than four-year conflict that shows no signs of abating anytime soon.

American officials have reviewed intelligence suggesting Iran’s economy can only survive for another few weeks, if not days, before the strain of the blockade forces its collapse, two people familiar with the talks said, pointing to Tehran’s struggles to store unsold oil.

Trump has suggested it won’t take long for the excess oil to cause permanent damage to Iran’s energy infrastructure.

“What happens is, that line explodes from within, both mechanically and in the earth,” he said Sunday on Fox News. “Something happens where it just explodes. They say they only have about three days left before that happens. And when it explodes, you can never rebuild it the way it was.”

The US has intercepted or redirected nearly 40 ships attempting to enter or exit Iranian ports since the blockade began earlier this month. Trump is betting such pressure will serve as enough leverage for diplomacy to prevail, the sources familiar said.

“Iran has just informed us that they are in a ‘State of Collapse,’” Trump posted to social media on Tuesday. “They want us to ‘Open the Hormuz Strait,’ as soon as possible, as they try to figure out their leadership situation.”

The same day, Trump met with energy executives, where they discussed measures that could be taken to continue the blockade for months, if needed, and how to limit the effects on American consumers, White House officials told CNN.

Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent hosted the White House meeting, which was also attended by Vice President JD Vance, White House chief of staff Susie Wiles, special envoy Steve Witkoff and the president’s son-in-law Jared Kushner, one of the officials said. Chevron CEO Mike Wirth attended, as did executives from Trafigura, Vitol and Mercuria. The meeting was first reported by Axios.

While the Pentagon has continued making preparations should the president decide to resume his bombing campaign, Trump has long indicated internally that he would prefer making a deal with the Iranians and avoid further kinetic attacks, the sources familiar said.

Trump has privately pointed to the risks of resuming a bombing campaign — including the likely resumption of Iranian strikes on Gulf nations — suggesting the blockade was a more effective way to pressure the Iranians into talks.

“The blockade is genius,” the president told reporters Wednesday when asked how long it would continue. “Now, they have to cry uncle, that’s all they have to do. Just say, ‘We give up,’” he added.

The Wall Street Journal first reported Trump is planning to rely on a blockade extension.

Still, he has continued issuing threats. On Wednesday, he posted an AI image of himself holding a gun and warning, “NO MORE MR. NICE GUY.”

Several top aides and allies to the president acknowledge the potential political peril that comes with maintaining the status quo. The blockade has put immense strain on the global economy, with US gas prices above $4 per gallon — removing a key talking point for Republicans ahead of the midterm elections. Still, several of Trump’s advisers agree that diplomacy is the best solution to ending the war swiftly, something Trump had promised when he first launched strikes into Tehran.

The talks to resolve the conflict, however, are at something of a standstill. Trump signaled this week he was unlikely to accept Iran’s latest proposal to end the conflict after Tehran proposed a plan that would reopen the strait while leaving questions about its nuclear program for later negotiations.

Secretary of State Marco Rubio said in an interview earlier this week the new Iranian proposal was “better than what we thought they were going to submit,” but emphasized that a future deal must block Iran from getting a nuclear weapon.

“Suffice it to say that the nuclear question is the reason why we’re in this in the first place,” he told Fox News Monday, saying Iran’s nuclear program “still remains the core issue here.”

Two people familiar with the matter said Trump conveyed his views during a Monday meeting with top national security officials at which Iran was discussed. One of the people said the president was not likely to accept the proposal.

Reopening the strait without resolving questions over Iran’s nuclear enrichment or stockpile of near-bomb-grade uranium could remove a key piece of American leverage in the talks, officials said.

It wasn’t clear after Monday’s meeting what Trump’s next steps would be. American officials say they remain concerned at what they regard as divisions with Iran’s regime, and are unsure who retains ultimate decision making power over a prospective deal.

For now, officials say they are waiting to hear back from Iran on a modified proposal that carries the blessing of Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, who hasn’t been seen in public since the war began.

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