伊朗“红脸白脸”戏码崩塌,专家警告当局视美国为“邪恶政权”


2026年4月25日 美国东部时间下午5:19 / 福克斯新闻频道

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊回击,称“敌人内部出现分裂”

作者:本杰明·温塔尔,福克斯新闻

得克萨斯州共和党众议员迈克尔·麦考尔谈论美伊紧张局势升级、美国制裁与外交施压的成效。他还就一项福克斯新闻民调做出回应,该民调显示45%的美国人如今支持对伊朗采取军事行动。

NEW 您现在可以收听福克斯新闻文章!

收听本文
5 分钟

就在伊朗领导层摆出统一姿态、打破长期以来被广泛提及的温和派与强硬派分歧论调数日后,唐纳德·特朗普总统取消了原定于巴基斯坦伊斯兰堡举行的与德黑兰的会谈,理由是该政权内部“内讧与混乱”。

伊朗裔美国专家认为,伊朗新任最高领袖莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊、总统马苏德·佩泽希基安以及其他关键官员的社交媒体帖子显示,该政权曾用来欺骗对手、在核谈判中争取丰厚让步的“红脸白脸”战术已经崩塌。

周六,特朗普在Truth Social平台发帖宣布取消此次行程,称“旅途浪费了太多时间”且“有太多工作要处理!”

“除此之外,他们‘领导层’内部存在严重的内讧与混乱,”总统补充道,并指出“没人知道谁在掌权,包括他们自己。”

2026年4月1日,唐纳德·特朗普总统在华盛顿白宫十字厅向全国通报伊朗战争最新进展。(盖蒂图片社)

流亡王子欲带领伊朗人民终结伊斯兰共和国:“我们的柏林墙时刻”

“还有,我们掌握所有底牌,他们一无所有!”特朗普写道。“如果他们想谈判,尽管打电话过来就行!”

专家表示,伊朗政权内部强硬派与温和派二分法的崩塌可能对特朗普在伊斯兰堡的核谈判策略产生深远影响。特朗普上周似乎暗示了伊朗内部派系之间的模糊界限。

“伊朗在搞清楚谁是他们的领导人方面遇到了极大困难!他们就是不知道!内讧发生在‘强硬派’和‘温和派’之间——强硬派在战场上输得一败涂地,而温和派根本算不上温和(但正获得尊重!),这太疯狂了!”特朗普周四在X平台发帖写道。

伊朗新任最高领袖、已故阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊的次子莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊在伊朗德黑兰出席会议。(哈米德·贾法内贾德/ISNA/瓦纳/路透社)

曙光:特朗普总统带领西方对伊朗取得重大胜利

伊朗最高领袖哈梅内伊迅速回击,称“由于同胞间形成了奇特的团结,敌人内部出现了分裂。”

“怀着对这份福祉的切实感恩,凝聚力变得更加紧密、更加如钢似铁,敌人将变得更加悲惨和弱小,”哈梅内伊写道。“敌人的媒体行动旨在通过影响民众的思想和心理,破坏国家团结与安全;愿我们的懈怠不会让这一险恶图谋得逞。”

麦克唐纳-劳里研究所高级研究员、伊朗未来 Cyrus 论坛创始人兼主任玛丽安·梅马尔萨德吉告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,几十年来,伊斯兰共和国一直通过派温和派参与谈判,作为其恐怖统治和压迫的“门面”,欺骗西方决策者。

2026年4月9日,一张阿亚图拉·莫赫塔巴·哈梅内伊的海报贴在摩托车挡风玻璃上,政府支持者在德黑兰集会,纪念其父亲、最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊遇刺40天。(瓦希德·萨莱米/美联社)

哈梅内伊之死为伊朗根深蒂固的神权统治开启不确定新篇章

这些官员随后会告诉谈判对手,他们面临来自强硬派的压力,暗示西方必须做出让步以在内部巩固他们的地位。

“由于这场战争,特朗普政府相对于这个帝国主义恐怖国家处于前所未有的有利地位,这是此前从未尝试过,更别说实现的,”梅马尔萨德吉说。

“但每当特朗普说政权更迭已经发生时,他就剥夺了美国最终真正摆脱世界头号恐怖赞助国及其构成的生存威胁的机会——这一威胁不仅针对伊朗人民,也针对整个世界。”

曾在美国国务院公共事务局担任波斯媒体分析师的纳维德·莫赫比警告称,尽管伊斯兰共和国内部确实存在派系对立和竞争,但他们在政权的核心原则上是团结一致的。

耶鲁大学邀请争议演讲者特里塔·帕尔西,后者被指宣扬伊朗政权利益

“他们的分歧主要在于策略,而非根本方向,”莫赫比告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,并强调伊朗真正的决策权始终掌握在最高领袖和伊斯兰革命卫队(IRGC)手中。

“所谓的温和派从未在关键战略问题上拥有最终决定权,他们常被用来在海外软化政权形象,”他说。“从伊朗人民的角度来看,几乎没有区别。无论被贴上‘温和派’还是‘强硬派’标签的政府,该体制始终依赖镇压。”

莫赫比援引伊朗前总统哈桑·鲁哈尼为例,鲁哈尼曾以温和派自居,但其安全部队在2019年11月的起义中暴力镇压了1500名抗议者。

2026年4月1日,在伊朗德黑兰,安全部队成员在为在3月底美以空袭中丧生的伊斯兰革命卫队海军司令阿里雷扎·唐西里及其他高级海军指挥官举行的葬礼游行中监视人群。(马吉德·萨伊迪/盖蒂图片社)

伊朗最高领袖称与特朗普政府进行核谈判并不“明智”

“这一模式在2026年1月马苏德·佩泽希基安任内的抗议屠杀中仍在延续,这进一步印证了一个现实:这些标签并未转化为实际的变革,”他说。

不过,一位地区官员坚称伊朗国内确实存在温和派与强硬派之间的冲突。该官员告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,佩泽希基安是温和派,但他“甚至无法兑现其关于互联网自由的竞选承诺。说实话,他连狗屁都做不到。”

“伊朗三权首脑的联合回应是为了回击特朗普提到的分裂问题,也是为了回应确实存在强硬派和温和派这一事实,”该官员补充道。

“听着,每当伊朗想要做出让步时,他们就会把温和派推到台前,让温和派达成协议,然后强硬派就会就他们都同意做出的同样让步指责他们。”

点击此处下载福克斯新闻应用程序

曾在20世纪80年代因政治异见活动被伊斯兰共和国关押的劳丹·巴扎尔甘告诉福克斯新闻数字频道,官员们如今看到的并非分歧的消失,而是这种分歧真实面目的暴露。

“实际上,所有这些人物——伊朗议会议长穆罕默德-巴盖尔·加利卜阿夫、专家会议成员赛义德·贾利利、佩泽希基安、伊斯兰革命卫队负责人艾哈迈德·瓦希迪、伊朗司法总监古拉姆-侯赛因·穆赫辛尼-埃杰伊——都在同一意识形态框架内运作,”巴扎尔甘说。

“他们都致力于维护政权、在地区投射权力,并对抗他们所定义的‘邪恶势力’,即美国和以色列。”

本杰明·温塔尔报道以色列、伊朗、叙利亚、土耳其和欧洲事务。您可以在Twitter @BenWeinthal关注本杰明,或通过邮箱benjamin.weinthal@fox.com联系他。

Iran’s good cop, bad cop game implodes as experts warn regime views US as ‘evil’

April 25, 2026 5:19pm EDT / Fox News

Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei fired back, claiming ‘a fracture has occurred in the enemy’

By Benjamin Weinthal, Fox News

Rep. Michael McCaul, R-Texas, discusses the escalating U.S.-Iran tensions and the effectiveness of U.S. sanctions and diplomatic pressure. He also reacts to a Fox News poll revealing 45% of Americans now support military action against Iran.

NEW You can now listen to Fox News articles!

Listen to this article

5 min

Days after Iran’s leadership projected a unified front, undermining the long-cited moderate-vs.-hardliner divide, President Donald Trump canceled planned talks with Tehran in Islamabad, Pakistan, citing “infighting and confusion” inside the regime.

Iranian American experts argue that social media posts from Iran’s new Supreme Leader Mojtaba Khamenei, President Masoud Pezeshkian and other key officials reveal that the “good cop, bad cop” tactic that the regime exploited to deceive adversaries and secure generous concessions in nuclear negotiations has collapsed.

In a Truth Social post Saturday, Trump announced he canceled the trip, citing “too much time wasted on traveling” and “too much work!”

“Besides which, there is tremendous infighting and confusion within their ‘leadership,’” the president added, noting “nobody knows who is in charge, including them.”

President Donald Trump speaks from the Cross Hall of the White House in Washington, D.C., April 1, 2026, updating the nation on the war in Iran.(Getty Images)

EXILED PRINCE LOOKS TO LEAD IRANIAN PEOPLE IN ENDING ISLAMIC REPUBLIC: ‘OUR BERLIN WALL MOMENT’

“Also, we have all the cards, they have none!” Trump wrote. “If they want to talk, all they have to do is call!!!”

The implosion of the hardline-moderate dichotomy within the regime could have profound consequences for Trump’s approach to the atomic talks in Islamabad, experts said.Trump appeared to allude to a blurry divide between factions within Iran last week.

“Iran is having a very hard time figuring out who their leader is! They just don’t know! The infighting is between the ‘Hardliners,’ who have been losing BADLY on the battlefield, and the ‘Moderates,’ who are not very moderate at all (but gaining respect!), and it is CRAZY!” Trump wrote in an X post Thursday.

Mojtaba Khamenei, the new supreme leader of Iran and second son of the late Ayatollah Ali Khamenei, attends a meeting in Tehran, Iran.(Hamed Jafarnejad/ISNA/WANA/Reuters)

MORNING GLORY: PRESIDENT TRUMP LEADS THE WEST TO A BIG WIN AGAINST IRAN

Iran’s Supreme Leader Khamenei quickly fired back, claiming “due to the strange unity created among compatriots, a fracture has occurred in the enemy.”

“With practical gratitude for this blessing, cohesion has become even greater and more steel-like, and the enemies will become more wretched and diminished,” Khamenei wrote. “The enemy’s media operations, by targeting the minds and psyches of the people, intend to undermine national unity and security; may our negligence not allow this sinister intent to come to fruition.”

Mariam Memarsadeghi, a senior fellow at The Macdonald-Laurier Institute and founder and director of the Cyrus Forum for Iran’s Future, told Fox News Digital the Islamic Republic has, for decades, fooled Western policymakers by sending moderates to negotiations as a “window dressing for its terror and subjugation.”

A poster of Ayatollah Mojtaba Khamenei is pasted on a motorcycle windshield as government supporters gather in Tehran on April 9, 2026, marking the 40th day since the killing of his father, Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamenei.(Vahid Salemi/AP)

KHAMENEI’S DEATH OPENS UNCERTAIN CHAPTER FOR IRAN’S ENTRENCHED THEOCRACY

The officials would then tell their counterparts that they are under pressure from hardliners, implying that the West must make concessions to strengthen them internally.

“Because of the war, the Trump administration is in a remarkably advantageous situation vis-à-vis the imperial terror state, one never before attempted, much less achieved,” Memarsadeghi said.

“But every time Trump says regime change has already happened, he denies America the opportunity to finally, truly be rid of the world’s top sponsor of terror and the existential threat it poses not just to the people of Iran but to all the world.”

Navid Mohebbi, who worked as a Persian media analyst for the State Department’s Public Affairs Bureau, cautioned that while rivalries and factions do exist within the Islamic Republic, they are united on the regime’s core principles.

YALE HOSTS CONTROVERSIAL SPEAKER TRITA PARSI ACCUSED OF PROMOTING IRANIAN REGIME INTERESTS

“Their disagreements are primarily over tactics, not fundamental direction,” Mohebbi told Fox News Digital, stressing that real decision-making power in Iran has always rested with the supreme leader and the Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps (IRGC).

“So-called moderates have never had the final say on key strategic issues and are often used to soften the regime’s image abroad,” he said. “From the perspective of the Iranian people, there has been little difference. Across administrations labeled ‘moderate’ or ‘hardline,’ the system has consistently relied on repression.”

Mohebbi cited the example of Iranian regime President Hassan Rouhani, who presented himself as a moderate but whose security forces violently killed 1,500 protesters during the November 2019 uprising.

Members of security forces watch over the crowd during a funeral procession for IRGC Navy Chief Alireza Tangsiri and other senior naval commanders killed in U.S.-Israeli strikes in late March in Tehran, Iran, on April 1, 2026.(Majid Saeedi/Getty Images)

IRAN’S SUPREME LEADER SAYS NUCLEAR TALKS WITH TRUMP ADMIN WOULD NOT BE ‘WISE’

“The same pattern has continued under Masoud Pezeshkian in the January 2026 protest massacre, reinforcing the reality that these labels have not translated into meaningful change on the ground,” he said.

A regional official, however, insisted there are clashes between moderates and hardliners in Iran. The official told Fox News Digital that Pezeshkian is a moderate, but he “could not even make good on his campaign promise regarding internet freedom. To be honest, he’s not even been able to do s—.

“The joint reaction by the heads of the three branches of power was in response to Trump’s reference to the issue of rift and also to the fact that there are indeed hardliners and moderates,” the official added.

“Look, whenever Iran wants to make concessions, they throw moderates under the bus so that the moderates make a deal, and then, the hardliners blame them for the same concessions all of them had agreed to make.”

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

Lawdan Bazargan, who was imprisoned by the Islamic Republic in the 1980s for her political dissident activities, told Fox News Digital that what officials are seeing now is not the disappearance of the divide, but the exposure of what that divide actually was.

“In reality, all of these figures — Mohammad-Bagher Ghalibaf speaker of Iran’s parliament, Saeed Jalili [member of the Expediency Discernment Council], Pezeshkian, Ahmad Vahidi [head of the IRGC], Gholam-Hossein Mohseni-Ejei [head of Iran’s judiciary] — operate within the same ideological framework,” Bazargan said.

“They are all committed to the preservation of the system, the projection of power in the region and confrontation with what they define as ‘the forces of evil,’ namely the United States and Israel.”

Benjamin Weinthal reports on Israel, Iran, Syria, Turkey and Europe. You can follow Benjamin on Twitter @BenWeinthal, and email him at benjamin.weinthal@fox.com

评论

发表回复

您的邮箱地址不会被公开。 必填项已用 * 标注