2026年4月22日 美国东部时间上午10:04 / 路透社
作者：杰森·兰格、泰德·赫森和M.B.佩尔
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美国华盛顿白宫国宴厅，2026年4月21日，美国总统唐纳德·特朗普向全美大学体育协会高校冠军队伍发表讲话。路透社/凯莉·库珀 摄
- 摘要
- 路透社/益普索民调显示，美国人更青睐不支持特朗普驱逐政策的国会候选人
- 特朗普的移民政策支持率自2025年初以来有所下滑
- 多数美国人支持边境安全，但也支持为有工作、守法的移民提供合法身份
华盛顿，4月22日（路透社）——路透社/益普索的一项民调发现，唐纳德·特朗普总统大力推进的移民驱逐行动，可能会在11月的国会中期选举中对其所在的共和党造成不利影响。
这项于周一结束、为期六天的民调中，约52%的美国受访者表示，他们更不可能支持支持特朗普驱逐政策的候选人，这一比例远高于42%表示会更支持这类候选人的受访者。
路透社伊朗简报通讯将为您带来伊朗局势的最新动态与分析，点击此处订阅。
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特朗普盟友的劣势在不认同两大政党的选民中更为明显：57%的独立选民表示更青睐反对特朗普驱逐政策的候选人，仅有32%的人支持在该问题上追随特朗普的候选人。
共和党在11月中期选举中捍卫国会两院多数席位的难度本已不小，目前该党又因美以对伊朗战争导致的汽油价格飙升面临压力。共和党议员几乎无一例外支持特朗普的强硬移民政策，这反映出自特朗普2024年当选以来，这位总统对共和党掌控力的增强——他当时以打击非法移民为竞选承诺。
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特朗普的移民政策最初得到了相当广泛的美国民众支持，在2025年1月就职后的几周内，路透社/益普索民调显示，50%的美国人认可他在该议题上的表现。但在一年多的强硬执法措施后——包括在全国部署蒙面联邦探员，以及在执法行动中导致两名美国公民死亡——最新民调中仅有40%的受访者认可特朗普在该议题上的表现。
本次民调通过线上开展，共收集了全美4557名美国成年人的反馈，误差幅度为2个百分点。
逮捕人数从12月峰值下降
中左翼组织“第三道路”的社会政策主管莎拉·皮尔斯表示，特朗普的驱逐行动或许给美国民众留下了持久印象。
“人们被从车里拖走，一名牧师被胡椒弹击中，还有美国人在我们眼前遇害，”皮尔斯援引特朗普执政第一年洛杉矶、芝加哥和明尼阿波利斯街头的场景说道，“我认为这些画面短期内不会消失。”
近几周，特朗普政府似乎放缓了国内移民拘留行动。根据“驱逐数据项目”获取并由路透社分析的美国移民海关执法局（ICE）数据，3月初移民海关执法局每日逮捕人数略高于1000人，低于12月的近1300人，但仍比2025年1月的每日逮捕人数多出一倍以上。
民调中仅有四分之一的受访者表示，当前的移民拘留行动比一个月前力度更小，但70%的受访者表示，降低执法力度会是一项积极转变。
美国人普遍支持阻止人们非法入境的政策，84%的人表示确保边境安全至少在一定程度上很重要，87%的人认为执行移民法很重要。
但美国人也支持为许多非法居住在美国的移民提供留美途径。民调中约76%的受访者表示，有工作且无犯罪记录的非法移民应该有机会获得合法身份。
国会中的一些共和党议员已呼吁采取更温和的驱逐立场。
代表佛罗里达南部选区的众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查所在选区有大量西班牙裔选民，其亲属多为新移民。她近几周一直在推动一项法案，为部分非法居住在美国的移民提供合法身份。共和党强硬派批评了该法案，但萨拉查辩称，该法案通过加强边境安全“尊重特朗普的议程”。
“我非常担忧党内在移民问题上的动向，”本月早些时候萨拉查在福克斯新闻“布莱恩·基尔米德秀”节目中谈及党内强硬派时表示。
杰森·兰格、泰德·赫森在华盛顿，M.B.佩尔 报道；斯科特·马龙、迪帕·巴宾顿 编辑
我们的准则：汤姆森路透社信任原则。
Trump’s deportation push could cost Republicans in midterm elections, Reuters/Ipsos poll finds
April 22, 2026 10:04 AM UTC / Reuters
By Jason Lange, Ted Hesson and M.B. Pell
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U.S. President Donald Trump delivers remarks to NCAA Collegiate National Champions in the State Dining Room at the White House in Washington, D.C., U.S., April 21, 2026. REUTERS/Kylie Cooper
- Summary
- Americans prefer congressional candidates who don’t support Trump’s deportation policy, Reuters/Ipsos poll shows
- Support for Trump’s immigration policy has declined since early 2025
- Most Americans favor border security but also support legal status for working, law-abiding migrants
WASHINGTON, April 22 (Reuters) – President Donald Trump’s aggressive campaign to deport immigrants could weigh on his Republican Party in November’s midterm congressional elections, a Reuters/Ipsos poll found.
Some 52% of Americans in the six-day poll completed on Monday said they were less likely to support a candidate who backs Trump’s approach to deportations, significantly more than the 42% who said they were more likely to support such a candidate.
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The disadvantage for Trump allies was more stark among people who don’t identify with either major political party, with 57% of independents saying they prefer a candidate who opposes Trump’s deportations and 32% preferring candidates who support Trump on the issue.
Republicans could face an uphill battle to defend their majorities in both chambers of Congress in November’s midterm elections, with the party already under pressure over a surge in gasoline prices as a result of the U.S.-Israeli war with Iran. Republican lawmakers have almost universally backed Trump’s hardline approach on immigration, reflecting the president’s growing dominance over the party since winning the 2024 election on a promise to crack down on unauthorized immigrants.
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Trump’s immigration policy was initially supported by a fairly broad slice of America, with 50% of the country approving of his performance on the issue in Reuters/Ipsos polls from the weeks after his January 2025 inauguration. But after more than a year of aggressive enforcement measures – including the deployment of masked federal agents nationwide and the deaths of two U.S. citizens caught up in the crackdown – only 40% of respondents in the latest poll approved of Trump’s performance on the issue.
The poll, which was conducted online, gathered responses from 4,557 U.S. adults nationwide and had a margin of error of 2 percentage points.
ARRESTS DECLINE FROM DECEMBER HIGHS
Trump’s deportation drive may have made a lasting impression on Americans, said Sarah Pierce, director of social policy for the center-left organization Third Way.
“People were being pulled out of cars, a priest shot with pepper balls, and Americans killed before our eyes,” said Pierce, citing scenes from city streets in Los Angeles, Chicago and Minneapolis during Trump’s first year in office. “I don’t think those images are going to go away anytime soon.”
The Trump administration in recent weeks has appeared to dial back its detentions of immigrants within the country. Immigration and Customs Enforcement arrested just over 1,000 people a day in early March, down from close to 1,300 per day in December but still more than double the daily arrests reported in January 2025, according to ICE figures obtained by the Deportation Data Project and analyzed by Reuters.
Only one in four respondents in the poll said they would describe current efforts to detain immigrants as less aggressive than a month ago, but 70% said a less aggressive approach would be a positive change.
Americans generally support policies that stop people from entering the country illegally, with 84% saying it’s at least somewhat important to have secure borders and 87% saying it’s important to enforce immigration laws.
But Americans also support giving many migrants living in the U.S. illegally a way to stay in the country. Some 76% of respondents in the poll said unauthorized migrants who have jobs and no criminal record should have a way to gain legal status.
Some Republicans in Congress have urged a less aggressive stance on deportations.
Representative Maria Elvira Salazar, a Republican representing a South Florida district that has many Hispanic voters with relatives who are recent immigrants, has been promoting legislation in recent weeks that would give legal status to certain immigrants in the U.S. illegally. Republican hardliners have criticized the bill but Salazar has argued that it “respects Trump’s agenda” by securing the border.
“I’m very concerned about what’s happening within the party with immigration,” Salazar said earlier this month on Fox News’ “Brian Kilmeade Show” regarding hardliners within her party.
Reporting by Jason Lange and Ted Hesson in Washington and M.B. Pell; Editing by Scott Malone and Deepa Babington
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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