2026-04-16 10:05 GMT / 路透社
作者:诺兰·D·麦卡斯克尔
2026年4月16日 美国东部时间上午10:05 1小时前更新
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Item 1 of 2 2026年1月20日,美国新泽西州纽瓦克市新泽西表演艺术中心,时任新泽西州州长米基·谢里尔在就职典礼上发表演讲。路透社/布伦丹·麦克德莫特/资料图片
[1/2]2026年1月20日,美国新泽西州纽瓦克市新泽西表演艺术中心,时任新泽西州州长米基·谢里尔在就职典礼上发表演讲。路透社/布伦丹·麦克德莫特/资料图片
- 内容摘要
- 民主党候选人梅希亚在谢里尔空出的席位竞选中领先共和党候选人哈撒韦
- 梅希亚若当选将缩小共和党在众议院的多数优势
- 民主党近期在特别选举中表现超预期
华盛顿,4月16日(路透社)——新泽西州北部选民将于周四举行特别选举,选出下一位联邦众议员。此次选举可能会削弱共和党在11月中期选举前对美国众议院的掌控力度。
民主党候选人阿纳利莉亚·梅希亚曾是参议员伯尼·桑德斯2020年总统竞选团队的前全国政治主任,在填补前联邦众议员米基·谢里尔空出的席位竞选中,领先共和党候选人、伦道夫镇议员乔·哈撒韦。谢里尔已于去年11月当选新泽西州州长。
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此次特别选举举行前几日,两名国会议员——加利福尼亚州民主党众议员埃里克·斯沃威尔和德克萨斯州共和党众议员托尼·冈萨雷斯——因各自面临的性行为不端指控宣布辞职;与此同时,佐治亚州共和党众议员克莱·富勒宣誓就职。
根据最新竞选资金申报文件,截至3月27日,梅希亚已筹集110万美元竞选资金,是哈撒韦52.5万美元的两倍多。申报文件显示,竞选进入最后阶段时,梅希亚的银行账户资金也是哈撒韦的三倍。
作为进步派局外人的梅希亚,在一场有美国以色列公共事务委员会超级 PAC 投入数百万美元外部资金的激烈初选中胜出。哈撒韦则无对手直接获得共和党提名。
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2024年,副总统卡玛拉·哈里斯在该选区得票率领先对手近9个百分点,当年谢里尔以近15个百分点的优势连任联邦众议员。在去年11月的州长选举中,谢里尔以相似优势拿下该选区,并最终以14个百分点的优势赢得全州州长选举。
梅希亚若当选将缩小共和党多数优势
如果梅希亚当选,众议院共和党将以217票对214票维持多数席位,另有一名独立议员与共和党党团结盟,以及德克萨斯州和加利福尼亚州的三个空缺席位将在今年晚些时候补选——这两个州的席位空缺源于本周的两起辞职事件,以及前共和党众议员道格·拉马尔法的去世。
亲以色列超级政治行动委员会“联合民主项目”已暗示,将在该州6月2日的初选中斥资支持另一名民主党人,对抗梅希亚。该初选胜出者将在11月的完整两年任期选举中被看好获胜。
但在2月5日初选中与梅希亚竞争的前三名候选人中,无人登记参加6月的初选。目前已登记参选的三人分别是:2月得票率2%的查塔姆市议员贾斯汀·斯特里克兰、前莫里斯敦市长唐纳德·克雷西蒂洛,以及科技工程师约瑟夫·刘易斯。
民主党在国会特别选举中表现超预期
本选举周期内,民主党候选人在佛罗里达州、弗吉尼亚州、亚利桑那州、田纳西州和佐治亚州的六场国会特别选举中,得票率较2024年总统大选时的民主党平均优势高出18个百分点。第七场特别选举在德克萨斯州举行,最终由两名民主党候选人进行 runoff 决选。
尽管本届国会期间民主党尚未翻转任何联邦席位,但这种持续的超预期表现表明民主党选民热情高涨。民主党一直围绕经济负担能力议题展开竞选,指责总统唐纳德·特朗普和国会共和党让美国人的生活成本愈发高昂。
民主党去年因医保补贴即将到期发起了创纪录时长的政府停摆。国会未能延长这些补贴,导致数百万美国人的医保保费飙升。此后,特朗普政府与以色列协同对伊朗发动打击,引发了一场外国冲突,推高了汽油价格,影响了选民的钱包。
据路透社/益普索3月20日至23日的民调,特朗普的经济支持率仅为29%,美国人对能源价格飙升持负面看法。
民主党仅需在11月的选举中翻转少量席位,就能在特朗普任期的最后两年内赢得众议院控制权。总统所在政党通常会在中期选举中遭遇席位流失,但特朗普已推动共和党州议员重划国会选区,以打破历史趋势。民主党州议员则已采取行动,通过重划选区来抵消共和党选区操纵的影响,为本州民主党争取选举优势。
诺兰·D·麦卡斯克尔 报道;大卫·加芬 编辑
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New Jersey voters decide who will fill Mikie Sherrill’s House seat
2026-04-16 10:05 GMT / Reuters
By Nolan D. McCaskill
April 16, 2026 10:05 AM UTC Updated 1 hour ago
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Item 1 of 2 New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill delivers a speech during her inauguration ceremony at the New Jersey Performing Arts Center in Newark, New Jersey, U.S., January 20, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
[1/2]New Jersey Governor Mikie Sherrill delivers a speech during her inauguration ceremony at the New Jersey Performing Arts Center in Newark, New Jersey, U.S., January 20, 2026. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid/File Photo
- Summary
- Democrat Mejia favored over Republican Hathaway for Sherrill’s vacated seat
- Mejia’s win would narrow Republicans’ House majority
- Democrats have overperformed in recent special elections
WASHINGTON, April 16 (Reuters) – Voters in northern New Jersey will choose their next representative in a special election on Thursday that could narrow Republicans’ grip on the U.S. House of Representatives heading into the November midterm elections.
Democrat Analilia Mejia, former national political director of Senator Bernie Sanders’ 2020 presidential campaign, is favored over Republican Randolph Township Councilman Joe Hathaway to fill the seat vacated by former U.S. Representative Mikie Sherrill, who was elected governor in November.
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The special election comes days after two members of Congress – Democratic Representative Eric Swalwell of California and Republican Representative Tony Gonzales of Texas – announced their resignations following separate sexual misconduct allegations and a new member, Republican Representative Clay Fuller of Georgia, was sworn in.
Mejia has raised $1.1 million through March 27, according to recent campaign filings, more than double Hathaway’s $525,000. The filings show Mejia entered the final stretch of the campaign with three times as much money in the bank as Hathaway.
Mejia, a progressive outsider, won a crowded primary that featured millions of dollars in outside spending from the American Israel Public Affairs Committee’s super PAC. Hathaway ran unopposed for the Republican nomination.
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Former Vice President Kamala Harris won the district by nearly 9 percentage points in 2024, when Sherrill won reelection by nearly 15 percentage points. Sherrill carried the district by a similar margin in the 2025 gubernatorial election, en route to a 14-point win statewide.
MEJIA’S ELECTION WOULD SHRINK REPUBLICANS’ MAJORITY
If Mejia is elected, House Republicans will hold a 217-214 majority with one independent caucusing with Republicans and three vacancies to be filled later this year in Texas and California due to the pair of resignations this week and the death of former Republican Representative Doug LaMalfa.
United Democracy Project, the pro-Israel super PAC, has signaled it will spend to elect another Democrat over Mejia in the state’s June 2 primary. The winner of that race will be favored to win a full two-year term in November.
But none of the top three candidates who ran against Mejia in the February 5 primary has filed to run against her in June. The three candidates who have filed paperwork are Chatham Borough Councilman Justin Strickland, who won 2% of the vote in February, former Morristown Mayor Donald Cresitello and tech engineer Joseph Lewis.
DEMOCRATS HAVE OVERPERFORMED IN SPECIAL CONGRESSIONAL ELECTIONS
Democratic candidates have overperformed their party’s margins in the 2024 presidential election by an average of 18 points in six special congressional elections this cycle in Florida, Virginia, Arizona, Tennessee and Georgia. A seventh special election in Texas featured two Democrats in a runoff.
While the party hasn’t flipped any federal seats this Congress, the consistent overperformance suggests more enthusiasm for Democrats, who have rallied behind an affordability message, charging that President Donald Trump and Republicans in Congress are making life more expensive for Americans.
Democrats instigated a record-long government shutdown last year over expiring healthcare subsidies. Congress failed to extend the subsidies, leading to spiking healthcare premiums for millions of Americans. The president has since launched coordinated strikes with Israel against Iran, sparking a foreign conflict that’s affecting voters’ pocketbooks with rising gas prices.
Trump’s approval on the economy was just 29% as of a March 20-23 Reuters/Ipsos poll, as Americans have responded negatively to the surge in energy prices.
Democrats would need to flip just a handful of seats in November to win control of the House of Representatives for the final two years of Trump’s presidency. The president’s party traditionally suffers losses in the midterms, but Trump has pushed Republican state legislators to redraw congressional districts to buck historical trends. Democratic state legislators have moved to counter Republican gerrymandering by redrawing maps to benefit Democrats in their states.
Reporting by Nolan D. McCaskill; editing by David Gaffen
Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.
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