加文·纽瑟姆面临越来越大的干预加州州长选举混乱的压力


2026年4月15日,美国东部时间上午7:00 / CNN
作者:爱德华-艾萨克·多夫

2025年8月21日,加利福尼亚州州长加文·纽瑟姆在萨克拉门托出席与重新划分国会选区相关的法案签署仪式。
贾斯汀·沙利文/盖蒂图片社

埃里克·斯沃韦尔性不当指控事件后陷入混乱的加州州长选举,严格来说并非加文·纽瑟姆州长的麻烦。但许多民主党高层都希望他能考虑出面收拾残局。

据十几位知名民主党人士透露,自CNN和《旧金山纪事报》周五晚间披露斯沃韦尔的相关报道以来,纽瑟姆一直在就州长选举问题接连不断地打电话、开会,其中几位人士曾与他交谈过。

四位熟悉纽瑟姆想法的人士告诉CNN,他仍在努力理清当前选举的实际形势,急切等待新的民调数据,并试图搞清楚斯沃韦尔退选是否会加剧加州民主党最不愿看到的局面:两名共和党人在无党派的6月2日初选中胜出,彻底将民主党人排除在州长职位之外。

“他正在密切关注此事,并将尽一切努力防止出现这种‘锁死’局面,”一位与纽瑟姆交谈过的人士仅透露了这些内容。

此事不仅关乎纽瑟姆毕生为之奋斗的加州的发展方向。作为任期将满的州长,他正准备竞选总统,其继任者将有机会美化他的执政记录,或是推翻其政策,支持他的总统竞选,或是发起调查、披露可能对他未来白宫竞选不利的信息。

斯沃韦尔此前几乎是凭借默认支持稳步向前:在选民中,那些略知他名号的人和认为他还算合格的州政治内部人士形成了一个重叠群体,这让他在多数民调中支持率达到了近20%。当时尚不清楚这一支持率是否足够,或是能否在分裂的参选阵营中逐步扩大优势。

2026年4月7日,埃里克·斯沃韦尔在萨克拉门托出席一场市政厅会议,随后他暂停了州长竞选活动。
里奇·佩德罗内切尔/美联社

如今所有人都在猜测,斯沃韦尔的支持者会转向何方,包括选票是否会分流,或是集中到某一位候选人身上。多位主要参选阵营的顾问表示,他们只能做出姑且算是一厢情愿的猜测。

纽瑟姆已与前众议院议长、仍是加州政坛重量级人物的南希·佩洛西进行了交谈。电话和短信纷至沓来。他一直在与顾问们开会商讨。所有人都在问同一个问题:没人能给出答案,尤其是目前就连那些支持率从未超过个位数的候选人都没有表现出退选的意愿,而且无论如何,所有候选人的名字都将留在选票上。

未来几周将考验这位加州民主党最高领导人对本党的影响力。即便他想通过背书帮助四分五裂的参选阵营团结起来,他能做到吗?

“人们都在说:‘加文·纽瑟姆,展现一下领导力’,”另一位熟悉纽瑟姆团队的人士告诉CNN,“但在这种情况下,领导力应该是什么样的?他并不喜欢在自己党内这样挑选赢家和输家。”

通过一名助手,纽瑟姆拒绝了采访请求。

纽瑟姆曾试图避免参选阵营分裂

纽瑟姆原本有一位心仪的候选人:参议员亚历克斯·帕迪利亚。两人不仅是朋友和政治盟友。纽瑟姆在卡玛拉·哈里斯成为副总统后,任命曾担任加州州参议员和州务卿的帕迪利亚填补美国参议院的空缺。随后,在去年夏天宣布50号提案时,他为帕迪利亚安排了重要的演讲环节,该提案成功重新划分了加州选区,新增了5个民主党倾向的国会席位。

2025年8月14日,纽瑟姆和参议员亚历克斯·帕迪利亚在洛杉矶日裔美国人国家博物馆民主中心的新闻发布会上等待就“选举欺诈应对法案”发表讲话。
马里奥·塔马/盖蒂图片社

通过电话和华盛顿的一次会面,纽瑟姆劝说帕迪利亚认真考虑竞选他所热爱的加州州长一职。帕迪利亚在洛杉矶试图打断时任国土安全部长克里斯蒂·诺姆的新闻发布会时被扑倒制服的视频,恰好契合了他在特朗普极不受欢迎的加州所能讲述的竞选故事。

帕迪利亚差一点就宣布参选了。真的只差一步。去年11月初,他的助手们接到参加Zoom会议的邀请时,以为会听到他正式宣布参选——结果他却告诉助手们自己不会参选。最终他的妻子反对,他也认为参选对他的孩子来说不是正确的选择。

纽瑟姆没有参加那次会议,但他对这一决定同样感到意外。此后几个月,他决定让选举顺其自然,不偏向任何一位候选人。

即便他的长期政治顾问成立了一个独立支出团体,在上周五之前一直在投放支持斯沃韦尔的广告,随后又立即关停,他也没有改变这一立场。这并非纽瑟姆的默许支持——但他也没有阻止他们。

缺乏明星号召力

据与纽瑟姆交谈过的人士透露,和许多加州人一样,他对这个曾由罗纳德·里根和阿诺德·施瓦辛格担任过的显赫职位的候选人选择感到无所谓。

纽瑟姆担心亿万富翁投资者汤姆·斯蒂尔在政策和管理上过于摇摆不定,无法有效治理州政府。他担心前众议员凯蒂·波特的政策会导致企业外流。他与圣何塞市长马特·马汉的私人关系一直紧张。八年前他曾与前洛杉矶市长安东尼奥·维拉莱戈萨竞争州长职位,两人之间的隔阂至今仍在。2016年哈里斯成为美国参议员后,他任命前拜登政府卫生与公众服务部长哈维尔·贝塞拉担任州司法部长,同时也对贝塞拉在该职位上的表现有所保留。

2025年11月8日,加州州长加文·纽瑟姆抵达德克萨斯州休斯顿的一场集会现场。
布兰登·贝尔/盖蒂图片社

多位现任竞选团队的助手告诉CNN,他们在焦点小组中发现,一些选民对纽瑟姆的州长执政记录感到不满,但他在加州民主党人中的人气——因与特朗普的斗争而进一步提升——仍然极高。多数人预计,如果他确实在选举中背书,至少会尝试与佩洛西和同样背书过斯沃韦尔的参议员亚当·希夫以及帕迪利亚协同行动。

几位顾问表示,目前尚未讨论任何既定计划,但他们很清楚佩洛西和希夫周五迅速撤回对斯沃韦尔的背书后,可能会感到尴尬。周二在参议院投票间隙,希夫告诉CNN,他没有时间讨论加州的政治余波或是他可能采取的行动。

但一位发言人指出,希夫“此前曾警告称,民主党人可能会在州长选举的决选中被排除在外——这是我们所有人都不容忽视的明确可能性,他决心尽一切努力防止这一局面出现。”

大多数参与其中的人士唯一能确定的是,哈里斯的最后一刻写 campaigns 竞选活动仅停留在政治闲聊层面——这位副总统去年夏天放弃竞选加州州长后,似乎并没有参选的执念。

邮寄选票将在不到三周后开始寄出。多位与纽瑟姆关系密切的人士认为,他的干预窗口期差不多就剩这么久了。

“毫无疑问,纽瑟姆州长是加州的重要声音,过去是,现在也是,但他并不是唯一的声音,”加州民主党主席拉斯蒂·希克斯说,“我知道他正在密切关注此事,未来可能会也可能不会介入——但这是他自己的问题。”

Gavin Newsom faces growing pressure to intervene in a scrambled California governor’s race

Apr 15, 2026, 7:00 AM ET / CNN

By Edward-Isaac Dovere

California Gov. Gavin Newsom looks on during a bill-signing event related to redrawing the state’s congressional maps on August 21, 2025, in Sacramento.

Justin Sullivan/Getty Images

The scrambled race for California governor left in the wake of Eric Swalwell’s sexual misconduct allegations isn’t officially Gov. Gavin Newsom’s mess. But it’s one that many top Democrats want him to consider trying to clean up.

Since CNN and the San Francisco Chronicle broke their stories about Swalwell on Friday night, Newsom has been in a marathon of calls and meetings about the governor’s race, according to a dozen leading Democrats, several of whom have spoken with him.

Four people familiar with Newsom’s thinking tell CNN he’s still trying to make sense of where the race actually stands now, eager for new polling data and trying to sort out whether the Swalwell collapse intensifies the chances of California Democrats’ red-alert scenario: Two Republicans advancing in the nonpartisan June 2 primary and locking Democrats out of the governorship entirely.

“He’s watching it closely and he’s going to do everything he can to prevent a lockout,” is as far as one person who has spoken to Newsom would go.

On the line is not just the direction of the state Newsom has lived in his whole life. As the term-limited governor gears up to run for president, his successor will be in a position to burnish his record or reverse it, back him up or approve investigations and disclosures that could be problems for a future White House campaign.

Swalwell had been inching forward almost by default: a Venn diagram between primary voters who sort of knew who he was and state political insiders who decided he was fine enough, which together put him in the high teens in most polls. Whether that would have been enough, or enough to slowly build to more in the fractured field, was never clear.

Eric Swalwell appears at a town hall meeting in Sacramento on Tuesday, April 7, 2026, prior to suspending his gubernatorial campaign.

Rich Pedroncelli/AP

Now everyone is left guessing where that support will go, including if whether it will split or go to one candidate. Advisers to several of the leading contenders say they can only make what they admit are wishful guesses.

Newsom has spoken to Rep. Nancy Pelosi, the former House speaker and still a powerhouse of her state’s politics. Phone calls and texts have been pouring in. He’s been sitting in meetings with advisers. Everyone is asking the same questions. No one has the answers, especially because not even the candidates who’ve never moved out of the low single digits have shown any interest so far in dropping out, and at this point, all of their names will remain on the ballot regardless.

The next few weeks will be a test of how much sway the top Democrat in the state has over his party. Even if he wants to help a very fractured field coalesce by making an endorsement, could he?

“People are saying, ‘Show some leadership, Gavin Newsom,’” another person in the governor’s orbit told CNN. “But what does that look like here? He’s not someone who likes picking winners and losers inside his own party like that.”

Through an aide, Newsom declined an interview request.

Newsom tried to avoid a fractured field

Newsom had a preferred candidate: Sen. Alex Padilla. They’re not just friends and political allies. Newsom appointed Padilla, who had served in the California State Senate and as secretary of state, to the US Senate after Kamala Harris became vice president. Then he gave Padilla a prime speaking slot at last summer’s announcement of the Proposition 50 ballot initiative that successfully re-gerrymandered California to produce five additional Democratic-friendly House seats.

Newsom and Sen. Alex Padilla wait to speak about the “Election Rigging Response Act” at a press conference at the Democracy Center, Japanese American National Museum, on August 14, 2025, in Los Angeles.

Mario Tama/Getty Images

Over phone calls and a meeting in Washington, Newsom pushed Padilla to think hard about leading the state he loves. The video of Padilla being tackled and restrained while trying to interrupt then-Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem during a press conference in Los Angeles captured exactly the story he could tell in a state where Trump is deeply unpopular.

Padilla came close. Really close. Close enough that when his aides got the invite to a Zoom call in early November, they thought they’d hear him make it official — only to have him instead tell them he wasn’t going to run. His wife was opposed in the end, and he decided that running wouldn’t be the right call for his children.

Newsom wasn’t on that call, but he was just as surprised by the decision. In the months since, he decided to let the race play out on its own, not tipping a hand in any direction.

That remained the case even after his longtime political consultants signed on to run an independent expenditure group that had been airing ads supporting Swalwell before immediately shutting down last Friday. It wasn’t tacit support from Newsom — but Newsom didn’t stop them, either.

A lack of star power

According to people who’ve spoken to him, Newsom feels just as blasé as many Californians about their choices for a larger-than-life job once held by Ronald Reagan and Arnold Schwarzenegger.

Newsom worries that Tom Steyer, the billionaire investor, would be too all over the place on positions and management to effectively run the state. He worries that Katie Porter, the former congresswoman, would drive business out. He has had a contentious personal relationship with San Jose Mayor Matt Mahan. He ran against former Los Angeles Mayor Antonio Villaraigosa eight years ago, and the strain between them is still there. He appointed former Biden Health and Human Services Secretary Xavier Becerra to be state attorney general after Harris became a US senator in 2016, and has reservations about how Becerra handled that job.

California Gov. Gavin Newsom arrives at a rally on November 8, 2025, in Houston, Texas.

Brandon Bell/Getty Images

Aides to several current campaigns tell CNN that they have been seeing in focus groups some frustration with Newsom’s record as governor, but his popularity among California Democrats, enhanced by his fights with Trump, remains sky-high. Most expect that if he did make an endorsement in the race, he would at least try to move in conjunction with Pelosi and Sen. Adam Schiff, who both endorsed Swalwell, as well as Padilla.

No set plans have been discussed yet, advisers to several say, though they are sensitive to how Pelosi and Schiff may have felt embarrassed by the Swalwell endorsements they quickly withdrew Friday. Between votes in the Senate on Tuesday, Schiff told CNN that he didn’t have time to discuss the political fallout in California or what he might do.

But a spokesperson noted that Schiff “has been warning that Democrats could get shut out of the runoff in the governor’s race — it is a distinct possibility that none of us can afford to ignore — and he is determined to do all he can to prevent that outcome.”

The only thing most involved know for sure is that a last-minute write-in campaign from Harris, who has not had any FOMO since she passed on running for California governor last summer, doesn’t exist beyond political chatter.

Mail-in ballots will begin going out in just under three weeks. Multiple people close to Newsom think that’s about the amount of time he has.

“Certainly Gov. Newsom is an important voice in California, has been and continues to be, but he is not the only voice,” said Rusty Hicks, the California Democratic Party chairman. “I know that he is watching this very closely and may or may not get involved in the future – but that’s a question for himself.”

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