2026年4月11日 / 美国东部时间早上6:07 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
布达佩斯专电——执政近20年后，匈牙利极右翼总理维克托·欧尔班可能在本周日的国会大选中被赶下台。
最新民调显示，作为特朗普总统关键国际盟友的欧尔班及其执政的青民盟党，在本次选举中落后于反对党中右翼蒂萨党及其领袖彼得·毛焦尔，这场选举将受到大西洋两岸观察人士的密切关注。
独立监督机构和欧盟官员指责欧尔班政府自2010年上台以来，对匈牙利的民主制度和法治发动了持续攻击。总部位于英国的反腐败组织透明国际的数据显示，在欧尔班执政的16年间，匈牙利已沦为欧盟境内腐败程度最严重的国家。
人权观察组织表示，欧尔班利用其政党目前在匈牙利国会的绝对多数席位，破坏司法独立、镇压独立媒体、妖魔化移民并歧视LGBTQ群体。欧尔班还因公开发表仇外和种族主义言论而声名狼藉，他称难民为“穆斯林入侵者”，并表示匈牙利不希望成为“混血种族”。
匈牙利总理维克托·欧尔班2026年4月7日在布达佩斯的集会上发表讲话。乔纳森·恩斯特 / 普尔摄影 / 法新社 via 盖蒂图片社
美国民主导向非营利组织自由之家将匈牙利评为仅“部分自由”，理由是欧尔班领导下的选举不够自由公平，独立机构受到压制。
尽管匈牙利的民主倒退问题令人担忧，但独立亲民主研究机构IDEA研究所周四发布的民调显示，欧尔班的青民盟党仅获得37%的坚定选民支持。民调显示，中右翼的蒂萨党获得了50%的坚定选民支持。
特朗普会失去一位关键盟友吗？
自2016年特朗普首次当选美国总统以来，欧尔班一直是特朗普最亲密的全球盟友之一。他是唯一一位公开支持特朗普首次总统竞选成功的欧盟领导人，两人的关系在过去十年中不断加深。
周四，特朗普在Truth Social上对这位匈牙利领导人给出了全力支持。
“备受尊敬的匈牙利总理维克托·欧尔班是一位真正强大且有影响力的领导人，他有着创造卓越成果的可靠记录，”特朗普写道。“维克托努力保护匈牙利、发展经济、创造就业、促进贸易、打击非法移民并确保法治！”
周二，副总统JD·万斯在布达佩斯与匈牙利领导人共同公开造势，充分展示了特朗普政府与欧尔班之间的伙伴关系。
副总统JD·万斯与匈牙利总理维克托·欧尔班2026年4月7日在匈牙利布达佩斯的集会上。乔纳森·恩斯特-普尔摄影 / 盖蒂图片社
“你们会站在主权和民主一边吗？你们会站在西方文明一边吗？你们会站在自由、真理和我们父辈的上帝一边吗？”万斯在欧尔班的竞选集会上向听众问道。“那么我的朋友们，在本周末前往投票站，站在维克托·欧尔班一边吧，因为他站在你们这边，也站在所有这些价值观这边。”
这种关系不止于公开的支持表态。欧尔班的政策被一些美国保守派政策专家誉为美国治国方略的蓝图。影响力深远的传统基金会主席凯文·罗伯茨博士在2024年将欧尔班的领导方式称为“保守主义治理的典范”。
正如哥伦比亚广播公司新闻此前报道的那样，亲欧尔班的保守派智库多瑙河研究所2023年同意接待传统基金会的访问研究员，以研究匈牙利在各个领域的政策。传统基金会与多瑙河研究所签署的协议不涉及任何一方的资金交易。
“我很自豪能称维克托·欧尔班为朋友和盟友，也很自豪传统基金会与多瑙河研究所之间有着牢固的关系，”罗伯茨当时告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻。
匈牙利总理维克托·欧尔班2026年1月22日在达沃斯举行的“和平委员会”会议上与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普握手。法布里斯·科弗里尼 / 法新社 via 盖蒂图片社
欧尔班还出席了特朗普在达沃斯举办的“和平委员会”启动仪式以及在华盛顿特区举行的首次会议。今年2月，美国与匈牙利签署了民用核能合作协议。
在过去四年中，布达佩斯还主办了全球极右翼领导人及MAGA影响力人士参加的保守派政治行动会议（CPAC）国际版活动。
“我确实认为，我们彼此开展合作是件好事，”前白宫政治主任、CPAC创始人马特·施拉普去年在谈到将CPAC带到匈牙利时告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻。
“我认为（匈牙利）在边境和移民问题上的政策改变了整个欧洲的对话，”施拉普说。“正是欧尔班和特朗普让这种理念常态化：你不必因为某个全球机构告诉你必须接受，就接收特定数量的非法移民。”
Is strongman leader and MAGA darling Viktor Orbán about to be ousted? What to know ahead of Hungary’s elections
April 11, 2026 / 6:07 AM EDT / CBS News
Budapest – After nearly two decades in power, Hungary’s far-right prime minister Viktor Orbán could be ousted as leader in the country’s parliamentary elections on Sunday.
The latest polls indicate that Orbán, a key international ally of President Trump, and his ruling Fidesz party are trailing the opposition center-right Tisza Party and its leader Péter Magyar in an election that will be closely watched by observers on both sides of the Atlantic.
Independent watchdogs and European Union officials have accused Orbán’s government of launching a sustained assault on the country’s democratic institutions and rule of law since he took office in 2010. In the 16 years since he took office, the country has descended to the rank of most corrupt country in the European Union, according to the U.K.-based anti-corruption group Transparency International.
Orbán has used his party’s current supermajority in Hungarian parliament to undermine the independence of the judiciary, crack down on independent media, demonize migrants and discriminate against LGBTQ people, Human Rights Watch has said. Orbán has also become known for making publicly xenophobic and racist statements, calling refugees “Muslim invaders” and saying Hungarians do not want to become a “mixed race.”
Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán speaks at a rally in Budapest on April 7, 2026. Jonathan Ernst / POOL /AFP via Getty Images
Freedom House, a democracy-oriented U.S.-based nonprofit, has designated Hungary as only “partly free,” citing issues with less-than-free-and-fair elections and a stifling of independent institutions under Orbán’s leadership.
Despite concerns over Democratic backsliding in the country, a Thursday poll conducted by the independent pro-democracy research group the IDEA Institute showed that Orbán’s Fidesz party had the support of only 37% of decided voters. The center-right Tisza party has the support of 50% of decided voters, according to the poll.
Could Trump lose a key ally?
Orbán has been one of President Trump’s closest global allies since Mr. Trump was first elected as U.S. president in 2016. He was the only European Union leader to publicly endorse Mr. Trump’s first successful bid for the presidency, and the relationship has deepened between the two men over the past decade.
On Thursday, Mr. Trump gave a full-throated endorsement of the Hungarian leader on Truth Social.
“Highly Respected Prime Minister of Hungary, Viktor Orbán, is a truly strong and powerful Leader, with a proven track record of delivering phenomenal results,” Mr. Trump wrote. “Viktor works hard to Protect Hungary, Grow the Economy, Create Jobs, Promote Trade, Stop Illegal Immigration, and Ensure LAW AND ORDER!”
The partnership between the Trump administration and Orbán was on full display Tuesday when Vice President JD Vance publicly campaigned alongside the Hungarian leader in Budapest.
Vice President JD Vance and Hungarian Prime Minister Viktor Orbán at a rally on April 7, 2026 in Budapest, Hungary. Jonathan Ernst-Pool / Getty Images
“Will you stand for sovereignty and democracy? Will you stand for Western civilization? Will you stand for freedom, for truth and for the God of our fathers?” Vance asked attendees at an Orbán campaign rally. “Then my friends, go to the polls on the weekend, stand with Viktor Orbán because he stands for you and he stands for all these things.”
The relationship goes wider than just public displays of support. Orbán’s policies have been hailed by some American conservative policy experts as a blueprint for how the U.S. should be governed. Dr. Kevin Roberts, president of the influential Heritage Foundation think tank, described Orban’s leadership as a “model for conservative governance” in 2024.
As CBS News has previously reported, pro-Orbán conservative think tank the Danube Institute also agreed to host visiting researchers from The Heritage Foundation to study Hungarian policies in various fields in 2023. Heritage and Danube signed an agreement that involved no financial transactions by either party.
“I am proud to call Viktor Orbán a friend and ally, and I am proud of the strong relationship between Heritage and The Danube Institute,” Roberts told CBS News at the time.
Hungary’s Prime Minister Viktor Orban shakes hands with U.S. President Donald Trump at the “Board of Peace” meeting in Davos on January 22, 2026. Fabrice Coffrini /AFP via Getty Images
Orbán also attended the launch of Mr. Trump’s “Board of Peace” in Davos and its inaugural meeting in Washington, D.C. In February, the United States and Hungary signed a civilian nuclear cooperation agreement.
Budapest has also played host to global far-right leaders and MAGA influencers at the international version of the Conservative Political Action Conference for the past four years.
“I do think it’s good that we are collaborating with each other,” CPAC Founder Matt Schlapp, a former White House political director, told CBS News last year, regarding bringing the conference to Hungary.
“I think (Hungary’s) policies on the border and on immigration have changed the whole conversation in Europe,” Schlapp said. “It’s certainly between Orbán and Trump that have normalized this idea that you don’t just have to take an unspecific number of illegal migrants because some global institution tells you that you must.”
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