2026-04-10T05:00:03-04:00 / 福克斯新闻频道
船舶追踪公司Kpler的分析师称，目前无任何石油产品通过该水道，近2万名海员被困海上
作者：摩根·菲利普斯 福克斯新闻频道
发布于 2026年4月10日 美国东部时间早上5:00 | 更新于 2026年4月10日 美国东部时间早上5:35
特朗普就霍尔木兹海峡紧张局势向伊朗施压，呼吁达成“真正的协议”
在霍尔木兹海峡航运停滞、脆弱停火协议引发担忧之际，唐纳德·特朗普总统仍在向伊朗施压。
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尽管一项以重新开放这条关键水道为核心的美国支持的停火协议已经生效，但通过霍尔木兹海峡的石油运输实际上仍处于停滞状态，这引发了新的质疑：伊朗是否在履行停火协议的核心条款。
海峡西侧已经积压了约3200艘船只，其中包括800艘油轮和货船，船东们因不确定航行是否安全而选择原地待命。
数据与情报公司Kpler的分析师马特·史密斯表示，近期没有油轮冒险通过该航道。
“我们没有看到任何——任何——石油产品通过这里，”史密斯说，“所以从各方面来看，海峡依旧处于封闭状态。这正是伊朗所掌握的筹码。”
杰克·基恩将军质疑伊朗停火协议能否维持，警告德黑兰将“拖延和推诿”
据史密斯透露，周四仅有三艘船只通过了霍尔木兹海峡，其中两艘为伊朗籍货轮，另一艘为干散货船。
“伊朗在允许石油通过霍尔木兹海峡方面表现得非常糟糕，有人甚至会说这是不光彩的，这根本不是我们达成的协议！”唐纳德·特朗普总统周四警告道。
2026年4月8日，美伊双方达成为期两周的临时停火协议期间，一艘船只正通过霍尔木兹海峡。（沙迪·阿拉萨尔/阿纳多卢通讯社/盖蒂图片社）
据国际海事组织称，在整个危机期间，近2万名海员实质上被困在波斯湾海域。
据海事数据平台Windward AI消息，周三有一艘悬挂斯里兰卡国旗的船只通过海峡驶入，另有四艘干散货船——分别悬挂博茨瓦纳、利比里亚、巴拿马以及圣基茨和尼维斯国旗——和一艘伊朗籍船只驶出海峡。
Windward表示，少数通行的船只并未走标准商业航道，而是选择靠近伊朗拉尔岛的航线，部分船只在通过海峡时还关闭了船舶追踪系统。
与此同时，货物运输正越来越多地被改道至阿曼港口以及阿联酋东海岸的港口，这使得部分航程增加了约两周时间，成本也上涨了约25%。
2024年4月29日，伊朗伊斯兰革命卫队海军人员在布什尔核电站附近举行的海上阅兵中站在军舰上。（莫尔塔扎·尼库巴兹/努尔摄影）
尽管唐纳德·特朗普总统曾表示，停火协议的核心是“伊朗同意全面、立即且安全地开放霍尔木兹海峡”，但航运停滞的局面仍在持续。
特朗普发出针对伊朗的末日式警告，加大美国全面打击威胁的风险
尽管停火协议已经暂停了美国的军事行动，但这条关键水道的航运仍未恢复——这凸显了书面协议与实际情况之间的差距。
全球约20%的石油通常需要通过霍尔木兹海峡运输，分析师指出，航运公司的风险承受能力远低于政府，因此仅凭脆弱的停火协议不足以让船只重返该航道。
“我们不知道霍尔木兹海峡是否布设了水雷。即便没有，遭遇导弹或无人机袭击的风险也足以成为强大的威慑因素，”史密斯说，“没有人愿意冒这个险。”
他补充道，即便船东愿意通行，保险方面的限制也使得船只难以通过海峡。
战争险在部分情况下仍可投保，但保费大幅上涨且附加了诸多限制条款，进一步打消了船东进入海峡的意愿。
阿布扎比国家石油公司首席执行官苏丹·贾贝尔周四在领英上发文称：“此刻需要明确态度。我们不妨明确说明：霍尔木兹海峡尚未开放。”
“航道通行受到限制、附加条件且受到管控，”他说，“伊朗通过言论和行动都明确表示，海峡通航需要获得许可、满足条件并受政治筹码左右。”
2026年4月5日周日，伊朗德黑兰，两名警察走过反美广告牌，广告牌上描绘了伊朗武装部队用渔网困住美国飞机的画面，下方配有波斯语文字：“霍尔木兹海峡将保持封闭，整个波斯湾都是我们的狩猎场”。（瓦希德·萨莱米/美联社照片）
据《金融时报》报道，与此同时，伊朗正要求对每桶船上石油收取1美元的通行费，且需以加密货币支付。
伊朗国家媒体周三报道称，伊朗之所以保持海峡封闭，是为了回应以色列持续对黎巴嫩真主党发动的袭击，而美国方面表示这并不在停火协议的范畴之内。
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尽管双方仍处于对峙状态，但美伊两国高层旨在达成永久停火协议的谈判定于周六在巴基斯坦举行。
Hormuz choke point persists as Iran halts oil traffic despite Trump ceasefire
2026-04-10T05:00:03-04:00 / Fox News
Kpler analyst says no oil products are passing through the waterway and nearly 20,000 mariners are stranded
By Morgan Phillips Fox News
Published April 10, 2026 5:00am EDT | Updated April 10, 2026 5:35am EDT
Trump pressures Iran amid Strait of Hormuz tensions, calls for ‘real agreement’
President Donald Trump continues to pressure Iran after traffic slowed in the Strait of Hormuz as concerns rise over a fragile ceasefire.
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Oil traffic through the Strait of Hormuz remains effectively halted despite a U.S.-backed ceasefire that hinged on reopening the critical waterway, raising fresh questions about whether Iran is following through on a central condition of the truce.
A backlog of roughly 3,200 vessels — among them 800 tankers and cargo ships — has built up west of the strait, with ships idling as operators wait for clarity on whether it is safe to pass.
No oil tankers have risked the journey in recent days, according to Matt Smith, an analyst at Kpler, a data and intelligence company.
“We’re not seeing any, any, any oil products passing through there,” Smith said. “So, for all intents and purposes, the strait remains closed. And this is the leverage that Iran has.”
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Three vessels passed through the Strait on Thursday, according to Smith, two of them Iranian-flagged and one a dry bulk carrier.
“Iran is doing a very poor job, dishonorable some would say, of allowing Oil to go through the Strait of Hormuz. That is not the agreement we have!” President Donald Trump warned on Thursday.
A ship is seen passing through the Strait of Hormuz during a two-week temporary ceasefire between the United States and Iran on April 8, 2026.(Shady Alassar/Anadolu/Getty Images)
Nearly 20,000 mariners have been essentially stranded in the Persian Gulf throughout the crisis, according to the International Maritime Organization.
On Wednesday, one Sri Lanka-flagged vessel passed inbound through the strait, while four dry bulk carriers — flagged in Botswana, Liberia, Panama, and St. Kitts and Nevis — and one Iranian vessel sailed outbound, according to Windward AI, a maritime data platform.
The few vessels that are transiting are doing so through a corridor near Iran’s Larak Island rather than standard commercial lanes, according to Windward, with some ships switching off tracking systems as they pass.
At the same time, cargo is increasingly being rerouted through ports in Oman and along the United Arab Emirates’ east coast, adding roughly two weeks to some voyages and increasing costs by about 25%.
Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps navy personnel stand on a warship during an IRGC marine parade marking Persian Gulf National Day near the Bushehr nuclear power plant in Bushehr, Iran, on April 29, 2024.(Morteza Nikoubazl/NurPhoto)
The continued standstill comes despite President Donald Trump saying the ceasefire hinged on “Iran agreeing to the COMPLETE, IMMEDIATE, and SAFE OPENING of the Strait of Hormuz.”
TRUMP’S APOCALYPTIC IRAN WARNING RAISES STAKES FOR SWEEPING US STRIKE THREAT
While the truce has paused U.S. military action, shipping through the critical waterway has yet to resume — underscoring the gap between the agreement on paper and conditions on the ground.
Some 20% of the world’s oil supply typically passes through the strait, and analysts say shipping companies have a far lower risk tolerance than governments, meaning a fragile ceasefire alone is not enough to bring vessels back onto the waterway.
“We don’t know whether the Strait of Hormuz is mined. Even if it isn’t, the risk of being hit by a missile or a drone is a big enough deterrent,” Smith said. “No one’s willing to take the chance.”
He added that insurance constraints are making it difficult for ships to transit even if operators are willing to move.
War-risk insurance remains available in some cases, but at sharply elevated premiums and with added restrictions, further discouraging operators from entering the strait.
Sultan Al Jaber, head of the Abu Dhabi National Oil Company, posted on LinkedIn Thursday: “This moment requires clarity. So let’s be clear: the Strait of Hormuz is not open.”
“Access is being restricted, conditioned and controlled,” he said. “Iran has made clear — through both its statements and actions — that passage is subject to permission, conditions and political leverage.”
Two police officers walk in front of an anti-U.S. billboard depicting American aircraft being caught by Iranian armed forces in a fishing net beneath the words in Farsi, “The Strait of Hormuz will remain closed, The entire Persian Gulf is our hunting ground,” in Tehran, Iran, Sunday, April 5, 2026.(Vahid Salemi/AP Photo)
Meanwhile, Iran is demanding the right to charge a toll of $1 per barrel of oil on board, paid in cryptocurrency, according to the Financial Times.
Iranian state media reported Wednesday that Iran was keeping the strait closed in response to continued Israeli attacks on Hezbollah in Lebanon, which the U.S. claims was not part of the ceasefire.
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Still, Vice President JD Vance and President Donald Trump have said Israel will scale down its attacks in Lebanon to allow breathing room for the ceasefire to succeed.
Despite the standoff, talks between top U.S. and Iranian leaders aimed at securing a permanent ceasefire are scheduled for Saturday in Pakistan.
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