更新时间：2026年1月22日，美国东部时间上午8:18 | 发布时间：2026年1月21日，美国东部时间晚上8:07 | 来源：美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
分析：史蒂芬·科林森（Stephen Collinson）
唐纳德·特朗普总统于2026年1月21日抵达苏黎世机场后走向“陆战队一号”直升机。
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唐纳德·特朗普 北约 关税
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唐纳德·特朗普总统对格陵兰岛的“退缩”（climbdown），为现代总统在国际舞台上最反复无常的一系列事件之一画上了句号。
在周三的几个小时内，特朗普从要求对这个半自治的丹麦领土拥有“权利、所有权和主权”，突然转为庆祝一项关于其未来的“无限”、“永久”框架协议。
这一突破似乎取决于额外的北约部队以确保北极安全——如果他愿意询问的话，这一点他本可以在本周的混乱之前就做到。
总统周四告诉福克斯商业频道，正在谈判的框架协议将使美国“完全进入”格陵兰岛，且没有时间限制，特别是为了他提议的“金色穹顶”导弹防御系统。这可能与华盛顿现有的与丹麦的条约没有实质性不同。但关键是，一项更新的协议将为总统提供一项值得载入史册的遗产成就。
如果这一切的代价是与欧洲的关系严重受损，以及对他对北约防御保障忠诚的新质疑，那么这可能只是一个专注于个人目标的总统进行“交易”的成本。
无论如何，没有迹象表明特朗普会从达沃斯世界经济论坛带回一块可以插上星条旗的巨大冰土地。北约秘书长马克·吕特在福克斯新闻中表示，与总统的会面中甚至没有提及丹麦对格陵兰岛的主权问题，这将进一步巩固这位“特朗普密友”的声誉。
但瑞典副首相埃芭·布施警告称，这场风暴可能尚未结束。
“今天的进展可能是明天的麻烦，”布施在接受美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）吉姆·西图托采访时表示，“现在判断这项协议究竟意味着什么还为时过早。”
特朗普在对盟友领导人进行了几天的侮辱后，上演了一场滑稽的场景，引发了北约即将崩溃的担忧。他最初拒绝排除向丹麦领土格陵兰岛派遣军队的可能性，这似乎来自一部糟糕的未来主义惊悚片。
特朗普在华盛顿和瑞士几天的漫无边际和令人困惑的公开露面中进一步混淆了问题。周三，他甚至把格陵兰岛和冰岛弄混了。
他的执政一直受一时兴起和社交媒体爆发的驱动。但在摆脱他引发的危机后，特朗普暴露了围绕其日益不受欢迎的总统任期的另一种扭曲的事实现实。
而特朗普两届任期迄今为止最令人困惑的事件之一，将加深人们对他反复无常的情绪在未来三年将把国家和世界带向何方的担忧。
“我对特朗普总统和特朗普政府的信息是：是时候清醒过来，冷静下来了，”布施说。
“我不会因为一条新推文就改变我的政策。”
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2026年1月20日，格陵兰岛努克上空出现北极光。
Evgeniy Maloletka/美联社
两种相互矛盾的现实
在保守派媒体上，特朗普再次被吹捧为一位“下象棋”的战略大师，他采取极端立场以迫使软弱的欧洲人达成“协议”。这种论点认为，总统以隐含的北约解体和毁灭性关税威胁，从而获得了惊人的让步。
这很难被认真对待，因为没有迹象表明欧洲给了特朗普任何东西，也没有迹象表明他获得了他所要求的格陵兰岛作为美国领土的一部分。无论如何，根据与丹麦现有的条约，华盛顿长期以来一直有权派遣任何军事资产以加强这个世界上最大岛屿的安全。
在右翼泡沫之外，特朗普在放弃对欧洲国家的关税威胁，直到他们同意将格陵兰岛交给他之后，又出现了另一个“TACO”（特朗普总是退缩）时刻。就像他的“解放日”关税一样，总统可能被自己行动的结果吓到了。
总统甚至无法解释他声称达成的协议。当他被美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）的凯特兰·柯林斯问及该协议是否意味着美国将拥有格陵兰岛时，他长时间停顿后坚持称这是“最终的、长期的协议”，并且是“无限期的”。
在接受美国全国广播公司财经频道（CNBC）采访时，细节同样模糊不清，特朗普在与吕特交谈后吹嘘“交易的概念”。“这有点复杂，但我们会在以后解释，”总统说，但透露这是“永久的”，显示出这位总司令对细节的理解几乎令人难以置信。
前美国驻乌克兰大使威廉·泰勒告诉CNN的埃丽卡·希尔，特朗普在某种意义上是对的，他说拟议的协议会让所有人满意。“这确实会让人们满意，因为我们可以不再谈论这个非问题。现在我们可以回到真正重要的事情上，也就是实现乌克兰的和平，”泰勒说。
周三在瑞士达沃斯的令人头晕目眩的事件并非唯一引发对这位79岁总统心态和其行为可能对美国国家利益造成长期损害的担忧的争议。
他声称可能取代联合国的“和平委员会”计划也在达沃斯受到关注。申请永久会员资格的10亿美元入会费让人想起他私人俱乐部的会费，而非真正的国际外交机构。随后有消息称，特朗普曾邀请俄罗斯总统弗拉基米尔·普京加入，尽管他在非法入侵乌克兰期间屠杀平民。“是的，我有一些有争议的人，但这些是能把事情办成的人，”特朗普说。
和平委员会的细则凸显了这个想法的荒谬性。例如，它暗示总统在离开白宫后仍将继续管理这个俱乐部，指导全球外交。几个美国盟友已经与该计划保持距离，因为它暗示联合国将黯然失色。然而在特朗普看来，这是“有史以来最伟大的委员会”。
在2026年1月21日第56届世界经济论坛年会上，与会者聆听唐纳德·特朗普总统的讲话。
Jonathan Ernst/路透社
特朗普领导下美国命运的新问题
格陵兰岛风暴有几个重要的教训。
首先是特朗普的外交政策行为变得越来越自恋和不合逻辑。围绕格陵兰岛的奇怪转折可能会损害他精心培养的“钢铁般总司令”形象，尤其是在一次特种部队突袭提取了委内瑞拉独裁者尼古拉斯·马杜罗之后。
格陵兰危机很大程度上是由总统个人痴迷驱动的。他告诉《纽约时报》，拥有这个巨大岛屿在“心理上对我很重要”。然后他在给挪威首相的短信中暗示，他应该得到格陵兰岛作为一种“参与奖”，因为他没有获得诺贝尔和平奖。
五角大楼从未透露过向格陵兰岛采取行动的具体计划。但特朗普的喜怒无常和第二任期的好战意味着没有人能确定。许多局外人怀疑特朗普去年不会对伊朗核计划采取行动，或者不会推翻委内瑞拉总统——但他承担了风险并建立了对其威胁的可信度。
特朗普对盟友领导人的怨恨也值得注意。最近几天，他猛烈抨击英国首相基尔·斯塔默、法国总统埃马纽埃尔·马克龙和瑞士——尽管他称赞了瑞士制表业的实力。他向加拿大总理马克·卡尼发出了严厉警告，而卡尼一天前在一次演讲中警告称，美国造成了国际体系的“破裂”。
“加拿大的存在是因为美国，”特朗普说，“记住这一点，马克，下次你发表声明时。”
不言而喻，这一切都不是正常的总统行为。
特朗普还对如果他没有得到格陵兰岛是否会遵守北约《共同防御条约》第5条提出了新的疑问。“他们有选择。你可以说‘是’，我们会非常感激；或者你可以说‘不’，我们会记住，”特朗普在达沃斯演讲中说。
特朗普过去抱怨北约成员国利用美国军事支持削减自身国防预算是有道理的。但他最近几周的反感可能进一步削弱了联盟。事实上，他证明了联盟成员国越来越理解西方联盟因不稳定的美国领导而衰落。
尽管如此，特朗普最终还是让步了。
在他周末威胁对欧洲国家加征关税以换取格陵兰岛之后，原本飙升的401k账户（他用来衡量自己经济表现的指标）出现了抛售，股价暴跌。当他收回关税威胁时，全球股市反弹。当不可避免的下一个争议出现时，欧洲可能再次愿意威胁动用其贸易力量来安抚美国这个“霸主”——尤其是在中期选举年，美国选民对新的经济动荡已经高度敏感。
对欧洲来说，这个故事的一个教训是，通过团结起来并顶住特朗普的压力，他们似乎迫使他退缩。在此之前，只有中国通过使用其稀土“王牌”来冻结其贸易战，才阻止了他。
此前，欧洲领导人通过奉承和屈从于特朗普以避免他的愤怒。这是一个失败。他对英国的格陵兰关税威胁表明，去年的王室访问可能在当时触动了总统的心，但没有留下任何善意的余波。
与此同时，欧洲国家对丹麦的团结立场，是卡尼在达沃斯呼吁“中等强国”团结起来的一个教训，他的演讲可能被认为是西方后美国时代的第一个可信蓝图。
但这不会是白宫决心以力量和武力统治所引发的最后一场对抗。
尽管如此，在特朗普退缩后，北约内部冲突的想法已经减弱。他可以为他声称结束的战争名单再添一个数据点。
本报道已更新，增加了更多信息。
唐纳德·特朗普 北约 关税
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Trump’s latest TACO moment puts his increasingly erratic temperament in the spotlight
Updated Jan 22, 2026, 8:18 AM ET | PUBLISHED Jan 21, 2026, 8:07 PM ET | CNN
Analysis by
[Stephen Collinson]
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President Donald Trump walks toward Marine One after arriving at Zurich Airport on January 21, 2026.
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Donald Trump NATO Tariffs
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President Donald Trump’s [climbdown on Greenland] capped one of the most erratic episodes involving a modern president on the world stage.
Within hours Wednesday, Trump flipped from demanding “right, title, and ownership” of the semiautonomous Danish territory to celebrating an “infinite,” “forever” framework deal over its future.
The breakthrough seems to hinge on extra NATO forces to secure the Arctic — something he could have got before his week of mayhem — if only he’d asked.
The president told Fox Business on Thursday that the framework deal under negotiation would give the US “total access” with no time limit to Greenland for the United States, especially for his proposed Golden Dome missile defense system. This may turn out not to differ substantially from Washington’s existing treaty with Denmark. But crucially, an updated deal would give the president a legacy achievement to sign into history.
If the cost of all this is badly damaged relations with Europe and new questions about his fealty to NATO defense guarantees, then that may simply be the cost of doing business for a president fixated on personal goals.
And whatever the face-saving spin, there’s no sign Trump will return home from the [World Economic Forum in Davos] with the deeds to a vast, icy land on which he can plant the Stars and Stripes. NATO Secretary General Mark Rutte said on Fox News that the question of Danish sovereignty over Greenland didn’t even come up during a meeting with the president that will bolster the smooth Dutchman’s reputation as a “Trump whisperer.”
But Sweden’s Deputy Prime Minister Ebba Busch warned the storm may not yet be over.
“Today’s progress might be tomorrow’s headache,” Busch told CNN’s Jim Sciutto on “The Brief.” “It’s still too soon to tell what this deal really entails.”
Farcical scenes unfolded after Trump flung days of [insults at allied leaders], raising fears that NATO was about to implode. His initial refusal to rule out sending troops to take Greenland — which is already alliance territory — seemed torn from a bad futuristic thriller.
Trump further confused the issue with several days of rambling and baffling public appearances in Washington and Switzerland. On Wednesday, he even got Greenland and Iceland confused.
He’s always governed by whim and social media outbursts. But in extricating himself from a crisis that he triggered, Trump laid bare the alternative factual reality that surrounds his [increasingly unpopular presidency].
And one of the most perplexing episodes so far of Trump’s two terms will deepen concern about where his volatile moods will lead the nation and the world in the next three years.
“My message to President Trump and the Trump administration is: It’s time to come to your senses and calm down,” Busch said.
“I’m not going to change my policy tomorrow in a new tweet.”
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The northern lights are seen in the sky above Nuuk, Greenland, on January 20, 2026.
Evgeniy Maloletka/AP
Two dueling realities
On conservative media, Trump was again being lionized as the master strategist playing 4-D chess who staked out a maximalist position to pressure feckless Europeans into a “deal.” This line of argument relies on the belief that the president threatened Europe with the implicit breakup of NATO and devastating tariffs, thereby securing stunning concessions.
This is hard to take seriously because there is no sign Europe gave Trump anything, nor that he secured Greenland as an addition to US territory as he demanded. In any case, under existing treaties with Denmark, Washington has long had the capacity and right to send any military assets that it wants to reinforce the world’s largest island.
Outside the right-wing bubble, Trump is being mocked for another “TACO” (“Trump always chickens out”) moment after dropping [the threat of tariffs] on European nations until they agreed to give him Greenland. Just as with his “Liberation Day” tariffs, the president may have been spooked by the result of his own actions.
The president couldn’t even explain the deal he claimed to have clinched. When he was [asked by CNN’s Kaitlan Collins] whether the agreement meant the US would own Greenland, there was a prolonged pause before he insisted it was the “ultimate, long term deal” and would be “infinite.”
In an interview on CNBC, the details were equally foggy as Trump boasted about “the concept of a deal” after talking to Rutte. “It’s a little bit complex, but we will explain it down the line,” the president said, but revealed that this was for “forever,” showing a barely believable lack of grasp of detail for a commander-in-chief.
Former US Ambassador to Ukraine William Taylor told CNN’s Erica Hill that Trump was right in one sense when he said the proposed deal would make everybody happy. “It does make people happy because we can get off talking about this non-problem. Now we can get back to what really matters and that is getting peace in Ukraine,” Taylor said.
Wednesday’s head spinning events in Davos, Switzerland, were not the only controversy raising concerns about the 79-year-old president’s mindset and the long-term damage that his behavior may wreak on US national interests.
His plans for a [Board of Peace] that he said might replace the United Nations also came into focus in Davos. The $1 billion joining fee for member states who want permanent membership recalled the dues at one of his private clubs more than a bona fide international diplomatic institution. Then it emerged that Trump had asked Russian President Vladimir Putin to join, despite his butchering of civilians during his illegal invasion of Ukraine. “Yeah, I have some controversial people on it, but these are people that get the job done,” Trump said.
The small print for the peace board underscores the absurdity of the idea. It implies, for instance, that the president would continue to run the club, directing global diplomacy, even after he’s left the White House. Several US allies have distanced themselves from the plan since it implies the eclipsing of the United Nations. Yet in Trump’s mind, it’s “the greatest board ever assembled.”
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Attendees listen to President Donald Trump’s remarks during the 56th annual World Economic Forum in Davos on January 21, 2026.
Jonathan Ernst/Reuters
New questions raised over America’s destiny under Trump
There are several significant takeaways from the Greenland storm.
The first is that Trump’s conduct of foreign policy is becoming ever more narcissistic and illogical. The odd twists and turns over Greenland may tarnish the image of a steely commander in chief he’s cultivated, in particular after a special forces raid that extracted Venezuelan dictator Nicolás Maduro.
The Greenland crisis was largely driven by a personal presidential obsession. He told the New York Times that owning the vast island was “psychologically important for me.” He then implied in a [text message to Norway’s prime minister]that he was owed Greenland as a sort of participation trophy since he was not awarded the Nobel Peace Prize.
The Pentagon never revealed tangible plans to move on Greenland. But Trump’s tempestuousness and second-term belligerence mean no one could be sure. Many outsiders doubted that Trump would strike Iran’s nuclear program last year or that he would oust Venezuela’s president — but he took on the risks and built credibility for his threats.
Trump’s bitterness towards allied leaders was also remarkable. In recent days, he’s savaged British Prime Minister Keir Starmer, French President Emmanuel Macron and Switzerland — although he praised its prowess in watchmaking. He delivered a dark warning to Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney, who a day earlier had warned in a speech that the US had caused a “rupture” in the international system.
“Canada lives because of the United States,” Trump said. “Remember that, Mark, the next time you make your statements.”
It goes without saying that none of this is normal presidential behavior.
Trump also raised fresh doubts about whether he’d honor NATO’s Article 5 mutual defense guarantee if he didn’t get Greenland. “They have a choice. You can say ‘yes’, and we will be very appreciative, or you can say ‘no’, and we will remember,” Trump said in his Davos speech.
Trump has been justified in his past complaints that NATO members were taking advantage of US military support by tanking their own defense budgets. But his antipathy in recent weeks may have further weakened the alliance. In fact, he’s justified the growing understanding among fellow alliance members that the Western alliance is waning because of unstable American leadership.
Still, Trump did ultimately back down.
Following his weekend threat to tariff European states into handing over Greenland, a stock slump hit the previously soaring 401k accounts which he uses as a barometer of his economic performance. Global stocks [bounced back]when he walked back his tariff threats. When the inevitable next controversy emerges, Europe may again be willing to threaten to mobilize its trading might to calm the American bully — especially in a midterm election year when US voters are already hypersensitive to new economic upsets.
For Europe, one lesson from this saga will be that by standing together and standing up to Trump they appear to have forced him to back down. Before now, only China among foreign nations had halted him in his tracks by using its[rare earths] trump card to ice his trade war.
Previously, European leaders flattered and genuflected to Trump to avoid his wrath. What a failure. His tariff threat to Britain over Greenland showed that last year’s royal visit might have touched the president’s heart in the moment, but it left no half-life of goodwill.
European solidarity behind Denmark, meanwhile, was an object lesson of Carney’s call in Davos for “middle powers” to stick together, in a speech likely to be remembered as the first credible blueprint for the West’s post-American era.
But this will not be the last confrontation stirred by the White House’s determination to rule by strength and force.
Still, after Trump backed down, the idea of NATO-on-NATO conflict has receded. He can add another data point to the ever-lengthening list of wars he claims to have ended.
This story has been updated with additional information.
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