2026年4月8日 美国东部时间上午10:11 / 福克斯新闻
两大政党正在争夺2026年中期选举的众议院控制权
作者：亚历克斯·尼茨伯格 福克斯新闻
随着共和党和民主党在2026年中期选举周期中争夺众议院席位控制权，库克政治报告将5个选区的评级转向民主党，1个选区转向共和党。
此次调整使俄亥俄州的两个选区利好民主党。
根据该报告，由现任民主党众议员格雷格·兰兹曼代表的俄亥俄州第1国会选区已从“势均力敌”调整为“倾向民主党”。报告称，该选区去年进行了重新划分，“变成了一个在2024年总统选举中会以2.5个百分点支持唐纳德·特朗普的选区”。
该报告还显示，现任民主党众议员艾米莉亚·赛克斯寻求连任的俄亥俄州第13国会选区已从“倾向民主党”调整为“大概率民主党”。
福克斯新闻民调：不满选民称华盛顿脱离民众
2024年11月5日，密歇根州底特律市中心中央联合卫理公会教堂内的投票站，选民正在投票。（莎拉·莱斯/盖蒂图片社）
库克政治报告称：“在去年俄亥俄州共和党和民主党谈判达成的重划选区协议中，民主党众议员艾米莉亚·赛克斯是明显的赢家。她目前所在的以阿克伦为中心的选区在2024年总统选举中以微弱优势支持卡玛拉·哈里斯，重新划分后该选区的民主党倾向又增加了3个百分点。”
根据报告，由民主党众议员内莉·普代表的新泽西州第9国会选区已从“倾向民主党”调整为“大概率民主党”。普是左翼的国会进步党团成员。
库克政治报告指出，2025年新泽西州州长候选人、民主党人米基·谢里尔去年以“近20个百分点的优势”赢得该选区，而此前唐纳德·特朗普总统在2024年总统选举中以1.5个百分点的优势拿下该选区。
报告称：“尽管普无法复制谢里尔的压倒性胜利，但在该选区2025年回归民主党后，很难不将她视为明显的热门人选——同时由于共和党党内初选尚未尘埃落定，他们无法将全部精力投入到大选之中。”
中期选举警钟：民主党虽获选举胜利但支持率仍严重不足
2024年11月15日，美国国会众议院议员当选人、新泽西州民主党人内莉·普与第119届国会的其他国会新议员在美国国会大厦众议院台阶上合影留念。（安德鲁·哈尼克/盖蒂图片社）
库克政治报告将佛罗里达州第27国会选区的评级从“稳固共和党”调整为“大概率共和党”。
特朗普已为该选区现任共和党众议员玛丽亚·埃尔维拉·萨拉查的连任背书。
此次调整还将共和党众议员罗布·布雷斯纳汉代表的宾夕法尼亚州第8国会选区从“倾向共和党”调整为“势均力敌”，报告称其“股票交易问题整个竞选周期都在困扰他，这为民主党提供了强有力的攻击武器——尽管该选区整体趋势向共和党倾斜，但本届选举仍充满变数”。
布雷斯纳汉的竞选发言人克里斯·帕克周三在给福克斯新闻数字频道的一份声明中表示：“我们并不关注华盛顿的政治赛马评级机构，他们的商业模式依赖于营造竞争激烈的假象以推动付费订阅。”
“宾夕法尼亚州东北部的实际情况截然不同，”帕克说，“罗布正在迅速巩固工会支持，筹款成绩亮眼，而对手科格内蒂市长的记录极端离谱，包括支持为数百万非法移民提供大规模特赦、取消新生儿母亲的产假，以及亲自呼吁解除警察武装。”
特朗普已为布雷斯纳汉的连任背书。
特朗普迫使内阁成员参与中期选举竞选，下令他们放弃或淡化争议立场
2025年12月9日，宾夕法尼亚州芒特波科诺的芒特艾里赌场度假村，宾夕法尼亚州共和党众议员罗布·布雷斯纳汉出席与美国总统唐纳德·特朗普（未出镜）的通胀问题活动。（亚当·格雷/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社）
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报告为共和党指出了一个亮点：科罗拉多州第3选区已从“大概率共和党”调整为“稳固共和党”。
特朗普曾背书现任共和党众议员杰夫·赫德，随后撤回背书，之后又再次为赫德背书。
库克政治报告的分析称：“我们暂时将该选区从‘大概率共和党’调整为‘稳固共和党’，但如果任何一位民主党候选人势头强劲，该选区在本届选举周期后期可能会重新回到竞争行列。”
特朗普的民意支持率处于低迷状态，这可能会在今年的选举中给共和党带来拖累。
亚历克斯·尼茨伯格是福克斯新闻数字频道撰稿人。
5 US House races shift toward Democrats: Cook Political Report
April 8, 2026 10:11am EDT / Fox News
The two major political parties are fighting for control of the House in the 2026 midterms
By Alex Nitzberg Fox News
As the GOP and Democratic Party vie for control of the House chamber during the 2026 midterm election cycle, The Cook Political Report has shifted five districts toward Democrats, and one toward Republicans.
The analysis shifts two districts in Ohio in the Democrats’ favor.
Ohio’s 1st Congressional District, represented by incumbent Democratic Rep. Greg Landsman, has been shifted from toss-up to lean Democrat, according to the report. The district was redrawn last year, “turning it into a district that would have voted for Donald Trump by 2.5 points in 2024,” according to the report.
The Buckeye State’s 13th Congressional District, where incumbent Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes is seeking re-election, has been switched from lean Democrat to likely Democrat, according to the election analysis.
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Detroit voters at the polls inside Central United Methodist Church on Nov. 5, 2024, in downtown Detroit, Mich.(Sarah Rice/Getty Images)
“In the redistricting deal negotiated by Ohio Republicans and Democrats last year, Democratic Rep. Emilia Sykes was a clear winner. Her current Akron-based district, which narrowly voted for Kamala Harris in 2024, was redrawn to shift three points to the left,” according to The Cook Political Report.
New Jersey’s 9th Congressional District, represented by Democratic Rep. Nellie Pou, has been shifted from lean Democrat to likely Democrat, according to the report. Pou is a member of the left-wing Congressional Progressive Caucus.
The Cook Political Report noted that 2025 Garden State gubernatorial candidate Mikie Sherrill, a Democrat who won the race, won the “district by nearly 20 points” last year after President Donald Trump “carried it by 1.5 points” in 2024.
“Although Pou won’t be able to replicate Sherrill’s landslide victory, it’s hard not to see her as the obvious favorite after the district snapped back to Democrats in 2025 — and as an unsettled primary has kept Republicans from turning their full attention to the general election,” the report states.
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Rep.-elect Nellie Pou, D-N.J., poses for a photograph after joining other congressional freshmen of the 119th Congress for a group photograph on the steps of the House of Representatives at the U.S. Capitol on Nov. 15, 2024.(Andrew Harnik/Getty Images)
The Cook Political Report has shifted Florida’s 27th Congressional District from solid Republican to likely Republican.
Trump has endorsed incumbent GOP Rep. Maria Elvira Salazar, who represents that district in the Sunshine State, for re-election.
The analysis shifted Pennsylvania’s 8th Congressional District, represented by GOP Rep. Rob Bresnahan, from lean Republican to toss up, saying that his “stock trades have dogged him all cycle, giving Democrats a potent line of attack in a district that has been trending Republicans’ way but is very much in play this cycle.”
In a statement provided to Fox News Digital on Wednesday, Bresnahan campaign spokesman Chris Pack said, “We’re not focused on Washington, D.C. political race handicappers whose business model depends on creating the perception of a close race to drive paid subscriptions.”
“The reality on the ground in Northeastern Pennsylvania tells a very different story,” Pack said. “Rob continues to rapidly consolidate labor union support and post strong fundraising numbers, while Mayor Cognetti is defined by an extreme record that includes supporting mass amnesty for millions of illegal immigrants, eliminating maternity leave for new mothers, and personally calling for disarming the police.”
Trump has endorsed Bresnahan for re-election.
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Rep. Rob Bresnahan, R-Pa., arrives for an event on inflation with US President Donald Trump, not pictured, at Mount Airy Casino Resort in Mount Pocono, Pa., on Tuesday, Dec. 9, 2025.(Adam Gray/Bloomberg via Getty Images)
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The report highlighted one bright spot for the GOP: Colorado’s 3rd District has been shifted from likely Republican to solid Republican.
Trump endorsed incumbent GOP Rep. Jeff Hurd, then withdrew the endorsement, then endorsed Hurd again.
“We’re shifting this district from Likely Republican to Solid Republican for now, though if either Democratic candidate picks up momentum it could move back onto the board later this cycle,” The Cook Political Report analysis stated.
Trump is facing underwater job approval polling, which could potentially serve as a drag for the Republican Party during the elections this year.
Alex Nitzberg is a writer for Fox News Digital.
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