美国3月新增就业17.8万个,远超预期,就业市场反弹


2026年4月3日 / 美国东部时间上午10:45 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻

根据美国劳工部最新数据,美国全国就业在上月大幅下滑后于3月反弹,雇主新增17.8万个工作岗位。

关键数据

据路孚特旗下金融数据公司FactSet统计,3月就业报告超出市场此前预期的6万个新增薪资岗位。

3月失业率从上月的4.4%降至4.3%。

医疗保健行业推动了就业增长,3月新增7.6万个薪资岗位,这得益于护士在今年早些时候的罢工结束后重返工作岗位。建筑业、交通运输和仓储业也实现就业增长,分别新增2.6万个和2.1万个岗位。

劳工部数据显示,联邦政府雇员数量持续下滑,减少了1.8万人。

此次新增薪资岗位与2月形成鲜明反差:2月雇主意外裁员,当时就业市场出现放缓迹象。周五发布的报告将2月裁员人数修正为13.3万,远高于最初公布的9.2万。2月就业数据疲软部分归因于医疗行业罢工和冬季风暴。

今年以来就业增长参差不齐,1月至3月雇主平均每月新增6.8万个工作岗位。

经济学家观点

经济学家指出,3月强劲的数据表明就业市场存在多个强势板块。

惠誉评级美国经济主管奥卢·索诺拉在一封电子邮件中表示:“这对就业市场来说是很棒的周五,失业率大幅下降,新增就业岗位总数喜人。医疗保健行业罢工后的反弹显而易见,但利好消息不止于此,建筑业和制造业也实现了可观的增长。”

尽管周五的就业报告显示上月就业市场反弹,但美国人对就业市场实力的看法却并不乐观。2025年底的一项最新盖洛普民调发现,72%的美国人认为当前找工作不是好时机,高于一年前的54%。

一些年轻求职者找工作更加困难,同时人们对人工智能对就业市场的影响愈发焦虑。美联储主席杰罗姆·鲍威尔近日在哈佛大学给经济学课堂授课时告诉学生:“不可否认,现在进入就业市场充满挑战。”他补充称,从长期来看仍存在就业机会。

爱德华·琼斯投资策略高级经济学家詹姆斯·麦坎在政府发布最新就业数据前的一封电子邮件中表示,伊朗战争引发的能源价格上涨可能会促使企业在今年晚些时候缩减招聘,并可能推高裁员率。

自美国和以色列于2月28日袭击伊朗以来,燃料成本飙升,国内汽油价格跃升至每加仑4美元以上,原油价格突破每桶100美元。

目前裁员率仍相对温和。职业介绍公司挑战者、格雷与克里斯蒂公司的最新报告显示,雇主3月裁员约6万人,高于2月,但同比有所下降。

对利率的影响

尽管3月就业增长表明就业市场重回强劲,但分析师也指出了长期存在的问题,如就业增长缓慢、劳动力规模萎缩以及长期失业者占比不断上升。

资本经济公司北美首席经济学家斯蒂芬·布朗在一份研究报告中表示,3月新增就业岗位超出预期,反映的是对拖累2月招聘的罢工和天气因素的逆转,而非就业增长势头强劲。

“截至目前,2026年的整体态势仍是调整而非加速,”Indeed招聘实验室经济研究主管劳拉·乌尔里希在一份声明中表示。

多位分析师认为,3月的就业数据将让美联储按计划推迟降息。

在3月的最近一次会议上,美联储官员维持基准利率不变,并表示仍预计2026年将降息一次。不过,多位经济学家预测,美联储今年可能完全不会降息。

盖洛普首席经济学家丹尼尔·赵在一份声明中表示:“3月的报告缓解了美联储立即采取行动的压力,反而让他们可以提前着手应对美伊战争和能源价格上涨的影响,这些因素可能会威胁到美联储的双重使命。”

Employers added 178,000 jobs in March, blowing past forecasts as job market rebounds

April 3, 2026 / 10:45 AM EDT / CBS News

Hiring across the U.S. rebounded in March after falling sharply the previous month, with employers adding 178,000 jobs, according to new data from the Department of Labor.

By the numbers

The March employment report beat consensus forecasts of 60,000 payroll gains last month, according to FactSet.

The unemployment rate dipped to 4.3% in March, down from 4.4% in the prior month.

The health care sector helped spur job growth, with 76,000 payroll gains in March. That came after nurses returned to work following strikes earlier in the year. The construction and transportation and warehousing industries also saw gains, adding 26,000 and 21,000 jobs, respectively.

Federal employment continued to decline, falling by 18,000, according to the Labor Department.

The latest payroll gains mark a sharp reversal from February, when employers unexpectedly cut jobs amid signs of a slowing labor market. Friday’s report revised the reduction to 133,000, far larger than the 92,000 originally reported. February’s weak numbers were partially due to strikes in the health care industry and winter storms.

Job growth has been mixed this year, with employers adding an average of 68,000 jobs per month from January to March.

What economists say

The strong March numbers signal that there are pockets of strength in the labor market, economists noted.

“This is a great Friday for the labor market, with a decisively lower unemployment rate and a bumper headline payroll number,” Olu Sonola, head of U.S. economics at Fitch Ratings, said in an email. “The snapback from the health care strike was clearly evident, but the good news extended beyond that, with construction and manufacturing also posting solid gains.”

While Friday’s employment report signals a rebound last month, Americans are expressing dim views about the strength of the labor market. A recent Gallup poll from the end of 2025 found that 72% of Americans said it was a bad time to find a job, up from 54% a year earlier.

Some younger workers are having a harder time finding work, while anxieties are rising about the impact of artificial intelligence on the labor market. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell recently addressed an economics class at Harvard University, telling students, “there’s no denying it’s a challenging time to enter the labor market,” adding that there will be opportunities in the long term.

Higher energy prices due to the Iran war could push firms to curb hiring later this year and potentially boost layoffs, James McCann, senior economist of investment strategy at Edward Jones, said in an email ahead of the government’s latest jobs readout.

Fuel costs have shot up since the U.S. and Israel attacked Iran on February 28, with domestic gasoline prices jumping above $4 a gallon and oil topping $100 a barrel.

Layoffs remain relatively muted for now. A recent report from outplacement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas found that employers cut roughly 60,000 jobs in March, up from February but down year over year.

Impact on interest rates

While March’s job gains signaled a return to a robust labor market, analysts also pointed to longer-term issues such as slow job creation, a shrinking labor force and a growing share of long-term unemployed workers.

Stephen Brown, chief North America economist at Capital Economics, said in a research note that the stronger-than-expected payroll gains in March reflect a reversal of the strike and weather effects that bogged down hiring in February, rather than strong momentum.

“The broader story of 2026 so far remains one of recalibration rather than acceleration,” Laura Ullrich, director of economic research for the Indeed Hiring Lab, said in a statement.

March’s employment numbers will keep the Federal Reserve on track to hold off on rate cuts, according to multiple analysts.

At their last meeting in March, Fed officials held the benchmark rate steady, while indicating that they still expect to issue one rate cut in 2026. However, multiple economists are predicting that the central bank will refrain from cuts this year altogether.

The March report “alleviates pressure on the Federal Reserve to act immediately and instead lets them look ahead to prepare for the impacts of the U.S.-Iran war and rising energy prices, which are likely to threaten its dual mandate,” Glassdoor’s chief economist Daniel Zhao said in a statement.

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