2026年4月3日 美国东部时间上午5:00 / CNN
作者:阿里尔·爱德华兹-莱维、珍妮弗·阿吉耶斯塔
更新于2026年4月3日 美国东部时间上午7:11
根据SSRS为CNN开展的一项新民调,美国民众对民主党和共和党两党的看法依然极度负面。而在这场可能取决于选民将哪一党派视为两害相权取其轻的选举年中,民主党占据着早期优势。
约四分之一的公众对两党都持负面看法——也就是所谓的“双嫌选民”。这一群体在即将到来的中期选举中以31个百分点的优势支持民主党。
在一个以对华盛顿各方持负面态度为特征的时代,对民主党和共和党都没有好感的选民的投票模式和倾向,可能在选举中发挥关键作用。
那些对唐纳德·特朗普和希拉里·克林顿都没有好感的选民,在2016年大选中起到了决定性作用,并在2024年再次倒向特朗普。据CNN出口民调显示,在2022年中期选举中,超过一半的选民对两党都持负面看法,“双嫌选民”以大幅优势倒向共和党。
当前这批“双嫌选民”的投票倾向,更多是出于对共和党的反对,而非对民主党有多大热情。
仅有28%的美国人对民主党持正面看法,共和党则略高一点,为32%,这在很大程度上是因为共和党人对本党的正面评价高于民主党人。
与唐纳德·特朗普总统第一任期内的中期选举相比,特朗普本人和民主党都变得更不受欢迎。尽管特朗普35%的支持率比2018年中期选举周期同期低了7个百分点,但民主党人的净好感度已从当时的大致持平,转变为如今的净负面近30个百分点。共和党在这两年的支持率都处于严重下滑状态。
总体而言,登记选民以6个百分点的优势表示,如果今天举行国会选举,他们更倾向于支持民主党候选人。
CNN民调显示民主党在中期选举中占据早期优势
“双嫌选民”究竟不满什么?
当被问及对两党最不满的地方时,“双嫌选民”对两党的不满原因各不相同。他们反感民主党最常见的理由是认为民主党无所作为(22%的受访者持此观点)、称民主党没有对特朗普和共和党采取足够强硬的立场(11%),或是认为民主党过于左翼(10%)。另有9%的人认为民主党软弱或没骨气,还有9%的人表示民主党不关心民众。
“双嫌选民”反感共和党最常见的理由是认为该党未能对特朗普采取强硬立场(14%),其次是认为共和党不关心民众(10%)、对特朗普本人的普遍看法(8%),以及认为共和党腐败(8%)。
“分歧如此之大,没人能妥协办成任何事,”一名参与调查的无党派选民写道。“他们表现得像被宠坏的娇生惯养的孩子。”
民主党在其基本盘上拥有优势
民主党面临的内部不满和分歧比共和党更严重,但在动员其基本盘以及利用反特朗普情绪方面,民主党拥有明显优势。
民主党及倾向民主党的登记选民,比支持共和党的选民更有可能表示自己有极强的动力参与投票,这一差距为17个百分点;但同时他们对本党持正面看法的比例也比后者低14个百分点。
民主党在投票积极性和通用国会选票上的整体优势,在近期民调中相对稳定,这也与特朗普上台前的中期选举政治趋势相符:选民往往会反对执政党,尤其是在白宫现任官员像特朗普当前这样不受欢迎的时候。
超过四分之三计划在中期选举中支持民主党选民将其投票视为反对特朗普的表态,而仅有约一半计划投票给共和党的选民表示,他们投票是为了表达对总统的支持。这甚至可能帮助到一些对民主党本身并不热情的选民:44%计划投票给民主党人的选民表示,他们的投票主要动机是反对共和党候选人,这一比例高于计划投票给共和党人的选民中出于反对民主党而投票的比例。
与此同时,两党在国会的领导人都极度不受公众欢迎。共和党领导人迈克·约翰逊、约翰·图恩以及民主党领导人哈基姆·杰弗里斯、查克·舒默的支持率都为负面。
舒默的支持率尤其低迷,在全体公众中的净好感率为负32,即使在支持民主党的群体中,其净好感率也仅为负4。杰弗里斯、约翰逊和图恩在各自政党内部都获得了净正面评价,不过图恩在公众中基本不为人所知。
两党内部的分歧是什么?
两党的支持者大多认为本党更团结而非分裂。约三分之一支持民主党的成年人认为本党大多处于分裂状态,仅有19%支持共和党的成年人认为共和党存在同样问题——这一数字自去年1月以来几乎没有变化。
但这并不意味着两党内部不存在实质性分歧。在民主党方面,72%的人表示,在该国对以色列的政策上存在分歧,这正在给党内造成问题。约三分之二的人表示,民主党在优先事项和意识形态立场上面临有问题的分歧,仅有58%的多数人认为民主党在“民主党民选官员是否应该与特朗普合作”这一问题上存在分裂。
略高于一半的支持共和党的成年人认为,共和党正因以下分歧面临问题:该党应聚焦哪些议题(54%)、是应更右翼还是转向中间派(52%),以及共和党官员是否应该公开反对特朗普(52%)。不到一半的人,即47%,认为以色列是党内存在问题的分歧点。
但对于这些问题在共和党内部的分裂程度,也存在分歧:温和派比保守派更有可能认为本党因意识形态分歧面临问题,这一差距为24个百分点;45岁以下的共和党选民比年长的共和党人更有可能将以色列视为有争议的议题,差距同样为24个百分点。
与此同时,那些更年轻的支持共和党的选民显得对即将到来的选举尤其不积极:在45岁以下的共和党及倾向共和党的选民中,仅有33%的人表示自己有极强的动力参与投票,而年长的共和党人这一比例为多数。
这项CNN民调由SSRS于3月26日至30日通过线上和电话方式开展,随机抽取了1201名美国成年人作为全国样本。全样本的抽样误差幅度为正负3.2个百分点。
CNN的爱德华·吴为本报道撰稿。
本文标题已更新。
A new CNN poll reveals how people mad at both parties see the midterms
2026-04-03 5:00 AM ET / CNN
By Ariel Edwards-Levy, Jennifer Agiesta
Updated Apr 3, 2026, 7:11 AM ET
Americans’ views of both the Democratic and Republican parties remain deeply negative, according to a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS. And in an election year that may turn on which party voters see as the lesser of two evils, the Democrats hold an early advantage.
About one-quarter of the public holds a negative view of both parties – so-called double haters. Voters in that group prefer the Democrats in the upcoming midterms by 31 points.
In an era characterized by negativity toward all sides in Washington, the voting patterns and preferences of people who have negative feelings toward both Democrats and Republicans can play a key role in elections.
Those voters who had unfavorable views of both Donald Trump and Hillary Clinton proved decisive in the 2016 election and broke in Trump’s favor again in 2024. In the 2022 election, when both parties were viewed negatively by just over half of all voters, “double-hater” voters broke in Republicans’ favor by a wide margin, according to CNN exit polls.
The vote preferences of the current crop of double haters are driven more by opposition to the GOP rather than enthusiasm for the Democrats.
Just 28% of Americans hold a favorable view of the Democratic Party, with the Republican Party a few points higher at 32%, in large part because Republicans take a more positive view of their own party than do Democrats.
Compared to the midterms in President Donald Trump’s first term, both the president and the Democrats have grown less popular. While Trump’s 35% approval rating is 7 points lower than it was at this point in the 2018 midterm cycle, the Democratic Party’s net favorability has shifted from about even then to net negative by nearly 30 points now. Ratings for the GOP were deeply underwater in both years.
Overall, registered voters say by a 6-point margin that they’d prefer the Democratic Party’s candidate over the Republican candidate if the elections for Congress were held today.
CNN poll shows Democrats hold early advantage in midterms
What do double haters hate?
When asked what they most dislike about each party, double haters offer different reasons for their dissatisfaction with each. Their most common reasons for disliking Democrats are viewing them as do-nothing (22% say this), saying they’re not standing up enough to Trump and the GOP (11%) or they’re too liberal (10%). Another 9% call them weak or spineless, with another 9% saying the party doesn’t care about people.
Double-haters’ most common reason for disliking the GOP is what they see as the party’s failure to stand up to Trump (14%), followed by a sense that the party doesn’t care about people (10%), views about Trump more generally (8%), and a perception of the party as corrupt (8%).
“There is such a divide and no one can compromise to get anything done,” wrote an independent who answered the survey. “They act like spoiled brats.”
Democrats have an advantage with their base
The Democratic Party faces greater internal discontent and dissension than the GOP, but also a clear advantage in motivating its base and an ability to capitalize on anti-Trump sentiments.
Democratic and Democratic-leaning registered voters are 17 points likelier than those aligned with the GOP to describe themselves as extremely motivated to vote even as they’re 14 points less likely to hold a favorable view of their own party.
Democrats’ overall advantage in motivation and on the generic ballot, which has remained relatively stable in recent polling, also match a trend in midterm politics that predates Trump: Voters tend to swing against the party in power, particularly when the occupant of the White House is as unpopular as Trump currently is.
More than three-quarters of voters who plan to support the Democrats in the midterms see their vote as a message of opposition to Trump, while only about half who plan to vote Republican say they’ll do so as a way to show support for the president. That could help to carry even some voters who aren’t enthusiastic about the Democratic Party:44% of voters who plan to vote Democratic say that their vote will be primarily motivated by opposition to the Republican candidate, higher than the share who plan to vote Republican out of opposition to the Democrats.
Both parties’ leaders in Congress, meanwhile, remain deeply unpopular with the public. GOP leaders Mike Johnson and John Thune and Democratic leaders Hakeem Jeffries and Chuck Schumer all see negative ratings.
Schumer sees particularly low numbers, with a net minus-32 favorability rating among the public as a whole and a net minus-4 even among those aligned with the Democratic Party. Jeffries, Johnson and Thune all see net positive ratings within their respective parties, although Thune remains largely unknown to the public.
What’s dividing each party?
Both parties’ supporters largely see their own party as more united than divided. Only about one-third of Democratic-aligned adults see their party as mostly divided, and just 19% of Republican-aligned adults say the same of the GOP – numbers that are little changed since last January.
But that doesn’t mean that there aren’t meaningful fractures within each party. On the Democratic side, 72% say that a divide over the nation’s approach to Israel is causing problems within the party. About two-thirds say that the Democratic Party is facing problematic divides over its priorities and its ideological position, with a smaller 58% majority seeing the party divided on whether Democratic elected officials should ever cooperate with Trump.
Just above half of Republican-aligned adults think the GOP is facing problems due to divides on what the party should focus on (54%), whether it should move rightward or to the center (52%), or whether Republican officials should ever publicly oppose Trump (52%). Slightly fewer than half, 47%, say Israel is posing a problematic divide with the party.
But there’s also a split on how divisive those issues are within the GOP: Moderates are 24 points likelier than conservatives to say the party faces problems from divides over ideology, and those younger than 45 are 24 points likelier than older Republicans to view Israel as controversial.
Those younger Republican-aligned voters, meanwhile, stand out as particularly disengaged from the coming election: Just 33% of Republican and Republican-leaning voters younger than 45 say they’re extremely motivated to vote, compared with a majority of older Republicans.
The CNN poll was conducted by SSRS online and by phone from March 26-30 among a random national sample of 1,201 adults. Results for the full sample have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.2 percentage points.
CNN’s Edward Wu contributed to this report.
The story headline has been updated.
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