2026年4月2日，美国东部时间下午12:41 / CNN政治频道
亚伦·布莱克 分析
2026年4月2日，美国东部时间下午2:39 更新
埃文·武奇/路透社/资料图
2026年3月31日，唐纳德·特朗普总统在椭圆形办公室出席行政命令签署仪式。
唐纳德·特朗普总统周三晚间在黄金时段的讲话中，就伊朗战争发表了他最全面的一次游说发言。
但就在数小时前，他在一场闭门复活节午餐会上的发言，恰恰暴露了他为何完全无法说服民众支持这场战争。
在一段长达一小时的散漫讲话中——这段视频曾由白宫短暂发布到YouTube，并被《商业内幕》一名记者保存下来——特朗普大肆宣扬联邦政府应更多拨款用于国防，减少对医疗保健和日托的投入，这些事务应交由各州负责。
他甚至一度将其设定为资助战争与资助日托之间的二选一——显然他选择了前者。
总统首先回忆了他与管理和预算办公室主任拉塞尔·沃特的一次对话。
“我对拉塞尔说，‘一分钱都别往日托上投’，因为美国没法管日托，这事必须由各州说了算，”特朗普说，“我们没法管日托。我们是个大国，有50个州，还有这么多其他事务。”
特朗普随后紧接着补充道：“我们在打仗，没法管日托。”
他表示各州应该提高税收来支付日托和医疗保健的费用。
“我们不可能包揽日托、医疗补助、医疗保险——所有这些 individual 项目，各州都能搞定，联邦政府做不到，”特朗普补充道，“我们只需要做好一件事：军事保护。我们必须保卫国家。但所有这些小事，所有这些发生过的小骗局——你必须让各州来负责它们，拉塞尔。”
白宫新闻秘书卡罗琳·利威特周四在X平台上声称，特朗普“谈到了阻止欺诈行为的重要性，并根除民主党民选官员放任这些重要项目中存在的数十亿美元诈骗”。特朗普确实短暂提及了诈骗，但他的核心论点是应由谁为这些项目买单。
先来谈谈他的这番言论的几个关键点。
首先，他指出医疗保健支出是重大预算问题，这一点是正确的。事实上，医疗保健是联邦开支中占比最大的部分，国会预算办公室预计，这部分支出将从目前的约2万亿美元增长到十年后的约3万亿美元。
另一点是，特朗普的论点比单纯在日托和战争之间做选择要更复杂；他似乎是在就哪一级政府应该为哪些事务提供资金提出一个略带哲学性的观点，而非完全否定这些项目的必要性。
但在这个节骨眼上，用这种方式讨论预算决策，实在是非常不妥。
周三发布的一项新的CNN民调解释了其中缘由。
这项调查进一步证实，特朗普在这场战争中面临的最大政治问题或许就是战争成本之高。这一点在每加仑汽油售价超过4美元的情况下尤为明显，但从更广泛的层面来看也是如此。
美国人看不到这场战争的意义，尤其是考虑到其高昂的代价时，更是如此。
美国人以压倒性的71%比29%反对五角大楼为这场战争拨款2000亿美元的提议。甚至有约40%的共和党人对此表示反对。
民调还显示，虽然有66%的人总体上反对对伊朗采取军事行动，但当被问及这场战争是否“值得”时，包括人员伤亡和经济负担在内，这一比例上升至70%。
甚至有35%的共和党人认为这场战争不值得。
CNN民调呼应了早前哥伦比亚广播公司新闻-舆观民调的结果，该民调显示67%的美国人和36%的共和党人表示，他们不愿意在战争期间为汽油支付更高的价格。
换句话说：民众几乎没有意愿为这场特定的战事做出牺牲。但特朗普却用最不利于自己政治形象的措辞设定了这种选择——要么出钱买炸弹，要么出钱照顾儿童。
如果你觉得这是个糟糕的宣传论调，不妨想想就在两天前，国务卿马可·卢比奥也曾试图用类似的论点抨击伊朗。
“想象一下伊朗没有把财富、数十亿美元用于支持恐怖分子或武器，而是用这些钱帮助伊朗民众，”他周一在美国广播公司的《早安美国》节目中说道，“那这个国家会大不一样。”
特朗普及其身边人此前就曾在这类话题上表现糟糕。2024年竞选期间，他在育儿问题上的散漫回答 arguably 是他最糟糕的时刻之一。总统和其他高级政府官员也曾多次笨拙地谈论民众如何在艰难的经济时期和顽固的通胀环境下维持生计。（还记得特朗普让美国人“少买玩偶和铅笔”的言论吗？）
但这些言论都没有出现在如此受关注的政治议题背景下——而且这个议题还对特朗普如此不利。
白宫肯定在懊恼这些言论不知怎么就公之于众了。
本文已更新，加入了卡罗琳·利威特的相关言论。
‘We’re fighting wars. We can’t take care of day care’: Trump’s ill-timed rant
Apr 2, 2026, 12:41 PM ET / CNN Politics
Analysis by Aaron Blake
Updated Apr 2, 2026, 2:39 PM ET
President Donald Trump attends an executive order signing in the Oval Office on March 31, 2026.
Evan Vucci/Reuters/FILE
President Donald Trump delivered one of his most extensive sales pitches for the Iran war in a primetime address on Wednesday night.
But comments he delivered in a closed-door Easter lunch just hours earlier epitomize why he has utterly failed to make the sale.
In rambling hourlong remarks — video of which was briefly posted on YouTube by the White House and preserved by a reporter for Business Insider— Trump riffed on how the federal government should focus more on funding defense and less on health care and day care, which should be left to the states.
And at one point, he even set it up as a choice between funding war and funding day care — while apparently choosing the former.
The president began by recalling a conversation he had with Office of Management and Budget Director Russell Vought.
“I said to Russell, ‘Don’t send any money for day care,’ because the United States can’t take care of day care. That has to be up to a state,” Trump said. “We can’t take care of day care. We’re a big country. We have 50 states. We have all these other people.”
Trump then added, in quick succession: “We’re fighting wars. We can’t take care of day care.”
He said states should raise their taxes to pay for day care and health care.
“It’s not possible for us to take care of day care, Medicaid, Medicare — all these individual things, they can do it on a state basis. You can’t do it on a federal,” Trump added. “We have to take care of one thing: military protection. We have to guard the country. But all these little things, all these little scams that have taken place — you have to let states take care of them, Russell.”
White House press secretary Karoline Leavitt claimed on X Thursday that Trump “was talking about the importance of stopping the scams and rooting out the billions of dollars in fraud in these vital programs that elected Democrat officials have allowed to happen.” Trump did briefly mention scams, but his larger argument was about who should pay for such programs.
A few points off the bat about his remarks.
First, he has a point that health care expenditures are a major budgetary problem. They are, in fact, the largest portion of federal spending, and the Congressional Budget Office projects they will grow from around $2 trillion today to around $3 trillion a decade from now.
The other point is that Trump’s argument is more nuanced than just choosing between day care and the war; he seems to be making a somewhat philosophical point about which level of government should fund which things, not whether they should be funded at all.
But it’s a heck of a way to talk about spending decisions, especially at this juncture.
And a new CNN poll released Wednesday demonstrates why.
The survey reinforces that perhaps Trump’s biggest political problem with the war is how much it’s costing. That’s especially the case with $4-plus gas, but it’s also the case more generally.
Americans don’t see the point of the war, but they especially don’t see the point given the price tag.
Americans opposed the Pentagon’s proposal to spend $200 billion on the war by an overwhelming margin, 71%-29%. Even about 4 in 10 Republicans opposed that.
The poll also showed that, while 66% broadly disapproved of the decision to take military action against Iran, that number increased to 70% when people were asked whether the war was “worth it” — both in terms of lives and the financial burden.
Even 35% of Republicans said the war wasn’t worth it.
The CNN poll echoes an earlier CBS News-YouGov poll that showed 67% of Americans and 36% of Republicans said Americans should not be willing to pay more for gas during the war.
In other words: There is precious little appetite for sacrificing for this particular cause. Yet here’s Trump setting up the choice in some of the most politically unhelpful terms imaginable — between paying for bombs and paying for taking care of children.
And in case you don’t think it’s a bad talking point, consider that it’s very similar to the argument that Secretary of State Marco Rubio was attempting to use against Iran, just two days earlier.
“Imagine an Iran that, instead of spending their wealth, billions of dollars, supporting terrorists or weapons, had spent that money helping the people of Iran,” he said on ABC’s “Good Morning America” on Monday. “You’d have a much different country.”
Trump and those around him have struggled to talk about these kinds of things before. His meandering answer on childcare was arguably one of his worst moments of the 2024 campaign. And the president and other top administration officials have repeatedly spoken awkwardly about how people can make ends meet in tough economic times and during a period of stubborn inflation. (Remember Trump telling Americans to just buy fewer dolls and pencils.)
But none of those comments came in the context of such a high-profile political issue — and one that was cutting against Trump so much.
The White House must be ruing that they somehow went out publicly.
This story has been updated with comment from Karoline Leavitt.
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