北极海冰冬季达到历史最低水平,全球变暖打破各地记录


2026年3月27日 / 美国东部时间下午2:36 / 哥伦比亚广播公司/美联社

随着全球变暖使地球各地纷纷打破记录,至关重要的北极海冰在冬季(冰体增长季节)基本达到了有记录以来的最低水平。

北极海冰水平,尤其是夏季冰量,对地球气候至关重要,因为如果没有海冰反射阳光,更多的热能会进入海洋。极地周围的各类冰体如同地球的”冰箱”。北极海冰的缺失开辟了新的航运路线,同时引发地缘政治动荡,使格陵兰等曾经被忽视的地区变得更具吸引力。

美国国家航空航天局(NASA)在一份声明中表示,融化的北极海冰”延续了科学家过去几十年观察到的下降趋势”。

周四公布的北极海冰萎缩数据,正值美国、墨西哥全境、澳大利亚、北非以及北欧部分地区的3月气温打破历史纪录。追踪极端温度的气候学家兼天气历史学家马克西米利亚诺·埃雷拉(Maximiliano Herrera)称,这次极端3月热浪”是世界气候史上迄今为止最极端的热事件”,并在社交媒体上表示未来几天情况”会更糟”。

天气历史学家克里斯·伯特(Christ Burt)表示,过去一周美国有16个州打破3月温度记录。气象学家称,27个地点在过去一周的气温达到或超过有记录以来4月的最高温度,包括圣路易斯。

埃雷拉称,墨西哥已有数千项记录被打破,部分温度甚至超过了最热的5月气温,但这与亚洲的情况相比不值一提——亚洲有”数万项月度记录”被打破,幅度达30至35度(17至19摄氏度)。

然而就在本周早些时候,根据埃雷拉和伯特的数据,南极出现了地球有史以来最冷的3月气温,达到零下105.5华氏度(零下76.4摄氏度)。

海冰持续减少

每年,北极海冰在寒冷冬季增长,夏季融化。今年,冬季冰体增长幅度极小,在开始融化前的峰值仅为552万平方英里(1429万平方公里),略低于去年的553万平方英里(1431万平方公里)。美国国家冰雪数据中心(NSIDC)的测量结果显示,这两个数据极为接近,几乎持平。

“这一创纪录的最低最大值为春季和夏季融化季开了个坏头,”NSIDC高级研究科学家沃尔特·迈尔(Walt Meier)在声明中表示。

欧洲中期天气预报中心(ECMWF)的萨曼莎·伯吉斯(Samantha Burgess)在最近接受法新社采访时也有类似分析,称这可能引发”潜在更快、更广泛的夏季融化”。

今年的海冰面积比1981-2010年冬季平均峰值低约52.5万平方英里(136万平方公里),约为得克萨斯州面积的两倍。

迈尔解释道:”随着气温上升并持续上升,尤其是在极地地区,冰体增长的机会减少,平均而言冰量会减少。这并非发生了气候模式转变,而是冬季和冰体最大量的持续下降。”

北极熊、企鹅和海豹等野生动物也依赖海冰生存。研究人员分析卫星图像发现,帝企鹅在换羽季节(羽毛脱落且失去防水性的时期)因下方海冰迅速消失,被迫挤在一起形成更拥挤的群体。科学家表示,只有显著的气候变冷才能给该物种带来真正的生存机会。

夏季海冰是关键

迈尔称,夏季融化季(9月北极海冰最小值测量前的关键时期)”确实是至关重要的”。原因之一是,夏季强烈的阳光照射下,白色海冰减少会使海洋吸收更多热量。这会导致北极变暖,接近更南部地区的温度,并引发气压变化。一种仍存争议的主流理论认为,这些北极变化会改变急流的运动和形态——急流推动天气从西向东移动并导致极端天气爆发。

融化的海冰本身不会导致海平面上升。

迈尔指出,冬季海冰增长季受天气变化影响更大,因此仅因北极3月创纪录的极小冰量并不意味着夏季会出现同样程度的低点。

“冬季最大值确实很有意思,”迈尔表示,”我认为这是气候变化和全球变暖的信号。”

在地球另一端,南极海冰严重受当地天气和海洋因素影响。2月,南极达到年度低点,虽然略低于30年平均水平,但远未达到过去三年的创纪录低点。

(本文完)

Arctic sea ice hits lowest winter level on record as warming Earth shatters records across the planet

March 27, 2026 / 2:36 PM EDT / CBS/AP

Vital Arctic sea ice shrank to basically tie its lowest measured level for the winter, the season when ice grows, as a warming Earth shattered records across the continents.

Arctic sea ice levels, especially in the summer, are crucial to Earth’s climate because without the ice reflecting sunlight, more heat energy goes into the oceans. Ice of all kinds around the poles acts as Earth’s refrigerator. The lack of sea ice in the Arctic creates new shipping routes and, in doing so, causes geopolitical disruptions, making once-ignored places such as Greenland more desirable.

The melting sea ice “continues a downward trend scientists have observed over the last several decades,” NASA said in a statement.

The shrinking Arctic sea ice was announced Thursday as temperatures broke March heat records across the United States, all over Mexico, in Australia, across Northern Africa and through parts of Northern Europe. Climatologist and weather historian Maximiliano Herrera, who tracks extreme temperatures, called the extreme March temperatures “by far the most extreme heat event in world climatic history” and said on social media that the next few days would be “much worse.”

Sixteen U.S. states broke March temperature records in the past week or so, said weather historian Christ Burt. Twenty-seven locations had temperatures in the past week high enough to tie or surpass the hottest April day on record, including St. Louis, meteorologists said.

Mexico has had thousands of records shattered, some of them warmer than the hottest May temperatures, but that’s nothing compared with what’s happening in Asia, where “dozens of thousands of monthly records” were smashed by 30 to 35 degrees (17 to 19 degrees Celsius) margins, Herrera said.

Yet at the same time earlier this week, Antarctica set a record for the coldest March day anywhere on Earth at minus 105.5 degrees (minus 76.4 degrees Celsius), according to Herrera and Burt.

Steady decline of sea ice

Each year, Arctic sea ice grows over the cold winter and shrinks in the heat of the summer. This year, the growth was so small that its peak, before starting to shrink, measured 5.52 million square miles (14.29 million square kilometers). That’s slightly smaller than last year’s 5.53 million square miles (14.31 million square kilometers), but the National Snow and Ice Data Center, which does the measuring, considers those two figures so close that it’s a tie.

“This record low maximum gives a head start to the spring and summer melt season,” NSIDC senior research scientist Walt Meier said in a statement.

Samantha Burgess of the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF) had a similar analysis in a recent conversation with AFP, saying it may trigger a “potentially faster and more extensive summer melt.”

This year’s sea ice area was about 525,000 square miles (1.36 million square kilometers) lower than the 1981 to 2010 winter average peak. That’s about twice the size of Texas.

“As temperatures have warmed and are continuing to warm, especially in the polar region, there is less opportunity to grow ice and it’s gonna tend to, on average, be less,” Meier said. “It’s not like we are seeing a regime shift or anything. It’s more of a steady decline in the winter and at the maximum.”

Wildlife, such as polar bears, penguins and seals, also depend on sea ice. Researchers analyzing satellite images recently found emperor penguins being forced into tighter, overcrowded groups as sea ice beneath them rapidly disappeared during molting season—a period when they shed feathers and are not waterproof. Scientists say only meaningful climate cooling can give the species a real chance at survival.

Summer sea ice is key

The summer melt season – which precedes a September measurement known as the Arctic sea ice minimum – is “really the critical time,” Meier said. One reason is that when there’s less white ice reflecting the strong summer sun, the oceans can absorb more heat. And when that happens, the Arctic warms closer to temperatures further south and atmospheric pressure changes. A leading theory – that is still controversial – says those Arctic changes then alter the movement and shape of the jet stream, which moves weather west to east and contributes to extreme weather bursts, he said.

Melting sea ice does not contribute to sea level rise.

The winter sea ice growth season is also more variable with weather changes, so just because the Arctic hits a record small amount in March, it doesn’t mean that the summer will be record low, Meier said.

“The winter maximum is certainly interesting,” Meier said. “It is, I’d say, a climate change global warming signal.”

On the other end of the planet, Antarctic sea ice is heavily affected by local weather and ocean factors. In February, Antarctica hit its annual low point and while it was smaller than the 30-year average, it was nowhere near the record low levels of the past three years, Meier said.

contributed to this report.

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