中期选举敲响警钟:尽管选举斩获颇丰,民主党仍面临严重支持率赤字


2026年4月7日 美国东部时间12:23 / 福克斯新闻网

仅28%的美国人对民主党持正面看法,但共和党在最新民调中的表现也好不到哪儿去
作者:保罗·斯坦豪瑟 福克斯新闻网

一项新的全国民调再次显示,民主党在今年中期选举中试图从共和党手中夺回国会多数席位之际,其政党形象正面临重大危机。

在CNN的一项民调中,仅有28%的受访美国人对民主党持正面评价,另有56%的人对民主党持负面看法。

这项于3月26日至30日开展的民调,是过去一年来最新一项显示民主党品牌支持率跌至历史低点的调查,距离中期选举仅剩六个多月,民主党正希望借此摆脱政治困境。

共和党方面,在总统唐纳德·特朗普支持率低迷、整体政治环境不利于在朝党的情况下,该党正努力捍卫其脆弱的众议院多数席位和微弱的参议院多数席位,在此次民调中表现同样不佳。

我们的最新福克斯新闻全国民调结果

2025年9月29日,周一,纽约州民主党众议员哈基姆·杰弗里斯(左)与纽约州民主党参议院少数党领袖查克·舒默在华盛顿白宫举行会议后,走向媒体发表讲话。(安纳贝尔·戈登/彭博社 via 盖蒂图片社)

32%的美国人表示对共和党持正面看法,55%的人对共和党持负面看法。

综合最近两项针对两大政党支持率的全国民调数据来看,共和党支持率在负区间内浮动15个百分点,而民主党支持率则低于基准线20个百分点。

拉低民主党支持率的因素之一来自民主党自身。

相当一部分民主党选民认为,国会中的民主党领导人没有更响亮地回击特朗普及其前所未有的第二任期议程。这导致民主党选民对本党的好感度低于共和党选民对其政党的好感度——后者对共和党的好感度明显更高。

这与2006年和2018年的中期选举形成鲜明对比:那两次中期选举中,共和党掌控白宫,民主党凭借“蓝色浪潮”夺回众议院控制权,当时民主党在净支持率上领先两位数。

两周前,民主党成功拿下佛罗里达州棕榈滩地区(该地区以特朗普的海湖庄园为核心,政治倾向偏保守)的共和党控制州议会席位,同日还在另一场特别选举中拿下佛罗里达州的一个州参议院席位,民主党上下欣喜若狂。自14个月前特朗普重新入主白宫以来,这类跨海岸地区的特别选举中,民主党接连获胜或超出预期表现,佛罗里达的胜利便是最新一例。

民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁吹嘘“连胜不断”,无视特朗普与共和党巨额资金优势

2026年3月25日,这张视频截图显示,佛罗里达州当选州议员艾米丽·格雷戈里在佛罗里达州棕榈滩接受美联社采访,谈及她在特别选举中获胜,拿下包含特朗普总统庄园海湖庄园在内的选区。(美联社)

民主党还在去年11月的州长选举中,在倾向民主党的弗吉尼亚州和新泽西州取得了超出预期的胜利。

民主党能在选举中表现出色,部分原因在于他们聚焦于持续通胀下的民生负担问题。这些胜利也进一步提振了民主党士气,助力他们在中期选举中夺回国会控制权。

“从现在到11月,民主党将全力以赴,在佛罗里达州和全美各地展开竞选,”民主党全国委员会主席肯·马丁在佛罗里达特别选举后说道。

但除了政党形象问题,民主党在中期选举前还面临另一个困扰:他们在通用国会选票中的立场。这项受密切关注的民调指标会询问受访者,在不提及具体候选人的情况下,他们会支持本选区的民主党还是共和党候选人。

在CNN的民调中,民主党以5个百分点领先共和党;综合所有最新的全国通用国会选票民调数据,民主党对共和党的优势仅略低于6个百分点。这一优势小于2018年和2006年民主党夺回众议院控制权时同期的领先幅度。

由Flourish制作·创建图表

全国民调还显示,在两大政党如何处理选民关心的关键议题方面,民主党并未占据压倒性优势。

3月20日至23日开展的最新福克斯新闻全国民调显示,民主党在“哪个政党有明确计划降低物价、减轻民众负担”这一问题上仅以3个百分点小幅领先共和党。绝大多数受访选民对两党都持否定态度。

[点击此处下载福克斯新闻APP]

资深政治学者、新英格兰学院院长韦恩·莱斯佩兰斯告诉福克斯新闻数字频道:“民主党没有任何松懈的余地。”

“选民对民主党形象仍不感冒,对太多选民来说,该党依然被贴上拜登和哈里斯的标签。外界原本预期民主党会在11月大获全胜。但要在2026年和2028年重塑政党形象,民主党还有大量工作要做,”莱斯佩兰斯说道。

保罗·斯坦豪瑟是常驻摇摆州新罕布什尔州的政治记者,全程报道全美各地的竞选活动。

Midterm alarm bells: Democrats face steep favorability deficit despite election gains

April 7, 2026 12:23pm EDT / Fox News

Just 28% of Americans view the Democratic Party favorably, but Republicans don’t fare much better in the latest polls

By Paul Steinhauser Fox News

A new national poll is the latest to indicate that Democrats are facing major problems with their party’s image as they try to win back congressional majorities from the Republicans in this year’s midterm elections.

Just 28% of Americans questioned in a CNN poll view the Democratic Party positively, with 56% seeing Democrats in an unfavorable light.

The poll, the most recent over the past year to indicate the Democratic Party brand hitting historic lows, comes with just over six months to go until the midterms, when they hope to escape the political wilderness.

The GOP, which is working to defend its fragile House and slim Senate majorities in the 2026 ballot box showdowns amid President Donald Trump’s underwater approval ratings and a rough political climate that doesn’t favor the party in power, doesn’t fare much better in the poll, which was conducted March 26-30.

WHAT OUR LATEST FOX NEWS NATIONAL POLL SAYS

Rep. Hakeem Jeffries, a Democrat from New York, left, and Senate Minority Leader Chuck Schumer, a Democrat from New York, walk to speak to members of the media following a meeting at the White House in Washington, D.C., on Monday, Sept. 29, 2025.(Annabelle Gordon/Bloomberg via Getty Images)

Thirty-two percent of Americans said they viewed the Republican Party positively, with 55% seeing the GOP in a negative light.

An average of the most recent national polls that asked how respondents viewed the two major political parties show the Republicans’ favorability 15 points in negative territory but the Democrats 20 points underwater.

Helping to sink the Democratic Party’s underwater ratings are Democrats themselves.

A healthy percentage of Democrats feel that their leaders in Congress aren’t fighting back more vocally against Trump and his unprecedented second-term agenda. That’s fueling a less favorable view of the Democratic Party among Democrats compared to a noticeably more favorable view of the GOP among Republicans.

That’s a departure from 2006 and 2018, the most recent midterms, when the Democrats rode blue waves to win back the House when Republicans controlled the White House. In those years, Democrats led by double digits in net favorability.

Democrats were ecstatic two weeks ago after flipping a Republican-controlled legislative seat in a right-leaning, Palm Beach, Florida-anchored district that includes Mar-a-Lago, Trump’s home turf. The same day, Democrats also flipped a state Senate seat in Florida in a separate special election. The Democrats’ Sunshine State victories were their latest wins or overperformances in a slew of special elections from coast to coast since Trump returned to power in the White House 14 months ago.

DNC CHAIR KEN MARTIN BOASTS ‘WIN AFTER WIN,’ SHRUGS OFF MASSIVE TRUMP, REPUBLICAN MONEY LEAD

In this screenshot taken from video, Florida state Rep.-elect Emily Gregory speaks with The Associated Press from Palm Beach, Florida, about her special election win where she flipped a district that is home to President Donald Trump’s estate, Mar-a-Lago, March 25, 2026.(Associated Press)

Democrats also scored larger than expected victories in last November’s gubernatorial elections in blue-leaning Virginia and New Jersey.

Partially fueling the Democrats’ ballot box performances is their laser focus on affordability amid persistent inflation. And the victories are further energizing Democrats as they work to win back control of Congress in the midterms.

“From now until November, Democrats are all gas and no brakes as we compete across every corner of Florida and the nation,” Democratic National Committee Chair Ken Martin said after the Florida special elections.

But along with their brand issues, also troubling for Democrats ahead of the midterms is their standing in the generic ballot, the closely watched polling indicator that asks respondents whether they’d back the Democrat or Republican in their congressional district without offering specific candidate names.

Democrats are up over the Republicans by five points in the CNN poll, and an average of all the most recent national surveys to ask the generic ballot question gives the Democrats an edge over the GOP of just under six points. That margin for the Democrats is smaller than at the same point in the 2018 and 2006 cycles, when they won back the House.

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National polls also indicate that when it comes to how both parties are handling the key issues that matter to voters, Democrats don’t enjoy any overwhelming advantage.

The most recent Fox News national poll, which was conducted March 20–23, indicated Democrats with a slight three-point margin over Republicans on which party has a clear plan to bring down prices and make things more affordable. The vast majority of voters questioned in the Fox News poll gave a big thumbs down to both parties.

CLICK HERE TO DOWNLOAD THE FOX NEWS APP

Veteran political scientist Wayne Lesperance, the president of New England College, told Fox News Digital that Democrats “have no room to coast.”

“Voters remain unimpressed with their brand and for far too many voters the party continues to be defined by Biden and Harris. Democrats are expected to win big in November. But, there is a great deal of work to rehabilitate their brand with voters for 2026 and 2028,” Lesperance said.

Paul Steinhauser is a politics reporter based in the swing state of New Hampshire. He covers the campaign trail from coast to coast.

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