2026-04-07T16:43:20.276Z / 美国有线电视新闻网（CNN）
亚伦·布莱克 分析
3小时前发布
发布于 美国东部时间2026年4月7日12:43
唐纳德·特朗普总统（左）与塔克·卡尔森。
盖蒂图片社/路透社
二十一个月前，塔克·卡尔森在2024年共和党全国代表大会上称，唐纳德·特朗普躲过暗杀企图是“神的干预”——上帝选择拯救特朗普，因为他计划让特朗普领导国家。
“这里面有更宏大的事情在发生，”卡尔森说道。
而如今，卡尔森对特朗普的论调几乎完全相反。他在周一的节目中暗示，特朗普可能是反基督者。
这番夸张的言辞标志着卡尔森迄今为止对特朗普最严厉的公开批评。尽管这位前福克斯新闻主持人此前曾强烈批评伊朗战争，且至少在公开场合对特朗普本人的批评还算温和，但周一他彻底撕下了伪装，态度前所未有地强硬。
这或许是特朗普与一位顶尖保守派影响力人物迄今为止最严重的决裂。
而在特朗普的民调支持率屡创新低之际，共和党一直竭力避免出现此类分裂，此次决裂无疑是一个不祥之兆。
这并不意味着卡尔森会突然让特朗普的支持者阵营出现对等分裂，但对于因伊朗战争和其他问题日益分裂的共和党来说，这绝非好事。
卡尔森的言论信息量巨大，而且一如往常，往往充满暗示性和阴谋论色彩。以下是其中一些核心要点：
- 他表示，当特朗普声称因石油入侵委内瑞拉时，基督徒本应重新考虑是否继续支持他。（“……这对美国人和任何文明民族来说都是不可接受的，因为以武力夺取他人之物绝不能被允许。”）
- 他称特朗普威胁打击伊朗民用基础设施是“战争罪、道德罪”，并表示这将导致“大规模苦难与死亡”。
- 他暗示特朗普政府可能故意轰炸了伊朗的一所小学。（一项初步军事调查和其他证据显示，美军是意外击中该学校。）
- 他称特朗普在复活节清晨发布的威胁伊朗的粗俗社交媒体帖子“全方位令人厌恶”。他批评该帖子嘲讽伊斯兰教，称这等同于嘲讽所有宗教。（“他的很多立场都是正确的，但你不能支持这点。这是邪恶的。”）
- 他暗示特朗普可能很快就会对伊朗使用核弹，甚至警告总统身边的人阻止他使用核密码。（“你们自己搞定‘橄榄球’里的密码，因为现在一切都悬于一线。”）
- 他批评特朗普在就职典礼上没有将手放在《圣经》上，并得出结论称这是故意为之。（“……因为他明确拒绝这本书的内容。而书中的内容是对人类行为的约束。”）
- 随后他暗示特朗普可能在进行一场更复杂的精神攻击。（“有没有可能，你所目睹的是一场从基督教视角来看，针对真正信仰耶稣的信念的隐秘却极其有效的攻击？……总统是否会从更宏大的角度看待此事？将其视为某件事的应验，或是提升到美国总统职位之外的更高公职？”）
即便卡尔森从未明确表示不再支持特朗普，这些言论对他而言也已是极其严厉的批评。
特朗普于周二上午进行了回击。在接受《纽约邮报》采访时，他称卡尔森是“一个智商低下、完全不知所谓的人”，还表示自己已经不再“打交道”。
当然，卡尔森对特朗普产生这种情绪并不让人意外。两人不仅在伊朗战争和整体外交政策上日益背道而驰，长期以来他们的合作本就是权宜之计。
2021年1月6日美国国会山骚乱事件后，卡尔森关于特朗普的私人信息被曝光，这一点暴露得尤为明显。这些信息是 Dominion 投票系统起诉福克斯新闻诽谤案的一部分内容，而卡尔森当时仍在该电视台工作。
他在这些信息中称特朗普“只会破坏东西”，还说“我发自内心地憎恨他”。他还表示特朗普的第一任期是一场失败。
“我们都在假装任期取得了不少成果，因为承认这是一场灾难太过难以接受，”卡尔森说道，“但得了吧。特朗普真的没有任何可取之处。”
早在2016年共和党总统初选期间，卡尔森就曾批评过特朗普，当时许多保守派评论员也都如此。
但对于一位右翼知名人士如此直接地抨击特朗普，仍非同小可。就在两周前，卡尔森在接受《经济学人》采访时，还和许多保守派人士一样，试图在与特朗普意见不合时将他塑造成身边邪恶之人的受害者——在此次采访中，卡尔森将矛头指向了以色列。
那么这一切究竟意味着什么？
如今很难估量卡尔森的影响力。他曾是美国最知名的保守派有线电视新闻频道中收视率最高的主持人。如今，在被该电视台解雇并转为独立主播后，他的影响力更难衡量。
例如，2025年皮尤研究中心的一项研究显示，仅有9%的共和党人和倾向共和党的独立人士表示，他们经常从塔克·卡尔森网络获取新闻。
如果要列出共和党人可能与特朗普决裂的议题，尊重伊斯兰教可能都排不上号，即便能上榜的话。
但卡尔森常被提及本身就是潜在的总统候选人。他在2024年帮助特朗普选定 JD·万斯 作为竞选搭档，而且长期以来拥有最受欢迎的右翼播客之一。2024年的一项全国民调显示，约70%的特朗普选民喜欢他。如今媒体生态系统也更加碎片化。
伊朗战争也已成为特朗普日益凸显的软肋。尽管自称“让美国再次伟大”（MAGA）的支持者绝大多数支持该政策，但特朗普基础阵营中的其他人越来越不买账。上周的一项CNN民调显示，25%的2024年特朗普选民对他的“外交政策”表现不满，28%的人对他在伊朗问题上的表现不满，45%的人对他的油价政策不满（战争导致油价上涨）。
卡尔森的言论给特朗普带来的风险在于，这会让那些对战争持怀疑态度的特朗普支持者有了公然反对他的理由——或是在11月的中期选举中干脆不投票。
目前已有大量保守派影响力人物公开反对这场战争，其中不仅包括前福克斯新闻主持人梅根·凯利，还包括乔·罗根、蒂姆·狄龙等更多非政治性的播客主持人，也包括坎迪斯·欧文斯、尼克·富恩特斯、亚历克斯·琼斯等更具阴谋论色彩和极端倾向的主持人。
事实上，琼斯周一就提出援引第25修正案罢免特朗普。
当琼斯提议罢免特朗普，而卡尔森同日将特朗普比作反基督者时，这标志着美国右翼政治演变中的一个重要时刻。
What Tucker Carlson’s big break with Trump means
2026-04-07T16:43:20.276Z / CNN
Analysis by Aaron Blake
3 hr ago
PUBLISHED Apr 7, 2026, 12:43 PM ET
President Donald Trump, left, and Tucker Carlson.
Getty Images/Reuters
Twenty-one months ago, Tucker Carlson told the 2024 Republican National Convention that Donald Trump’s survival of an assassination attempt amounted to “divine intervention” — that God had chosen to save Trump because he had a plan for him to lead the country.
“Something bigger is going on here,” Carlson said.
Today, Carlson is offering an almost polar-opposite argument about Trump. He seemed to intimate during his show Monday that Trump might be the antichrist.
That rhetorical flourish capped Carlson’s harshest public criticism of Trump to date. While the former Fox News host has been highly critical of the Iran war before — and somewhat more gently critical of Trump the man, at least publicly — the gloves were off on Monday like never before.
The result was perhaps the biggest break thus far between Trump and a leading conservative influencer.
And for a party that has done its best to forestall these kinds of splits as Trump’s poll numbers have plumbed new depths, that’s an inauspicious sign.
That doesn’t mean Carlson will suddenly equally divide Trump’s base. But it’s not helpful for a GOP that is increasingly riven over the Iran war and other issues.
Carlson’s comments were a lot to take in. And they were, characteristically for him, often highly suggestive and conspiratorial.
Here are some of the highlights:
- He said Christians should have reconsidered their support for Trump when the president said he had invaded Venezuela for oil. (“… That’s unacceptable for Americans or any civilized people because taking other people’s stuff by force cannot be allowed.”)
- He called Trump threatening Iran’s civilian infrastructure “a war crime, a moral crime,” and said it would lead to “mass suffering and death.”
- He suggested the Trump administration might have bombed an elementary school in Iran on purpose. (A preliminary military investigation and other evidence suggested the US accidentally struck the school.)
- He called Trump’s vulgar Easter morning social media post that threatened Iran “vile on every level.” He criticized Trump’s post for mocking Islam, saying that amounted to mocking all religion. (“A lot of his positions are the right positions, but you cannot support that. That is evil.”)
- He suggested Trump might soon hit Iran with a nuclear bomb and even warned people around the president to block him from using the nuclear codes. (“Figure out the codes on the football yourself because everything hangs in the balance right now.”)
- He criticized Trump for not placing his hand on the Bible during his inauguration and concluded that it was intentional. (“… Because he affirmatively rejects what’s inside that book. And what’s in that book are limits on human behavior.”)
- He then suggested Trump could be engaging in a more complex spiritual assault. (“Is it possible that what you’re watching is a very stealthy yet incredibly effective attack on what, from a Christian perspective, is the true-faith belief in Jesus? … Is it possible the president sees this in bigger terms? Sees this as the fulfillment of something, or the elevation to some higher office beyond president of the United States?”)
It’s all incredibly harsh stuff from Carlson, even as he never says he no longer supports Trump.
The president hit back Tuesday morning. In comments to the New York Post, he called Carlson “a low-IQ person that has absolutely no idea what’s going on.” He also said he didn’t “deal with” Carlson anymore.
Of course, it’s not a huge surprise that Carlson might feel this way about Trump. Not only are they increasingly at cross purposes over the Iran war and foreign policy generally, but this has long been an apparent marriage of convenience.
And nowhere was that made clearer than when we got a peek at Carlson’s private messages about Trump after the January 6, 2021, attack on the US Capitol. The messages were released as part of the Dominion Voting Systems’ defamation lawsuit against Fox News, where Carlson then worked.
He said in those messages said Trump was “only good at destroying things” and that “I hate him passionately.” He also said Trump’s first term was a bust.
“We’re all pretending we’ve got a lot to show for it, because admitting what a disaster it’s been is too tough to digest,” Carlson said. “But come on. There really isn’t an upside to Trump.”
Carlson also criticized Trump early in the 2016 Republican presidential primaries, as many conservative commentators did back then.
But it’s also no small thing for a prominent figure on the right to come directly after Trump like this. As recently as two weeks ago, Carlson in an interview with the Economist was still doing what lots of conservatives do when they want to differ with Trump: casting him as a victim of nefarious people around him (in this case, Israel).
So what does it all mean?
It’s difficult to get a beat on Carlson’s influence these days. He used to be the most-watched host on the most prominent conservative cable news channel. Today, after he was ousted from that job and has gone independent, his sway is harder to measure.
A 2025 Pew Research Center study, for instance, showed just 9% of Republicans and Republican-leaning independents said they often got their news from the Tucker Carlson Network.
And if you were to select an issue on which Republicans might break with Trump, respect for Islam probably wouldn’t be very high on that list, if it were on there at all.
But Carlson is often mentioned as a potential presidential candidate in his own right. He was instrumental in getting JD Vance selected as Trump’s running mate in 2024, and he’s long had one of the most popular right-wing podcasts. About 7 in 10 Trump voters liked him in a 2024 national poll. And the media ecosystem is more segmented these days.
The Iran war has also emerged as a growing weakness for Trump. While self-described MAGA supporters are overwhelmingly on board, the rest of the president’s base is increasingly on a different page. A CNN poll last week showed 25% of Trump 2024 voters disapproved of him on “foreign affairs,” 28% disapproved on Iran and 45% disapproved on gas prices (which have risen due to the war).
The danger for the president in Carlson’s comments is that it gives Trump supporters skeptical of the war license to tilt into outright opposition to him— or to stay home in November’s midterm elections.
And there is a significant chorus of conservative influencers who have come out against the war, including not just fellow former Fox host Megyn Kelly, but also more apolitical podcast hosts like Joe Rogan and Tim Dillon. It also includes more conspiratorial and extreme hosts like Candace Owens, Nick Fuentes and Alex Jones.
In fact, Jones on Monday floated invoking the 25th Amendment to remove Trump from office.
And when Jones is floating Trump’s removal and Carlson is floating Trump as the antichrist on the same day, that feels like a significant moment in the evolution of the political right.
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