2026年4月7日 / 美国东部时间上午10:24 / 哥伦比亚广播公司(CBS)新闻
当地时间周二,油价上涨、股市下跌,此前特朗普总统设定了美国东部时间晚8点的最后期限,要求伊朗重新开放霍尔木兹海峡,以避免针对发电厂、桥梁等基础设施目标的大规模空袭。
美股早盘交易中,标普500指数下跌46点,跌幅0.7%,报6566点;道琼斯工业平均指数暴跌324点,跌幅0.7%,报46346点。以科技股为主的纳斯达克指数下跌1.1%。
作为国际原油基准的布伦特原油上涨1%,报每桶110.81美元;美国原油基准西德克萨斯中质原油(WTI)跳涨2.9%,报每桶115.70美元。
油价飙升已推动美国汽油价格升至2022年以来的最高水平。根据美国汽车协会(AAA)的数据,周二全国普通汽油平均价格攀升至每加仑4.14美元,而在冲突爆发前这一价格仅为2.98美元。
周二上午,特朗普在其Truth Social账号发帖称,除非在周二晚间的最后期限前与伊朗达成协议,否则“整个文明今晚都将覆灭”。
“我不希望这种情况发生,但这很可能会发生,”这位总统在帖文中写道。
数周以来,受中东战争不确定性影响,股市持续震荡。这场战争导致全球石油和液化天然气流动受阻,霍尔木兹海峡实际上仍对油轮关闭。自2月底战争爆发以来,油价已上涨逾50%,促使经济学家警告通胀风险上升。
投资公司德维尔集团(de Vere Group)首席执行官奈杰尔·格林表示,考虑到战争升级可能带来的经济风险,周二投资者的反应相对温和。
“市场表现得仿佛这只是背景噪音,”格林在一封电子邮件中说道,“美国总统设定的明确公开最后期限将在数小时内带来二元结果——要么局势降级,要么直接打击伊朗基础设施。”
他补充道:“这是一场前所未有的、可能引发巨大市场波动的事件。这是一个伴随着倒计时的已知未知因素。”
瑞穗银行的分析师指出,特朗普的最新行动标志着“自3月底首次发出最后通牒以来,升级循环已被多次延长”。
“鉴于各方立场不同,对冲突彻底解决的希望依然渺茫,各国仍在致力于寻求双边解决方案,”他们表示。
维塔勒知识咨询公司的华尔街分析师亚当·克里萨富利在一份研究报告中称,投资者预计特朗普政府不会在当天晚些时候发起“焦土行动”,因为美国已实现诸多战略目标,且伊朗近日做出了一些小幅让步。
“尽管特朗普的好战言论日益升级,但他可用的任何升级选项——轰炸民用基础设施、以军事手段重新开放霍尔木兹海峡、/或扣押浓缩铀——都绝非上策,”他写道。
克里萨富利补充道,由于升级冲突可能付出高昂代价,特朗普可能“被迫寻求某种形式的退路”。
阿兰·谢特编辑
美联社为本报道供稿
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/trump-defends-attacking-civilian-infrastructure-in-iran-warns-the-country-is-running-out-of-time/
Oil prices rise, stocks fall ahead of Trump’s Tuesday night deadline for Iran
April 7, 2026 / 10:24 AM EDT / CBS News
Oil prices rose on Tuesday and stocks fell ahead of President Trump’s 8 p.m. EST deadline for Iran to reopen the Strait of Hormuz to avoid sweeping airstrikes on infrastructure targets, including power plants and bridges.
The S&P 500 index fell 46 points, or 0.7%, to 6,566 in early trading, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average tumbled 324 points, or 0.7%, to 46,346. The tech-heavy Nasdaq dropped 1.1%.
Brent crude, the international oil benchmark, rose 1% to $110.81 per barrel, while West Texas Intermediate, the U.S. benchmark, jumped 2.9% to $115.70.
Surging oil costs have driven up U.S. gasoline prices to their highest level since 2022. The average national price for a gallon of regular gas climbed on Tuesday to $4.14, up from $2.98 just before the outbreak of hostilities, according to data from AAA.
In a Truth Social post on Tuesday morning, Mr. Trump said a “whole civilization will die tonight” unless a deal is reached with Iran by his Tuesday night deadline.
“I don’t want that to happen, but it probably will,” the president said in his post.
The stock market has gyrated for weeks amid uncertainty over the war in the Middle East, which has strangled the global flow of oil and liquified natural gas, with the Strait of Hormuz remaining effectively shut to oil tankers. Oil prices have climbed more than 50% since the war began at the end of February, prompting economists to warn of rising inflation risks.
The reaction on Tuesday from investors is relatively muted given the economic risks that could be in store if the war escalates, said Nigel Green, the CEO of investment firm de Vere Group.
“Markets are behaving as if this is background noise,” Green said in an email. “A fixed, public deadline from the U.S. president creates a binary outcome within hours — either de-escalation or direct strikes on Iranian infrastructure.”
He added, “This is a potentially huge market event like no other. It’s a known unknown with a clock.”
Analysts with Mizuho Bank noted that Mr. Trump’s latest actions mark “an escalation cycle that has now been extended several times since his first ultimatum in late March.”
“Given the differing perspectives, hopes of a complete resolution to the conflict remain elusive while countries continue to work on bilateral solutions,” they said.
Investors are banking on the Trump administration holding off on a “scorched earth campaign” later today because the U.S. has achieved many of its strategic objectives and Iran made some small concessions in recent days, said Wall Street analyst Adam Crisafulli of Vital Knowledge in a research note.
“Notwithstanding his increasingly bellicose rhetoric, none of the escalatory options available to Trump (civilian infrastructure bombing campaign, militarily reopening Hormuz, and/or seizing the enriched uranium) are good ones,” he wrote.
Because of the potentially high costs of escalating the conflict, Mr. Trump may “be forced to pursue an offramp of some sort,” Crisafulli added.
Edited by Alain Sherter
The Associated Press contributed to this report.
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/trump-defends-attacking-civilian-infrastructure-in-iran-warns-the-country-is-running-out-of-time/
发表回复