美国服务业3月增速放缓;付费价格指数创3年半来新高


路透社
2026年4月6日 美国东部时间下午2:03 1小时前更新

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摘要

  • 美国供应管理协会服务业PMI增速放缓,指数降幅超预期,降至54.0
  • 投入价格指数飙升至70.7,为2022年10月以来最高,受中东冲突和关税影响
  • 服务业就业出现收缩,与3月强劲的私营部门薪资数据出现背离

华盛顿4月6日电(路透社)——美国服务业3月增速放缓,而企业投入成本支付价格攀升至近3年半来高点,这一初步迹象表明,持续数月的美伊冲突正在推高通胀压力。

美国供应管理协会(ISM)周一公布,其非制造业采购经理人指数(PMI)从2月的56.1下滑至54.0。路透社调查的经济学家此前预测该服务业PMI将降至54.9。指数高于50表明服务业处于扩张状态,而服务业占美国经济活动的三分之二以上。

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美以与伊朗的冲突目前已进入第二个月,已推动全球油价上涨逾50%。全国平均零售汽油价格已突破每加仑4美元,为三年多来首次。经济学家预计,这场战争对通胀的影响将在周五发布的3月消费者物价指数(CPI)报告中体现。

受中东冲突升级预期影响,美国2月生产者价格已经出现上涨。

ISM调查显示,企业投入成本支付价格指数从2月的63.0飙升至70.7,为2022年10月以来最高读数。

该指数此前一直处于高位,企业将成本上涨归咎于唐纳德·特朗普总统实施的广泛关税政策,尽管这些关税已被美国最高法院驳回。但特朗普随后又宣布实施为期最长150天的全球关税措施。

调查显示供应商交付时间指数从2月的53.9升至56.2。指数高于50%意味着交付时间延长。这与制造业交付周期拉长的情况一致,食品、饮料和烟草制品制造商称遭遇“集装箱延误”。

市场对冲突可能带来的通胀影响的预期,大幅降低了今年年内美联储降息的可能性。美联储上月将基准隔夜利率维持在3.50%至3.75%区间。

调查显示新订单指数从2月的58.6升至60.6,创两年来新高。但出口订单增长大幅放缓,未完成订单增幅有所放缓。

服务业就业出现收缩,就业分项指数降至2023年12月以来最低水平。这与3月就业增长大幅反弹的情况相悖,当月私营服务业薪资增加14.3万个岗位。不过,ISM就业分项指数历来无法准确预测美国劳工部就业报告中的私营服务业薪资数据。

路透社记者露西娅·穆蒂卡尼报道;奇祖·野宫编辑

我们的报道标准:遵循汤森路透信托原则。

US service sector cools in March; price paid measure highest in 3-1/2 years

By Reuters
April 6, 2026 2:03 PM UTC Updated 1 hour ago

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Summary

  • ISM services sector growth slows, PMI falls more than expected to 54.0
  • Input prices index surges to 70.7, highest since Oct 2022, amid Middle East conflict and tariffs
  • Services employment contracts, diverging from strong private payrolls ​in March

WASHINGTON, April 6 (Reuters) – U.S. services sector growth slowed in March, while prices paid by ‌businesses for inputs climbed to near a 3-1/2-year high, an early sign that the prolonged war with Iran was boosting inflation pressures.

The Institute for Supply Management said on Monday its nonmanufacturing purchasing managers index slipped to 54.0 last month from 56.1 in ​February. Economists polled by Reuters had forecast the services PMI dipping to 54.9. A reading above 50 ​indicates growth in the services sector, which accounts for more than two-thirds of U.S. ⁠economic activity.

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The U.S.-Israel conflict with Iran, now in its second month, has boosted global oil prices by ​more than 50%. The national average retail gasoline price has jumped above $4 a gallon for the first time ​in more than three years. Economists expect the inflation hit from the war would show in the March Consumer Price Index report scheduled to be released on Friday.

Producer prices already increased in February in anticipation of the escalation in the Middle ​East conflict.

The ISM survey’s measure of prices paid by businesses for inputs soared to 70.7, the highest ​reading since October 2022, from 63.0 in February.

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This gauge had remained elevated, with businesses blaming rising costs from President Donald ‌Trump’s broad ⁠tariffs, which have since been struck down by the U.S. Supreme Court. But Trump responded by imposing a global tariff for up to 150 days.

The survey’s measure of supplier deliveries increased to 56.2 from 53.9 in February. A reading above 50 percent indicates slower deliveries. That mirrored a lengthening in delivery times at factories, with ​manufacturers of food, beverages ​and tobacco products citing “container ⁠delays.”

The anticipated inflation fallout from the conflict has greatly diminished the odds of an interest rate cut this year. The Federal Reserve left its benchmark overnight interest ​rate in the 3.50% to 3.75% range last month.

The survey’s measure of ​new orders increased ⁠to a two-year high of 60.6 from 58.6 in February. But export order growth slowed considerably and the increase in unfinished work moderated.

Services sector employment contracted, with the jobs measure dropping to the lowest level since December 2023. ⁠That ​is at odds with a sharp rebound injob growth in ​March, which was driven by a 143,000 increase in private service-providing payrolls. The ISM employment gauge has, however, not been a good ​predictor of private services payrolls in the Labor Department’s employment report.

Reporting By Lucia Mutikani; Editing by Chizu Nomiyama

Our Standards: The Thomson Reuters Trust Principles.

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