2026年3月31日 / 美国东部时间下午5:57 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
摩根大通首席执行官杰米·戴蒙透露，其所在银行正考虑向客户提供预测市场服务。
“未来某一天我们有可能涉足这类业务，”戴蒙在接受《哥伦比亚广播公司晚间新闻》主持人托尼·多库皮尔采访时表示，他谈及的是卡拉希（Kalshi）和 polymarket 这类允许用户对体育赛事结果、选举结果等各类事件下注的服务平台。
戴蒙补充道：“我们不会涉足体育博彩，也不会涉及政治相关业务。有很多领域我们都不会碰。显然，我们针对内幕信息有严格的监管规定。”
多库皮尔提问：预测市场更像是赌博，还是更像投资？
“我认为在大多数情况下，它更像赌博，”戴蒙说，“但也有一些领域你可以说‘不，这属于投资’。你具备深厚的专业知识，你在赌局中选择了对立面，并且你认为……你比对方更了解行情。”
戴蒙表示，他总体上并不反对赌博。“人们一直都在赌博……我去过的每个国家，人们都在赌博，”他说。
“我反对的是那种让人成瘾、毁掉生活的赌博，”他说，“我有点 libertarian（自由主义者）的倾向。你有权按照自己的意愿行事，只要能照顾好自己就行。”
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/jamie-dimon-says-jpmorgan-prediction-markets/
Jamie Dimon: JPMorgan could offer prediction market services to investors
March 31, 2026 / 5:57 PM EDT / CBS News
JPMorgan Chase CEO Jamie Dimon revealed that his bank is considering offering prediction market services to its customers.
“It’s possible one day we’ll do something like that,” Dimon said in an interview with “CBS Evening News” anchor Tony Dokoupil, speaking about services such as Kalshi and Polymarket, which allow people to make bets on everything from the outcomes of sporting events to elections.
Dimon added, “We’re not gonna be in sports. We’re not gonna be in politics. There’s a bunch of stuff we won’t do. And obviously, we have strict rules around insider information.”
Dokoupil asked: Is a prediction market more like gambling, or is it more like investing?
“I think for the most part, it’s more like gambling,” Dimon said. “But there are areas where you could say, ‘No, it’s investing.’ You are deeply knowledgeable. You’re taking the other side of a bet. And you think … you know better than the other person.”
Dimon said he’s generally not against gambling. “People have been gambling forever … every country I’ve ever been in, people gamble,” he said.
“I’m against it if it’s an addiction that ruins your life type thing,” he said. “I’m a little bit of a libertarian. You have the right to do what you want, the way you want. You know, just take care of yourself.”
https://www.cbsnews.com/video/jamie-dimon-says-jpmorgan-prediction-markets/
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