2026年3月25日 美国东部时间下午6:00 / 福克斯新闻
根据福克斯新闻最新全国民调，选民对美国在国际事务中应扮演的角色存在分歧，而对伊朗军事行动的态度则反映出鲜明的党派倾向。
42%的受访者支持美国当前对伊朗采取的军事行动，58%表示反对，其中近40%强烈反对。
党派分歧极为明显：77%的共和党人支持这一行动，而民主党仅12%支持，独立人士支持率为28%。在共和党内部，支持率从MAGA支持者的90%到非MAGA共和党人的52%不等。
福克斯新闻民调：选民认为人工智能将改变生活——但今天尚未实现
性别差异相对较小，女性支持率为38%，男性为45%。
对长期结果的疑虑削弱了支持力度，44%的选民认为这将使美国更不安全，而非更安全（33%）。另有四分之一的人认为影响不大。
在关于美国应采取何种外交政策的更广泛问题上，50%的受访者认为美国应更积极参与并在国际事务中发挥领导作用，48%则倾向于采取更不介入、更被动的应对策略。共和党人支持积极参与（72%），民主党人则更倾向于不介入（64%）。MAGA支持者最支持参与国际事务（80%），其次是美国退伍军人（70%）。
福克斯新闻民调：社会主义在选民中影响力增强
选民普遍认为美国在伊朗的最重要目标应包括：削弱伊朗支持地区恐怖主义的能力（70%）、终止伊朗核武器计划（69%）、保护地区石油运输（66%）。略过半数（53%）支持政权更迭。
64%的选民不认可特朗普总统处理伊朗问题的方式，高于1月份的57%。在外交政策整体表现上，62%表示不认可，较上月的60%有所上升。
特朗普的整体支持率为41%认可、59%不认可。相比之下，前总统奥巴马在其第二任期的同期支持率为40%认可、53%不认可（2014年3月）。
总统59%的不认可率创其任内新高，近半数（47%）强烈反对。上月支持率为43%认可、57%不认可。一年前，他的支持率仅低于对手2个百分点：49%认可、51%不认可。
共和党人对特朗普的支持率降至第二任期低点84%，较去年3月的92%有所下滑。同时，共和党人不认可率创历史新高16%。这一转变部分归因于非MAGA共和党人支持率下降——过去一年中该群体支持率下降11个百分点（2025年3月70%降至当前59%）。几乎所有MAGA共和党人仍支持特朗普，去年为98%，目前为97%。
民主党人中，95%不认可特朗普，这是其任内第四次不认可率创纪录。独立人士中，25%认可、75%不认可。
对美军在伊朗冲突中的表现评价总体积极：58%认为表现出色或良好，但仍有41%认为一般或较差。
当被问及伊朗局势进展时，47%的选民认为进展顺利，52%表示不同意。只有19%认为“非常”顺利。
大多数民主党人认为伊朗局势糟糕（79%），并对军方表现持负面评价（63%认为一般或较差），而大多数共和党人认为进展顺利（81%），并对美军表现积极评价（86%认为出色或良好）。
“历史上，外交政策态度历来高度依赖具体背景，”与民主党人克里斯·安德森共同主持福克斯新闻民调的共和党人达伦·肖表示，“如今，许多党派人士似乎根据对特朗普的整体看法来评价伊朗冲突。实地情况被解读为符合党派倾向。”
随着冲突进入第四周，很少有人预期特朗普预测的迅速结束会实现。只有13%的人认为冲突将在几周内结束，37%预计持续数月，15%认为将持续一年，35%认为至少持续一年以上。
共和党人更倾向于认为冲突会迅速解决，而民主党人则认为将是一场持久战。
在具体行动目标上，半数以上选民对美军的表现给予肯定：破坏伊朗领导结构（55%出色/良好）、削弱其核武器开发能力（53%）、限制美军伤亡（50%）。同时，多数人对行动目标不明确（54%一般/较差）、限制平民伤亡（55%）、获得关键国家支持（61%）的评价较为负面。
退伍军人的支持率高于普通选民：61%支持当前伊朗行动，67%认为进展顺利，45%认为将使国家更安全（31%认为更不安全）。他们对总统整体工作表现的认可率（55%）和对伊朗问题的认可率（53%）也更高。
民调杂烩
选民如何看待白宫当前的全球事务处理方式？有20个百分点的差距，更多人认为其关注点在与美国安全无关的国际议题上，而非美国国家安全。
对伊朗获得核武器的担忧为66%，回到2025年4月的水平，2025年6月美国对伊朗发动打击后曾升至78%。
相比之下，70%的选民担忧美国遭受非伊斯兰恐怖分子袭击，73%担忧伊斯兰恐怖分子袭击。更多人担忧国内政治分裂（80%）、汽油价格（80%）和医疗保健（81%）。当然，通胀仍是最大担忧，86%的人表示关切。
民调细节：2026年3月20-23日，由Beacon Research（民主党）和Shaw & Company Research（共和党）共同开展，样本为1001名从全国选民名单中随机选取的登记选民。受访者通过固定电话（104人）、手机（641人）接受现场采访，或通过短信完成在线调查（256人）。基于完整样本的结果抽样误差为±3个百分点，亚组结果误差更大。除抽样误差外，问题措辞和顺序也会影响结果。权重主要根据年龄、种族、教育和地区变量调整，确保人口结构与登记选民总体一致。权重目标来源包括最新美国社区调查、福克斯新闻选民分析和选民名单数据。
福克斯新闻Victoria Balara对此报道有贡献。
作为民调部门负责人，Dana Blanton负责福克斯新闻民调并监督福克斯新闻选民分析选举调查。
Fox News Poll: Voters oppose action in Iran but give US military positive marks
March 25, 2026 6:00pm EDT / Fox News
Voters are split on what role the United States should play in the world, while attitudes on the military action in Iran reflect sharp partisanship, according to a new Fox News national survey.
Forty-two percent support the current U.S. military action against Iran, and 58% oppose it, including nearly 4 in 10 who are strongly opposed.
The partisan divide is stark: 77% of Republicans support the effort compared to 12% of Democrats and 28% of independents. Within the GOP, support ranges from 90% among MAGA supporters to 52% of non-MAGA Republicans.
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The gender divide is less pronounced, with support at 38% among women and 45% among men.
Support is tempered by doubts about the long-term outcome, as more voters believe it will make the United States less safe rather than safer (44% vs. 33%). Another quarter think it won’t make much difference.
On the broader question of what U.S. foreign policy should be, half (50%) say the U.S. should be more engaged and take the lead in world events, while 48% prefer a less engaged, more reactive approach. Republicans favor engagement (72%), while Democrats prefer a less-engaged posture (64%). MAGA supporters are the most pro-engagement (80%), followed by voters who have served in the U.S. military (70%).
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Voters largely agree that the most important U.S. objectives in Iran should be reducing its ability to support terrorism in the region (70%), ending Iran’s nuclear weapons program (69%), and protecting the flow of oil from the region (66%). A slim majority says the same about bringing about regime change (53%).
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Some 64% of voters disapprove of how President Trump is handling Iran, up from 57% disapproval in January. On foreign policy, 62% disapprove, up from 60% last month.
Trump’s overall job rating stands at 41% approve and 59% disapprove. For comparison, former President Barack Obama’s job rating at this same point in his second term was 40% approve vs. 53% disapprove (March 2014).
The president’s 59% disapproval rating is the highest for either term. Nearly half, 47%, strongly disapprove. Last month, his rating was 43% approve vs. 57% disapprove. A year ago, his marks were underwater by only 2 points: 49% vs. 51%.
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Approval of Trump among Republicans has slipped to a second-term low of 84%, down from 92% last March. At the same time, an all-time high 16% of Republicans disapprove. This shift can be attributed, at least in part, to declining support among non-MAGA Republicans, as approval dropped 11 points in the last year among this group (70% in March 2025 to 59% today). Virtually all MAGA Republicans continue to approve of Trump, with 98% approving a year ago and 97% now.
Among Democrats, 95% disapprove — marking the fourth time this term disapproval of Trump reached a record high. Among independents, 25% approve, 75% disapprove.
Evaluations of the U.S. military’s performance in the Iranian conflict are more positive than negative: 58% rate it as excellent or good, but a substantial 41% say only fair or poor.
When asked how things are going in Iran, 47% of voters say the effort is going well, while a larger 52% disagrees. Only one in five say things are going “very” well (19%).
Most Democrats say things are going badly in Iran (79%) and rate the military negatively (63% only fair or poor), while most Republicans say things are going well (81%) and rate U.S. forces positively (86% excellent or good).
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“Historically, foreign policy attitudes have been notoriously context dependent,” says Republican Daron Shaw, who conducts Fox News polls with Democrat Chris Anderson. “Today, it seems many partisans rate the Iranian conflict based on their broader perceptions of Trump. Facts on the ground are interpreted to conform to partisan predispositions.”
As the conflict enters its fourth week, few expect the swift conclusion Trump predicted. Only 13% believe it will be over in a matter of weeks, while 37% expect it to last months, and 15% anticipate a full year. Some 35% think the end is more than a year away.
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Republicans are more likely to expect a quick resolution, while Democrats think it will be a long haul.
On specific goals of the operation, half or more voters gave the U.S. positive marks for disrupting Iran’s leadership structure (55% excellent/good), reducing its ability to develop nuclear weapons (53%), and limiting U.S. troop casualties (50%). At the same time, majorities are more negative on setting clear goals for the operation (54% only fair/poor), limiting civilian casualties (55%), and gaining support from key countries (61%).
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Veterans are more supportive than voters overall. They back the current action in Iran (61%), say it is going well (67%), and more of them think it will make the country safer (45%) than less safe (31%). Veterans are also more likely to approve of the president’s job performance overall (55%) and on Iran (53%).
Poll-pourri
How do voters view the White House’s current approach to world affairs? By a 20-point margin, more say it is focused on issues outside of U.S. security than on U.S. national security.
Concern about Iran obtaining nuclear weapons stands at 66%, back to where it was in April 2025, after rising to 78% following the U.S. strikes on Iran in June 2025.
For comparison, more voters are worried about attacks in the U.S. by non-Islamic (70%) and Islamic terrorists (73%). Even larger numbers are concerned about political divisions within the country (80%), gas prices (80%), and healthcare (81%). And of course, inflation remains the biggest worry, with 86% expressing concern about high prices.
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Conducted March 20-23, 2026, under the direction of Beacon Research (D) and Shaw & Company Research (R), this Fox News survey includes interviews with a sample of 1,001 registered voters randomly selected from a national voter file. Respondents spoke with live interviewers on landlines (104) and cellphones (641) or completed the survey online after receiving a text (256). Results based on the full sample have a margin of sampling error of ±3 percentage points. Sampling error for results among subgroups is higher. In addition to sampling error, question wording and order can influence results. Weights are generally applied to age, race, education, and area variables to ensure the demographics are representative of the registered voter population. Sources for developing weight targets include the most recent American Community Survey, Fox News Voter Analysis, and voter file data.
Fox News’ Victoria Balara contributed to this report.
As head of the polling unit, Dana Blanton runs the Fox News Poll and oversees the Fox News Voter Analysis election survey.
https://www.foxnews.com/video/6391656182112
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