一项新分析显示:“史诗狂怒行动”初期社交媒体上的反以内容或非美国人推动


一项针对“史诗狂怒行动”(Operation Epic Fury)启动初期社交媒体活动的新分析表明,许多在线反以和反以色列内容可能根本并非由美国人推动。

该报告指出,由海外账户传播的反复出现的叙事包括:称此次行动是“对MAGA的背叛”、“美国民众极不支持”,以及行动是“代表以色列进行的”。

根据私营情报与数据分析公司Argy尔咨询集团(Argyle Consulting Group)开展的研究,在行动第一周,X平台上提及“伊朗”的最热门帖子中,60%来自美国境外的账户——尽管这些账户往往将自己伪装成美国声音。

“这不仅仅是随机的观点,”Argy尔咨询集团首席执行官兼联合创始人埃兰·瓦瑟(Eran Vasker)告诉福克斯新闻数字版。

瓦瑟解释说:“我们看到的是看起来像美国的言论——用英语撰写,使用美国政治术语——但实际上来自国外……普通用户几乎无法察觉,”他指出这些账户“看起来非常美国化”,并模仿国内政治语言和辩论。

该分析研究了2月28日至3月7日期间100条在X平台上广泛传播的帖子——每条都有超过1万次分享。包含“伊朗”一词的帖子总共有9800万条,6.964亿次互动,估计潜在浏览量达1.5万亿次,使其成为有记录以来最大的在线信息事件之一。

仅外国账户就产生了1.556亿次浏览量,而美国本土账户为9340万次,在样本中比后者多出6000多万次浏览。

Argy尔发现,更引人注目的是,数据集中的每一条外国帖子都对此次行动持负面态度,而唯一支持此次行动的内容来自美国本土用户。

Binary Defense威胁情报主管、美国中央司令部主动网络防御团队前成员JP·卡斯塔涅洛斯(JP Castellanos)表示,许多活动都集中在以色列,并结合了破坏行动与信息传播。

“我们看到的大约42%的攻击或言论针对以色列,”卡斯塔涅洛斯说。

他还指出,黑客行动主义团体的匿名曝光(doxxing)活动和AI生成视频“试图从根本上塑造信息空间”。

卡斯塔涅洛斯表示,很大的挑战在于区分真实的网络事件与寻求关注的黑客行动主义团体夸大的在线声称。

“很多时候,这些只是他们在网上发布的声明,”他说。

研究人员表示,这些信息的规模、一致性和地域分布表明这是有组织的行动,而非有机的全球辩论。

网络威胁分析师称,一场在线叙事运动正在展开,同时亲伊朗及相关团体在数字空间开展更广泛的活动。

卡斯塔涅洛斯表示,在当前冲突中出现的最突出团体之一是Handala,这是一个与伊朗有关联的黑客行动,声称对针对美国和以色列目标的攻击负责。

在推动参与的最具影响力声音中,排名前十的账户中有七个位于美国境外,包括与俄罗斯、阿联酋、英国和南亚有关联的账户。

美国当局和网络安全公司将Handala与伊朗情报与安全部联系起来,称其是将网络攻击与心理和信息行动相结合的更广泛努力的一部分。

网络安全研究人员告诉福克斯新闻数字版,Handala是自战争开始以来动员起来的一个更广泛的伊朗关联和亲俄罗斯黑客行动团体网络的一部分,该网络将破坏性网络活动与在线叙事塑造运动相结合。

福克斯新闻数字版多次联系X平台,并按其要求提供了相关账户列表,但尚未收到回复。

埃弗拉特·拉赫特(Efrat Lachter)是福克斯新闻数字版报道国际事务和联合国的外事记者。在X上关注她:@efratlachter。故事可发送至efrat.lachter@fox.com。

A new analysis of social media activity during the opening days of Operation Epic Fury suggests that much of the online backlash and anti-Israel content may not have been driven by Americans at all.

The report identified recurring narratives pushed by foreign-based accounts, including claims that the operation was a “betrayal of MAGA,” “highly unpopular with the American people” and carried out “on behalf of Israel.”

Sixty percent of the most viral posts on X mentioning “Iran” during the first week of the operation originated from accounts based outside the United States — despite often presenting themselves as American voices, according to research conducted by Argyle Consulting Group, a private intelligence and data analysis firm.

“These aren’t just random opinions,” Eran Vasker, CEO and co-founder of Argyle Consulting Group, told Fox News Digital.

“What we’re seeing is discourse that looks American — written in English, using U.S. political language — but is actually coming from outside the country … almost impossible for a regular user to detect,” Vasker said, explaining that the accounts “look very American” and mirror domestic political language and debates.

The analysis examined 100 highly X viral posts — each with more than 10,000 shares — between Feb. 28 and March 7. In total, posts containing the word “Iran” generated 98 million posts, 696.4 million interactions, and an estimated 1.5 trillion potential views, making it one of the largest online information events on record.

Foreign accounts alone generated 155.6 million views, compared to 93.4 million from U.S.-based accounts, outpacing them by more than 60 million views in the sample.

Even more striking, every single foreign-based post in the dataset was negative toward the operation, while the only supportive content came from U.S.-based users, Argyle found.

JP Castellanos, Binary Defense director of threat intelligence and a former member of U.S. Central Command’s Active Cyber Defense Team, said much of the activity is focused on Israel and combines disruption with messaging.

“About 42% of the attacks that we’re seeing or the claims that we’re seeing online are directed toward Israel,” Castellanos said.

He also pointed to doxing campaigns and AI-generated videos “trying to basically shape the information space.”

Much of the challenge, Castellanos said, is distinguishing real cyber incidents from inflated online claims by hacktivist groups seeking attention.

“A lot of times, these are just claims that they put online,” he said.

Researchers said the scale, consistency and geographic spread of the messaging point to a coordinated effort rather than organic global debate.

Cyber threat analysts say that an online narrative campaign is unfolding alongside broader activity by pro-Iranian and aligned groups across the digital space.

One of the most prominent groups to emerge in the current conflict, Castellanos said, is Handala, an Iran-linked hacking operation that has claimed responsibility for attacks on both U.S. and Israeli targets.

Among the most influential voices driving engagement, seven of the top 10 accounts were based outside the United States, including accounts linked to Russia, the United Arab Emirates, the United Kingdom and South Asia.

U.S. authorities and cybersecurity firms have linked Handala to Iran’s Ministry of Intelligence and Security, describing it as part of a broader effort combining cyberattacks with psychological and information operations.

The cybersecurity researchers told Fox News Digital Handala is part of a wider network of Iran-aligned and pro-Russian hacktivist groups that have mobilized since the start of the war, blending disruptive cyber activity with narrative-shaping campaigns online.

Fox News Digital reached out to X multiple times, providing a list of the accounts in question per their request, but has not yet received a response.

Efrat Lachter is a foreign correspondent for Fox News Digital covering international affairs and the United Nations. Follow her on X @efratlachter. Stories can be sent to efrat.lachter@fox.com.

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