2026年3月25日 / 美国东部时间上午11:33 / 哥伦比亚广播公司新闻
在美以两国25天前对伊朗发动联合袭击之前，许多伊朗人表示，如果外国干预意味着伊斯兰共和国的终结，他们将对此表示欢迎。这个执政47年的政权刚刚镇压了一场大规模反政府示威浪潮，特朗普总统声称有超过3万人丧生，并誓言要营救抗议者。
如今，两名伊朗人——一名在伊朗国内，一名在国外——告诉哥伦比亚广播公司新闻，经过三周多的战争，乐观情绪已发生显著转变。
“如果国际社会，比如欧洲和世界其他地区能够更协调一致，共同制定一个结合武力、外交、制裁和谈判等多种手段的长期计划，那么或许能推翻这个政权，”英国籍伊朗人雷扎（Reza）表示，哥伦比亚广播公司新闻为保护其身份已对其姓名进行修改。”但如果只是一两个国家单方面行动而没有周密计划，那根本行不通。所以我认为人们正在从这个残酷的觉醒中意识到，他们基本上已经被注定了。”
身处英国的雷扎表示，他与许多侨居海外的伊朗人交谈过，他们都有同样的感受。
“伊朗现在确实在特朗普身上占了上风，因为他们意识到特朗普没有战略。所以他们正利用这一点，在霍尔木兹海峡增强实力和推进计划，让整个世界窒息，因为他们知道那里是全世界的软肋，”雷扎说。
在伊朗国内，同样为保护身份而改名的阿米尔（Amir）表达了类似的看法。
“许多原本支持战争的人，认为战争能将他们从伊朗的专制和神权独裁政权中解放出来，现在他们开始三思并重新评估，甚至愿意接受任何停火时刻，无论谁是掌权者。无论谁是国王，”阿米尔说。”只要能说’够了，现在停火，直到另行通知’就行。”
2026年3月21日，伊朗德黑兰Shahrak-e Gharb街区的居民和商业建筑残骸。伊朗官员称，该建筑在几天前的美以袭击中遭到打击，造成数名平民死亡和失踪。Majid Saeedi/Getty 提供
阿米尔表示，他预见到”未来几周将是地狱般的”，在他看来，伊朗政权和特朗普政府都在”边缘政策”上退缩。
与此同时，伊朗的反对派组织”甚至连动一根手指都没有可行有效的联盟”，阿米尔说，这让特朗普政府和以色列总理本杰明·内塔尼亚胡呼吁伊朗人利用正在进行的打击从内部推翻政权的呼吁显得苍白无力。
在阿米尔看来，特朗普似乎”找不到从这场混乱中脱身的办法”。
Some Iranians who hoped war would bring positive change tell CBS News they now feel “doomed”
March 25, 2026 / 11:33 AM EDT / CBS News
Before the U.S. and Israel launched their joint attacks on Iran 25 days ago, many Iranians said they would welcome foreign intervention if it meant the end of the Islamic Republic. The regime, in power for 47 years, had just crushed a huge wave of anti-government demonstrations, with President Trump claiming more than 30,000 were killed and vowing to come to the rescue of the protesters.
Now, two Iranians — one inside and one outside the country — tell CBS News the feeling of optimism has shifted markedly after more than three weeks of war.
“If we had a world situation where Europe and the rest of the world was more orchestrated and together, collectively, with a plan that combined a number of things, both force and diplomacy and sanctions and discussions, all kinds of things — long-term plan — then that could have worked with this regime,” said Reza, a British-Iranian whose name CBS News has changed to protect his identity. “But to just have one or two countries, you know, unilaterally going in without a proper plan? It’s never gonna work. So that’s why I think people are waking up to that rude awakening, realization, that they’re doomed, basically.”
Reza, who is in the U.K., said he’s spoken with many other Iranians in the diaspora who feel the same.
Iran is “really playing the upper hand on Trump, in that they realize he doesn’t have a strategy. So they’re really using that to their advantage to gain more strength and more forward planning with the Strait of Hormuz, and suffocating the world, because they know that’s where the weakness of the whole entire world is, basically,” Reza said.
Inside Iran, Amir — whose name has also been changed to protect his identity — echoed the sentiment.
“Many people that were pro-war, and they supposed war could be liberator, liberate them from the despotism in Iran and theocratic despotic regimes, now they are thinking twice and revising, and they are reaching for any moment ceasefire, no matter who is the boss. No matter who is the king,” Amir said. “Anything that can say ‘okay, enough is enough and there is a ceasefire until further notice.’”
Civilians look at the remains of residential and commercial buildings, March 21, 2026, in the Shahrak-e Gharb neighborhood of Tehran, Iran. The building was hit days earlier amid U.S. and Israeli attacks, resulting in several civilian deaths and missing persons, Iranian officials said. Majid Saeedi/Getty
Amir said he was anticipating “hellish weeks to come,” with both the Iranian regime and the Trump administration falling back, in his view, on “brinkmanship.”
Meanwhile, opposition groups in Iran “do not have [a] viable and functional coalition to move even a finger,” Amir said, casting doubt on calls by the Trump administration and Israel’s Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu for Iranians to take advantage of the ongoing strikes to rise up and topple the regime from within.
In Amir’s view, it appears that Mr. Trump “cannot find an exit door from the mess.”
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