对伊朗战争已进入第四周。以下是需要了解的情况


2026-03-22T08:00:33.566Z / 美国有线电视新闻网(CNN)

美国和以色列对伊朗发动的战争已持续整整三周,震惊了全球石油市场,打破了中东部分地区的安全感,并导致多国的美国军人和平民丧生。

最近,特朗普政府曾请求外部帮助以确保一条关键航道的安全,而该航道正受到伊朗的威胁——随后又表示不需要外部帮助——并因北约盟友未协助清理“混乱”而斥责其为“懦夫”。以色列称其已杀死更多伊朗高级领导人,美国和以色列均开始攻击伊朗的石油基础设施。一名美国高级情报官员因抗议这场战争而辞职,数千名美国水手和海军陆战队员正前往中东,但尽管伊朗大部分军事力量已被摧毁,其政权仍然完好无损。

随着战争进入第四周,让我们快速了解相关情况:

盟友间出现分歧的迹象

唐纳德·特朗普总统暗示他希望战争尽快结束,尽管他未明确具体时间表。

“战争很快就会结束,”特朗普周四在白宫对记者说道。

以色列此前曾表示,他们希望在未来三周或更长时间内继续打击伊朗的数千个目标,并在周六誓言下周将“显著增加”打击次数。另外,以色列正试图将伊朗支持的真主党武装分子驱逐出其与黎巴嫩的北部边境。美国尚未卷入这场冲突,但黎巴嫩已有超过100万人流离失所。

美国有线电视新闻网本周采访了前美国驻以色列大使丹尼尔·夏皮罗,以分析美国和以色列在战争中各自的诉求。阅读相关报道请点击此处。

美以开始打击伊朗石油和天然气生产设施

在空袭行动的第三周,美国和以色列开始打击伊朗的石油和天然气生产设施,包括以色列对南帕尔斯气田(世界最大液化天然气田,伊朗与卡塔尔共有)的打击。伊朗则回应称袭击了中东其他国家的能源生产设施,包括卡塔尔。阅读更多内容请点击此处。

周四,美国财政部长斯科特·贝森特表示,“放松对部分伊朗石油的制裁”是美国未来几天解决石油短缺问题的众多方式之一。

尽管五角大楼和白宫在未经国会事先通知的情况下发动战争颇具争议,但政府仍需要国会拨款。政府计划申请额外2000亿美元纳税人资金以资助这场战争,尽管并未具体说明资金用途。而此时美国国债已超过39万亿美元。

“要消灭坏人需要资金,”赫格斯周四在五角大楼新闻发布会上说道。

相关报道:为什么国会不再宣战?

美国和以色列称已基本摧毁伊朗的导弹能力、空军和海军

美国和以色列发动这场战争旨在摧毁伊朗的军事能力,并在一年内第二次摧毁其核计划。

伊朗是一个幅员辽阔的国家——面积约等于阿拉斯加——拥有超过9000万居民。

美国声称已打击超过7800个目标,执行超过6500次战斗飞行,并摧毁或击沉了超过100艘船只,其中包括二战以来美国首次使用鱼雷击沉的船只。

美国中央司令部已部署了美军全部现役装备中的大部分,包括B-1、B-2和B-52轰炸机,以及F-15、F-16、F-18、F-22和F-35战斗机。该司令部不仅在该地区部署了一支,而是两支美国海军航母打击群。他们使用了5000磅重的“掩体破坏者”炸弹,并大量依赖低成本无人机。

战争初期,以色列的空袭杀死了最高领袖阿亚图拉·阿里·哈梅内伊。另有多名高级官员也被杀害。

此后,以色列继续针对并杀死伊朗剩余的高级政权领导人,包括关键国防和情报官员,如阿里·拉里贾尼(该政权长期公开形象)和情报部长伊斯梅尔·哈蒂布。

然而伊朗政府仍在继续运转

伊朗的组织架构是多层矩阵式而非自上而下的,持续展现出组织性和战斗意志,这表明最终可能需要通过政治而非军事手段解决这场战争。

美国国家情报总监图尔西·加巴德周三表示,该政权“表面上完好无损,但在很大程度上已被削弱”。

哈梅内伊的儿子穆塔巴·哈梅内伊据称已被伊朗88人的专家委员会任命为国家领导人,以取代其家人在空袭中被杀害后的职位,尽管他可能受伤,包括足部骨折,且自战争开始以来未公开露面。自战争开始以来,他仍未亲自或通过视频露面,但周五发表了新声明。

伊朗位于波斯湾和阿曼湾之间的战略要冲地带,全球约20%的石油通过该水道——霍尔木兹海峡运输。

伊朗已袭击部分油轮,并威胁阻止未经其允许的船只通过。美国要么误解要么误判了伊朗威胁全球市场的意愿。

这对全球能源系统造成的冲击比1973年石油禁运(当时产油国因美国在阿以战争中支持以色列而停止对美供油)更为严重。

如今美国已成为全球最大产油国,经济对外国石油的依赖度降低,但石油市场是全球性的。

美国在战争第三周开始针对伊朗石油生产设施发动军事打击。

油价已突破每桶100美元,且经常超过115美元。特朗普曾吹嘘降低的油价如今大幅上涨,让美国民众感到压力。令人惊讶的是,尽管油价冲击对经济造成了冲击,特朗普周四却表示对油价未上涨更多感到意外。

伊朗没有简单地攻击美国资产和以色列,而是通过无人机和导弹袭击了十几个邻国,威胁到沙特阿拉伯、阿联酋等与美以有关系的海湾国家民众对相对安全的感知。

虽然美国一直表示计划将这场战争限制为空中战争,但并未排除地面部队的使用。据美国有线电视新闻网报道,一支海军陆战队远征部队正前往该地区,可能用于协助特种作战突击队、保卫油田或执行其他任务。第二支远征部队的原定部署已被重新安排到中东地区,但尚不清楚具体位置和时间。如此小规模的部队不太可能成为地面入侵的先锋。例如,美军尚未动员陆军进行部署。

周四,特朗普表示他无意向伊朗派遣地面部队,但补充称他不会透露是否有此计划。

美军人员在一次袭击和一次事故中丧生

目前已有多名美国人在战争中丧生,主要涉及两起事件:在科威特的一个临时行动中心疑似遭到伊朗无人机袭击,造成6人死亡;一架加油机在伊拉克坠毁,导致另外6名美国军人死亡。

柴油和能源成本的普遍上涨可能会推高消费品、机票和食品的价格,这对仍未从疫情价格上涨中恢复的美国民众而言无疑是坏消息。

特朗普试图迫使美联储降息以释放资金并可能降低住房和汽车借贷成本,但在物价上涨的情况下,美联储降息的可能性减小。

自战争开始以来,道琼斯工业平均指数、纳斯达克和标准普尔500指数均出现不同程度的下跌。

特朗普呼吁欧洲和部分亚洲国家协助美国巡逻霍尔木兹海峡。但这些国家因特朗普之前的关税政策而感到不满,且未被提前告知美国会袭击伊朗,同时担心战争违反国际法,因此目前均拒绝了请求。特朗普现在表示不需要帮助,但显然对未获得支持感到愤怒。

北约秘书长马克·吕特(经常对特朗普评价很高)周四表示,盟友们正在讨论确保航道安全的方法。

据《政客》报道,吕特在布鲁塞尔表示:“我相信盟友们一如既往会尽一切努力支持我们的共同利益,就像我们一贯所做的那样——我们将找到前进的道路。”

俄罗斯气势汹汹,特朗普与中国的会晤被推迟

为确保石油进入全球市场,特朗普政府放松了因俄罗斯入侵乌克兰而实施的对俄石油制裁。有报道称俄罗斯正向伊朗提供无人机打击情报。

特朗普可能希望在世界舞台上处于强势地位后,按计划于4月与中国国家主席习近平举行会晤,但现在他在国际舞台上更加孤立,不得不推迟会晤以专注处理伊朗问题。

特朗普称伊朗即将重启他此前宣称去年6月已摧毁的核计划。他表示自己“感觉”伊朗很快会攻击美国,但未提供证据。其他政府官员则称这场战争是摧毁伊朗常规武器能力所必需的。

但国家反恐中心主任、前特种部队突击队员上周因抗议辞职,称情报并不支持伊朗构成迫在眉睫威胁的说法,并质疑美国与以色列的同盟关系。加巴德表示总统有权决定何时存在迫在眉睫的威胁。

军事调查仍在进行中,但美国有线电视新闻网的分析发现,至少有一次打击使用了过时情报,误击了伊朗军事基地附近的一所女子学校。伊朗称超过150名女学生丧生。特朗普试图将责任归咎于伊朗,但证据显示是美国制造的战斧导弹摧毁了该校。

联邦当局正在调查四起事件:弗吉尼亚州和奥斯汀的枪击事件、密歇根州一犹太教堂的汽车袭击事件以及纽约市的未遂爆炸事件,均被视为国内恐怖主义行为。

美国人越来越依赖社交媒体获取信息,但这些平台充斥着虚假和误导性内容。

相关报道:事实核查:特朗普关于伊朗战争的大量虚假和未经证实的言论

The war on Iran is in its fourth week. Here’s what to know

2026-03-22T08:00:33.566Z / CNN

Three full weeks of the war the US and Israel launched against Iran have shocked the world oil market, pierced a sense of safety in parts of the Middle East, and claimed the lives of US service members and civilians in multiple countries.

Most recently, the Trump administration asked for, and then said it didn’t need, outside help securing a key shipping lane threatened by Iran — and then called NATO allies “cowards” for not helping clean up the mess. Israel said it killed more top Iranian leaders, and both Israel and the US started attacking Iran’s oil infrastructure. A top US intelligence official resigned in protest over the war, thousands more US sailors and Marines are headed to the Middle East, but, despite the destruction of most of its military, Iran’s regime remains intact.

Get up to speed on the war as it enters its fourth week:

There are the beginnings of some disagreement between the allies. President Donald Trump has suggested he wants to wrap up the war soon, although he has been noncommittal on a timeline.

“It will soon be over,” Trump told reporters Thursday at the White House.

The Israelis have previously said they want to keep striking thousands of targets in Iran over the course of another three weeks or more, and on Saturday vowed to “increase significantly” the number of strikes in the coming week. Separately, Israel is trying to expel Iran-backed Hezbollah fighters from its northern border with Lebanon. The US has not been dragged into that conflict, but more than a million people in Lebanon have been displaced.

CNN spoke this week with former US Ambassador to Israel Daniel Shapiro for his analysis of what the US wants versus what Israel wants from the war. Read that here.

The US and Israel began striking at Iranian oil and natural gas production facilities in the third week of the air campaign, including Israel’s strike on South Pars, the world’s largest liquefied natural gas field, which Iran shares with Qatar. Iran responded by striking at energy production in other countries in the Middle East, including Qatar. Read more.

On Thursday, US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent said that “unsanctioning” some Iranian oil is one of the many ways the US could go about addressing the oil pinch in the coming days.

While the Pentagon and the White House controversially did not inform Congress before the war, the administration needs Congress to pay for it. The administration is set to request an additional $200 billion in taxpayer money to fund the war, although it did not offer specifics on how the money would be spent. The request came as the US national debt exceeded $39 trillion.

“It takes money to kill bad guys,” Hegseth said at a Pentagon press briefing Thursday.

Related: Why doesn’t Congress declare war any more?

The US and Israel say they have already largely destroyed Iran’s missile capabilities, its air force and its navy

The US and Israel launched the war to destroy Iran’s military capabilities and, for the second time in a year, destroy its nuclear program.

Iran is a massive country — about the size of Alaska — and has more than 90 million residents.

The US claims to have struck more than 7,800 targets, flown more than 6,500 combat flights and damaged or sunk more than 100 ships, including the first sinking of a ship by US torpedo since World War II.

US Central Command has deployed a large portion of the entire alphabet of the American arsenal, including B-1, B-2 and B-52 bombers, and F-15, F-16, F-18, F-22 and F-35 fighter jets. It has not one, but two US Navy carrier strike groups in the region. It has employed a “bunker-buster” 5,000-pound bomb and also relied heavily on lower cost drones.

In the opening moments of the war, Israeli strikes killed Supreme Leader Ayatollah Ali Khamanei. Multiple other ranking officials were killed.

Since then, Israel has continued to target and kill remaining senior Iranian regime leaders, including key defense and intelligence figures such as Ali Larijani, the longtime public face of the regime, and Esmaeil Khatib, the intelligence minister.

And yet Iran’s government continues to survive

A multi-layered matrix rather than a top-down organization, Iran continues to show organization and a willingness to fight, a fact that suggests there will ultimately need to be a political rather than a military solution to this war.

The US Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard said Wednesday that the regime “appears to be intact but largely degraded.”

The Ayatollah’s son, Mojtaba Khamenei, is said to have been appointed by Iran’s 88-member Assembly of Experts to take over the country after the killing of much of his family in airstrikes, though he may have sustained injuries, including a fractured foot, and has not been seen in public since the war began. He still has not appeared in person or on video since the war began, but issued a new statement Friday.

The country sits on a strategic choke point between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. Some 20% of the world’s oil travels through this waterway, the Strait of Hormuz.

Iran has attacked some oil tankers and threatened those that would pass without its position. The US either misunderstood or miscalculated Iran’s willingness to threaten the worldwide market.

It’s a larger shock to the world energy system than the 1973 oil embargo, when oil producing countries stopped selling to the United States over US military support for Israel after the Arab-Israeli war.

Today the US has become the world’s largest oil producer and its economy is less dependent on foreign sources, but the oil market is a worldwide thing.

The US began targeting Iranian oil production facilities with military strikes in the third week of the war.

Oil has shot past $100 per barrel and is frequently above $115 per barrel. Skyrocketing gas prices, which Trump used to brag about lowering, have made Americans feel the pinch. Somewhat surprisingly given the shock oil prices have placed on the economy, Trump said Thursday he was surprised oil prices haven’t gone up more.

Rather than simply strike at US assets and Israel, Iran has responded by attacking more than a dozen of its neighbors with drones and missiles, threatening the perception of relative safety in Gulf neighbors like Saudi Arabia, the UAE and other countries that have relationships with the US and Israel.

While the US has consistently said it plans this to be an air war, it has not ruled out the use of ground forces. A Marine Expeditionary Unit is en route to the region, according to CNN’s reporting. It could be used to facilitate special operations commandos, secure oil fields, or do other tasks in Iran. A second MEU has had a planned deployment rerouted to the Middle East region, but it’s not clear where or when it could move. It is unlikely such a small force to be the tip of the spear of a ground invasion. The US has not mustered its Army for deployment, for instance.

On Thursday, Trump said he has no intention of putting troops on the ground in Iran, but he added he wouldn’t say if he did have such plans.

US service members have died in an attack and an accident

Multiple Americans have died so far in the war, primarily in two incidents. A makeshift operations center was struck by a suspected Iranian done strike in Kuwait, killing six. A refueling aircraft crashed over Iraq, killing another six American service members.

The price of diesel and energy costs in general could drive up costs for consumer goods, airline tickets and food, which would be unwelcome news for Americans who still aren’t used to prices following pandemic-era price hikes.

Trump has tried to bully the Federal Reserve into lowering interest rates to unlock capital and potentially lower home and car borrowing costs. But with prices rising, Fed cuts are less likely.

And the Dow Jones Industrial Average, the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 are all down, to varying degrees, since the war started.

Trump called on European and some Asian countries to help the US patrol the Strait of Hormuz. But those countries, who feel burned by Trump on tariffs and who weren’t warned that the US would attack Iran in the first place, and who are worried that the war violated international law, have so far declined. Trump now says he doesn’t need the help, but he’s clearly angry he hasn’t gotten any.

NATO chief Mark Rutte, who often speaks highly of Trump, said Thursday the allies are all talking about ways to secure the route.

“I’m confident that allies as always will do everything in support of our shared interest as we always do — so we will find a way forward,” he said in Brussels, according to Politico.

Russia is emboldened and Trump’s meeting with China is delayed

To get oil into the world market, the Trump administration has eased sanctions against Russian oil in place due to its invasion of Ukraine. Russia is also reported to be giving Iran intelligence for drone strikes.

Trump perhaps wanted to enter his planned April meeting with Chinese leader Xi Jinping from a position of strength on the world stage, but now he is more isolated on the world stage and has had to delay the meeting to focus on Iran.

Trump has said Iran was close to restarting a nuclear program he previously said the US destroyed last June. He has said he had a feeling Iran would soon attack the US, but has not pointed to evidence. Other administration officials have said the war was necessary to destroy Iran’s conventional weapons capabilities.

But the director of the National Counterterrorism Center, a former Special Forces commando, resigned in protest last week, declaring that the intelligence did not support the idea that Iran posed an imminent threat, and questioning the US alliance with Israel. Gabbard said the president gets to decide when a threat is imminent.

A military investigation continues, but a CNN analysis found at least one strike missed the mark when, apparently using old intelligence, it took out a girls’ school near an Iranian military base. Iran says more than 150 girls were killed. Trump has tried to point the finger at Iran for the strike, but the evidence suggests it was a US-made Tomahawk that took out the school.

Federal authorities are investigating four incidents — shootings in Virginia and Austin, a car attack on a Michigan synagogue and an attempted bombing in New York City — as acts of domestic terrorism.

Americans increasingly get information from their social media feeds, but those are plagued with false and misleading information.

Related:Fact check: Trump’s barrage of false and unproven claims about the Iran war

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