发布时间：2026年3月20日，美国东部时间下午4:49 | CNN政治
作者：[海莉·布里茨基]
更新时间：37分钟前
更新于：2026年3月20日，美国东部时间晚上7:24
相关主题：彼得·赫格斯、中东、联邦机构、美国军方
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五角大楼，2026年3月19日，国防部长彼得·赫格斯在新闻发布会上就针对伊朗的持续军事行动提供最新进展。
（Win McNamee/Getty Images）
尽管国防部长彼得·赫格斯反复声称，美军针对伊朗的打击数量和强度正持续增加，但美国军方提供的数据显示，过去三周内军事行动的节奏呈现波动起伏状态。
在赫格斯与联合参谋部主席丹·凯恩将军一同出席的一系列新闻发布会上，他多次断言“未来一天将迎来美军对伊朗最猛烈的打击”。
从3月4日（即2月28日战争爆发后的第二次简报会）开始，赫格斯宣称“更多、规模更大的打击浪潮即将来临”，并强调国防部正“加速推进而非减速”。
“伊朗的军事能力正每小时瓦解，”他说。3月10日，他表示“今天将再次成为我们在伊朗境内最猛烈的打击日”；而在周四（3月12日），他进一步称“今天将是规模最大的打击包，就像昨天一样”。
然而，美国中央司令部公开的数据并未显示打击数量如赫格斯所言呈每日递增趋势。这可能部分是由于飞机和舰船在持续行动的同时需要调整飞行频率以进行维护，也可能是因为军方最初设定了目标清单，目前正逐步识别和确认新目标。
美国中央司令部将CNN的提问转至国防部。一位国防部官员向CNN表示：“正如部长和海军上将（布拉德）·库珀所说，国防部继续加强针对伊朗军事目标的行动。”
这种说法与现实的脱节，凸显了战争表述与实际地面情况之间的矛盾。在新闻发布会上，赫格斯称美军“正取得决定性胜利”；伊朗的防空系统已被“彻底摧毁”，工业基地“被压倒性摧毁”；伊朗“已无防空能力、无空军、无海军”。
不可否认，伊朗的军事能力确实遭到严重削弱，以色列也已杀死包括最高领袖阿里·哈梅内伊和伊朗国家安全委员会负责人阿里·拉里贾尼在内的高级官员。
然而，美军在霍尔木兹海峡仍难以确保商业船只的安全通行，该海峡因伊朗威胁而实际关闭。德黑兰持续对周边国家和美军在该地区的部队进行报复。周四（3月12日），一架美军F-35战斗机在执行作战任务时疑似遭伊朗袭击后紧急降落，这引发了人们对赫格斯3月4日宣称“本周末美军将完全掌控伊朗领空”的质疑。
美国中央司令部公布的公开打击数据显示，尽管赫格斯多次宣称打击规模持续扩大，但自他首次简报会以来，打击浪潮并未稳定递增。
美国海军陆战队退休上校、战略与国际研究中心国防安全部高级顾问马克·坎西安向CNN表示，打击数量随时间增减并不罕见，这可能反映出行动已进入持续空中战役阶段——军方需为飞机和舰船进行维护，而行动初期“可以集中突击”。例如，“杰拉尔德·福特”号航空母舰在洗衣房发生火灾后，短暂撤离作战行动以在克里特岛苏达湾进行维修。
坎西安指出，随着军方寻找新目标，打击节奏可能会出现波动。“军方以中央司令部数十年维护的目标清单为起点发起行动，”他解释道，“近三周内打击了7000多个目标后，可能已完成大部分清单，目前正根据新情报扩大目标范围。”
“综合来看，打击频率已趋于平稳，日均平均打击量低于1000次，”坎西安说。
打击数据并未每日更新显示新增目标数量；中央司令部仅每几天公布一次累计打击目标数。根据这些数据，打击频率呈现波动趋势——尽管在行动第一天，中央司令部称单日打击超1000个目标，达到峰值。
例如，3月9日和3月12日的数据显示，累计打击目标增加约1000个，日均打击量约333次。但在这期间的3月10日，赫格斯宣称“今天将再次成为伊朗境内最猛烈的打击日，出动战机、轰炸机最多，打击规模最大，情报更精准”。
3月13日，赫格斯再次声称“今天将是美国对伊朗和德黑兰上空发动的最高规模打击”。但根据中央司令部数据，3月12日至16日，美军日均打击量约250次，累计打击目标从约6000个增至7000多个。
打击频率也有阶段性上升：3月2日约250个目标被打击，3月3日增至450个；3月6日至9日日均打击量达666个，较3月3日至6日的433个有显著提升。
本报道已更新补充细节。
相关主题：彼得·赫格斯、中东、联邦机构、美国军方
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Hegseth has repeatedly said the US is upping the frequency of its Iran strikes. The data tells a different story
Published Mar 20, 2026, 4:49 PM ET | CNN Politics
By
[Haley Britzky]
Updated 37 min ago
Updated Mar 20, 2026, 7:24 PM ET
Pete Hegseth The Middle East Federal agencies US military
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Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth provides updates on the continued military operations against Iran during a press briefing at the Pentagon on March 19, 2026.
Win McNamee/Getty Images
While Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth has repeatedly stated that the number and intensity of the strikes the US is carrying out against Iran is only increasing, data provided by the US military shows a pace of operations that has ebbed and flowed over the last three weeks.
As Hegseth has gone to the podium alongside Chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff Gen. Dan Caine in a series of press conferences, he has repeatedly asserted that the coming day would bring the most US strikes on Iran yet.
Starting on March 4, his second briefing on the war which began on February 28, Hegseth said “more and larger waves” of strikes were coming, and that the Defense Department was “accelerating, not decelerating.”
“Iran’s capabilities are evaporating by the hour,” he said. On March 10, he said that “today will be yet again our most intense day of strikes inside Iran.” And on Thursday, Hegseth said, “today will be the largest strike package yet, just like yesterday was.”
But data released publicly by US Central Command has not shown that the number of strikes has increased daily the way Hegseth has indicated, which could partly be due to the need to adjust the frequency of flights as aircraft and ships receive maintenance while operations continue, or because the military started with a set target list and is now working to identify and confirm new targets.
US Central Command referred questions from CNN to the Defense Department. A department official told CNN, “As the Secretary and Admiral (Brad) Cooper have said, the Department of War continues to intensify our operations against military targets in Iran.”
The discrepancy speaks to a disconnect between how the war is being messaged and the reality on the ground. During briefings to the press, Hegseth has said the US is “winning decisively”; that Iran’s air defenses have been “flattened” and industrial base “overwhelmingly destroyed”; and that Iran has “no air defenses…no air force….no Navy.”
Undoubtedly, Iran’s military capabilities have been degraded significantly and Israel has killed senior Iranian leaders including Supreme Leader Ali Khamenei and Ali Larijani, the head of Iran’s National Security Council.
However, the US has struggled to secure safe passage for commercial ships in the Strait of Hormuz, which has been effectively closed due to threats from Iran. Tehran has continued retaliating against neighboring nations and US forces throughout the region. On Thursday, a US F-35 fighter jet made an emergency landing after sources said it was believed to have been struck by Iran during a combat mission, raising questions about Hegseth’s claim on March 4 that by the end of that week, the US and Israel would have “complete control of Iranian skies.”
And the public strike numbers released by US Central Command reveal that the waves of attacks since Hegseth’s first briefing have not been increasing steadily, despite Hegseth’s rhetoric indicating otherwise.
It’s not particularly surprising that the number of strikes would increase or decrease over time, Mark Cancian, a retired Marine Corps colonel and senior adviser to the Center for Strategic and International Studies’ Defense and Security Department told CNN. It could reflect that the operation is moving into a sustained air campaign, meaning the military will need to provide maintenance to aircraft and ships as the operations continue, whereas at the beginning, “you can just surge,” Cancian said. The USS Gerald R. Ford, for example, is moving away from participating in the operations briefly to conduct repairs in Souda Bay, Crete, after a fire broke out in the ship’s laundry area.
But the pace of operations could decrease and increase as the military works to find new targets, Cancian said. The military “started the campaign with a CENTCOM target list, which has been maintained for decades,” he said. Nearly three weeks and more than 7,000 targets later, they have likely worked through much of that list and are expanding it as more intelligence comes in.
“I think for both reasons, that rate of attacks has sort of moderated to a level that is on average, below 1,000 a day,” Cancian said.
Strike data has not been released daily showing the increase in targets hit; CENTCOM has instead released data every few days showing an increase in targets struck. Using that data, the average number of strikes per day in the interim shows the number of strikes has increased and decreased over time — though the peak was reached on the first day of the operation when CENTCOM said more than 1,000 targets were hit.
Numbers released by CENTCOM on March 9 and March 12, for example, show that targets struck increased by roughly 1,000, amount to an average of 333 strikes per day. But on March 10, in the middle of that period, Hegseth said, “today will be yet again our most intense day of strikes inside Iran, the most fighters, the most bombers, the most strikes, intelligence more refined and better than ever.”
On March 13, Hegseth said that “today will be yet again the highest volume of strikes that America has put over the skies of Iran and Tehran.” But from March 12 to March 16, the US averaged roughly 250 strikes per day according to an average of CENTCOM’s data, as the targets struck increased from approximately 6,000 on March 12 to more than 7,000 on March 16.
There have been moments of uptick in the average number of strikes: On March 2, roughly 250 targets were struck, which increased to 450 targets struck on March 3. And between March 6 and March 9, there was an average of 666 targets hit per day, up from an average of 433 targets struck between March 3 and March 6.
This story has been updated with additional details.
Pete Hegseth The Middle East Federal agencies US military
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